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Topic: John Nash created bitcoin (Read 22254 times)

full member
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May 03, 2017, 12:46:28 PM
Bitcoin's whales are "new riches" made in 2 or 3 years time, contrary to the long (and half-religious) history  of gold.  This is not going to be socially accepted, the seigniorage is too large.

You need to understand, that...

1. The rothschilds want an orderly adoption of bitcoin and orderly transition (from current system to the next).
2. Any adoption/transition that is abrupt and disorderly will disrupt transition from current system to the next (which could be overtaken by gold/silver).

And that is why we see bitcoin emerges in 2009 and trigger adoptions gradually and orderly throughout the years.
You may say the seigniorage is too large but this is unavoidable as the rothschilds want an orderly adoption, or else their plan may fail.
Once bitcoin becomes the world's settlement currency, everyone will accept it no matter how large is the seigniorage.
Today's banking system has very much tied people to itself and nothing can exist without the influence of the Bank. So a large family keeps all the financial flows of the world and unequivocal manage the whole world and even ordinary people. Perhaps Bitcoin is the solution to the problem and become more free.
sr. member
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May 03, 2017, 09:09:04 AM
Man! this is good good kind of insane!  Cool
sr. member
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April 27, 2017, 03:12:54 PM
I agree with $500,000 prediction being too high, even $100,000 is still to high. Gold is a 5000 year asset, no way Bitcoin will surpass it in 13 years from now, just not possible! Sorry, but it's nonsense.

Really 500,000$ is almost next to impossible for the bitcoin to attain such a price, not even in decade. We are only 1200$ dollars now and 500,000 is like a dream which may never come true.  I think we should be realistic in predicting the prices.

Incorrect!

Read the fucking thread before you post. I am not your damn secretary!

All the $billionaires and $trillionaires will be doing their settlement in BTC.

It will be $500,000 per BTC.

That is obvious.

You don't seem to understand money very well. And I am not going to write a treatise here. It isn't my responsibility to fix your ignorance about money. I say this forcefully because it behooves you to do some learning so you stop spouting off incorrect judgments.

You said this in that other thread where the first Snapchat investor said it's going $500,000 by 2030, that you agree with that prediction.

2030 is 13 years from now

Current price: $1200

That's $498,800 to go in 13 years, which according to my third grade math means BTC should raise around $38369 per year if your theory is correct.

Isn't this a bit nuts? How can BTC grow so much in 13 years? It would need to go parabolic in an unprecedented way. It would redefine the meaning of going parabolic. Nothing ever has grown this much, not even Berkshire Hathaway Class A stock. We are looking at insane levels of growth in a parabolic way in the last 3 years before 2030 is hit and by the time the curve of coin release starts being flat:



So if this is of any guidance, by about 2025 we would need to start seeing some serious shit, like legit insanity of price growth. And I say parabolic, because I don't see anything near $38369 per year happening any time soon if the growth was more or less linear, so it must be next-level parabolic. We would need to be seeing gold whales, stock whales, fiat whales, everything, moving money onto bitcoin to hodl there (or transact within the blockchain but never leaving BTC).

We are talking about 5 figures of growth per day in the last period... this is insane and would cause heart attacks left and right from hodlers that become rich in such a extreme way.

We are looking at current mega whales (considering they don't sell along the way) becoming the richest men on earth, maybe surpassing Rotchilds? I don't know how many BTC the mega rpietila and MP tier whales have, but at $500,000 per BTC they would become stupid rich, maybe first trillionaires ever (as a single guy owning +trillion).

I don't know, the growth required for $500,000 in 13 years seems too much. It would be something never seen before, books would be written about it, kids would learn about it in schools. It would be all over the planet, minds would explode, people that didn't buy at $1000 would hang themselves with a belt.

"The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function". Al Barlett on Growth and Sustainability

Compute: (500000÷1200)(1÷13) = 1.59

Thus to reach $500,000 in 13 years from a starting price of $1200, a compounded rise in price of 59% per year is all that is required.

Do you understand now why I think @dinofelis is very mathematically near-sighted.

The chart you showed is not constant compounded growth, but rather logistic growth. Indeed we should expect Bitcoin to be logistic, because nothing can grow at a constant exponential rate forever. Since the $10 entry price in early 2013 to the recent $1300 price, Bitcoin has averaged 237% gain per year compounded. So we can see that Bitcoin's price is rising much faster than 59% per year right now and so by 2030 the price rise can slow down to much less than 59% per year and still reach $500,000. I believe @rpietila did some logistic models of potential BTC prices.

