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Topic: LargeCoin Pricing Announced; Taking Pre-Orders - page 3. (Read 30323 times)

legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1000
Any updates ?

Hoping they did not run off with all the moneys Huh
IIRC, all deposits were to be held in escrow, so there will be no "running off with all the moneys."

I think I found a listed address at one point, next time I'm in Vancouver maybe I should swing by.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Any updates ?

Hoping they did not run off with all the moneys Huh
newbie
Activity: 34
Merit: 0
I agree I was excited until I looked at the numbers and thought about the agreement.  

1. $4500 is enough to build a fake and run off with the pre-orders.
2. No one knows for sure you can accomplish this.
3. You have no reputation, or testimonials of your past accomplishments.
4. I want to see your face, and more of web presence with an address and phone number
5. You can't start small by selling low cost systems as part of building your rep between now and July?

Well, I hope you are not a fraud as I would love to buy a system.

I know that it doesn't prove anything, but during the past year ttul mentioned several times that they were working on an ASIC.

The "Long Con" is an art only the best scammers can pull off. I don't think this is a SCAM, but if it is, it's a good one.
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1026
Mining since 2010 & Hosting since 2012
You would have to hope that many miners will quit when the reward goes down.



Interesting question posed here.   What are the thoughts on this?   I have been doing calculations and have some interesting scenarios worked out.


Dalkore
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 1060
odd indeed, i want PHOTOS
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
At $15,000, that puts the miners in the "definitely more reasonable" zone. The offer has expired though (and they apparently took more than 25 preorders at that price too).

My guess is they will never sell a single unit @ $30K.  As you point out the math doesn't make any sense.  By the time they are beyond pre-orders; BFL should be caught up on back orders, possibly have rigbox out, the new FPGA upstart releasing products, new Lancelot board out, possibly a price cut on the quad ztek, and all FPGA makers looking towards 28nm Artix based miners at end of the year.

If it doesn't make sense now @ $30K in makes even less sense in a more competitive environment near the end of the year.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1036
LC rigs were at $15K - just FYI

aha, just found: "Okay, everyone. We've read the forums, and have carefully considered the ROI calculations that have been submitted by various of you. We have also talked to many of you by telephone. After much research and contemplation, we have decided to offer the first 25 customers who order a C200 unit by April 15 a 50% discount on our initial price of $30,000 per unit to ensure that we can establish trust with an initial group of customers." (https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.797876). I'm sure the responses they got to revise pricing were similar to my post.

At $15,000, that puts the miners in the "definitely more reasonable" zone. The offer has expired though (and they apparently took more than 25 preorders at that price too).
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1000
The impact of all 25 20Ghash/s ASIC rigs would be both significant but still small. In addition, the cost is too high for all but the very-long term risk-takers.

The current difficulty indicates a network hashrate of 10799 GHash/s.
You would be adding 500 GHash/s to that when all these rigs turn on.

Each 20GHash rig will increase the difficulty by 2793.
The current difficulty is 1508590. Each rig is still a drop in the bucket...

It would take $1,800,000 worth of LargeCoin rigs (60 of them) to mine 10% of the Bitcoins (5040 BTC a week, currently valued at $25200), while consuming 50A @ 120V doing it. The difficulty going up just 11.1% from such a purchase won't completely destroy the existing mining economy... You would have to hope that many miners will quit when the reward goes down.

It would take 143 weeks (2.7 years) of 25BTC/block mining to break even on your investment with free electricity, if the hashrate of the rest of the network and the exchange rate stayed the same (you could also get rich, or the Bitcoin economy could completely collapse). This is a risky investment unless you think value is going up up up. If you do, $30,000 will buy you 6125 BTC off MtGox right now; your Largecoin miner would only make that much after 145+ weeks of mining if nobody else turns on a mining rig.



LC rigs were at $15K - just FYI
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1036
The impact of all 25 20Ghash/s ASIC rigs would be both significant but still small. In addition, the cost is too high for all but the very-long term risk-takers.

The current difficulty indicates a network hashrate of 10799 GHash/s.
You would be adding 500 GHash/s to that when all these rigs turn on.

Each 20GHash rig will increase the difficulty by 2793.
The current difficulty is 1508590. Each rig is still a drop in the bucket...

It would take $1,800,000 worth of LargeCoin rigs (60 of them) to mine 10% of the Bitcoins (5040 BTC a week, currently valued at $25200), while consuming 50A @ 120V doing it. The difficulty going up just 11.1% from such a purchase won't completely destroy the existing mining economy... You would have to hope that many miners will quit when the reward goes down.

It would take 143 weeks (2.7 years) of 25BTC/block mining to break even on your investment with free electricity, if the hashrate of the rest of the network and the exchange rate stayed the same (you could also get rich, or the Bitcoin economy could completely collapse). This is a risky investment unless you think value is going up up up. If you do, $30,000 will buy you 6125 BTC off MtGox right now; your Largecoin miner would only make that much after 145+ weeks of mining if nobody else turns on a mining rig.

sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
And with more people making big cash ($) investments for larger FPGA and ASIC mining equipment, I believe there will be more downwards pressure on the Bitcoin.

