Pederborn started the season well. But they lost the truck. And I forget the last time I saw this team win. Pederborn has lost consecutively in the last four matches. Although Pederborn will face Karlsruher team in the next match, I am not sure if Pederborn will win this match. Their team performance is very poor. Karlsruher is not a strong team. If Pederborn can perform a bit better then maybe after a long time we will see a Pederborn team win.
Both your analysis is really good. But I will not bet the first games yet. After the long break many clubs will still have difficulties finding their rhythm again. There will probably be a lot of goals, just like in Bundesliga 1. Only after 3 match days most clubs have their rhythm again and then we will see how the table looks. In any case I am happy that Bundesliga 2 starts again.