If we assume a 75% compounded rate (for the equivalent logistic model) from now until 2024, then the BTC price will rise 50X, thus $60,000 and the market cap will be $1.2 trillion.

Of course no one can surpass the elite in BTC wealth, because they mined most of the first 10.5 million Bitcoins.

Most of us won't have enough BTC to stay on chain that long so we will be kicked out to currencies (altcoins or what ever) which are regulated and many of us will have our wealth confiscated by governments gone bezerk with the severe sovereign debt collapse that Bitcoin is going to help cause and make severe.

You say you won't give your private keys, but the government can throw you in jail and torture you. Also I expect by 2024 or so, the elite will have control over the mining and can blacklist addresses they want to.

Why would the elite want to create thousands of new trillionairs?

They aren't. See above.

Why would trillionares need BTC when they own offshore banks?

Offshore banks aren't a reserve currency.

ME SOCIAL SECURITY CHECK IS ESTIMATE TO BE $1000 TODAY.

THAT WILL BUY 1 GALLON GAS FOR ME ELECTRIC CAR IN 2030.

I USE LEFT OVER WHEELBARRAL OF USD IN FIREPLACE TO HEAT HOUSE.
sr. member
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April 26, 2017, 06:05:15 AM
Bitcoin's whales are "new riches" made in 2 or 3 years time, contrary to the long (and half-religious) history  of gold.  This is not going to be socially accepted, the seigniorage is too large.

You need to understand, that...

1. The rothschilds want an orderly adoption of bitcoin and orderly transition (from current system to the next).
2. Any adoption/transition that is abrupt and disorderly will disrupt transition from current system to the next (which could be overtaken by gold/silver).

And that is why we see bitcoin emerges in 2009 and trigger adoptions gradually and orderly throughout the years.
You may say the seigniorage is too large but this is unavoidable as the rothschilds want an orderly adoption, or else their plan may fail.
Once bitcoin becomes the world's settlement currency, everyone will accept it no matter how large is the seigniorage.
sr. member
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Best IoT Platform Based on Blockchain
April 26, 2017, 05:24:02 AM
I don't think it ever happened in history that a currency would be printed by someone in his basement and gain international level and super high price, without being backed by any kind of group with an agenda, nothing get anywhere if there are not people who are mobilized to make it happen.

Good for you to know this.

If bitcoin was developed by some unknown average joe jap guy, it would not go so unchallenged by the governments and banks like we see so unchallenged with bitcoin.

Whether bitcoin is ideal or otherwise is irrelevant.

As long as it serves the interests of the rothschilds et. al., then it will last, until it doesn't.

dinofelis said he was passionate in promoting bitcoin on his own.
I am curious whether his passion was started before/after there was price-making mechanism in place (i.e. Mt. Gox).
If it was before, then he was truly passionate.
If it was after, then it was due to the price (not because bitcoin has potential vs tyrants or banksters).
full member
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They're tactical
April 26, 2017, 04:47:16 AM
The idea of having copy of transaction in itself why not, but it's not even really exploitable as such to have a true decentralized network ( in the distributed processing sense), as it would need to open the rpc port and services also too, and that nodes can be reached also from application who need to use the rpc interface, but it's not even really the case, and the fact that node also are used as wallet to store private keys and doing operation on them also obfuscate the actual purpose and function of nodes, are they single user wallets, or are they public multi user server, the whole architecture on this regard is not very clear. And it doesn't help the development of bitcoin as truly distributed platform. And in the end most of the services end up off chain, and nobody run a node, or even a wallet Smiley
hero member
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April 26, 2017, 04:18:04 AM
The problem in the bottom is confusion between decentralized authority and decentralized computational power / task.

The two are a very different problem.

Absolutely !  "decentralisation" is about politics and decision power ; "distributed" is about the practical organisation of having geographically/topologically spread processing/storage locations.

Amazon's data centres are distributed ; but they are entirely centralized under Amazon's CEO's decision power.

You could, on the other hand, have a lot of mining of a crypto done in the same data centre, but under the decision power of many different people, independent of one another in their decisions: that would be a decentralized, but non-distributed, system.

