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Topic: Gambling on friendly matches - page 9. (Read 2093 times)

legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1422
July 20, 2021, 11:09:16 AM
#77
Guys what's the point on betting real money of friendly matches that have nothing at stake? If you gamble away your money on those games you better go buy some scratch cards...
Or you probably have better chances if you buy a lottery ticket. Don't waste your money that way, there are plenty of games and sports to fulfill your betting desire!
sr. member
Activity: 2268
Merit: 275
July 20, 2021, 11:03:50 AM
#76
Probably just luck, imo.

You have to realise that the methods that bookies use to price risk as well as all other players in the market is probably a lot more sophisticated than you. Even if your matches are indeed more likely to go over on the over/under, it's going to be futile if the odds that you get are atrocious.

It's very hard to find true market inefficiencies, and they disappear very quickly.
More like coincidence if you ask me because there's no such thing as luck, it's all just a big chain of events that we were just in the right time and place and all of it can be explained by statistics and numbers.

Do quantitative statistics show the accuracy of factual data circulating in the field?
Not really !! could lead to data manipulation. Then how to find the accuracy? well the qualitative method will show a much more tangible risk, it's just that it's difficult to do and as you said we prefer to look at the data that is already presented.
Bookies often use this method and cheat small bettors. Betting money on friendly games, just a less stressful bet.
full member
Activity: 868
Merit: 150
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July 20, 2021, 04:22:00 AM
#75
I even remember a strong player who supposed to contribute towards his team's win, has intentionally played lethargically and lost. Later he was given penalty for assisting the gambler who bet on his team loose the match. Money is the ultimate addiction here for players and gamblers. Both at times work together on a large scale behind the scene.
That's throwing the game and that player was handsomely paid a large amount of money to throw the game and I think that it's not a common thing to happen so there's an unlikely thing that all friendly matches have this kind of fiasco.
full member
Activity: 1638
Merit: 122
July 20, 2021, 04:16:34 AM
#74
Gambling on friendly matches is one of the hardest to gamble on,haVing tried on several occasions as well very risky,you could bet on over 1.5 as the total goals in a game and you'll end up getting a single goal at the match...they try to turn out well at times,but 80% of friendlies have gambled didn't turn out well.

It also has a bigger risk since it's too unpredictable but I still find it entertaining since they do not put too much pressure despite having the eagerness to win the match. There's still a competition but I usually have better hopes for the underdog to win. I have watched this type of match several times already and there isn't too much tension for both parties while playing.
this is the most important thing in gambling and that is to get entertained .
we can treat the bets that we placed as a talent fee for the players because they made us entertained  . never tried to bet on this kind of gameplay but if i do i think i will also do the same like you , i will also bet on underdogs .
 underdogs will always have that passion to win and they may not show it but their opponent is too confident enough that they play carelessly.
sr. member
Activity: 1274
Merit: 293
July 20, 2021, 03:55:34 AM
#73
Probably just luck, imo.

You have to realise that the methods that bookies use to price risk as well as all other players in the market is probably a lot more sophisticated than you. Even if your matches are indeed more likely to go over on the over/under, it's going to be futile if the odds that you get are atrocious.

It's very hard to find true market inefficiencies, and they disappear very quickly.
More like coincidence if you ask me because there's no such thing as luck, it's all just a big chain of events that we were just in the right time and place and all of it can be explained by statistics and numbers.
legendary
Activity: 2464
Merit: 1943
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 20, 2021, 02:53:40 AM
#72
Probably just luck, imo.

You have to realise that the methods that bookies use to price risk as well as all other players in the market is probably a lot more sophisticated than you. Even if your matches are indeed more likely to go over on the over/under, it's going to be futile if the odds that you get are atrocious.

It's very hard to find true market inefficiencies, and they disappear very quickly.

In fact, not everything is so easy for bookmakers. Due to the fact that they start accepting bets long before the event, an imbalance between the odds and real odds occurs quite often, but bookmakers change odds very rarely and by a very insignificant amount, because if they change them greatly, then for many players there will be an opportunity to make a counter bet and thus guaranteed be in the black.
hero member
Activity: 1666
Merit: 753
July 19, 2021, 11:33:32 PM
#71
Probably just luck, imo.

You have to realise that the methods that bookies use to price risk as well as all other players in the market is probably a lot more sophisticated than you. Even if your matches are indeed more likely to go over on the over/under, it's going to be futile if the odds that you get are atrocious.

It's very hard to find true market inefficiencies, and they disappear very quickly.
sr. member
Activity: 2366
Merit: 366
July 19, 2021, 10:35:37 PM
#70
There is a higher chance for a stronger team to lose to a weaker team in a friendly match than in a regular one.

That's the thing I always consider when betting on a friendly match, even if the other team is a heavy underdog, there's still a chance that they can upset the heavy favorites and that is good for us underdog bettors as we can get a good odds which means big wins. If we look at some posts on the exhibition matches of the USA where they lose the game, you can think that the opposing team has very attractive odds since the USA is always the top favorite to win in any game.

That's really the thing that I consider in friendly matches. That is why I tend to avoid betting on them. But if you are thinking of the high odds not so risky as it may seem because it is just a friendly game, it might turn out profitable.

The USA vs Nigeria basketball game for example gives us a result which was unexpected. But if it were not a friendly game or just an exhibition match, I guess USA would have played much much better and definitely won.
sr. member
Activity: 2366
Merit: 305
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July 19, 2021, 01:50:26 PM
#69
It depends on friendly matches. There are friendly matches among two teams or players. But what about friendly matches between a boxer or a vlogger for example? If there is a friendly match between two soccer or basketball teams, I might not gamble at all. You cannot make a very strict analysis on it because you can hardly take into consideration their statistics and performances. The match is friendly so there is not much at stake. But if it's a boxing match between a professional boxer and a social media influencer I might be attracted to bet on the boxer.
Friendly matches comprising of teams is much easier because you can easily see which one is going to win because you know whose side has the best player and who doesn't have one meaning that you can easily distinguish which one is the best one to choose.

Again, it depends on the match. In a friendly match, I would assume that there is not much competition. There is no rank to chase, no championship to reach, etc. Moreover, losing does not mean one gets eliminated or losing the chance to reach the finals, or losing the belt, etc. This means that you could hardly expect players to give their all as if there is a lot at stake. A friendly match is one in which players would just play and enjoy. There is no sense of urgency to win.

There is a higher chance for a stronger team to lose to a weaker team in a friendly match than in a regular one.

I even remember a strong player who supposed to contribute towards his team's win, has intentionally played lethargically and lost. Later he was given penalty for assisting the gambler who bet on his team loose the match. Money is the ultimate addiction here for players and gamblers. Both at times work together on a large scale behind the scene.
hero member
Activity: 2296
Merit: 953
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July 19, 2021, 12:05:41 PM
#68
Not only with these kind of friendly matches, this kind of odds can be seen with the matches in which one team is strong and the opponent is an average team. Mostly we can see this happen with the cricket matches and on tennis matches. During my early days of gambling I just look for the odds and used to place bets. In that manner I've won more matches.

Duh! Anyone can do this any games, friendly or not, cricket or not. Friendlies for me are quite difficult except for the team you actually follow properly and also for big teams that the news is forthcoming,,, like with Spurs you can even follow social media and find out the team setup and formation. Most important to know is whether or not the team is playing to win or playing to experiment.
full member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 126
July 19, 2021, 10:29:38 AM
#67
Gambling on friendly matches is one of the hardest to gamble on,haVing tried on several occasions as well very risky,you could bet on over 1.5 as the total goals in a game and you'll end up getting a single goal at the match...they try to turn out well at times,but 80% of friendlies have gambled didn't turn out well.

It also has a bigger risk since it's too unpredictable but I still find it entertaining since they do not put too much pressure despite having the eagerness to win the match. There's still a competition but I usually have better hopes for the underdog to win. I have watched this type of match several times already and there isn't too much tension for both parties while playing.
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1160
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July 19, 2021, 10:24:06 AM
#66
There is a higher chance for a stronger team to lose to a weaker team in a friendly match than in a regular one.

That's the thing I always consider when betting on a friendly match, even if the other team is a heavy underdog, there's still a chance that they can upset the heavy favorites and that is good for us underdog bettors as we can get a good odds which means big wins. If we look at some posts on the exhibition matches of the USA where they lose the game, you can think that the opposing team has very attractive odds since the USA is always the top favorite to win in any game.
sr. member
Activity: 2366
Merit: 366
July 19, 2021, 09:59:18 AM
#65
It depends on friendly matches. There are friendly matches among two teams or players. But what about friendly matches between a boxer or a vlogger for example? If there is a friendly match between two soccer or basketball teams, I might not gamble at all. You cannot make a very strict analysis on it because you can hardly take into consideration their statistics and performances. The match is friendly so there is not much at stake. But if it's a boxing match between a professional boxer and a social media influencer I might be attracted to bet on the boxer.
Friendly matches comprising of teams is much easier because you can easily see which one is going to win because you know whose side has the best player and who doesn't have one meaning that you can easily distinguish which one is the best one to choose.

