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Topic: I need bitcoin to be $690 to break even.....will I make it? - page 17. (Read 26239 times)

sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
If you believe bitcoin price will rise again, just buy another coin at this time prices. It will reduce your previous bitcoin price. The method called bitcoin cost averaging
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
Will I make it?

How long are you willing to wait? How many Bitcoins do you have?

I am sure one day the price will reach the point where you would have broken even, made a profit but the question is will you be around on that day  Huh

A lot of people who think this question will be gone long before imo

Good luck either way.
legendary
Activity: 4438
Merit: 3387
Yes, maybe you will make it after the halving. But before that you can only hope. How about start working to earn that loss back.
Halving didnt do much for dogecoin.. lets hope its different for Bitcoin.

Halving does not affect the price. That is a myth.
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 501
Yes, maybe you will make it after the halving. But before that you can only hope. How about start working to earn that loss back.
Halving didnt do much for dogecoin.. lets hope its different for Bitcoin.
full member
Activity: 173
Merit: 105
How do you figure the exchange rate isn't equal to purchasing power?  Whether you exchange 1 BTC for $260 or several dozen Big Macs, the exchange rate is $260 or several dozen Big Macs respectively.  The purchasing power of any currency is whatever you are able to exchange it for.


The concept of purchasing power parity allows one to estimate what the exchange rate between two currencies would have to be in order for the exchange to be at par with the purchasing power of the two countries' currencies. Using that PPP rate for hypothetical currency conversions, a given amount of one currency thus has the same purchasing power whether used directly to purchase a market basket of goods or used to convert at the PPP rate to the other currency and then purchase the market basket using that currency. Observed deviations of the exchange rate from purchasing power parity are measured by deviations of the real exchange rate from its PPP value of 1.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Purchasing_power_parity

Edit to add:

PPP exchange rates help to minimize misleading international comparisons that can arise with the use of market exchange rates. For example, suppose that two countries produce the same physical amounts of goods as each other in each of two different years. Since market exchange rates fluctuate substantially, when the GDP of one country measured in its own currency is converted to the other country's currency using market exchange rates, one country might be inferred to have higher real GDP than the other country in one year but lower in the other; both of these inferences would fail to reflect the reality of their relative levels of production. But if one country's GDP is converted into the other country's currency using PPP exchange rates instead of observed market exchange rates, the false inference will not occur.
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1000
dafar consulting
Will I make it?


How much do you hold currently?


~40 BTC

Five years to break even - reach $690? Are you kidding me? At current Bitcoin growth, I believe that Bitcoin will reach $700 in two years time. And probably over a thousand in five years.

That's what I'm hoping

I do, but I also put in ~$25K into bitcoin in the last year, which is a lot already, should I really risk more.... bitcoin price recovering is still uncertain

Don't be stupid. If you are asking strangers on a website how to invest your money, then you should not be investing at all. Sell your bitcoins and put the money in a savings account so you don't lose it.

It wasn't a question... I'm telling him who much I'm already risking and why I probably shouldn't risk more.

Sell my bitcoins now? LOL.... yeah, that sounds stupid
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 509
Bitcoin is objectively superior to any other way to exchange value, history will give this objective fact it's time to shine, translated in a massive high price. Bitcoin is a part of nature (it came from a person's brain), nature always finds it's way to make strong things survive, Bitcoin will win via good ol Darwinism.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 254
Some people predicted that BTC wil be 1000$ at the end of the last year. But it didn't. So, who knows. But I don't think that it will come there soon.

You missed a digit.  Most agreed that BTC would be worth more than $10,000. by now Undecided  http://www.coindesk.com/56-of-bitcoiners-believe-bitcoin-will-reach-10000-in-2014/
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
Five years to break even - reach $690? Are you kidding me? At current Bitcoin growth, I believe that Bitcoin will reach $700 in two years time. And probably over a thousand in five years.

That is a realistic assumption.
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1070
Will I make it?

this year could end with a much higher rate, many think that the big price will come with the halving, i would say much early than that, like it was for doge
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 1068
WOLF.BET - Provably Fair Crypto Casino
Some people predicted that BTC wil be 1000$ at the end of the last year. But it didn't. So, who knows. But I don't think that it will come there soon.
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
Will I make it?

I, like many others in this thread believe it to start happening in 2016-2017.

I also took the risk and exchanged fiat to BTC starting early 2014 to September which, in total, were slashed with more than 60% on an average, I decided to cut more than half of my holdings as losses, and convert back to fiat and diversify more into a few selected safe stocks, and I am not currently buying any more BTC because I believe we might see it lower or not moving for some time, which is not necessarily a bad thing considering price stability is much needed, but I am taking some precautions this time regarding speculating. I also think a lot of projects got funded in BTC and converted it to fiat, and most of these projects have not yet returned that value back to BTC yet, because building things and getting a userbase take time.

If circumstances were to change I would be ready, but I think 2016 will be the year good APPs expand outside of crypto after having a development phase within, which will be good for the ecosystem, currently it is too difficult to use many of the perks BTC offers which hinders mass adoption, and also it is not as low fees as it could be since exchanges and other services have some fees, competition will drive these fees down. I am also excited over what Ethereum might bring to the table.

All in all if you want to be more sure about your investment, try becoming involved and making a difference for crypto so that we can approach mass adoption faster.  
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
Yes, we will get thereabouts again in the 2nd half of the year. Or so I think,.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
Yes, maybe you will make it after the halving. But before that you can only hope. How about start working to earn that loss back.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
You will make it, but the question is why? It has to become even more mainstream then it is today
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1020

5 years would be ideal... after that I might give up



If you're still valuing your bitcoins based on an exchange rate, you're doing it wrong.

How else would I measure its purchasing power? If I don't value it by its purchasing power how else should it be valued??

Exchange rate != purchasing power.

Purchasing power parity is tough to determine, the Big Mac index that the Economist publishes is your best bet. What you should do is look at how many BTC are required to buy 1 Big Mac over the next 5 years (on average). You'll know deep in your bones what inflationary vs. deflationary means then Wink


How do you figure the exchange rate isn't equal to purchasing power?  Whether you exchange 1 BTC for $260 or several dozen Big Macs, the exchange rate is $260 or several dozen Big Macs respectively.  The purchasing power of any currency is whatever you are able to exchange it for.
hero member
Activity: 1022
Merit: 500
Will I make it?

By the end of this year, you should make it. If you have 5 BTC that you bought at 690$ in average, you could buy 5 more BTC at 260$ and profit at 475$ Wink
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1001
Personal Text Space Not For Sale
Five years to break even - reach $690? Are you kidding me? At current Bitcoin growth, I believe that Bitcoin will reach $700 in two years time. And probably over a thousand in five years.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 1002
Will I make it?


How much do you hold currently?
legendary
Activity: 2296
Merit: 1031
Sounds like speculation but oh well.  How patient are you?  Also, usually if you have to ask it's a bad sign.  Never good to be in a position of weakness when it comes to economics.  Usually turns out bad.  But I hope it turns out well for you (hope is also usually a curse in financial issues)  money = hope
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