Is trading just educated guessing? - page 19.

ethereumhunter

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Quote from: PeanutLooks on November 09, 2017, 03:44:22 PM

If you are a actual trader, you use some economic climate skills in predicting the flow graph of prices then industry. Educated guessing is still part of buying and selling however, you will need to take the danger if you would follow this tactic or just place part of it whilst majority of your buying and selling technique originates from your knowledge in the stock exchange.

if you want to trading then you need to learn about trading and not just guessing when the price is down and up again. you need to learn how to understand the chart, makes predicting with the chart, how to place an order if you see the price is down or want to go up and else. the more you can learn then the more skills you will have so you can know when you need to buy and sell to make profit. without learning something in trading, you can not make profit and you always get lose your money.

PeanutLooks

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If you are a actual trader, you use some economic climate skills in predicting the flow graph of prices then industry. Educated guessing is still part of buying and selling however, you will need to take the danger if you would follow this tactic or just place part of it whilst majority of your buying and selling technique originates from your knowledge in the stock exchange.

mrtryonebiggums

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Quote from: dannon on February 23, 2017, 06:12:58 PM

Can you really be sure you will profit unless you have insider info?

No you cant be 100% sure but being educated and having a good guess ie "educated guess" is as close as we can get. Have your win % over 50% and have good bankroll management and this will provide you will have skin in the game much longer than your opponents. Dont need insider info to succeed, just gotta have some brains Wink

ASICHEAD

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Quote from: MFY151 on November 07, 2017, 12:00:03 PM

Quote from: dannon on February 23, 2017, 06:12:58 PM

Can you really be sure you will profit unless you have insider info?

Yes, I think it can be considered as an hypothesis since traders and investors do not just hold, buy or sell bitcoins and every step that they do with their resources has an information or an experience backing up their confidence. A experience trader applies his hypothesis to increase a better chance of making a profit out of his or her capital. They rely on information around them that can affect the outcome of the market even just relying on your instincts still uses your understanding throughout the years of experience from the field of trading.

Trading need you can analysic the opinion of all traders or the main trending of the market (the opinion of almost traders) because you can not trading the opposite trending, do that will make you become loser. Grin

prehisto

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I very like your definition.
My definition would say that it is educated decision with certain probability ( which is some how guessing).Also I would like to put emphasis on the ability to control emotions and trust your reasoning and if wrong ,learn from it.
Also there is difference between long term trading and short term trading.

HumblePatriot

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Bitcoin has made many people wealthy who've acquired patience and kept coins for some time, but now they need to learn to correctly manage money otherwise due to the emotions they are able to shed everything.

MFY151

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Quote from: dannon on February 23, 2017, 06:12:58 PM

Can you really be sure you will profit unless you have insider info?

Yes, I think it can be considered as an hypothesis since traders and investors do not just hold, buy or sell bitcoins and every step that they do with their resources has an information or an experience backing up their confidence. A experience trader applies his hypothesis to increase a better chance of making a profit out of his or her capital. They rely on information around them that can affect the outcome of the market even just relying on your instincts still uses your understanding throughout the years of experience from the field of trading.

georgeyves

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No whatsoever. There isn't any InchspeculatingInch in buying and selling. There's of course a luck factor, as with something, but it is very low. Most of the skills of a trader originates from its exercise and its experience. There is schemes to learn and information to follow and you are an excellent trader.

megynacuna

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Quote from: krigger on November 06, 2017, 05:08:48 PM

Trading is just that yes. No matter what anyone tells you they do not have a guaranteed way to make you money. There are always factors you have to account for that may not always be something to worry about until it comes out of nowhere, like unexpected volume. No matter how many technical indicators, or what set of indicators you use there is no sure fire way.

Yes its an educated guess with some luck and also. You can't always rely on intuitive guesses to be successful with trading as there are economic developments that turn the hands of time every now and then and if such economic tsunamis should occur you might need luck to survive with your trade in question.

krigger

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Trading is just that yes. No matter what anyone tells you they do not have a guaranteed way to make you money. There are always factors you have to account for that may not always be something to worry about until it comes out of nowhere, like unexpected volume. No matter how many technical indicators, or what set of indicators you use there is no sure fire way.

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Quote from: swaptaker on November 05, 2017, 10:43:51 AM

Quote from: Gheka on November 05, 2017, 10:21:32 AM

Quote from: TheAndy500 on November 01, 2017, 08:49:35 AM

Quote from: dannon on February 23, 2017, 06:12:58 PM

Can you really be sure you will profit unless you have insider info?

Everything is based on continuous market observation, thanks to which you will be able to make a good profit. So the answer is no.

Of course not, we can not be sure that we will be profitable in trading because all we do is guess and guess, however, we do not have to rely on luck or emotion to guess, we rely on the factors around the market, we analyze the factors to guess, we need a lot of knowledge and skills, we need a lot of knowledge and skills, we predict based on certain bases, not an unfounded prediction. Even if we have internal information, we can not be sure we will be profitable because no one can be certain that the information is accurate and true, we also need to analyze again, if not, we will be very easy to fall into the trap of the other traders and we will lose a lot of money

Making guesses about the coins and tokens doesn't mean anything and make any sense to me. We need some tools, without trading tools and charts, guessing is only something useless. More than tools, there are perceptions that we need to catch. These perceptions is about the cryptocurrency market and technical aspects of the coins.

Technical analysic tools are also created by the chart price and the rule of the trading community. More people trusted the technical analysic, the correct ability of this tool will be better than other tools. Example Ichimoku and Moving Average are the best choice for any trader want to make money through technical analysic. Fibo or Bollinger are also good choice because these tools have many traders using for trading.

swaptaker

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Quote from: Gheka on November 05, 2017, 10:21:32 AM

Quote from: TheAndy500 on November 01, 2017, 08:49:35 AM

Quote from: dannon on February 23, 2017, 06:12:58 PM

Can you really be sure you will profit unless you have insider info?

Everything is based on continuous market observation, thanks to which you will be able to make a good profit. So the answer is no.

Of course not, we can not be sure that we will be profitable in trading because all we do is guess and guess, however, we do not have to rely on luck or emotion to guess, we rely on the factors around the market, we analyze the factors to guess, we need a lot of knowledge and skills, we need a lot of knowledge and skills, we predict based on certain bases, not an unfounded prediction. Even if we have internal information, we can not be sure we will be profitable because no one can be certain that the information is accurate and true, we also need to analyze again, if not, we will be very easy to fall into the trap of the other traders and we will lose a lot of money

Making guesses about the coins and tokens doesn't mean anything and make any sense to me. We need some tools, without trading tools and charts, guessing is only something useless. More than tools, there are perceptions that we need to catch. These perceptions is about the cryptocurrency market and technical aspects of the coins.

tunctioncloud

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You can trade Bitcoin to buy and sell like fifty times a day and make small profit at each trade, but this combinated by the number of trades a day and the big sums you can use can make you a nice profit. In this strategy, you make no guessing, you just learn to ride the waves, which are absolutely predictable.

Unilevear

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Not at all. For me, trading requires you to have skills and analyzation and a great deal of time and effort in observing the market cap of what you will be investing in. You will have to dedicate your time to research about the cryptocurrency you want to trade into. These things are the basic requirements so that in the end you will not regret trading your bitcoin to other cryptocurrencies out there.

Gheka

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Quote from: TheAndy500 on November 01, 2017, 08:49:35 AM

Quote from: dannon on February 23, 2017, 06:12:58 PM

Can you really be sure you will profit unless you have insider info?

Everything is based on continuous market observation, thanks to which you will be able to make a good profit. So the answer is no.

Of course not, we can not be sure that we will be profitable in trading because all we do is guess and guess, however, we do not have to rely on luck or emotion to guess, we rely on the factors around the market, we analyze the factors to guess, we need a lot of knowledge and skills, we need a lot of knowledge and skills, we predict based on certain bases, not an unfounded prediction. Even if we have internal information, we can not be sure we will be profitable because no one can be certain that the information is accurate and true, we also need to analyze again, if not, we will be very easy to fall into the trap of the other traders and we will lose a lot of money

surix

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Depend on the information you get. you can take a look at Goldman Sachs' trading performance in the past, it's almost constantly profitable. So there must be a way to succeed, but we as ordinary people may not be able to access these info.

websoftwareengineer

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Quote from: appleffi on November 05, 2017, 12:07:43 AM

Quote from: dannon on February 23, 2017, 06:12:58 PM

Can you really be sure you will profit unless you have insider info?

When we say trading, it is a mix of educated guessing and luck for what you believe will succeed in the coming years. The profit you get from trading is the fruit of your strong desire to succeed after risking an amount of money that you believe to grow will your trading skills at hand.

Trading is also like gambling, You never know when the price will increase or decrease and you really need to have a very good analyzation before investing into a certain coin to make sure that it has a potential and you will gain profit from it.

alfs75

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Quote from: dannon on February 23, 2017, 06:12:58 PM

Can you really be sure you will profit unless you have insider info?

Approximately!you gain more profit if you have insider informants,but in terms guessing also you will learn how to become a succesful traders.cryptocurrency worlds has a different kind of trading,but in terms of buying and selling coins,your instinct should be aplicable into this kind of investment,guessing of what kinds of coins should profitable now in the market.

bakunawaaa

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Trading can be educated guessing depending on what kind of trading you are performing. To put it in perspective, there are those who trade because they can produce it and there is a demand for it. As compared to those who can trade by buying and selling. If you are part of the latter, then yes trading can be educated guessing. This is what gave birth to derivatives and options in the stock market. In the capital markets trading is always just educated guessing and it is heavily dependent on trust. No matter how good your math is if the chances are dire then there is no way for you to make profit.

coin royal

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Quote from: appleffi on November 05, 2017, 12:07:43 AM

Quote from: dannon on February 23, 2017, 06:12:58 PM

Can you really be sure you will profit unless you have insider info?

When we say trading, it is a mix of educated guessing and luck for what you believe will succeed in the coming years. The profit you get from trading is the fruit of your strong desire to succeed after risking an amount of money that you believe to grow will your trading skills at hand.

yes you are right that trading means that if someone do it in trading than that person will taste the fruit of his hard work and that is trading so than the life of that person will change because he want to change it, thats why a lot of people prefer trading a lot.

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