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Now we just check who got into this season's Champions League based on the results of last season: Bayern, Bayer, Leipzig, Dortmund, Stuttgart. Similarly, Italy has 5 participating teams.
It is believed that at the end of this season, England will most likely enter the top 2 and receive an additional ticket, but for the remaining spot, in my opinion, Germany will be able to compete with Italy.
Theoretically, one country can have 7 teams in the group stage of the Champions League. To do this, you need to be in the top 2 in the rating + clubs from this country must win the Champions League and the Europa League, but finish below 5th place in the national championship.
Yes right, that was the part I did obviously miss when I skimmed the article. Ok then you are right, thanks for pointing that out. I thought it was an exception in 2024-25 based on this UEFA coefficient and that weaker leagues will get two more playoff spots.
Well then back to our discussion whether Borussia Dortmund can make the cut, yes, that changes a lot. I know it is only one spot, but it does change the situation significantly. I don't see Borussia Dortmund in the top 4 right now. But rank 5 is quite possible. But my honest opinion is that even rank 5 won't be easy for them. There could always be a consistent surprise team like Freiburg or Union Berlin and there is still Stuttgart being only 3 points behind, but out of shape at the moment.
Here's what the bookmakers think about the fight for the top 4:
Bayern - 1.0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen - 1.07
Rb Leipzig - 1.25
Borussia Dortmund - 2.10
Eintracht Frankfurt - 2.75
Vfb Stuttgart - 2.87
Sport-Club Freiburg - 6.50
The first 3 positions can be removed + Freiburg too (we will transfer its chances to Leipzig for simplicity) and then we will get odds resembling odds of the type x1 - draw - x2. Dortmund are the favorites and their chances are approximately equal to the total chances of the two remaining teams. If we add the 5th ticket, then Dortmund's chances will similarly turn into a Double Chance and in numbers it will be 1.35-1.40. The question is whether the Bundesliga will have a 5th ticket or not.