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Topic: LargeCoin Pricing Announced; Taking Pre-Orders - page 9. (Read 30323 times)

donator
Activity: 532
Merit: 501
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Wow.

(Sorry for offtopic, but I really had to leave some ambiguous comment here)
donator
Activity: 1654
Merit: 1351
Creator of Litecoin. Cryptocurrency enthusiast.
15k is much more reasonable; also license file non time liked with out remote drm. I like the escrow in fact it's essential; why not 5k up front and then 1k per month with each payment you send a license file until 15k is paid. You could also come up with a formulae on price by incorporating the difficulty ratio at the time.

As others have mentioned with delivery in late July and block rewarding halving in Jan it does not leave much room for a decent payback period if btw does not substantially appreciate in early 2013

I know there is probably endless speculation regarding what will happen to the BTC exchange rate when the block reward is cut in half, but my own opinion is that the halving of the block reward will reduce supply therefore increasing the price - probably by enough to recoup the lost "revenue" from the cut in mining reward. Another consideration is that if the exchange rate fails to increase to recoup the halving of the mining reward, people mining inefficiently will leave the market, and those operating FPGA and ASIC based systems will reap a larger share of the mining rewards -- halved as they may be.

When I do these kind of calculations, I try not to take price into consideration by comparing this miner with buying bitcoins. With $30k now, I can buy 6000 bitcoins today at the $5/btc price right now. According to http://www.alloscomp.com/bitcoin/calculator.php at current difficulty (1496978.59503), 20 GHash/s earns you ฿408.51. Let's also assume difficulty stays constant. So from July to December, you will earn ฿2043 (5 * ฿408.51), then mining reward halves and you only make ฿204.25 a month. So it will take an additional 19+ months (19 * ฿204.25) to make back the remaining ฿3957. So at least 24 months to breakeven.

If I had ฿6000 bitcoins today, would I use that to buy this miner? ROI is 24 months at the optimistic low end (where difficulty stays constant, 0% pool fees, and free electricity). If difficulty increases 1% a month, ROI increases to 30 months. At 2%, 39 months. At 3%, 64 months. At 4%, you would never make back your initial investment. The answer is an easy no. Warranty is only 90 days, yet you need at least 2 years to make back the money. If the hardware breaks down after a year, you are SOL.
sr. member
Activity: 291
Merit: 250
We all remember BFL claiming 1 ghash/s at 20 W and it turns out to be 800 mhash/s at 80 W

They are at least offering an escrow and promising the specs within reason or they will refund. As soon as I get the escrow agreement I'll post it here. I do wonder about the hosting requirement. I would much rather run the unit interdependently.

This is great feedback. By "hosting" we're not meaning that the devices need to be plugged in or online 24x7 to access a site hosted by LargeCoin. We issue you a token, and the token permits a certain number of blocks to be mined. For out-right purchases, the token will permit unlimited mining, whether the device is plugged in or not. And yes, the token is tied to crypto on the processor. As I mentioned earlier, the purpose of this mechanism is to support a leasing model.


LOLOLOLLOLOLOLOLLLOOOOOLLOLOLOLOLOLOL.

I hope this isn't serious. If I drop 30g's on something with a 90 day warranty, I don't want to worry about having to have my "token"  stop working for whatever reason.  As promising as the rig --SOUNDS-- its something I would suggest staying way the hell away from.

Heres a video of what I think about this whole complete "leasing model"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KaqC5FnvAEc

Have fun picking this POS apart everyone. Im out.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 502
My feeling is that if LC's ROI is reduced by even 3-4 months that many more will jump on it.
If they offered them for $10K I bet LargeCoin would have 1000 orders by the end of this month.

The thing is: they will only produce 25 devices. After July we'll see what happens.
vip
Activity: 166
Merit: 100
My feeling is that if LC's ROI is reduced by even 3-4 months that many more will jump on it.

If they offered them for $10K I bet LargeCoin would have 1000 orders by the end of this month. At that price point, they would be undercutting Butterflylabs, wipe out GPU mining thus providing 90%+ of the overall mining capacity by years end, all while recovering their initial investment* and making a good profit.

