Yeah, that is why he said "close to reaching", it looks like the peak is around the corner now and in a week or so we will probably start to fall a bit and get better, in two weeks or so we will see significant changes to the numbers since this pandemic was exponential but the healing process is like that as well, more people who gets it and recovers means there are less people who will get it as well.
In a month we will probably see life going semi-normal, not exactly like how it used to be of course because this left a scar in our souls but we will see a little bit less rules about going outside and so forth during early may (probably). I still think Serie A is in big trouble though, there are still a decent number of games left and we are talking about all teams, so total of games is a lot and it will be during summer, so I don't know if they can comeback that late.
The factor R0 has gradually decreased to about 1, that is good. It is good for now, after some terrible weeks, then if things will be improved more, we will have R0 factor drop to below 1, and slowly reach 0. See
the temporal variation in transmission during the COVID-19 outbreak in Italy and remember to choose charts for Italy.
From the source, you can get the table.
Country/Region Cases with date of onset on the day of report generation Expected change in daily cases Effective reproduction no. Doubling time (days)
Lombardia 971 – 3968 Increasing 1.1 – 1.7 6.1 – Cases decreasing
Emilia Romagna 291 – 1206 Increasing 1.3 – 2.1 4.1 – Cases decreasing
Piemonte 274 – 1094 Increasing 1.5 – 3.1 2.3 – 9.5
Veneto 123 – 481 Increasing 1.1 – 1.8 5.6 – Cases decreasing
Campania 73 – 394 Increasing 1.5 – 2.9 2.8 – 27
Liguria 68 – 347 Increasing 1.2 – 2.3 4 – Cases decreasing
Marche 73 – 316 Increasing 1.1 – 1.8 5.7 – Cases decreasing
Friuli Venezia Giulia 50 – 286 Increasing 1.3 – 2.4 2.6 – Cases decreasing
Toscana 60 – 284 Increasing 1.2 – 2.3 3.3 – Cases decreasing
Trentino-Alto Adige 47 – 271 Increasing 1.1 – 2.1 2.4 – Cases decreasing
Abruzzo 47 – 253 Increasing 1.6 – 3.5 2.2 – 7.2
Puglia 36 – 194 Increasing 1.4 – 2.8 1.9 – Cases decreasing
Lazio 40 – 191 Increasing 1.2 – 2.2 3.4 – Cases decreasing
Umbria 29 – 181 Increasing 1.5 – 3.3 2 – 76
Sardegna 25 – 158 Increasing 1.6 – 4 1.6 – Cases decreasing
P.A. Trento 23 – 141 Increasing 1 – 2 2.6 – Cases decreasing
P.A. Bolzano 18 – 134 Increasing 1.2 – 2.6 2.7 – Cases decreasing
Sicilia 19 – 126 Increasing 1.3 – 2.4 3.2 – 27
Valle d’Aosta 16 – 109 Increasing 1.5 – 4 2.1 – Cases decreasing
Calabria 12 – 92 Increasing 1.3 – 3 2.1 – 46
Molise 5 – 51 Increasing 1.9 – 7 0.19 – Cases decreasing
Basilicata 2 – 34 Increasing 1.6 – 5.3 0.15 – Cases decreasing