Quote
But the whole issue is obfuscated by this whole debate with block size who are supposed 'scale' the network, but it won't scale anything, most of the computational power is in fact centralized, and only the work of one node will actually be used in the actual blockchain.

I think that bitcoin's idea was an extremely bright attempt, but simply "didn't cut it".  There were very good ideas in bitcoin, but some fundamental issues, pointed out from the start, were not addressed.

The very idea that every user would need a copy of the list of all transactions everywhere, ever done, world wide, is not thinkable for quite some while, technologically speaking.  As such, a compromise needs to be found, where only *some* users keep this copy, and others (most) are at their mercy.  The other idea, that a kind of rewarded lottery is going to organize a competition to who will be the next one that at the same time can collect a reward, and decide upon the to-be-generalized consensus on past transactions, and in doing so is also going to cryptographically secure the list, was automatically going to lead, through economies of scale, to a small oligarchy of miners, to be compared to the board of governors of the central bank.
Finally, the "sound money doctrine", and the consequences of a lot of coin printing in the beginning when it was cheap, with reduced printing of coins when it becomes more expensive, is fuelling a mega-deflationary spiral better known under the name of "HODLING", which will give the mother of all seigniorage to some early adopters possessing significant fractions of the total stash.  Finally, bitcoin's transparent transaction scheme is a privacy's worst night mare.

So in the end, bitcoin is naturally heading to the entire opposite of its announced purpose: it will be a totally centralized financial entity, more tightly controlled than any central bank, by an obscure oligarchy of people without any kind of political mandate or democratic control ; its deflationary spiral will make it essentially useless as a currency an a day-to-day usage, but will be a boon for financial speculators ; it will have created, through immense seigniorage, a small and obscure financial elite of doubtful intend of a kind that ridicules even the Bill Gates' type of fortune, and it will be a tool for total control on the slightest of your financial activities through the analysis of a transparent block chain and a full control of everything you ever do.

Whether this was on purpose or because of a bright but not good enough design, I leave in the middle.
full member
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They're tactical
April 26, 2017, 03:54:53 AM
seigniorage <---- Key concept here....that's the cheat!  

But all bitcoin early holders are also profiting from delayed seigniorage.  They obtained coins which were easy to mine (money that was easy to print) and it is now worth much more.  All deflationary currencies bring delayed seigniorage to their early holders.  In fact, almost all of bitcoin, and almost all of crypto, is living off the speculative effects of delayed seigniorage (cheaper printing than later market price).

There would have been a way in bitcoin to make seigniorage disappear: namely NOT INCREASE THE DIFFICULTY more than Moore's law, and keeping the block reward constant (tail emission).  You would then have a coin of which the value would remain constant, and equal to the (economic) work spent on it.  That is, if on average it would cost, say, 10 cents to mine a bitcoin in cost of proof of work, that would be about its market value, and would remain so, because if it increased, people would simply mine more of them, instead of paying more for them.  All of its seigniorage would be burned by PoW.  This is not the case in bitcoin, because as bitcoin's value is appreciating, the early mined coins were made with much less mining costs than their value, being similar to printed money in a way.

But bitcoin was not designed as an ideal money keeping its value almost constant, it was designed as a deflationary speculative asset, with delayed seigniorage, to profit early adopters, and blow a greater-fool bubble that way.


I follow what you are saying....However, I think that there is an underestimated, not well defined, and often overlooked value that is inherent in the decentralized distributed economies that is not being considered adequately.  Specifically, the potential of networking and the innovations that monetizing its creation motivates are only recently being considered....After all, aren't the goods and services which a currency attracts what make that currency confidently revolve?  Aren't some object's value greater then the sum of the value of their parts?  Shouldn't some form of harmonic mean be applied, if so, what progression?  Those are only a few of the many questions that are being evaluated while considering the potentials of big data and advanced analytics....Isn't the question much bigger?  Are the true potentials of the decentralized distributed economies understood well enough to make quantitative judgements based on antiquated understandings?

It's exactly the kind of problematics i'm working on, and i wanted to answer also something along side this line Smiley

The problem in the bottom is confusion between decentralized authority and decentralized computational power / task.

The two are a very different problem.

The pow thing is supposed to distribute authority through a distributed proof of work, but most of the computational work done by node is actually very poorly decentralized / distributed ( aka scalable).

