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Topic: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. - page 362. (Read 2032266 times)

legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1002
May 11, 2015, 09:05:09 PM
you wouldnt have to convince an older generation to hold bitcoin, if those twins actually passed their ETF or whatever.

it`ll look like any other traditional symbol on the stock market, so they would consider it as .dot com history on what they observed back then.
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
May 11, 2015, 08:30:07 PM
I have one question for goldbugs. Have you ever tested your theory that there will always be a physical blackmarket? I mean have ever really tried to sell some of your gold not at a dealer.

France has already cracked down on gold, cash, and crypto. Eventually the governments can force all the dealers to report all transactions and expropriate there.

So where do you sell your gold?

And if we are in a severe economic collapse meaning most of the people are suffering economically, selling some gold to someone who is not an established dealer will risk:

1. It is a setup to mug you.
2. It is a government sting to entrap you.
3. Gossip spreads you have gold and marks you as a man/household to mug frequently.

Fantasizing about barter is loony. The youth will grab crypto and their smartphone before contemplating inefficient barter. Currency is a convenience (over barter). People only move to barter if there is no other choice. Ferfal confirms this from experience in Argentina's collapse.

The powers that be are going to leave Bitcoin pretty much open to nefarious activities until it is already adopted as the alternative to barter during this era of financial repression. Once it is too well established as the only crypto that is widely accepted by merchants, then they can start to use the public ledger to expropriate without fear that we nerds can leave en masse. At that point they can close the loopholes we currently use to obtain anonymity on Bitcoin, such as eliminating all unregistered connections to the internet, e.g. no more unregistered WiFi connections and no more unregistered 3G USB dongles. I have been observing the moves they are making to eliminate these options. For example here in the Philippines where we do have unregistered 3G USB dongles, there is a proposed law to make that illegal and also one of the 3 telcom networks (Globe) recently stopped selling simcards with a preset #. Now you have to registered the sim to get a # (so far the registration is over the wire and no name required yet I see this as preparatory step).

If we are going to develop an alternative to Bitcoin which can be anonymous in spite of anything the authorities can do, then we need to do it now because we have to build use value in that coin before it is too late to.

Monero has onchain mixing which is one aspect of anonymity we need. But it doesn't have IP obfuscation and I assert Tor/I2P are compromised because they are low-latency designs, limited number of onion layer hops, and because they have exit nodes (and some other reasons especially around hidden services). The authorities were able to unmask 100s of Tor hidden services. So once the authorities close the loopholes I mentioned above, then we no longer have a way to propagate data anonymously. This must be fixed pronto. Tor needs to be replaced with something that is more suited to the absolute anonymity we need. All crypto-coins will benefit. Also I relayed to smooth and others that I am concerned about  combinatorial attack on the ring sigs in Monero, because the mixing is not adequately structured. I have not followed all issues since relaying that, so I can't make any definitive statement now (perhaps I raise a non-issue and I have no desire to propagate FUD against Monero so pleeeassseee), but I will dig back into that aspect eventually.

Also afaics (correct me if I am wrong) Monero's primary use case at this time is (as always speculation in an altcoin and) as a decentralized mixer and then back to Bitcoin again. I don't think it has any widespread adoption as a currency.

If we are going to get any use as currency for an altcoin that is not Bitcoin, then it needs to have a compelling currency use case that Bitcoin can't do. I have an idea. I already wrote about it publicly on this forum under one of my other user names. I am not going to mention it again, because I might be moving into implementation mode and I'd prefer it to be somewhat dubious (plausible deniability) as to what if any thing I was a developer on.

I am interested to consider the tradeoffs of working with Monero but afaik their business model was not to retain any coins to incentivize developers. Their business model appears to me be Communist. They wanted in their marketing to state that it is the most fair coin because there is no premine nor any ongoing minting to pay developers. So I assume the devs either bought the coin out of their own savings (and suffered for it so far) or they had the early dibs on mining (for example I've read that the guy who optimized the PoW hash code apparently netted himself $100,000 due to having an advantage on mining for a short period of time?). How does someone work with Monero and earn a good ROI?

I'd prefer to be upfront and transparent about the funding of the creators and ongoing development, than leave people wondering. I understand there is an unofficial Monero foundation of sorts formed where donations could be aggregated and parceled out for funding development, marketing, etc.. Who wants to be at the mercy of donations? Not me. That is politics, ripe for corruption, political cat fighting, the need to compromise leadership to least common denominator of groupthink, etc..
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
Gresham's Lawyer
May 11, 2015, 06:50:08 PM
Gold is tangible asset. Hard to convince older generation to hold bitcoin.

its impossible  Huh

I resemble that remark.  But then I was convinced long before you'd even heard of it.
sr. member
Activity: 346
Merit: 250
May 11, 2015, 05:14:52 PM
Russian Finance Minister:

Mr. Putin, the Americans have a cryptocurrency expert advising the White House.  

Vladimir Putin:

Is this significant?

Russian Finance Minister:

I'm not sure.  The Ministry's initial research suggested this new currency "bitcoin" was a passing fad--just a harmless toy.  We're no longer convinced that's the case.

Vladimir Putin:

We need to learn more about this "bitcoin" and what might be the plans of the Americans...

Peter R, seriously don't you see that Putin vs. Obama is a scripted show for the masses to drool over. The global elite are pulling the strings, the same as they did with the Bolsheviks and then handing power to the oligarchs after the fall of the Communism they created. Some homework for you:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sah_Xni-gtg

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p5Ac7ap_MAY

The elite in every country are aligned with the current move towards a global Technocracy.

Being ignorant (Cypherdoc) of these facts doesn't impress me. Not any more than I would be impressed that someone doesn't know all the facts surrounding 9/11 such as the letter from the SEC to Martin Armstrong confirming that all the tapes he had recorded of the malfeasance of the banksters had been held of the WTC and destroyed. Climb down the rabbit hole and study the facts, not the diversionary bullshit about UFOs, etc..


Secret services everywhere. Putin is one of them, that is.. no secret. Same goes for Gavin tho.
In a world where banks and govs are now waging a war against cash and any other taxfree payment ledger for their QEs and extravagances are starting to thumble, would you reckon they'll leave Bitcoin be that easily? Nope, try again.. Why not just employ/fund/support them bitcoiners wackos lead dev and drive whats left of the whole libertarian technology down with US. Maybe they could catch a branch and enslave you for 50 more years before the final curtain too. But but 7BillionTM people wont use Bitcoin if we dont have infinite rainbow blocksize!  Cry

This is not a Technocracy, but a Secretocracy. Technology is just a tool. OTOH ignorance is bliss.

On a positive note: "The poor in spirit are blessed, for the kingdom of heaven is theirs." - Matthew 5:3


Time to go back to TV or sum neat Hollywood blockbuster folks, you are not helping here. #YOLO
hero member
Activity: 558
Merit: 500
May 11, 2015, 04:54:25 PM
Gold is tangible asset. Hard to convince older generation to hold bitcoin.

My Dad will be 86 in weeks and he holds some Bitcoin. Yes, I took care of the technical stuff, but he's enthusiastic about it and calls me up to tell me about what he read about it in the Times.  Cheesy
full member
Activity: 318
Merit: 100
May 11, 2015, 04:53:04 PM
Peter R, seriously don't you see that Putin vs. Obama is a scripted show for the masses to drool over.

I don't know what I think.  

But I'm just having fun here…we need a bitcoin movie!

Okay I understand. Blowing off steam and hacker humor. Apologies.

Edit: it is difficult to form a rational judgement on these matters. I agree. Lacking independently verifiable data. My conclusion is based on a holistic assessment, correlating much information, but it is possible I have a confirmation bias.

TPTB, you're my hero! Brothers, listen to this guy! Sisters, bare your breasts and bottoms to this guy!
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
May 11, 2015, 04:13:20 PM
Peter R, seriously don't you see that Putin vs. Obama is a scripted show for the masses to drool over.

I don't know what I think.  

But I'm just having fun here…we need a bitcoin movie!

Okay I understand. Blowing off steam and hacker humor. Apologies.

Edit: it is difficult to form a rational judgement on these matters. I agree. Lacking independently verifiable data. My conclusion is based on a holistic assessment, correlating much information, but it is possible I have a confirmation bias.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
May 11, 2015, 04:09:51 PM
Peter R, seriously don't you see that Putin vs. Obama is a scripted show for the masses to drool over.

I don't know what I think. 

But I'm just having fun here…we need a bitcoin movie!
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
May 11, 2015, 04:08:10 PM
Russian Finance Minister:

Mr. Putin, the Americans have a cryptocurrency expert advising the White House.  

Vladimir Putin:

Is this significant?

Russian Finance Minister:

I'm not sure.  The Ministry's initial research suggested this new currency "bitcoin" was a passing fad--just a harmless toy.  We're no longer convinced that's the case.

Vladimir Putin:

We need to learn more about this "bitcoin" and what might be the plans of the Americans...

Peter R, seriously don't you see that Putin vs. Obama is a scripted show for the masses to drool over. The global elite are pulling the strings, the same as they did with the Bolsheviks and then handing power to the oligarchs after the fall of the Communism they created. Some homework for you:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sah_Xni-gtg

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p5Ac7ap_MAY

The elite in every country are aligned with the current move towards a global Technocracy.

