Gambling on friendly matches - page 3.

Saint-loup

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Quote from: shield132 on August 02, 2021, 07:07:03 PM

Usually, when it comes to friendly matches (in this case, imagine soccer), I prefer to stay away. In friendly matches, you can't predict a lot of things: you can't fairly judge who will try their best to win the match and who will try to preserve energies for another match or for whatever the reason they have.
When it comes to goals, yeah, I agree with you, there is the high probability that there will be more goals because friendly matches mean nothing and teams shouldn't be focusing on their defense line but at the same time it means that attackers won't be intensive/forceful.

And if it's right that there are more goals in this kind of meeting do you really think bookmakers are not aware of that and don't adjust their odds to get less profits on higher number of goals? It's the job of the bookmakers to evaluate odds of a outcome to happen, they won't give extra gains just for fun.

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Usually, when it comes to friendly matches (in this case, imagine soccer), I prefer to stay away. In friendly matches, you can't predict a lot of things: you can't fairly judge who will try their best to win the match and who will try to preserve energies for another match or for whatever the reason they have.
When it comes to goals, yeah, I agree with you, there is the high probability that there will be more goals because friendly matches mean nothing and teams shouldn't be focusing on their defense line but at the same time it means that attackers won't be intensive/forceful.

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Quote from: 3meek on August 01, 2021, 04:56:27 AM

Quote from: boyptc on August 01, 2021, 04:48:48 AM

Quote from: FlamingFingers on July 28, 2021, 05:22:23 PM

Gambling on friendly match is a high risk gamble, you tend to loose it all as its comprises of fixed matches, a team that you expect to win will just pull a suprise by losing despite being given a very low odds, it's better to play either goal goal or over 2.5 goals in such match, because they don't put in much effort

They're prone to fix matches but you'll never know if the match is fixed or not.

There are still those teams that won't allow such match-fixing to happen because the penalty and punishment are big for these teams if they've been caught.

It's not about match-fixing... A team can lose not because someone arranged it... Sometimes it is not profitable to play the main squad because of upcoming matches and the team does not play the main squad... In fact there may be many possible outcomes that are not in your favour! Wink

They're prone though.

Yes, there are too many things that might not be according to what you're thinking when you bet with friendly matches. But if you really want to bet with those matches.

Do whatever you think is favorable to you.

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Quote from: Beparanf on August 02, 2021, 10:02:53 AM

Quote from: Kong Hey Pakboy on August 02, 2021, 08:26:41 AM

I think there's nothing wrong with betting on friendly match expect that there's no upset happening because the teams that are playing won't be playing at their best because there's no stake for them in the game. So when you bet on this kind of game, go for the favorites because they're likely to win.

Yeah, we always do that with friend to determine who's opinion was right on basketball game. This gives more excitement on watching the match and save both you on an argument that has no ending. At the end of the day, we are still friends no matter what is the result and use the winning money to buy some drinks for us so everyone still a winner although there might be some teasing until the end but still fun.

What a classic gambling partnership Grin

at the end of the day both wins as all the money have been used for treating each other, no need to argue since the outcome of the game dictates who wins between you and your friend.

But moving back to the topic, in assessing the game there's always a good alternative ways to bet if you are unsure who's going to win and like how OP give his opinion here,

Depends from how you understand both teams that will compete, just keep in mind that shit might happened so also bring back up bet behind you. Roll Eyes

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Quote from: Kong Hey Pakboy on August 02, 2021, 08:26:41 AM

I think there's nothing wrong with betting on friendly match expect that there's no upset happening because the teams that are playing won't be playing at their best because there's no stake for them in the game. So when you bet on this kind of game, go for the favorites because they're likely to win.

Yeah, we always do that with friend to determine who's opinion was right on basketball game. This gives more excitement on watching the match and save both you on an argument that has no ending. At the end of the day, we are still friends no matter what is the result and use the winning money to buy some drinks for us so everyone still a winner although there might be some teasing until the end but still fun.

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Quote from: 3meek on August 02, 2021, 09:49:24 AM

Quote from: freedomgo on August 01, 2021, 05:33:48 AM

[
I'm okay with betting in this kind of game, it's not a problem for me as I only put a little bet, I will treat it like entertainment only and not too serious about it. In friendly games, stats won't work so even if your analysis is well-research, you still can't assure which team will win as one team could not exert an effort especially the favorites.

I've always treated betting as entertainment, meaning it's not a way for me to make money on a regular basis... Still, I avoid betting on friendly matches... Losing even a small bet in such games is for me a meaningless loss of money... So I'd rather bet it on another event! Wink

That's definitely the right thing to do, we gamble to enjoy more the game we are watching, so if it will turn out like a non-effort game by both teams, then there's no fun in watching the game unless you are really a gambler who gambles in any game regardless on they will play hard or not.

Most gamblers gamble on their favorite sports because they know it and they love their team to win, but if you will not follow your heart in betting, you will surely not gonna enjoy what you are watching as all you want to know is the outcome of the game to confirm if you lose or win.

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Quote from: freedomgo on August 01, 2021, 05:33:48 AM

[
I'm okay with betting in this kind of game, it's not a problem for me as I only put a little bet, I will treat it like entertainment only and not too serious about it. In friendly games, stats won't work so even if your analysis is well-research, you still can't assure which team will win as one team could not exert an effort especially the favorites.

I've always treated betting as entertainment, meaning it's not a way for me to make money on a regular basis... Still, I avoid betting on friendly matches... Losing even a small bet in such games is for me a meaningless loss of money... So I'd rather bet it on another event! Wink

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Quote from: Oshosondy on August 02, 2021, 05:01:50 AM

I created the thread because I noticed there are much goals in friendly matches, though also want to hear people's opinion about friendlies but most people prefer my suggestion which is going for over 1.5 or over 2.5 of total goals. Betting for either the big team or underdog in such match is risky, anyone team can win, that is why I prefer to go for total goals to be scored, though we can choice what we like, if it is working for us.

Going for total goals is a good idea. I noticed too that friendly matches tend to have more goals than regular matches. But is the payout high enough here for the risk? Friendly matches are always an event for the fans and give the teams a chance to play with their B team. In the past I haven't bet much on friendly matches, I usually focus on the large tournaments. Maybe we could set up a strategy here and test it for a few weeks?

Kong Hey Pakboy

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I think there's nothing wrong with betting on friendly match expect that there's no upset happening because the teams that are playing won't be playing at their best because there's no stake for them in the game. So when you bet on this kind of game, go for the favorites because they're likely to win.

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Quote from: Oshosondy on August 02, 2021, 05:01:50 AM

I created the thread because I noticed there are much goals in friendly matches, though also want to hear people's opinion about friendlies but most people prefer my suggestion which is going for over 1.5 or over 2.5 of total goals. Betting for either the big team or underdog in such match is risky, anyone team can win, that is why I prefer to go for total goals to be scored, though we can choice what we like, if it is working for us.

Betting on total in such matches is perhaps even smarter, because there are only two outcomes, or more than 2.5, or less. And if you bet on the winner, then there can be a victory, a defeat, or a draw. So two versus three possible outcomes also matter. But personally, I always avoid betting on friendlies because these are very unpredictable matches, maybe even without a lot of motivation.

Saint-loup

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Quote from: Oshosondy on August 02, 2021, 05:01:50 AM

Quote from: Saint-loup on August 02, 2021, 04:53:35 AM

That is not what I said, I didn't say it is not a good thing to bet on small odds when there is not a big uncertainty, I just said it is not a good thing to bet on small odds when the uncertainty is big... If you don't bet on small odds when there is a big certainty you're wrong too. Because your chances to win the bet are big too, thus you can earn money if only a small proportion of those matches loses. Moreover I don't understand what you mean at the end : If you are not betting on the favorite or the underdog, which one are you betting on?

I created the thread because I noticed there are much goals in friendly matches, though also want to hear people's opinion about friendlies but most people prefer my suggestion which is going for over 1.5 or over 2.5 of total goals. Betting for either the big team or underdog in such match is risky, anyone team can win, that is why I prefer to go for total goals to be scored, though we can choice what we like, if it is working for us.

Most of people are not real gamblers here and have not any clue about how to earn money in betting, then I wouldn't take the majority opinion for a reliable advice. If odds of the favorites are overvalued then it means odds of the underdogs are undervalued... Thus you will maybe lose 3 times but you will earn 5 times your stake the fourth time for example.

Oshosondy

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Quote from: Saint-loup on August 02, 2021, 04:53:35 AM

That is not what I said, I didn't say it is not a good thing to bet on small odds when there is not a big uncertainty, I just said it is not a good thing to bet on small odds when the uncertainty is big... If you don't bet on small odds when there is a big certainty you're wrong too. Because your chances to win the bet are big too, thus you can earn money if only a small proportion of those matches loses. Moreover I don't understand what you mean at the end : If you are not betting on the favorite or the underdog, which one are you betting on?