But the whole issue is obfuscated by this whole debate with block size who are supposed 'scale' the network, but it won't scale anything, most of the computational power is in fact centralized, and only the work of one node will actually be used in the actual blockchain.

But decentralized work aka distributed application can work also with centralized authority, but the two problematics are often confused and put together, ethereum also added to this confusion.

But it's exactly the kind of problematic i'm working on, to have decentralized system able to provide services via html5 application and http API.

But the way bitcoin node are programmed is not that good to really get to the next step, because it's very monolithic, and though as some sort of swiss army knife to solve everything in once, both the server 'full node' aspect, the rpc server aspect for web apps, and the wallet for standalone app, plus mining software etc, the economic interest switched weirdly not in favor of developping more the decentralized economy aspect, but more centralizing risk and profits on mining pools and via trading logic.

But there are clearly good things to be done with decentralized economy, with distribued application / services who can work with blockchain as a paiment system, or system to store distributed ledger of public data / reccord, which can be useful for many things, and can probbably create new economies Smiley

But i don't think bitcoin development is very oriented toward this for the moment, more on the debate with the block size and segwit and speculative market on alt coin etc =)
legendary
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April 25, 2017, 08:01:19 PM
seigniorage <---- Key concept here....that's the cheat!  

But all bitcoin early holders are also profiting from delayed seigniorage.  They obtained coins which were easy to mine (money that was easy to print) and it is now worth much more.  All deflationary currencies bring delayed seigniorage to their early holders.  In fact, almost all of bitcoin, and almost all of crypto, is living off the speculative effects of delayed seigniorage (cheaper printing than later market price).

There would have been a way in bitcoin to make seigniorage disappear: namely NOT INCREASE THE DIFFICULTY more than Moore's law, and keeping the block reward constant (tail emission).  You would then have a coin of which the value would remain constant, and equal to the (economic) work spent on it.  That is, if on average it would cost, say, 10 cents to mine a bitcoin in cost of proof of work, that would be about its market value, and would remain so, because if it increased, people would simply mine more of them, instead of paying more for them.  All of its seigniorage would be burned by PoW.  This is not the case in bitcoin, because as bitcoin's value is appreciating, the early mined coins were made with much less mining costs than their value, being similar to printed money in a way.

But bitcoin was not designed as an ideal money keeping its value almost constant, it was designed as a deflationary speculative asset, with delayed seigniorage, to profit early adopters, and blow a greater-fool bubble that way.


I follow what you are saying....However, I think that there is an underestimated, not well defined, and often overlooked value that is inherent in the decentralized distributed economies that is not being considered adequately.  Specifically, the potential of networking and the innovations that monetizing its creation motivates are only recently being considered....After all, aren't the goods and services which a currency attracts what make that currency confidently revolve?  Aren't some object's value greater then the sum of the value of their parts?  Shouldn't some form of harmonic mean be applied, if so, what progression?  Those are only a few of the many questions that are being evaluated while considering the potentials of big data and advanced analytics....Isn't the question much larger?  Are the true potentials of the decentralized distributed economies understood well enough to make quantitative judgments based on antiquated understandings?
hero member
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April 24, 2017, 04:26:10 AM
@dinofelis' lies, insults, and erroneous arrogance in this thread have been refuted here.

It is not because I won't explain 20 more times where most of your arguments are not rebuttals of what I write, that you must qualify my points as lies.  BTW, I'm perfectly capable of recognizing when you are right:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/changing-signature-scheme-in-bitcoin-1884292

I told you many times my way of using this forum: posting my understanding at a certain point of things in a rather strongly affirmative way, and see if this can provoke sensible arguments made against it, that may improve my understanding of things. That's your and all other forum participant's only use for me. Your replies, apart from the thread I quote above, didn't reach the level of pertinence needed for me to learn from it, this is why I stop discussing those points, which were running in circles.  I wasn't winning anything from them.  And as I believe in free speech, I don't like self-moderated threads, even though I may inadvertently post in some by mistake.  Until recently, I didn't pay attention to that, but since Lauda censored me, I now do.

PS: as to "insults and arrogance" I don't think I will ever reach your level of mastership and its utility escapes me.  I don't remember often insulting people, because that is not going to increase their productivity of answers for me in most cases, so why would I do that ?  Can you show me a lot of insults on my part, because I don't really want to do that.
AGD
legendary
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Keeper of the Private Key
April 23, 2017, 04:35:49 AM
Only a few we know about bitcoin this. The truth is in satoshi nakamoto. Something like it would probably references to a wreath

Comments like yours are a good example of how sig spammers are using sensless posts to get up in ranking. Mind if I quote this crap once in a while for educational purpose?

(edit: I might not be able to read your answer, because the "Ignore" feature makes it difficult.)
full member
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April 23, 2017, 04:07:27 AM
It's always like this, bitcoin would be the first, and it doesnt look like it's out of some kind of academicians comitee in government or Europe or financial institutions with clear economic theory behind.

I think the economic theory behind bitcoin is extremely clear: it is the "sound money doctrine".  The gold bugs ideology in other words, but with that difference (which, in my opinion, will kill it) that there are a few extremely rich gold bugs from the start, which get their wealth on paper by the influx of newcomers.  The difference with real gold is that the system itself is a money hog with an increasing amount of friction.    Bitcoin's whales are "new riches" made in 2 or 3 years time, contrary to the long (and half-religious) history  of gold.  This is not going to be socially accepted, the seigniorage is too large.    The "inverse emission model" with a lot of cheap mining in the beginning, when the circle of those that knew was ridiculously small, and the diminishing emission when its price was increasing, gives a socially unacceptable seigniorage distribution, which has all the aspects that are needed for a huge greater-fool speculative bubble, giving rise to hoarding, and a market liquidity which is rather small.  This looks more like black tulips than money.  In the mean time, however, the influx of fresh blood ("adoption") is financing all this.  Until it won't.



Some would say currency is always a form of religion, if religion are taken in the sense of a binding between different persons based on common belief in how each other should behave, there is always a religious thinking behind monetary system, and even regarding the amount of pseudo fanatism around bitcoin, it can still be sign there is something going on, and i doubt this fanatism is created by this idea of bitcoin Smiley
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April 22, 2017, 01:51:23 PM
Only a few we know about bitcoin this. The truth is in satoshi nakamoto. Something like it would probably references to a wreath
hero member
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April 22, 2017, 10:24:10 AM
It's always like this, bitcoin would be the first, and it doesnt look like it's out of some kind of academicians comitee in government or Europe or financial institutions with clear economic theory behind.

I think the economic theory behind bitcoin is extremely clear: it is the "sound money doctrine".  The gold bugs ideology in other words, but with that difference (which, in my opinion, will kill it) that there are a few extremely rich gold bugs from the start, which get their wealth on paper by the influx of newcomers.  The difference with real gold is that the system itself is a money hog with an increasing amount of friction.    Bitcoin's whales are "new riches" made in 2 or 3 years time, contrary to the long (and half-religious) history  of gold.  This is not going to be socially accepted, the seigniorage is too large.    The "inverse emission model" with a lot of cheap mining in the beginning, when the circle of those that knew was ridiculously small, and the diminishing emission when its price was increasing, gives a socially unacceptable seigniorage distribution, which has all the aspects that are needed for a huge greater-fool speculative bubble, giving rise to hoarding, and a market liquidity which is rather small.  This looks more like black tulips than money.  In the mean time, however, the influx of fresh blood ("adoption") is financing all this.  Until it won't.

full member
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April 22, 2017, 06:19:53 AM
It's interesting to see the history of uk with this, and god know they love their currency lol even John nash lived and studied there, half of the royal family are bankster  from nederland, who changed their name to get nobility title within royal familles, and lead to protestant revolution, and all the free market ideology come from there.

with the euro maybe they tried to make currency more rational or based on economic theory supposed to be neutral, but it's bit tanking currently, and many people study the impact of currency change, and free market ideology, and speak about such agenda behind euro, it's hard to untangle from economic and political interest.

But most other money have political / religious agenda, or are part of some kind of "civilisation plan", including also improving natural state, being part of something bigger, like uss entreprise lol

There was a guru India who wanted to make his own money to help developping country, but he got réputation of cult leader, but he had some kind of agenda with also politics and economics and religion.


