Well if we can do the -5% or -6% drop this time.
Then have a slow drift up in price to just under 300 it is good for a lot of miners.
Topic: Jan 12th to Approx Jan 27th diff thread (3.5%) - page 2. (Read 5925 times)
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
Blocks 340490
Total BTC 13.762M
Difficulty 43971662056
Estimated 41786349117 in 214 blks >>>>>> ( -4.96%)
Network total 279140.555 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 5.32 / 677 s -------------------------- still lower then the estimate above.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 43,971,662,056
Estimated Next Difficulty: 41,767,820,825 (-5.01%)
Adjust time: After 214 Blocks, About 1.6 days
Hashrate(?): 276,705,290 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.8 minutes -----------------------------still lower then the estimate above.
3 blocks: 32.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 20:20 (3.0 minutes ago)
Price is jumping as I type 264 usd
Blocks 340490
Total BTC 13.762M
Difficulty 43971662056
Estimated 41786349117 in 214 blks >>>>>> ( -4.96%)
Network total 279140.555 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 5.32 / 677 s -------------------------- still lower then the estimate above.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 43,971,662,056
Estimated Next Difficulty: 41,767,820,825 (-5.01%)
Adjust time: After 214 Blocks, About 1.6 days
Hashrate(?): 276,705,290 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.8 minutes -----------------------------still lower then the estimate above.
3 blocks: 32.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 20:20 (3.0 minutes ago)
Price is jumping as I type 264 usd
they should have waited for ghash cloud shutdown before announcing the coinbase exchange; then we might have gotten -10%
they will not shutdown if the price goes back to $320.
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
Blocks 340490
Total BTC 13.762M
Difficulty 43971662056
Estimated 41786349117 in 214 blks >>>>>> ( -4.96%)
Network total 279140.555 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 5.32 / 677 s -------------------------- still lower then the estimate above.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 43,971,662,056
Estimated Next Difficulty: 41,767,820,825 (-5.01%)
Adjust time: After 214 Blocks, About 1.6 days
Hashrate(?): 276,705,290 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.8 minutes -----------------------------still lower then the estimate above.
3 blocks: 32.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 20:20 (3.0 minutes ago)
Price is jumping as I type 264 usd
Blocks 340490
Total BTC 13.762M
Difficulty 43971662056
Estimated 41786349117 in 214 blks >>>>>> ( -4.96%)
Network total 279140.555 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 5.32 / 677 s -------------------------- still lower then the estimate above.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 43,971,662,056
Estimated Next Difficulty: 41,767,820,825 (-5.01%)
Adjust time: After 214 Blocks, About 1.6 days
Hashrate(?): 276,705,290 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.8 minutes -----------------------------still lower then the estimate above.
3 blocks: 32.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 20:20 (3.0 minutes ago)
Price is jumping as I type 264 usd
This is looking good for the next two weeks, exchange rate nearing $250 helps too.
Still worse than before the crash though
True, but as long as the S3s that I bought in July and have ROIed twice over still keep making money I can't complain.
probably true in BTC terms, but NOT in dollar terms.
This is looking good for the next two weeks, exchange rate nearing $250 helps too.
Still worse than before the crash though
True, but as long as the S3s that I bought in July and have ROIed twice over still keep making money I can't complain.
yeah I have 2x s-3's running at 2.4 cents a kwatt. they have run since july 1st batch .
Been busy in past week. Happy to see price rising. Helps me on a few rigs make it through winter remaining profitable.
This is looking good for the next two weeks, exchange rate nearing $250 helps too.
Still worse than before the crash though
True, but as long as the S3s that I bought in July and have ROIed twice over still keep making money I can't complain.
This is looking good for the next two weeks, exchange rate nearing $250 helps too.
Still worse than before the crash though
well under 300-350 range.
I have 11th at .5 watts
I clear 550 a month. So feb and march = 1100
april and may = 1100 . I am at 2200 usd and I will need to sell of 9 sp20's and 1 s-5 .
In may. they should get 200 each x 10 = 2000
so I will get 4400 back. I already got enough return on these say 3k total 7400 after power and their cost was about 4.6k
I may profit 2-2.8k
This is looking good for the next two weeks, exchange rate nearing $250 helps too.
Still worse than before the crash though
This is looking good for the next two weeks, exchange rate nearing $250 helps too.