I created the thread because I noticed there are much goals in friendly matches, though also want to hear people's opinion about friendlies but most people prefer my suggestion which is going for over 1.5 or over 2.5 of total goals. Betting for either the big team or underdog in such match is risky, anyone team can win, that is why I prefer to go for total goals to be scored, though we can choice what we like, if it is working for us.

Saint-loup

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Quote from: Oshosondy on August 02, 2021, 04:18:04 AM

Quote from: Saint-loup on August 01, 2021, 08:42:32 PM

If you have lost a lot of money it means you had a bad bankroll management. Because if you know there is a big uncertainty in the outcome of the event, you shouldn't bet on small odds. Thus in those situations you should only bet on the underdogs, if you want to bet something. Because if you bet on the favorites with odds smaller than their real chances of winning you will wipe out your bankroll in the long run and even in the medium term.

Even if their is a big certainty, I do not bet on small odds, this happened to me when Spain Under19 was playing one small European country at the qualifying stage which I was expecting Spain to win, the odd for Spain was 1.06 and I remembered very well, I took Spain to win, the match later was draw, I lost the match. Taking small odds makes many people to think it is the best way until they become addicted because small odds makes gamblers to gamble more as they want to turn it big, resulting to loss. On friendly matches, I do not go for straight win, because if you choose the underdog, that does not still mean the big team might not win too.

That is not what I said, I didn't say it is not a good thing to bet on small odds when there is not a big uncertainty, I just said it is not a good thing to bet on small odds when the uncertainty is big... If you don't bet on small odds when there is a big certainty you're wrong too. Because your chances to win the bet are big too, thus you can earn money if only a small proportion of those matches loses. Moreover I don't understand what you mean at the end : If you are not betting on the favorite or the underdog, which one are you betting on?

Oshosondy

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Quote from: Saint-loup on August 01, 2021, 08:42:32 PM

If you have lost a lot of money it means you had a bad bankroll management. Because if you know there is a big uncertainty in the outcome of the event, you shouldn't bet on small odds. Thus in those situations you should only bet on the underdogs, if you want to bet something. Because if you bet on the favorites with odds smaller than their real chances of winning you will wipe out your bankroll in the long run and even in the medium term.

Even if their is a big certainty, I do not bet on small odds, this happened to me when Spain Under19 was playing one small European country at the qualifying stage which I was expecting Spain to win, the odd for Spain was 1.06 and I remembered very well, I took Spain to win, the match later was draw, I lost the match. Taking small odds makes many people to think it is the best way until they become addicted because small odds makes gamblers to gamble more as they want to turn it big, resulting to loss. On friendly matches, I do not go for straight win, because if you choose the underdog, that does not still mean the big team might not win too.

Saint-loup

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Quote from: 7788bitcoin on August 01, 2021, 07:46:05 PM

Quote from: Yamifoud on August 01, 2021, 05:51:12 PM

Most of you are concern about the favorite team not playing their best, if that's what you see then it's not hard to predict the winner of the game. What really happened here is that we are a sure bettor on the favorites, so we think they will win and we are disappointed if they will not play their best. In gambling, betting with your heart would never result to profit, always look for an opportunity or the value to win in every bet.

This is not a concern but a fact that you cannot trust and wage a bet on friendly matches, just take a look at all the friendly matches that are played this year and look at the scorecard and i can bet that you will find many upsets that you will not imagine if they are playing with the best team possible and i lost a lot of money in the past wagging for friendly matches and now i will never make that mistake.

If you have lost a lot of money it means you had a bad bankroll management. Because if you know there is a big uncertainty in the outcome of the event, you shouldn't bet on small odds. Thus in those situations you should only bet on the underdogs, if you want to bet something. Because if you bet on the favorites with odds smaller than their real chances of winning you will wipe out your bankroll in the long run and even in the medium term.

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Quote from: Yamifoud on August 01, 2021, 05:51:12 PM

Most of you are concern about the favorite team not playing their best, if that's what you see then it's not hard to predict the winner of the game. What really happened here is that we are a sure bettor on the favorites, so we think they will win and we are disappointed if they will not play their best. In gambling, betting with your heart would never result to profit, always look for an opportunity or the value to win in every bet.

This is not a concern but a fact that you cannot trust and wage a bet on friendly matches, just take a look at all the friendly matches that are played this year and look at the scorecard and i can bet that you will find many upsets that you will not imagine if they are playing with the best team possible and i lost a lot of money in the past wagging for friendly matches and now i will never make that mistake.

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Quote from: Fredomago on August 01, 2021, 01:29:19 PM

Quote from: CryptocurencyKing on August 01, 2021, 08:44:33 AM

Quote from: KTChampions on August 01, 2021, 07:50:46 AM

I avoid betting on friendly matches, but still the fact that any team can beat any team can be assessed not only as a disadvantage, but also as an advantage, when the underdog wins the odds are usually high.

Exactly! I become so skeptical when it comes tonplacing a bet on friendlies that actual league games or competitions. They both come with a completely different vibe and energy. You can't exactly tell which team is bound to emerge victorious even with a pairing of an unequal strength as per quality of players and the league from which the team hails from.
I rarely bet on frienndlies too, especially when it comes to the win market. The goal market has been to some extent more favourable to me. One way that i actually use to make my predictions is, by looking at the teams line ups. Seeing many of the first team players on the bench especially those handling key roles simply means, there isn't anything serious in the fixture and vice versa.

Hard to predict unlike with real games where all the stats are important, with friendly games those good players even they are in the game can just run and enjoy without any pressures.

They are just competing with time and not really with the opponents that they are playing with, and same logic applies when betting.

Make sure to bet for fun and not to chased whoever be the winner Grin

it will lessen the stress if you lose your pick.

Most of you are concern about the favorite team not playing their best, if that's what you see then it's not hard to predict the winner of the game. What really happened here is that we are a sure bettor on the favorites, so we think they will win and we are disappointed if they will not play their best. In gambling, betting with your heart would never result to profit, always look for an opportunity or the value to win in every bet.

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Quote from: CryptocurencyKing on August 01, 2021, 08:44:33 AM

Quote from: KTChampions on August 01, 2021, 07:50:46 AM

I avoid betting on friendly matches, but still the fact that any team can beat any team can be assessed not only as a disadvantage, but also as an advantage, when the underdog wins the odds are usually high.

Exactly! I become so skeptical when it comes tonplacing a bet on friendlies that actual league games or competitions. They both come with a completely different vibe and energy. You can't exactly tell which team is bound to emerge victorious even with a pairing of an unequal strength as per quality of players and the league from which the team hails from.
I rarely bet on frienndlies too, especially when it comes to the win market. The goal market has been to some extent more favourable to me. One way that i actually use to make my predictions is, by looking at the teams line ups. Seeing many of the first team players on the bench especially those handling key roles simply means, there isn't anything serious in the fixture and vice versa.

Hard to predict unlike with real games where all the stats are important, with friendly games those good players even they are in the game can just run and enjoy without any pressures.

They are just competing with time and not really with the opponents that they are playing with, and same logic applies when betting.

Make sure to bet for fun and not to chased whoever be the winner Grin

it will lessen the stress if you lose your pick.

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Quote from: KTChampions on August 01, 2021, 07:50:46 AM

I avoid betting on friendly matches, but still the fact that any team can beat any team can be assessed not only as a disadvantage, but also as an advantage, when the underdog wins the odds are usually high.

Exactly! I become so skeptical when it comes tonplacing a bet on friendlies that actual league games or competitions. They both come with a completely different vibe and energy. You can't exactly tell which team is bound to emerge victorious even with a pairing of an unequal strength as per quality of players and the league from which the team hails from.
I rarely bet on frienndlies too, especially when it comes to the win market. The goal market has been to some extent more favourable to me. One way that i actually use to make my predictions is, by looking at the teams line ups. Seeing many of the first team players on the bench especially those handling key roles simply means, there isn't anything serious in the fixture and vice versa.

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Quote from: SquallLeonhart on July 27, 2021, 02:18:22 PM

I always say the same thing for the all-star games on NBA as well, it is just mute point and nobody really cares about winning so when you are betting on it, you are not betting on who is better or who is worse, you are betting on who will have more fun basically. I seriously do not think that we should be betting on friendlies neither, sportsbooks could be offering that as an option to you but you do not have to take it, you could just wait.

I understand that during the off-season it becomes harder to not gamble on anything and waiting for the regular season to start, and yes that is a bit hard but at the same time we are talking about something that is very risky to wager instead of no wager, if you are not addicted to gambling then maybe you should try to stay away from those games. Any team could beat any team in friendlies and that is a risk I rather not take.

All-star matches have nothing to do with friendlies - they are pure show, while friendlies have at least some kind of sporting overtones. I avoid betting on friendly matches, but still the fact that any team can beat any team can be assessed not only as a disadvantage, but also as an advantage, when the underdog wins the odds are usually high.

Topic: Gambling on friendly matches - page 3. (Read 2093 times)