Being ignorant (Cypherdoc) of these facts doesn't impress me. Not any more than I would be impressed that someone doesn't know all the facts surrounding 9/11 such as the letter from the SEC to Martin Armstrong confirming that all the tapes he had recorded of the malfeasance of the banksters had been held of the WTC and destroyed. Climb down the rabbit hole and study the facts, not the diversionary bullshit about UFOs, etc..
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
May 11, 2015, 03:59:40 PM
you're a whack job.

I hope those readers who lamented that I (even if occasionally) exhibit technical acumen but lack couth, will now understand that rather I am an astute judge of personality and attitude.

Is a character assassination all you have as a retort? Any meritorious points?
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1007
May 11, 2015, 03:56:58 PM
Russian Finance Minister:

Mr. Putin, the Americans have a cryptocurrency expert advising the White House.  

Vladimir Putin:

Is this significant?

Russian Finance Minister:

I'm not sure.  The Ministry's initial research suggested this new currency "bitcoin" was a passing fad--just a harmless toy.  We're no longer convinced that's the case.

Vladimir Putin:

We need to learn more about this "bitcoin" and what might be the plans of the Americans...

full member
Activity: 280
Merit: 100
May 11, 2015, 03:43:25 PM
Gold is tangible asset. Hard to convince older generation to hold bitcoin.

its impossible  Huh
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
May 11, 2015, 03:31:27 PM
Felten:

"Mr. President, when it comes to my best assessment of Bitcoin, I'd say that within the next 5 yrs it's quite possible that ................"
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
legendary
Activity: 1153
Merit: 1000
May 11, 2015, 03:16:23 PM
Meni Rosenfeld does something similar to what you're suggesting in his "Analysis of hashrate-based double-spending" paper from December 2012.  I haven't looked into this paper in detail, but this table from Section 6 caught me eye.  It allows you to figure out how many confirmations you should wait depending on how large the transaction is in addition to the attacker's hash rate.



I'd be interested if you can think of ways to extend this work.


That is interesting, thanks. Will have to take a deeper look.

It seems the main remaining variable is what is the current average block reward. I assume this was calculated when rewards were 50BTC and these numbers probably will adjust for a 25BTC/block reward. Adding the average/expected block reward to the mix would enable one to determine how secure a confirmation chain is when block rewards are determined by variable fees & usage, and not a static inflation rate.

If anything, these numbers show that even if an attacker gets into the 30% range, 6 confirmations still secures a significant amount of value. It is only when an attacker approaches 50% that you need longer confirmation chains, but if a determined attacker has the resources to push 40%, they should be able to reach the fabled 50% where it doesn't matter anymore.

that's kind of a weird chart b/c it is denominated in BTC.  even Meni says so:

These values should be taken with a grain of salt, because of the many modeling assumptions made

"value" will vary greatly depending on whether 1BTC buys you a loaf of bread vs an island.

Denominating in BTC probably makes the most sense because: 1) Bitcoin is a closed system and 2) Mining will always tend towards a given equilibrium given the current $/BTC and the current BTCreward/block. To look at it another way, if 1BTC buys you an island you can be sure that there is a massive amount of mining power behind the network and any attacker trying to achieve 20% of the hash rate would need to spend proportionally just as much more effort to reach that 20%.
hero member
Activity: 722
Merit: 500
May 11, 2015, 03:15:05 PM
Could this be a hint at 21's real plan? Qualcomm's Neighborhood Small Cells.

Do the details matter? It's the smart grid whatever they call it.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
May 11, 2015, 03:08:54 PM
Could this be a hint at 21's real plan? Qualcomm's Neighborhood Small Cells.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
May 11, 2015, 02:59:18 PM
Felten:

"Mr. President, I would advise you to get alittle coin for you and the Mrs."
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
May 11, 2015, 02:51:48 PM

i posted earlier how the incentives in Bitcoin continue to screw up every major theory about mining cartels colluding to cheat.  yet, we continue to get them.  here's Ed Felten again:

ES-miners can’t agree to cheat, because it’s too easy for them to cheat on that agreement.

https://freedom-to-tinker.com/blog/felten/bitcoin-isnt-so-broken-after-all/

Speaking of Ed Felton, looks like he was just appointed by the White House as Deputy U.S. Chief Technology Officer:

https://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2015/05/11/white-house-names-dr-ed-felten-deputy-us-chief-technology-officer

Obama:

"give me the implications of performing a selfish mining attack on Monero".
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
May 11, 2015, 02:32:35 PM
Gold is tangible asset. Hard to convince older generation to hold bitcoin.

I think you may be underestimating "Hard" above, cypher being the exception, if he is a Boomer.

Anyway as life goes on wealth is inherited, and governments are probably statistical counting on it (inheritance taxes).

It's not the older generation who need convincing, but the younger ones who stand to loos as a result of malinvestment during the peek boomer years.

They are the one who will create demand with older generation wealth.  
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