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Topic: Just-Dice.com : Invest in 1% House Edge Dice Game - page 114. (Read 435353 times)

legendary
Activity: 1134
Merit: 1118
So Nakowa is playing again at JD? Didn't he say he would quit to play there?

I think the word you're looking for is "compulsive gambler".

IMHO he is not a ...........CG , he knows what he is doing

You're crazy if you truly think that.

sorry but You are one of many dreamers here in this thread IMHO (no offense), with no clue what is possible in 2013


Then please enlighten me...

As a student of gambling, and one who personally know people to have made and lose millions of dollars I heard it all already...Please share. What exactly is this "system" he has. Martingale? That's a losing one. Did he "create" it? It's a loser as well. As long as the house has an edge in the long term he losing.

The only "system" is a cheating one.

The only "system" is a cheating one.
Agree 100% and please let me add that one should never neglect the possibility of a cheat!

could You please explain what it means to be a student of gambling? You are welcome to explain it with a PM

thanks

No need.

Took classes in college. Know people in the industry. Gambling comes down to two thing: The odds and the payouts. That's it. As long as the payout is less than the odds you are taking, in the long term you are loser.

A simple example. Rolling dice. If you pick one number, the odds are 1 in 6. To be even and fair, a casino should pay out 6x your bet. But casinos are a business and instead may only pay out 4x. That payout is what gives the casino the edge. This dice game is no different, but they are giving nearly 1:1 for your money and most professional gamblers would go crazy for a 1% edge. Craps, Baccarat, Blackjacks (you can have a +1% edge if you know how to count cards and the casino owners can ask you leave) having the lowest edge are some of the popular games people play.

While Nakowa can potentially make a fortune and bankrupt JD, it's far more probable with the 1% edge the house he won't the longer he plays. But it's clear he's a compulsive gambler and as one, I know he is going to fall victim to one of the basic elements of human nature: greed.

He can't win forever, but he will continue to play. Ultimately he will lose.

Not ultimately. If JD has a bad luck streak, a 1% edge isn't going to stop them from going bankrupt. Saying that, at the moment JD isn't that deep in negative profit, so it will probably make it's profit back.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
So now would be a wise time to invest?


Maybe, maybe not ^^

He is still playing and lost 1.5 k coins. So maybe wait a little?
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
NO. Nakowa is not doing max profit bets, so 1/4 or 1/2 Kelly is irrelevant, he could do bets of the same size at 1/4.

Max profit = 188 btc.
His bets = 171.7986... (max)


It is still close.

Right now yes, because the roll is shrinking. But for many hours his biggest bet has been 132 BTC and max profit was +230 BTC.

So now would be a wise time to invest?

The dice is RANDOM. There's no better or worse time to invest/divest.

NO. Nakowa is not doing max profit bets, so 1/4 or 1/2 Kelly is irrelevant, he could do bets of the same size at 1/4.

Nope still doing 170 with 188 max bet. The chances of him cheating is increasing by the minute. Stay open minded and objective, and hopefully you be one of the first to realize what is going on here. Good luck!  Grin

There's absolutely NOTHING that indicates he is cheating. The wild swings he is experiencing looks 100% legit. Look at how he plays, its just a completely random walk.
sr. member
Activity: 465
Merit: 254
NO. Nakowa is not doing max profit bets, so 1/4 or 1/2 Kelly is irrelevant, he could do bets of the same size at 1/4.

Nope still doing 170 with 188 max bet. The chances of him cheating is increasing by the minute. Stay open minded and objective, and hopefully you be one of the first to realize what is going on here. Let the math guide you my friend. Good luck!  Grin
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
I can tell you that today I've been up 10% on my investment, and right now down aprox. 15%.


I invested around 0 profit, and lost 10% Sad
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
So now would be a wise time to invest?
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
-5 k Tongue


I wonder, how much has the best suppliers on just-dice.com?
How much did he lose today? Smiley

I can tell you that today I've been up 10% on my investment, and right now down aprox. 15%.

sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
NO. Nakowa is not doing max profit bets, so 1/4 or 1/2 Kelly is irrelevant, he could do bets of the same size at 1/4.

Max profit = 188 btc.
His bets = 171.7986... (max)


It is still close.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
-5 k Tongue


I wonder, how much has the best suppliers on just-dice.com?
How much did he lose today? Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
I can't believe I'm about to say this....

We recovered 5000 at 0.25%, and as soon as doog puts it back to 0.50% we're down to -4000 again.

Hindsight saying 1/4 kelly is the only way ... is it possible?

NO. Nakowa is not doing max profit bets, so 1/4 or 1/2 Kelly is irrelevant, he could do bets of the same size at 1/4.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
-6k now
full member
Activity: 476
Merit: 100
I can't believe I'm about to say this....

We recovered 5000 at 0.25%, and as soon as doog puts it back to 0.50% we're down to -4000 again.

Hindsight saying 1/4 kelly is the only way ... is it possible?
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
And Nakowa took us to -5K

What a RIDE Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
2 different IDs are playing, not sure if it is the same guy:

FFs Ownz (105829)
berathea (161188)

Berathea is Nakowa

FFs Ownz is another guy who also got lucky and won 1,000BTC, but he is burning 'em.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
2 different IDs are playing, not sure if it is the same guy:

FFs Ownz (105829)
berathea (161188)
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1018
And -4K

Nakowa on a winning strike

He started playing at -1K, lost big till we went to +4K, now took us down to -4K

What a show.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
What happends if I invest now when house is at -2k. Do I start with loss ?

Or does it mean I get more profit when house get back to +4k?


No, your profit and loss only depends on when you invest, and other people ...
So, if you invest now, and the profit goes from -2k to -1k you will win money.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
What happends if I invest now when house is at -2k. Do I start with loss ?

Or does it mean I get more profit when house get back to +4k?
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
I invested and we lost thousands of btc...
Hopefully variance will help me to divest without losing money Sad
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
aaand we're at -1500.
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