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
Blocks 340434
Total BTC 13.761M
Difficulty 43971662056
Estimated 41854671185 in 270 blks >>>>>>>> -(4.81%) but current rate has been lower so -5% or -5.5% can happen
Network total 269589.548 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 5.14 / 701 s >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> still more then 10% so most likely someone has power downed a big farm
Blocks 340434
Total BTC 13.761M
Difficulty 43971662056
Estimated 41854671185 in 270 blks >>>>>>>> -(4.81%) but current rate has been lower so -5% or -5.5% can happen
Network total 269589.548 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 5.14 / 701 s >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> still more then 10% so most likely someone has power downed a big farm
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 43,971,662,056
Estimated Next Difficulty: 41,866,116,133 (-4.79%)
Adjust time: After 275 Blocks, About 2.0 days
Hashrate(?): 287,601,872 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.7 minutes--------------------------------This is nice and slow
3 blocks: 32.0 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 8:30 (4.5 minutes ago)
Looks like we will come close to -5%
Bitcoin Difficulty: 43,971,662,056
Estimated Next Difficulty: 41,866,116,133 (-4.79%)
Adjust time: After 275 Blocks, About 2.0 days
Hashrate(?): 287,601,872 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.7 minutes--------------------------------This is nice and slow
3 blocks: 32.0 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 8:30 (4.5 minutes ago)
Looks like we will come close to -5%
lol you guys keep making fools of yourself by calling difficulty every time dont you?
I swear i can make better prediction by just flipping a coin.
3.5% vs -2.5% .....so close.
I swear i can make better prediction by just flipping a coin.
3.5% vs -2.5% .....so close.
Some one should do a study to verify there is a correlation between trust level and rude, inflammatory, adolescent forum member posts.
im pretty sure there is a STRONG correlation between "trust<1" and "ignore button use"
looks like block times are sliding a bit, possibly people realizing that the price isnt going back to $300 very soon. if it keeps up for another 2-3 days we'll see something close to -3.8% (which is good in my books - ill mine and hold some coins for the eventual price spike (a 1-yr bear market is pretty extraordinary for bitcoin, but i doubt it can drag on for another year without going bust or shooting past $600 when regulations become clearer
I bolded a strong agreement to that statement.
meanwhile short term last day or so :
Blocks/hour 4.92 / 732 s 523 blocks >>>>>>> 4.92/6 = 0.82 or an 18% drop short term.
Blocks/hour 5.28 / 682 s 508 blocks >>>>>>> 5.28/6= 0.88 or a 12% drop
Blocks/hour 5.27 / 684 s 487 blocks >>>>>>>>> 5.27/6 = 0.878 or a 12.1%
Blocks/hour 5.07 / 711 s 480 blocks >>>>>>>>> 5.07/6 = 0.845 or a 15.5% drop
Blocks/hour 4.85 / 742 s 466 blocks >>>>>>>>> 4.85/6 = 0.808 or a 19.2% drop
these numbers may mean we do -5% in 4 days or so.
Blocks/hour 4.76 / 756 s 452 blocks 4.76/6 = 0.793 or a 20.7% drop
Blocks/hour 4.68 / 769 s 409 blocks 4.68/6 = 0.780 -22%
Blocks/hour 5.03 / 716 s 383 blocks 5.03/6 = 0.838 -16.2 %
Blocks/hour 5.26 / 684 s 346 blocks 5.26/6 = 0.876 -12.4%
these are a strong indication that more people or farms or miners are shutting down.
bitcoincharts has the next diff under 42. which is around a 4.7% drop
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is now starting to show closer to that -4.7%
Bitcoin Difficulty: 43,971,662,056
Estimated Next Difficulty: 42,119,885,688 >>>>>>> (-4.21%)
Adjust time: After 383 Blocks, About 2.8 days
Hashrate(?): 290,932,648 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.5 minutes
3 blocks: 31.6 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 12:45 (1.3 minutes ago)
-4.21% is pretty good. please notice price is now 245 usd
lol you guys keep making fools of yourself by calling difficulty every time dont you?
I swear i can make better prediction by just flipping a coin.
3.5% vs -2.5% .....so close.
I swear i can make better prediction by just flipping a coin.
3.5% vs -2.5% .....so close.
Some one should do a study to verify there is a correlation between trust level and rude, inflammatory, adolescent forum member posts.
im pretty sure there is a STRONG correlation between "trust<1" and "ignore button use"
looks like block times are sliding a bit, possibly people realizing that the price isnt going back to $300 very soon. if it keeps up for another 2-3 days we'll see something close to -3.8% (which is good in my books - ill mine and hold some coins for the eventual price spike (a 1-yr bear market is pretty extraordinary for bitcoin, but i doubt it can drag on for another year without going bust or shooting past $600 when regulations become clearer
I bolded a strong agreement to that statement.
meanwhile short term last day or so :
Blocks/hour 4.92 / 732 s 523 blocks >>>>>>> 4.92/6 = 0.82 or an 18% drop short term.
Blocks/hour 5.28 / 682 s 508 blocks >>>>>>> 5.28/6= 0.88 or a 12% drop
Blocks/hour 5.27 / 684 s 487 blocks >>>>>>>>> 5.27/6 = 0.878 or a 12.1%
Blocks/hour 5.07 / 711 s 480 blocks >>>>>>>>> 5.07/6 = 0.845 or a 15.5% drop
Blocks/hour 4.85 / 742 s 466 blocks >>>>>>>>> 4.85/6 = 0.808 or a 19.2% drop
these numbers may mean we do -5% in 4 days or so.
lol you guys keep making fools of yourself by calling difficulty every time dont you?
I swear i can make better prediction by just flipping a coin.
3.5% vs -2.5% .....so close.
I swear i can make better prediction by just flipping a coin.
3.5% vs -2.5% .....so close.
Some one should do a study to verify there is a correlation between trust level and rude, inflammatory, adolescent forum member posts.
im pretty sure there is a STRONG correlation between "trust<1" and "ignore button use"
looks like block times are sliding a bit, possibly people realizing that the price isnt going back to $300 very soon. if it keeps up for another 2-3 days we'll see something close to -3.8% (which is good in my books - ill mine and hold some coins for the eventual price spike (a 1-yr bear market is pretty extraordinary for bitcoin, but i doubt it can drag on for another year without going bust or shooting past $600 when regulations become clearer
...
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
...
Blocks/hour 4.92 / 732 s 523 blocks >>>>>>> 4.92/6 = 0.82 or an 18% drop short term.
Blocks/hour 5.28 / 682 s 508 blocks >>>>>>> 5.28/6= 0.88 or a 12% drop
...
this number bears watching is has been way down some what up and now way down.
... I will try to post back on this every few hours.
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
...
Blocks/hour 4.92 / 732 s 523 blocks >>>>>>> 4.92/6 = 0.82 or an 18% drop short term.
Blocks/hour 5.28 / 682 s 508 blocks >>>>>>> 5.28/6= 0.88 or a 12% drop
...
this number bears watching is has been way down some what up and now way down.
... I will try to post back on this every few hours.
Still quite low. MY thoughts are keep looking at this number. If it was to stay at 6 diff is 0.
lol you guys keep making fools of yourself by calling difficulty every time dont you?
I swear i can make better prediction by just flipping a coin.
3.5% vs -2.5% .....so close.
I swear i can make better prediction by just flipping a coin.
3.5% vs -2.5% .....so close.
Some one should do a study to verify there is a correlation between trust level and rude, inflammatory, adolescent forum member posts.
bitcoincharts
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
is really trending down
Blocks 340181
Total BTC 13.755M
Difficulty 43971662056
Estimated 42144271728 in 523 blks (-4.15%)
Network total 257852.098 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 4.92 / 732 s >>>>>>> 4.92/6 = 0.82 or an 18% drop short term.
this number bears watching is has been way down some what up and now way down.
only 523 blocks to go. I will try to post back on this every few hours.
http://www.bitcoincharts.com/
is really trending down
Blocks 340181
Total BTC 13.755M
Difficulty 43971662056
Estimated 42144271728 in 523 blks (-4.15%)
Network total 257852.098 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 4.92 / 732 s >>>>>>> 4.92/6 = 0.82 or an 18% drop short term.
this number bears watching is has been way down some what up and now way down.
only 523 blocks to go. I will try to post back on this every few hours.
Looks like a fairly good drop. The 504-block line on bitcoinwisdom has taken a dive and with ~500 blocks to go we have roughly this for the first three 500-block segments:
-4%
-2%
-5%
We should end up below -4%.
-4%
-2%
-5%
We should end up below -4%.
I'll bet this is variance. If you look at this chart http://bitcoin.sipa.be/speed-lin-2k.png the hashrate didn't even touch Jan 13th lows and is rising again.
Seems likely, but the problem is that there's absolutely no way to tell other than with the benefit of hindsight in several weeks time :-) The only thing we can say is that we're well within the normal variance distribution. The 8% last time is starting to look like it was probably an overshoot but even that's still unclear at this point.
Jump to: