Author

Topic: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. - page 884. (Read 2032266 times)

legendary
Activity: 1153
Merit: 1000
October 08, 2014, 01:00:01 AM

I love Bitcoin, but it seems they might love it even more than I do.  Wow.  

Edit: market cap potential of $75 trillion?  I think the S&P 500 passed $15 trillion last year, which would still put it at probably less than $17 trillion in cap. 

$4,291,060 per coin

and they call me bullish

 Grin Grin Grin Shocked


Heh. Yeah, weird when a price-per-bitcoin target in a research report about bitcoin-vs-gold gets people in *this* thread to say "uhhh....that's just too bullish". Myself included.

Wow, they're essentially saying if bitcoin became the future reserve monetary asset globally, replacing all currencies and all gold, then it's valuation would be the sum total of all gold and worldwide M2 monetary supply, which comes to $4.2M per coin.

Even _if_ this happens (and that's a big if because there will always be holdout countries and gold bugs who refuse to join the bandwagon), their $4.2 valuation still probably greatly overshoots for a variety of reasons. For example in a true sound money system that lacks CB bailouts the total M2-to-RealGDP ratio would probably be much lower than today due to lower leverage and significantly lower fractionalization by whatever banks exist then.
legendary
Activity: 961
Merit: 1000
October 08, 2014, 12:52:32 AM
Rickards latest:

Deflation. Everything down including gold because of strong USD (similar to what has been suggested in this thread)

Increase in USD was in part planned, to help struggling EUR, JPY; problem being that US economy not as strong as thought.

Dollar will fall Mar - Jun 2015 as people realise US recovery is not real.



It will be interesting to see if bitcoin can decouple from the downtrend while everything else continues down in the face of USD strength.



legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1004
October 08, 2014, 12:43:04 AM

I love Bitcoin, but it seems they might love it even more than I do.  Wow.  

Edit: market cap potential of $75 trillion?  I think the S&P 500 passed $15 trillion last year, which would still put it at probably less than $17 trillion in cap. 

$4,291,060 per coin

and they call me bullish

 Grin Grin Grin Shocked


Heh. Yeah, weird when a price-per-bitcoin target in a research report about bitcoin-vs-gold gets people in *this* thread to say "uhhh....that's just too bullish". Myself included.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
October 07, 2014, 11:58:04 PM
Lately its been gold down AND bitcoin, do you see it decoupling soon?


i do
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
October 07, 2014, 10:49:42 PM
this is messed up man; oil going off the cliff after hours.  notice how we've slid off the mountain, breaking support and are in freefall essentially in the 3y daily chart:

legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
October 07, 2014, 09:18:28 PM
nice graph from Pantera.  Bitcoin continuing to gain on altscams:

https://cdn.panteracapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Pantera-Bitcoin-Letter-September-2014.pdf






This is my new favorite chart.

you see that dip in march, that's my alt portfolio right there. (not my volume, just the following depreciation)  Smiley

I'm thinking the same thing is going to happen during the next run up.

This is legitimately good news. I hate altscams

Very true... Everyone is realizing alt coins are a scam anyway. If we just all stuck to BTC I bet the price would be a lot higher & it would have way more attention from the media and others in the financial industry

Bitcoin has an inelastic supply, if you think about that in a typically adoption curve the first adopters are you're technically literate consumers they are the ones who know and do as opposed to follow. Now given Bitcoin also has limited space for technically literate innovators one would expect some way to contribute.

What the alt coin development cycle represents is Bitcoin's still in the innovation stage of the adoption cycle.

While I have made mistakes what happened on a technical level is many new innovations who developed altcoins exchanged them for Bitcoin. The net result is Bitcoin distributing to the innovators in the adoption cycle.

So it's good news for Bitcoin and typically one would see all stages of the adoption cycle happen in alts (driven by Bitcoin's cycle)

Ultimately one needs to learn that it's about Bitcoin while alts may outshine Bitcoin during the growth spurts they will crash hard, and most will not profit from this the big oporunity.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
October 07, 2014, 09:16:21 PM
this is really not good for pm's:





and my trusty leading royalty trust just broke an even longer term trend line:

legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
October 07, 2014, 09:07:52 PM
Recently discovered this thread to be the most interesting and meaningful in the forum. Nice signal to noise ratio.

Thanks Cypher&Co.  Wink

but you have to promise to allow me to get into the occasional food fight with the trolls.  they are what give me my inspiration.

Dude, don't fool yourself; you are one of the biggest trolls around.  Some of my favorite people on this site are inveterate trolls.  And some of those who are the most relevant and worth paying attention to I might add.  You being one of them for sure.



from you, i'll take that as a compliment. Smiley

member
Activity: 109
Merit: 10
October 07, 2014, 09:00:21 PM
Lol... I think its now Gold down, Bitcoin down..  Grin
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
October 07, 2014, 08:36:31 PM
1 million will buy a standard mustang at that time.    Much like that poster from 1929 where he sells a brand new car for $100, it was alot to carry at that time
FNG
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
October 07, 2014, 08:34:37 PM

I love Bitcoin, but it seems they might love it even more than I do.  Wow.  

Edit: market cap potential of $75 trillion?  I think the S&P 500 passed $15 trillion last year, which would still put it at probably less than $17 trillion in cap. 

$4,291,060 per coin

and they call me bullish

 Grin Grin Grin Shocked
STT
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 1454
October 07, 2014, 08:33:36 PM
Quote
the response can only be massive default on our historical levels of debt. Either honestly through default or dishonestly through significantly more monetary inflation.

Not a surprising result of 17tn debt would be default but I think the majority of losses will be inflation and thats the reason dollar will fall from its perch as #1 currency as its just not reliable.    This isnt something that will happen, it already has; by the amount of new money issued via bonds but hasnt been used or circulated yet.

  Its not something I want but it seems to be a given and a plain straight default would be honest, straightforward and comply with capitalism as we've known it for hundreds of years so that wont be it.   They'll try to continue with their new paradigm, the modern day genius which has given us the actions so far.  It'll keep going like the pedal to metal like you say, until that thing runs out of oil, grinds to a halt, engine cant turn no more then they'll get out hands up wondering what went wrong with such a sound strategy.


Speculation then says alternatives like bitcoin or gold do well but it might just be Australian dollar or something used by the biggest creditors like China.  It probably wont be Yen, they'll not step away in time and already have their own problems
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1116
October 07, 2014, 08:22:42 PM
"At least it ain't double digits yet"
sr. member
Activity: 289
Merit: 252
bagholder since 2013
October 07, 2014, 08:17:32 PM
Recently discovered this thread to be the most interesting and meaningful in the forum. Nice signal to noise ratio.

Thanks Cypher&Co.  Wink

but you have to promise to allow me to get into the occasional food fight with the trolls.  they are what give me my inspiration.

Dude, don't fool yourself; you are one of the biggest trolls around.  Some of my favorite people on this site are inveterate trolls.  And some of those who are the most relevant and worth paying attention to I might add.  You being one of them for sure.



tvbcof and cypher
legendary
Activity: 4760
Merit: 1283
October 07, 2014, 08:06:50 PM
Recently discovered this thread to be the most interesting and meaningful in the forum. Nice signal to noise ratio.

Thanks Cypher&Co.  Wink

but you have to promise to allow me to get into the occasional food fight with the trolls.  they are what give me my inspiration.

Dude, don't fool yourself; you are one of the biggest trolls around.  Some of my favorite people on this site are inveterate trolls.  And some of those who are the most relevant and worth paying attention to I might add.  You being one of them for sure.

sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
October 07, 2014, 07:57:50 PM

I love Bitcoin, but it seems they might love it even more than I do.  Wow.  

Edit: market cap potential of $75 trillion?  I think the S&P 500 passed $15 trillion last year, which would still put it at probably less than $17 trillion in cap. 
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
October 07, 2014, 07:29:52 PM
Recently discovered this thread to be the most interesting and meaningful in the forum. Nice signal to noise ratio.

Thanks Cypher&Co.  Wink

but you have to promise to allow me to get into the occasional food fight with the trolls.  they are what give me my inspiration.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
October 07, 2014, 07:15:08 PM
nice graph from Pantera.  Bitcoin continuing to gain on altscams:

https://cdn.panteracapital.com/wp-content/uploads/Pantera-Bitcoin-Letter-September-2014.pdf






This is my new favorite chart.

you see that dip in march, that's my alt portfolio right there. (not my volume, just the following depreciation)  Smiley

I'm thinking the same thing is going to happen during the next run up.

This is legitimately good news. I hate altscams

Very true... Everyone is realizing alt coins are a scam anyway. If we just all stuck to BTC I bet the price would be a lot higher & it would have way more attention from the media and others in the financial industry
legendary
Activity: 981
Merit: 1005
No maps for these territories
October 07, 2014, 06:44:54 PM
Recently discovered this thread to be the most interesting and meaningful in the forum. Nice signal to noise ratio.

Thanks Cypher&Co.  Wink
Jump to: