~ In other words, if you have enough dough, you can run pretty safe martingale strategies. Well, until the casino all of a sudden stop being fair, raises the minimum bet amount, or simply makes bets so agonizingly slow that you lose all interest using these strategies
From my experience, the main problem with martingale strategies is that you are either running it in a safe mode, making less than $0.2 per hour(and still risking to lose like $100 at once), or, if you want to make, say, $5 per hour, and you set your base bet accordingly, you can lose those $100 in a blink of an eye. And yeah, slow bets make the safe mode even less profitable
There's a whole lot of misunderstanding and confusion about martingale
And how it can be employed in an efficient way, both in respect to risk/reward ratio and total profits. More specifically, your approach itself (like making a certain amount of dough) per hour is skewed.
With a proper martingale setup you earn through variance. You can wait for it days on end, and when it finally comes, you earn a certain percentage of your capital with one long losing streak ending with a spectacular win
Obviously, you should discard in your mind how much you make per unit of time (as otherwise you won't have enough patience to stick to your strategy) and think exclusively in terms of variance, i.e. how much of it you can survive, how often it should come and how much profit it should bring.
Variance is what you should be looking for, not some dust you earn after each winning rollI feel like you are saying something interesting, but I can't completely grasp it. Can you please explain with dice game, as an example, what do you mean by "earning through variance"?
Imo, there are always only two possibilities for a martingale setup:
1. Small risk / small reward
Bankroll: 1 BTC
Base bet: 1 satoshi
You can still bust after 25 losses in a row, but that's highly improbable. So, with this setup you can earn around 3k sats($0.22 currently) per hour. And if you consider the depreciation of your computer in the process, the power consumption, and some other factors, you can conclude that it's probably not worth the hassle.
2. High risk / high reward
Bankroll: 1 BTC
Base bet: 100 satoshi
In this case it'll take just 19 losses in row to bust. Odds of losing 19 bets in a row at 49.5% on a site with 1% house edge: once every 433,974 bets. So even though the reward is pretty high in this case, $22 per hour, it is very likely that you'll bust before earning your first $1,000.
That's how I see it, but I know that it's the simplest way of looking at martingale. So, I'd like to comprehend your view, and that's why I'm asking for a similar explanation of the martingale setup for earning through variance.