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Topic: I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen. - page 168. (Read 631983 times)

legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
Wow, what an interesting insight into how people were thinking back in 2011.

I am curious to see where the price goes during this current cycle.  Is this the beginning a new Bull run? A trap?

My personal hypothesis: By 3rd/4th quarter of this year we will see ETF's, options, leveraging, etc come into the market. Once this occurs  major Wall Street firms will start trading. This will create volume at levels never seen before and drive the price far, far higher.

(I can't wait to read this exact post 3 years from now.)

I'm posting my hypothesis again, originally posted April 17, 2014.

"It seems that bitcoin has a seven month cycle from mega bump to mega bump, it also appears to have a super dip about four months from the mega bump, and this super dip seems to be the start of the coming mega bump, with a slow rise the two first months and a steep rise the last month. If this hypothesis of mine is correct we are now leaving this cycles super dip and the next mega bump peek should be around the end of June or beginning of July.

It also seems that the price at the top of the bump is the same as the price in the dip plus a zero, and it seems to stabilize at about half the peak price until the four month super dip. So if this dip's low was 400 USD the peak should be around 4000 USD and it should stabilize at about 2000 USD until the next super dip."

So, around 4000 USD peak this time is my guess. But I will start selling at 3000.
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
My personal hypothesis: By 3rd/4th quarter of this year we will see ETF's, options, leveraging, etc come into the market. Once this occurs  major Wall Street firms will start trading. This will create volume at levels never seen before and drive the price far, far higher.
They'll trade paper bitcoins that they can't back with real ones, and keep the exchange rate artificially low just like they do with gold.

Q4 is the earliest possibility of a ETF right? And when do projects finish in time? That's right never, so I'm assuming 2015.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1013
My personal hypothesis: By 3rd/4th quarter of this year we will see ETF's, options, leveraging, etc come into the market. Once this occurs  major Wall Street firms will start trading. This will create volume at levels never seen before and drive the price far, far higher.
They'll trade paper bitcoins that they can't back with real ones, and keep the exchange rate artificially low just like they do with gold.
newbie
Activity: 27
Merit: 0
Wow, what an interesting insight into how people were thinking back in 2011.

I am curious to see where the price goes during this current cycle.  Is this the beginning a new Bull run? A trap?

My personal hypothesis: By 3rd/4th quarter of this year we will see ETF's, options, leveraging, etc come into the market. Once this occurs  major Wall Street firms will start trading. This will create volume at levels never seen before and drive the price far, far higher.

(I can't wait to read this exact post 3 years from now.)
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
This thread...

usually means bubble imminent.

Everyone is waiting for a huge increase in price within 6months; I think it will come within two years but it depends on a lot of factors including when the USD and US&European financial systems will crash

Like I've stated before, it moves in cycles of about seven months, and the end of June should be seven months from the top of the latest bump. So my guess is that we are now seeing the beginning of the coming bump.

And I don't think there is an imminent crash of the current economic system.

I think you're right, and I'm also pretty sure that a catastrophic economic collapse would be bad for Bitcoin and its value at this point in time. We need much more development before this baby is shatterproof.

I agree, once bitcoin is an established currency it might work as a safety net for the world economy if the fiat part of it crashes, but we are far from being there yet.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1393
You lead and I'll watch you walk away.
sr. member
Activity: 518
Merit: 250
Quote
I am pretty confident we are the new wealthy elite, gentlemen.

All aboard the train, the price is rising like crazy   Cool

Quote
I'm not gonna be rich anytime soon unless I can get my hands on more coins, but I'm working on it  Cheesy.

The coins are still relatively cheap, if they are going to rise to $10.000 or something like that  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
I'm not gonna be rich anytime soon unless I can get my hands on more coins, but I'm working on it  Cheesy.

Well.... I have a feeling that right now this might be the last chance for everyone to buy Bitcoins below the $1,000 mark. The Mt Gox effect is fading away, and the BitPay / Xapo news will propel BTC to new heights.

What makes you say that? The little price hike will probably go back down soon enough.

