They exchange function for confidence, the real for the prettier illusion.
I suppose it is a risk... If you are running such a really long con, even your successors might fall for it.
100 years is such a long time that anyone working at a CB has to believe that they are following tried and tested principles.
What saved the long con for so long was the 20th century population boom and technological revolutions.
Those two factors created wealth at a faster rate than the central banks could destroy it. So much so, that it wasn't apparent to anyone that the central banks were destroying wealth at all.
That no longer appears to be the case.
I like this view.
Its pretty accurate. In the last decade though, they have been getting pretty greedy. The TARP bailout sort of broke the model harshly in their favor.
The age old model is that when the banks get out of control, a few fail (or a few hundred) and it resets as the survivors scoop up the remains. Now with the use of state power, they have taxpayer funded bailouts, bail-ins and all sorts of new ways to destroy wealth.
The war on cash includes most of the AML powers along with it. When the reporting requirement of US$10K was enacted in the 70's it was quite a chunk of cash. Now with a bit of inflation mixed in, it is not an uncommon monthly pay for folks in large US cities. But that isn't happening fast enough, so banks must keep a record of transactions as small as US$1K cash and report on as small as US$2K transactions.
http://www.fincen.gov/financial_institutions/msb/materials/en/bank_reference.htmlCurrency Exchanges of More Than $1,000
Currency exchangers must keep a record of each exchange totaling more than $1,000 in either domestic or foreign currency.
How to record a currency exchange:
1. Record customer information.
2. Record transaction information.
3. Keep the record for 5 years from the date of transaction.
Suspicious Activity Reporting Requirements
Certain money services businesses – businesses that provide money transfers or currency dealing or exchange; or businesses that issue, sell, or redeem money orders or traveler’s checks – must report suspicious activity involving any transaction or pattern of transactions at or above a certain amount:
$2,000 or more;
$5,000 or more for issuers reviewing clearance records.
You have 30 calendar days to file a SAR after becoming aware of any suspicious transaction that is required to be reported.