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Topic: here's just how screwed ASIC buyers are - READ THIS if you have a preorder - page 10. (Read 23355 times)

sr. member
Activity: 560
Merit: 256
First, I don't think manufacturers will be mining, or at least at a significant level.

Why shouldn't they? They would only harm the future earning, not their current ones (not the preorders).

Because they're in the business of manufacturing devices, designing new ones, etc. Not in the business of Bitcoin mining.

There is however one manufacturer that is in both businesses: ASICMINER. All ASICs produced by them will be used for their own "mining company".
full member
Activity: 234
Merit: 105
The centralizing nature of pools is why I am interested in p2pool (https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/P2Pool) though I have still a lot to learn regarding its functionality.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1001
You just include the preorder units in your calculation. However, these companies will certainly manufacture extra units for themselves to mine, since the marginal manufacturing cost for ASIC is very low. The difficulty will go up to 1000TH/s or 1PH/s easily

Didn't tough about this. Another reason to avoid a preorder, even if i'm constantly tempted.

First, I don't think manufacturers will be mining, or at least at a significant level.

Why shouldn't they? They would only harm the future earning, not their current ones (not the preorders).
legendary
Activity: 952
Merit: 1000
You just include the preorder units in your calculation. However, these companies will certainly manufacture extra units for themselves to mine, since the marginal manufacturing cost for ASIC is very low. The difficulty will go up to 1000TH/s or 1PH/s easily
First, I don't think manufacturers will be mining, or at least at a significant level.

Second, you do realize that 1000TH/s and 1PH/s are the same thing?
legendary
Activity: 952
Merit: 1000
I started mining about a year ago as well, but I havn't put any cash into my bitcoin mining hardware in about 8 months. I purchase more hardware with the Bitcoins I've earned, not selling them on the market. It can be done, but it sounds like you tried to play the market, and lost.

And no, I"m not uber rich. I also work in IT at a part time job, so it sucks. I'm not gonna be able to drop 60k on 3TH/s of hardware, but what's your point?
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1111
You just include the preorder units in your calculation. However, these companies will certainly manufacture extra units for themselves to mine, since the marginal manufacturing cost for ASIC is very low. The difficulty will go up to 1000TH/s or 1PH/s easily
legendary
Activity: 892
Merit: 1002
1 BTC =1 BTC
You two must be rich or something because if I had a decent amount of income, I'd definitely support the bitcoin system just for the sake of doing so and if it make me a little change, that's fine too.  But I'm freaking poor!  I'm quite possibly the only head IT manager at a decent sized company that works part time for a pathetic $14k or so a year and so the rest of the time I run a computer repair shop that I just opened recently.  So I'm lucky if I have money for living expenses every month and I'd say based on lots of forum reading that poor people like me outnumber ungodly rich people who can afford to buy ASICs for the fun of it at least 10:1.  So good for you guys, the rest of us need to know ASICs aren't going to make money.

Oh, and I plan to make money and support the system by selling some of my store's hardware for BTC on the forum soon and then hold it until significantly after the 25BTC split.  That keeps miner's money off the exchange and lets them spend BTC directly on stuff they need.

Also, newegg just brought me on as one of their invite-only certified egg expert hardware testers for their new program they're rolling out Cheesy So they're gonna be shipping me a lot of hardware for free for the sole purpose of reviewing it.  Some of it shouldn't be sold before the release date but good luck finding me if it's with BTC, lol.

Ok, I understand you need to eat but try to keep your karma balanced as well Wink

Instead of trolling you should be thankfull to the fpga/asic buyers spending this much money on expensive hardware because this makes it affordable for everyone in the future.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
Yeah, the vendors lol.  See, it's an all-encompassing circle of bullshit  Cheesy The difficulty is going to spike through the roof like a week or two before ASICs ship and every vendor is going to blame each other and claim they're not mining.

P.S. look a few threads away from this one.  Someone tried to get a loan from the bank to buy ASICs.  I am not underestimating the overestimating going on here about ASIC income and how unwise people are being with it.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Wat
Might as well get a shovel to try and clear up the mountain of bullshit speculation about me.  I started mining over a year ago with a pair of 5830's and made a lot of BTC.  I also sold some computer hardware for BTC.  I also bought some more hardware with BTC from cablesaurus and others.  I only sold enough BTC to cover the cost of the hardware then kept the rest of my BTC.

Then the price went from $11 to $3.50 but obviously I especially didn't sell them then, lol.  I did do some buying and selling on the exchange during ups and downs and made about another 10%.  Then when it FINALLY hit $5.20 after about a year of being around $4, I sold the rest and held the USD balance on the exchange to wait to rebuy after it drops again.  That never happened and it skyrocketed so that sucks, lol.  But I had to withdraw the cash to help fund my new computer repair and custom builds store so I re-bought BTC when it was at about $5, held it for another 2% increase, then had that spendbitcoins site convert it with paypal at just the right time for cheaper than MTGox's EFT fees.

Now I was going to get back into mining with ASICs but when I did the math, I foud out I'm the only one who realizes how grim the situation is given the ridiculous amount of pre-orders.  Nobody is going to make much on ASICs but the vendors.

Unless some people get them earlier  Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
You two must be rich or something because if I had a decent amount of income, I'd definitely support the bitcoin system just for the sake of doing so and if it make me a little change, that's fine too.  But I'm freaking poor!  I'm quite possibly the only head IT manager at a decent sized company that works part time for a pathetic $14k or so a year and so the rest of the time I run a computer repair shop that I just opened recently.  So I'm lucky if I have money for living expenses every month and I'd say based on lots of forum reading that poor people like me outnumber ungodly rich people who can afford to buy ASICs for the fun of it at least 10:1.  So good for you guys, the rest of us need to know ASICs aren't going to make money.

Oh, and I plan to make money and support the system by selling some of my store's hardware for BTC on the forum soon and then hold it until significantly after the 25BTC split.  That keeps miner's money off the exchange and lets them spend BTC directly on stuff they need.

Also, newegg just brought me on as one of their invite-only certified egg expert hardware testers for their new program they're rolling out Cheesy So they're gonna be shipping me a lot of hardware for free for the sole purpose of reviewing it.  Some of it shouldn't be sold before the release date but good luck finding me if it's with BTC, lol.
legendary
Activity: 892
Merit: 1002
1 BTC =1 BTC
I can't think of other hardware that pay's itself back within 1 year, so I'm fine with that idea.

And what's next, a smartphone or laptop with some integrated asic chips that pays itself back within 1 year... I would like that Smiley
vip
Activity: 980
Merit: 1001
Oh yeah, I post legit info and you all call me a troll.  What exactly am I wrong about?  Everyone's dumping thousands of dollars into this amazingly fast ASIC hardware and oops, there's still only 25BTC per block to go around.  Everyone is screwed.

In case you don't understand the logic, the GPUs I bought were like $130 and did 320MH/s ea.  So let's say for example all the GPU miners in the world cost $10 mil.  Now with ASICs are $1000+ for a good one, everyone's speeds go up so they all make the exact same income but now all the miners in the world will cost $100 mil.  Oops, everyone got scammed, lol.

But keep calling me a troll to pretend it's not true.
once again, I spent Bitcoins that were profit from gpu mining to buy an asic + I am not expecting a ROI in a couple of months, as an adult I made this decision for myself - how did I get scammed?
or: everyone with a GPU scammed the CPU miners by your logic

I choose not to gamble on horse races or go to casinos , gambling on asic isn't being scammed, gambling is gambling
if you don't like to gamble that is fine - telling everyone they have been scammed using rough "guesstimates" because you don't like the look of something doesn't make it fact Smiley

not that it will stop the next person that is a legend in their own lunchbox starting the same thread over again again lol

pointless threads are pointless apart from a lol
sr. member
Activity: 560
Merit: 256
In case you don't understand the logic, the GPUs I bought were like $130 and did 320MH/s ea.  So let's say for example all the GPU miners in the world cost $10 mil.  Now with ASICs are $1000+ for a good one, everyone's speeds go up so they all make the exact same income but now all the miners in the world will cost $100 mil.  Oops, everyone got scammed, lol.

In case you didn't notice I'm somehow agreeing with you in the fact that people will get a shock when the difficulty will spike and they will have to redo their calculations. The ASICs won't be paying themselvse back in 2 weeks or 2 months ...

That's why we need more posts like this, so people don't pre-order more Smiley

However this is called "keeping up with the Joneses" or "staying in mining" or whatever you want to call it and not being scammed. Scammed is if BFL takes all the money and dissapears.

sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
Might as well get a shovel to try and clear up the mountain of bullshit speculation about me.  I started mining over a year ago with a pair of 5830's and made a lot of BTC.  I also sold some computer hardware for BTC.  I also bought some more hardware with BTC from cablesaurus and others.  I only sold enough BTC to cover the cost of the hardware then kept the rest of my BTC.

Then the price went from $11 to $3.50 but obviously I especially didn't sell them then, lol.  I did do some buying and selling on the exchange during ups and downs and made about another 10%.  Then when it FINALLY hit $5.20 after about a year of being around $4, I sold the rest and held the USD balance on the exchange to wait to rebuy after it drops again.  That never happened and it skyrocketed so that sucks, lol.  But I had to withdraw the cash to help fund my new computer repair and custom builds store so I re-bought BTC when it was at about $5, held it for another 2% increase, then had that spendbitcoins site convert it with paypal at just the right time for cheaper than MTGox's EFT fees.

Now I was going to get back into mining with ASICs but when I did the math, I foud out I'm the only one who realizes how grim the situation is given the ridiculous amount of pre-orders.  Nobody is going to make much on ASICs but the vendors.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
Oh yeah, I post legit info and you all call me a troll.  What exactly am I wrong about?  Everyone's dumping thousands of dollars into this amazingly fast ASIC hardware and oops, there's still only 25BTC per block to go around.  Everyone is screwed.

In case you don't understand the logic, the GPUs I bought were like $130 and did 320MH/s ea.  So let's say for example all the GPU miners in the world cost $10 mil.  Now with ASICs are $1000+ for a good one, everyone's speeds go up so they all make the exact same income but now all the miners in the world will cost $100 mil.  Oops, everyone got scammed, lol.

But keep calling me a troll to pretend it's not true.
sr. member
Activity: 560
Merit: 256
I think we need more threads like this one. ASICs pre-orders folks could use some FUD so that when the ASICs are delivered, they make (more) money. Yes, I pre-ordered one.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
In cryptography we trust

Here's a possible way to think of it I guess. Consider gold right now. Valuable for the known reasons. Now imagine there's an island discovered in the middle of the pacific that consists of 2-3 times the quantity of gold currently in circulation in trivially mineable form, all you need is a boat to get there. What does this do to the cost of gold? To the cost of boats? Is it worth buying a boat?

Actually, it's a crap analogy since the rate of bitcoins mined is a constant and you'd have to make assumptions about people not being able to monopolize access. Maybe someone could knock it into shape?

Yea except that gold isn't held together by a massive drug trade.

Massive is completely an overestimate. There is only like 100 million in bTC... That is not enough cash to support a massive drug trade.

An impressive drug trade is a better term Smiley

But yes, all da coins are gonna be tainted with drug residue. Just like all the USD.

I agree that massive is an exaggeration, but your argument (Bitcoin market capilization) has nothing to do with it. Every Bitcoin can be used for a trade multiple times. For example, if I buy something from you for BTC, you can then buy something from me or someone else and on and on. So theoretically you can do lots of trades with only 1 BTC.
full member
Activity: 784
Merit: 101

Here's a possible way to think of it I guess. Consider gold right now. Valuable for the known reasons. Now imagine there's an island discovered in the middle of the pacific that consists of 2-3 times the quantity of gold currently in circulation in trivially mineable form, all you need is a boat to get there. What does this do to the cost of gold? To the cost of boats? Is it worth buying a boat?

Actually, it's a crap analogy since the rate of bitcoins mined is a constant and you'd have to make assumptions about people not being able to monopolize access. Maybe someone could knock it into shape?

Yea except that gold isn't held together by a massive drug trade.

Massive is completely an overestimate. There is only like 100 million in bTC... That is not enough cash to support a massive drug trade.

An impressive drug trade is a better term Smiley

But yes, all da coins are gonna be tainted with drug residue. Just like all the USD.
vip
Activity: 980
Merit: 1001
another lol thread




Haha, someone is so pissed off at being screwed that his typing turned into sesamestreet colors Cheesy

No worries everyone, there's not going to be any asics. Everyone who still thinks there will be has never see an asic being developed.
you looked at the pretty colours but not the words eh?
oh well, you fail

hero member
Activity: 576
Merit: 500
No worries everyone, there's not going to be any asics. Everyone who still thinks there will be has never see an asic being developed.

Wanna put your money where your mouth is?
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