Because long term, btc will be more in demand.  There's only 21M coins.  So based on supply and demand,
Price will increase a lot in the next years. 
member
Activity: 91
Merit: 10
I'm not gonna be rich anytime soon unless I can get my hands on more coins, but I'm working on it  Cheesy.

Well.... I have a feeling that right now this might be the last chance for everyone to buy Bitcoins below the $1,000 mark. The Mt Gox effect is fading away, and the BitPay / Xapo news will propel BTC to new heights.

What makes you say that? The little price hike will probably go back down soon enough.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1219
I'm not gonna be rich anytime soon unless I can get my hands on more coins, but I'm working on it  Cheesy.

Well.... I have a feeling that right now this might be the last chance for everyone to buy Bitcoins below the $1,000 mark. The Mt Gox effect is fading away, and the BitPay / Xapo news will propel BTC to new heights.
legendary
Activity: 916
Merit: 1003
I'm not gonna be rich anytime soon unless I can get my hands on more coins, but I'm working on it  Cheesy.

At the time of the OP for this thread most of the BTC holders had mined their BTC rather that bought them.  Most of the BTC had been mined with GPUs up to that time.  1 BTC exchanged for $10-$20.
311
full member
Activity: 230
Merit: 100
Come original.
I'm not gonna be rich anytime soon unless I can get my hands on more coins, but I'm working on it  Cheesy.
member
Activity: 71
Merit: 10
Reading through this thread is like a time machine! Very entertaining!
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
I love this thread title!  Especially in boom times like now.  Grin

legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
And I don't think there is an imminent crash of the current economic system.

I think you're right, and I'm also pretty sure that a catastrophic economic collapse would be bad for Bitcoin and its value at this point in time. We need much more development before this baby is shatterproof.

What of the liquid instruments would gain in value then? You must know that immovable property loses its value in times of turmoil, so at least some form of money must gain in relative value. What could it be? fiat? stocks? gold?


Pretty much this. It will depend on the state of w/e worldwide common access communication network available though. Bitcoin doesn't explicitly require the internet, but it loses so much utility without it.

The internet is designed to survive nuclear wars, although not necessarily as a single connected network.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
And I don't think there is an imminent crash of the current economic system.

I think you're right, and I'm also pretty sure that a catastrophic economic collapse would be bad for Bitcoin and its value at this point in time. We need much more development before this baby is shatterproof.

What of the liquid instruments would gain in value then? You must know that immovable property loses its value in times of turmoil, so at least some form of money must gain in relative value. What could it be? fiat? stocks? gold?
hero member
Activity: 715
Merit: 500
This thread...

usually means bubble imminent.

Everyone is waiting for a huge increase in price within 6months; I think it will come within two years but it depends on a lot of factors including when the USD and US&European financial systems will crash

Like I've stated before, it moves in cycles of about seven months, and the end of June should be seven months from the top of the latest bump. So my guess is that we are now seeing the beginning of the coming bump.

And I don't think there is an imminent crash of the current economic system.

I think you're right, and I'm also pretty sure that a catastrophic economic collapse would be bad for Bitcoin and its value at this point in time. We need much more development before this baby is shatterproof.
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
This thread...

usually means bubble imminent.

Everyone is waiting for a huge increase in price within 6months; I think it will come within two years but it depends on a lot of factors including when the USD and US&European financial systems will crash

Like I've stated before, it moves in cycles of about seven months, and the end of June should be seven months from the top of the latest bump. So my guess is that we are now seeing the beginning of the coming bump.

And I don't think there is an imminent crash of the current economic system.
legendary
Activity: 916
Merit: 1003
This thread...
...
usually means bubble imminent.
This thread has been around for almost 3 years.

And it is written in the Book of Satoshi that when this thread gets bumped, an age (less than a year) of massive value increase has begun.

Well I'd mostly stopped posting in this vast wasteland but maybe I'll start bumping this thread every day for perversity's sake.  Cool
sr. member
Activity: 800
Merit: 250
This thread...
...
usually means bubble imminent.
This thread has been around for almost 3 years.

And it is written in the Book of Satoshi that when this thread gets bumped, an age (less than a year) of massive value increase has begun.
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