Again, it depends on the match. In a friendly match, I would assume that there is not much competition. There is no rank to chase, no championship to reach, etc. Moreover, losing does not mean one gets eliminated or losing the chance to reach the finals, or losing the belt, etc. This means that you could hardly expect players to give their all as if there is a lot at stake. A friendly match is one in which players would just play and enjoy. There is no sense of urgency to win.

There is a higher chance for a stronger team to lose to a weaker team in a friendly match than in a regular one.
legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1873
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 19, 2021, 09:25:02 AM
#64
Nor do I usually bet on friendly matches, because in most cases the starting players do not go, the substitutes go, and obviously the substitutes do not give the same performance as the starter.

In the soccer matches of the South American teams they usually play with the same intensity, some if all the starting players are taken, but there are times that the players who are in the teams of International Clubs such as those of the Spanish or Italian League, do not they give permission for not being a decisive match for their nation and that detracts from emotion and sometimes importance, despite the fact that many of the friendlies help them connect as a team.
hero member
Activity: 2926
Merit: 636
July 19, 2021, 09:15:42 AM
#63
Exhibition matches and friendly games, I think they are the same, and honestly, I don't bet on this kind of game as it's hard to predict who will win, if I have to bet, I would go with the underdog as the favorites will not put everything they have because they'll want to avoid injuries.

I'm a fan of basketball, NBA All-Star is one of my favorites to watch but I don't consistently bet on this game as this event is just for fun.
hero member
Activity: 2716
Merit: 552
July 19, 2021, 09:12:39 AM
#62
I don't usually bet on friendly games for the reason that the better team might not play on full potential so the underdog could win, it's nice if it will be like that all the time as you can easily predict the winner, but sometimes the better team also plays hard so it's hard to guess using the statistics and past games results.

Exactly, aside from being unpredictable, it is prone to match fixing and betting manipulations, Especially when there's a good amount of bettors to a specific club.
Key players are always allowed not to play even without anything valid for a reason because the game is unofficial, so the officials could mess around with the bet. 
Though suspicious friendly matches may occur not very often, but I guess it's safe to bet to an official game, at least you're a bit comfortable betting to your favourite club.
sr. member
Activity: 2268
Merit: 275
July 19, 2021, 08:28:16 AM
#61

Not really that much interested on betting with friendly matches yet i cant really feel up the thrill at least and also you can really say that showing off their true potential or skills
wont really be that possible but who knows about showing off on whose better.

For me i wont really be seeing this to be interesting but if odds would be considerable then i might really put up some try but if not then i do just simply ignore it.

We can compare the thrill between friendly matches and real tourney ones.

In other words, we can still watch this as a form of representation to review the strengths of both parties. Betting too seriously does not provide great satisfaction for friendly matches. We definitely want to have a more intense adrenaline rush where betting on star players is the key if you want to bet on friendly games. Again not a good idea. Let's visit a gambling site that is more challenging for you to bet bigger.
hero member
Activity: 2352
Merit: 594
July 19, 2021, 08:07:33 AM
#60
I don't usually bet on friendly games for the reason that the better team might not play on full potential so the underdog could win, it's nice if it will be like that all the time as you can easily predict the winner, but sometimes the better team also plays hard so it's hard to guess using the statistics and past games results.

Agree sort of you will really know who will win somewhat it is not very competitive to watch. Friendly matches is good to watch but not to be because you cant see the effort of the players out of it. Those competitions on getting at the top is really the best to bet, we have our own analysis about the team and it is unpredictable . I think i mostly see this friendly game about pros vs the celebrities or something like that and i think fans is only enjoying it but imagine pros vs celeb? what kind of game is that.
legendary
Activity: 2996
Merit: 1054
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
July 19, 2021, 08:00:11 AM
#59

What do you think about staking on over 1.5 and over 2.5 on international friendlies (both country and club friendlies)? Or do you prefer to go for straight win or draw?

I've never bet on friendly matches because I don't pay much attention to matches like that, for football I have positive results on bets choose over 1.5 or BTTS compared 1 X 2.
But often bettors will also take into the odds of the available options.

If you know what types of teams are playing against each other, better to this kind of odds is much better.
Just like how OP describe his point, he's making good amount of profits by placing his bet over 1.5 or 2.5

It's tough to predict what the outcome of certain games that we will going to bet, either friendly or regular games the fact that you
need to have good knowledge is very important.

You'll have to assess and go with how you understand and how your instinct and observation guided you to place your bet.

hero member
Activity: 3164
Merit: 660
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July 19, 2021, 07:28:52 AM
#58
I don't usually bet on friendly games for the reason that the better team might not play on full potential so the underdog could win, it's nice if it will be like that all the time as you can easily predict the winner, but sometimes the better team also plays hard so it's hard to guess using the statistics and past games results.
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