My thinking is that a lot of relative small scale miners that only spent a few hundreds or a thousand dollars for their equipment are perfectly happy to keep their income in Bitcoin. While the ones that spent up to $15k or even more, have an urgent need to put those Bitcoin back on an exchange in order to sell them for $$$ to pay the bills.

In other words, while more large scale miners won't mean more Bitcoin on the market, we will have more people that put their Bitcoin up for sale for $$$.


I don't think there is a difference between small investor and large investor cashing out to pay bills, mainly because a small investor will have GPUs which actually cost more to run, while mine less bitcoins, a larger investor has better power efficiency so he has less bills to pay and mines more bitcoins.

And TBH I don't think miners make up the major economy of Bitcoin.
donator
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1007
Poor impulse control.
And with more people making big cash ($) investments for larger FPGA and ASIC mining equipment, I believe there will be more downwards pressure on the Bitcoin.

My thinking is that a lot of relative small scale miners that only spent a few hundreds or a thousand dollars for their equipment are perfectly happy to keep their income in Bitcoin. While the ones that spent up to $15k or even more, have an urgent need to put those Bitcoin back on an exchange in order to sell them for $$$ to pay the bills.

In other words, while more large scale miners won't mean more Bitcoin on the market, we will have more people that put their Bitcoin up for sale for $$$.



It might also increase the profitability of services that pay bills for bitcoin. I can pay my electricity bill in bitcoin, for example. If LargeCoin creates a large number of new farmboys out there they'll be keen to spend coin paying for things *without* using an exchange.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1000
And back on topic -- sent an e-mail yesterday and no response as of yet  Cry

EDIT - Got an e-mail early this morning (29 March) that they are finalizing details on the escrow details and engineering work continues...
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1000
Yeah - agreed with that you can get down to some very good numbers but it doesn't make sense yet...

Seasonic PSU X-Gold PSUs  - Check
Underclocked Sempron - Check
Bios - Will review further
Memclock - 180-300 (some cards aren't happy with 180)
USB Key - Check (BAMT)
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
D&T - 3 Mh/J - seriously?

It isn't easy but it is doable.  

Every little watt helps especially that last few tenths of a MH/J.
* 80Plus-Gold PSU
* 240V circuit (about 3% lower W than 120V)
* 4x5970s rig (high MH/S relative to host overhead)
* Underclocked and undervolted sempron
* Turn off what is not needed in BIOS
* Memclock down to 150
* Linux on USB key (no 100% CPU bug)
* Supplemental fans but not going to crazy (I dropped it back to 2x UltraKaze pulling instead of pushing)

Undervolting and underclocking the GPU you can get up to 4 MH/J but currently it is more profitable to run it at full voltage.  Still as those FPGA start to drive down price/difficulty it is nice to have the option to crank up the efficiency to squeeze that last little bit out of old old GPUs.


Still 2.5+ MH/J is solid.  I remember a thread some time back after the price crash when I got into arguments because some people thought getting >2.0 MH/J was just unrealistic.   Today 2.0 MH/J is just downright bad.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1000
Ours is 200A...

D&T - 3 Mh/J - seriously?  Mine are all above 2.5 and one at 2.7 - but barely.  That said, they all have 20-30W worth of 120x38mm Delta screamers on them...
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
You can check your breaker panel.  If you have a "mains" breaker (some panels don't) it should be rated below the current limit for wiring from your panel to power grid.  In US most homes have at least 100A, sometimes 200A, even older homes that haven't been upgraded should be good for 60A or so.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1001
Assuming 12kWh, is this even possible on a domestic electricity circuit under normal circumstances? (100 Amps @ 110V)

If not, then those 30 GH/s GPU farms are only fictional or very rare.


According to my household power monitor... our instantaneous water heater alone uses around 15kW.   
That thing is on a 3-phase 240V supply (Australia). 

I've seen household usage spike up to near 20kW - so I guess an electrician could put in circuits to supply a nice big GPU farm.

Not sure how well that would go *on top of* the already heavy usage of some households like this one though!
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
Assuming 12kWh, is this even possible on a domestic electricity circuit under normal circumstances? (is 100 Amps @ 110V about right??)

If not, then those 30 GH/s GPU farms are only fictional or very rare.


US mains are 240V (120V split phase).  Dropping in 240V outlets isn't that tough.  I made a DIY article a while back.   Also 2.5 MH/J is pretty crappy.  Optimized rigs can get closer to 3MH/J.  Still 12 KW on 240V mains is 50A but you would want to derate that 20% so you need about 60A of capacity.  A pair of NEMA L6-30R outlets will do the trick.

Still I would say non-botnet 30GH/s farms are pretty rare.  Antecdotally (and looking at pool stats) I would say even >10GH/s farms are relatively rare.
hero member
Activity: 489
Merit: 500
Immersionist
Assuming 12kWh, is this even possible on a domestic electricity circuit under normal circumstances? (is 100 Amps @ 110V about right??)

If not, then those 30 GH/s GPU farms are only fictional or very rare.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1000
Or another way to look at it...

The 30 Gh/s farm that was GPU powered was paying almost $900 a month on electric.

Assuming 2.5 Mh/J (hard to get much better) = 12,000 Watts @ $.10/Kwh = $876/month

Now same miner can achieve similar for 1/10th (using BFL) or 1/20th (using other FPGA) the power.  Now, the question of paying off the hardware ASAP is another issue and varies by individual.
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