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Country_of_World_Peace#Currency Cheesy

Raam is a bearer bond and local currency issued by Global Country of World Peace.[10][11] It was designed for the development of agricultural projects and to combat poverty in third world countries.[10] As of 2003, it had limited acceptance in some European and U.S. cities. The currency has been used in Iowa and has been also given approval in The Netherlands where more than 100 Dutch shops, department store chains, in 30 villages and cities, are using the notes at a fixed rate of 10 euros per raam.[11]

It's always like this, bitcoin would be the first, and it doesnt look like it's out of some kind of academicians comitee in government or Europe or financial institutions with clear economic theory behind.
hero member
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April 22, 2017, 05:02:33 AM
I still wanted to bounce also on dorky post, and the relation between occultism and money emission that is also hard to completely brush out Smiley

Even all the way back down to egypt, gold was associated with god(s) and ruler, same with roman empire, and in middle age most banks were either templar or vatican, with islam it's same and money is always related to a form of empire, after with revolution and the protestant the money was made by colonial powers and empire, and usually, money is always 'stamped' with something, either it's a pyramid, or great thinker of the light revolution in europe, all the modern money is related with certain society, and it's always like this since the beginning =)


There's a very interesting read on that in "Debt, the first 5000 years", by Graeber.   In times of prosperity and peace, money is mainly a form of debt ; in times of empires and wars, gold and other hard commodity types of money become dominant because there's no trust to be had.  And in almost all cases, "authorities" (religious and/or state) have their heavy hand in monetary affairs.
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April 22, 2017, 04:33:52 AM
I still wanted to bounce also on dorky post, and the relation between occultism and money emission that is also hard to completely brush out Smiley

Even all the way back down to egypt, gold was associated with god(s) and ruler, same with roman empire, and in middle age most banks were either templar or vatican, with islam it's same and money is always related to a form of empire, after with revolution and the protestant the money was made by colonial powers and empire, and usually, money is always 'stamped' with something, either it's a pyramid, or great thinker of the light revolution in europe, all the modern money is related with certain society, and it's always like this since the beginning =)

It's not so illegitimate to wonder who is printing the bitcoin all together, as it's not stamped with anything, and there is no obvious connection to a corporation or government or group with known ideology or goal, so it's hard to know for sure if there is such objective behind, but it's not so easy to brush out either =)

Funny thing is, again not to scream to conspiracy, but i just saw few post from reptilia who is as far as i understand one of the big whale of bitcoin, i saw a post he made in the crypto kindgom thread, speaking about the key and the lock, remind me of something lol with the most serene republic and all this Smiley as i said it's not to scream conspiracy, it just make me laugth, and i can't say anything for sure, and i don't really care, but there are still always the same pattern lol

There are some video of mark passio on youtube, some of them are interesting, and from what i understand, originally he is an IT guy, and also was involved with occult group and more or less defected and he is making conferences talking about occult but he is very interesting on certain things =) he know his topic very well =)

Well it's very long to watch because it's 3 part of 2h, but he explain many things about the deep relation between money and the occult =)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4r8nEx3L3Vg

As parenthesis, it's also funny how nowday neurology is potentially completely changing the deal on how we can study the mind, and historically the mind as always been considered as separated from the material world, and are two different field of study, and even in neurology they start to acknowledge this, but i'm pretty sure it will soon bridge many cap between occult knowledge and science, when it come to predicting or controlling, or influencing people behavior, either it's with marketting, or propaganda.

And must not also underestimate the amount of people who really turned paranoiac in the past 20 year in various kind of activist scene, like assage for example, but it's also symptomatic of things at bigger scale, like "anonymous" group, and many group started to organize in very underground manner in various areas, specially with internet and dark net, and there are lot of people who also study the mechanism of power, and money, and many movie has been made like zeitgeist or other by various activist motion who are also found as reference f or "anonymous" groups, or all kind of theory on banking and money and secret societies, lot of theory like this came up, and many activist group in the world hacking really went paranoiac, especially since the escalation of trouble since 9/11, arab spring, all the wars and stuff, and this kind of person start to know how to make plan and how to anticipate certain reaction, even assange it's know they blocked his paypal account, they blocked his banking, in certain environment it's things that they can see coming too.

Assange also wrote very well about the necessity of secrecy if you want a plan to succeed, because keeping a plan secret take power away from people who don't know about it, and it remove many variable from the equation , and it's also a pattern always seen in the military and secret service to compartimentalize information and keep certain things secret, this culture of secrecy is found also more and more in many different groups, either they are occult or not.

Historically the control of money always been related to knowledge of the occult, and culture of being able to improve on nature by certain skill or craft, either it's to build castle, or temple, or trading, or politics it's always the product of practicing a certain craft or skill, and money is printed as a form of recognition of capacity to improve nature by the practice of a certain craft or work, in exchange of currency who give access to things produced by the same network of persons.

I don't think it ever happened in history that a currency would be printed by someone in his basement and gain international level and super high price, without being backed by any kind of group with an agenda, nothing get anywhere if there are not people who are mobilized to make it happen.

Either the original plan is lost now, and it's just become locked in some kind of unsolvable game theory, or it just got 'bought back' along the way, or it's just following the plan as foresaw since the beginning it's hard to say, it's hard to say if the agenda of the whale for which they invest into bitcoin is the same than the original idea of "satoshi", or if it was something out of secret socities , or shadow banking, or italian mafia, or even a government like china or russia, or just a guy in his basement, maybe at the beginning, but then it's becoming something else, and it's not easy to rule out that there are still a plan with it even if it's not what was intented since the beginning Smiley

In a way i see this thread as a way to bring back a bit of idealism into the bitcoin paradigm after all the issues that happened with either mt gox, dao, and all the totally unethical moves that become more and more common, with shady plan and conspiracy everywhere lol

It's not so easy to tell lol

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April 21, 2017, 02:23:02 AM
You have totally lost sight of the original purpose of money.
Money does not derive its value from its cost of production, or else it is not money but commodity.

That is not what I'm saying.  Of course money doesn't DERIVE its value from its cost of production.  It derives its value from the monetary belief system that it carries, the recursive belief that you can accept money against value, because others believe that they can accept money against value, because they believe that others believe that....

But if you want to avoid SEIGNIORAGE, there are only two solutions: use money that "always existed" (like gold) ; or make new money, and do that in such a way that the maker of it, needs to destroy/deliver the amount of value that it represents.

There are two ways of doing that:  
1) the fiat system way: create money against a backing (like a mortgage).
2) destroying as much value of the money you create (PoW).

If you don't do that, you get seigniorage (direct seigniorage, or delayed seigniorage, that is to say, you can fabricate money and obtain directly more value than you needed to spend/back for it (counterfeiting for instance) ; or you can fabricate money now, and obtain more value than you needed to spend/back for it LATER --> bitcoin).

The reason why, in my earlier example, the coin wouldn't gain any value beyond the PoW needed to make it, is that obviously, nobody would provide more value to obtain it though exchange, than the value needed to sacrifice to make new coins.  What I forgot to specify, however, and which may have (correctly) triggered your remark, is that most probably, that coin would simply be worthless.

But that is because there's no real demand for "internet money" apart from some niche applications like dark markets, and that  crypto is mainly a greater-fool token, not a monetary token (it is, but to much lesser extend).  As such a coin would of course not promise to get rich, nobody would "invest" in it.

If there were a demand for "internet money" then such a system would be near ideal money (in the Nash sense).


sr. member
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April 21, 2017, 12:34:43 AM
I am doubtful of most people that claim to know money, can actually visualize a prosperous + advancing world without money as a possibility.
sr. member
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April 21, 2017, 12:29:24 AM
But all bitcoin early holders are also profiting from delayed seigniorage.  They obtained coins which were easy to mine (money that was easy to print) and it is now worth much more.  All deflationary currencies bring delayed seigniorage to their early holders.  In fact, almost all of bitcoin, and almost all of crypto, is living off the speculative effects of delayed seigniorage (cheaper printing than later market price).

There would have been a way in bitcoin to make seigniorage disappear: namely NOT INCREASE THE DIFFICULTY more than Moore's law, and keeping the block reward constant (tail emission).  You would then have a coin of which the value would remain constant, and equal to the (economic) work spent on it.  That is, if on average it would cost, say, 10 cents to mine a bitcoin in cost of proof of work, that would be about its market value, and would remain so, because if it increased, people would simply mine more of them, instead of paying more for them.  All of its seigniorage would be burned by PoW.  This is not the case in bitcoin, because as bitcoin's value is appreciating, the early mined coins were made with much less mining costs than their value, being similar to printed money in a way.

But bitcoin was not designed as an ideal money keeping its value almost constant, it was designed as a deflationary speculative asset, with delayed seigniorage, to profit early adopters, and blow a greater-fool bubble that way.


You have totally lost sight of the original purpose of money.
Money does not derive its value from its cost of production, or else it is not money but commodity.
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