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Topic: Gap Observer mtgox / bitstamp / btc-e / campbx - page 2. (Read 8589 times)

legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1006
100 satoshis -> ISO code
@Its About Sharing your obligation of being US citizen apply world wide not just if u are in US

The problem is FATCA. This describes the situation...
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-08-09/americans-giving-up-passports-jump-sixfold-as-tougher-rules-loom.html
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
@Its About Sharing your obligation of being US citizen apply world wide not just if u are in US
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
Any explanation for the high EUR price at bitcoin.de? It's only a couple of euros below Gox's EUR price, while Gox's EUR price seems to reflect EUR/USD exchange rate and GoxUSD price. Isn't there an arbitrage opportunity between bitcoin.de and Bitstamp? Buy at Bitstamp, sell at btcde, rinse, repeat? Of course the depth at btcDE is not that great, but still?

They no longer allow americans on their exchange (if you have a US address, your trading is restricted).

They no longer allow non-german EU residents to trade over 2500 EUR per calendar year (because after 2500 EUR they have to fully verify you and they can only do this currently in germany).

As such there's alot less of the volume sellers who normally buy on different exchanges just to resell on bitcoin.de, but still lots of small volume buyers who are driving the price up (because they aren't effected by the inability to transact over 2500 EUR a year).

I would imagine the volume on bitcoin.de is significantly down as well since the Fidor bank announcement.

Yes, I emailed them about the American thing. I have had an account for a while now and once I updated things and said I was a US Citizen, things were suspended. I emailed them and asked about when they would allow me to trade again. They said maybe in 2 weeks. But I noticed the caps on trades. I don't get it. I have a residency permit in Germany, so I don't want bad treatment regarding this.

I would pay the premium price there (Gox like) as I trust the German banks more than the Slovanian (Bitstamp) banks.

Well, it looks like bitcoin.de might have just cut off their nose to spite their face and they are going to have to adjust their policy as they won't generate enough money.  Wink
hero member
Activity: 882
Merit: 501
Ching-Chang;Ding-Dong
Any explanation for the high EUR price at bitcoin.de? It's only a couple of euros below Gox's EUR price, while Gox's EUR price seems to reflect EUR/USD exchange rate and GoxUSD price. Isn't there an arbitrage opportunity between bitcoin.de and Bitstamp? Buy at Bitstamp, sell at btcde, rinse, repeat? Of course the depth at btcDE is not that great, but still?

They no longer allow americans on their exchange (if you have a US address, your trading is restricted).

They no longer allow non-german EU residents to trade over 2500 EUR per calendar year (because after 2500 EUR they have to fully verify you and they can only do this currently in germany).

As such there's alot less of the volume sellers who normally buy on different exchanges just to resell on bitcoin.de, but still lots of small volume buyers who are driving the price up (because they aren't effected by the inability to transact over 2500 EUR a year).

I would imagine the volume on bitcoin.de is significantly down as well since the Fidor bank announcement.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
Any explanation for the high EUR price at bitcoin.de? It's only a couple of euros below Gox's EUR price, while Gox's EUR price seems to reflect EUR/USD exchange rate and GoxUSD price. Isn't there an arbitrage opportunity between bitcoin.de and Bitstamp? Buy at Bitstamp, sell at btcde, rinse, repeat? Of course the depth at btcDE is not that great, but still?

As long as their new bank is not tied into trading, it still takes 2-3 days for a bank transfer to clear (and for you to buy/sell coins).
(IF you didn't know, right now trades are account to account, so you have to wait for funds to clear.)

Also, the volume there is quite low, relatively. But, there is an opportunity, it is just that your money is tied up for 3 days or so at Bitcoin.de, then you need another 3 days or so to get it back to Stamp.
So, you are talking a week for 10%, which is doable, but you might miss a move.
Gox has the volume and seems like the best place to trade, if you are good.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
Trading on btc-e has been depressing lately. Nobody wants to get in at 95... I get the feeling this will last till either gox & bitstamp break the previous resistance or it doesn't even get that far and it plummets right after the top without the chance to unload.
hero member
Activity: 501
Merit: 500
Any explanation for the high EUR price at bitcoin.de? It's only a couple of euros below Gox's EUR price, while Gox's EUR price seems to reflect EUR/USD exchange rate and GoxUSD price. Isn't there an arbitrage opportunity between bitcoin.de and Bitstamp? Buy at Bitstamp, sell at btcde, rinse, repeat? Of course the depth at btcDE is not that great, but still?
sr. member
Activity: 354
Merit: 250
So I've shifted from 100% MtGox to about 50% physical, 45% wallet, 5% gox.

It shocks someone like me that anyone would store any large percentage of their Bitcoin holdings with a 3rd party, especially looking at the short history of Bitcoin.

+1

Bitfloor just paid me back yesterday, and luckily, I was able to withdrawal as soon as news hit about bitcoin24 and did not loose any money. I try to never keep more than a few BTC in a trading site.
hero member
Activity: 625
Merit: 501
x
When I got in, they were at $5, so the net risk didn't really justify diversifying.
As value went up, I adjusted a little.
As Mt. Gox's reliability (subjectively speaking of course) decreased, I adjusted a lot.

Eyes wide open, money in an exchange is at increased risk of loss. That risk is part of the equation one accepts when trading.
hero member
Activity: 625
Merit: 501
x
I'm still long Bitcoin, just not MtGox.

So I've shifted from 100% MtGox to about 50% physical, 45% wallet, 5% gox.

Not sure what percentage of gox-withdrawers are like me, but this could account for decreased volume without depressed prices.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
I just initiated today another euro deposit to Bitstamp, I just hope to catch the next valley with it.

read this because some users did have some problems
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bitstamp-sepa-account-no-transfer-countriesbanks-list-upd-2014-10-14-270716
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
BTC from Fort Gox have been dumped on other exchanges, but not enough to explain the missing BTC on Gox.

This (mini?) rally came too soon for me, I just initiated today another euro deposit to Bitstamp, I just hope to catch the next valley with it.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
sr. member
Activity: 826
Merit: 250
CryptoTalk.Org - Get Paid for every Post!
The gap makes sense;

The Gox price is artificially high because they cannot process withdrawals in a timely manner (up to 3 months in many cases).

As many people need funds that are in their account or are afraid the cumulative effect of slow withdrawals and many other problems Gox have had recently could spell the end for Gox, they are forced to transfer their Fiat into Bitcoin creating + rise in value on the exchange. The opposite effect (- effect) happens on all other exchange as the coins flow into them for sale.

There's no money to be made from arbitrage the prices aren't random on each exchange it's just a reflection of the above. If you monitor the difference in price between say btc-e and bitstamp there's a pretty consistent $1 diff or 1/88= 1%.

The 1% difference on these exchanges possibly reflects the higher cost (1%) of depositing money onto Btc-e

Gox customer service is worryingly don't give a fuckish with a bit of sarcastic "Dear valued customer" thrown in for spitish reasons (possibly staff know they're soon to be unemployed and don't like taking shit from pricks like me!!). I really wouldn't risk your money trying to Arb from exchanges to Gox you stand to make 5-10% as a one off if they don't go out of business and they get their problems sorted. I'd say there's a 25% if you're going to leave money there over the next 3 months you could lose it all.

I think people have the situation backwards.  The BTC purchases on Gox are clearly not being dumped on other exchanges as that would have caused prices to plummet on these small exchanges which they are not.  So I think thouse holding USD on Gox are not particularly trying to flee Gox, they still on average wish to convert USD to BTC just like they always have.  

The rise in price is being driven on Gox is driven by BTC miners not offering a supply of new coins to Gox, as the miner rightly concludes if they can not get the resulting USD in 3 months anyways, why not just wait until then to sell when the price might be higher.  This is why we have seen a drop in the BTC depth on Gox decline by about half the volume of the large purchasing spikes.  I believe after a whale buys a large sum of coins he stimulates smaller day trader to do about an equal volume of rapid back and forth trading, all the coins of which are just being re offered at new prices, so total depth is unaffected by these trades, but volume is increased.
sr. member
Activity: 379
Merit: 250
10 BTC arbitrage Volume


100 BTC arbitrage volume


1000 BTC arbitrage volume


10000 BTC arbitrage volume


visit http://bitcoin-analytics.com/#arbitrage
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
From the look of the spread out Askwall on btc-e I think we will have a new high today.

We really need a graph btw.
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
Q: Why would you sell on Bitstamp when Mt. Gox is 10% higher, and has just moved up 5% without Bitstamp moving?

A:
1. You don't really like money all that much
2. Once a bear, always a bear
3. Manipulation
4. Retardation
Why would you sell at Mt. Gox, at any price, when withdraws do not work?

1. you're delusional
2. you're stupid
3. you like to have a fake balance that you can't really use
4. you are a gambler (and hope your withdrawal will go through)

(hint: there are better places to gamble, with a much smaller house edge)
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
HODL OR DIE


Can you give me the url for this? Also cavirtex with 10k up to $92 with gox at $100.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1000
chaos is fun...…damental :)
Yeh.. But what happens when you never receive the Gox payment?
ppl got fiat back from bitcoin24 and bitfloor, that's the advantage when you deal with fiat it can be reverted and it leaves more traces than blood 

Bitcoin24 some, but most, probably 80%, not yet and largest account is still frozen. Chances are high it will be returned but until then, it's not.
if the money is there, it can take more time and more paper work, users will get the money, this is the advantage that fiat have
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