*An uninformed assumption
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
Inactive
Why do that when you can get the Rig Box Huh

Rig Box

30k 50 ghash/s reputation so MH/$ ratio is 1.6

LargeCon

15k 20 ghash/s no reputation so MH/$ ratio is 1.3

Maybe less power but it still does not amortize over the long run enough to matter so what is the point even at 15k ?

Do you just not take into account that the c200 is ten times more efficient than the rig box?

Yay, first unrestricted post.  

Of course, IMO.

LargeCoin's MH/W efficiency is impressive.  Though, even a vast reduction in W usage does not overpower LC's low MH/$ at current market conditions and low cost kWH areas.

Equating to ROI at 19 mo, quite optimistic figure considering volatile BTC, is passing a boundary that most mining investors are uncomfortable with.

Even still LargeCoin may be getting some pre-order interest.  Good for them.  Attempting to recoup their investment is important.

My feeling is that if LC's ROI is reduced by even 3-4 months that many more will jump on it.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
Just one more question: Why don't you use a well known escrow service, like escrow.com?
I'm guessing it will be because of the non-conventional payment methods(Bitcoin), but just want to be sure.

And yes, I may be interested in buying. I'm not asking just to rattle the cage. I know I usually do that, but that's not the case Smiley

I actually didn't know that escrow.com exists.
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1002
The escrow will be with a Canadian law firm based in Vancouver, British Columbia; escrow funds will be held in a lawyer's trust account in accordance with stringent trust account rules of the BC Law Society. I will be happy to share the escrow agreement with the forum when it's ready for release.

Thank you!

Just one more question: Why don't you use a well known escrow service, like escrow.com?
I'm guessing it will be because of the non-conventional payment methods(Bitcoin), but just want to be sure.

And yes, I may be interested in buying. I'm not asking just to rattle the cage. I know I usually do that, but that's not the case Smiley
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
What puzzles me is: why are they only selling 25 units? Does this mean that later on they will sell them cheaper?

We only have enough chips in our first run to build 25 units. We don't want to run more than this off the presses until we know that there's enough demand for these ASICs. Once the first batch is out, it will be relatively easy and quick to produce more. Yes, future prices will probably be lower, given Moore's law.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 502
Well no.  If one has a fixed cost of $1M then to amortize that over 1000 chips will be +$1000 over build cost per chip.  If you ammortize that over 20,000 chips it is $50.  If you amortize it over 100,000 chips it will be it will be $10 per chip.

ztex (as an example) won't get much lower prices even if he builds 10,000 boards BUT an ASIC w/ huge upfront costs acheives significantly lower cost by scaling production.

Keeping prices high for a select few means less units moved and higher cost per unit.  Both company and customer lose.  There also is the risk with high prices of slow volume and someone comes along w/ cheaper/faster/cooler unit before you ammortize.  Then you are left holding the proverbial bag.

An example:
Hypothetically (excluding profit margin, risk, volume pricing on production runs, etc)
$1M NRE cost.
$100 wafer cost per chip (1 GH/s)

Sell 1000 chips = $100 ea + $1000 NRE share = $1100 per chip ($22,000 per 20GH/s box)
Sell 5,000 chips = $100 ea + $200 NRE share = $300 per chip ($6,000 per 20 GH/s box)
Sell 25,000 chips = $100 ea + $40 NRE = $140 per chip ($2,800 per 20 GH/s box)
etc...

So someone selling a few units at very high cost seems counterintuitive to the economics of ASICS.  With ASIC your non sunk cost will be very low.  It is in your best interest to undercut everyone else, be the clear choice and line up tens of millions of dollars in orders.

If you want to sell a few units at high premium get early access to 28nm chips.  No sense and pricing them low as your cost won't go down much when ramping up volume.

What puzzles me is: why are they only selling 25 units? Does this mean that later on they will sell them cheaper?
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
I'll ask again and if I'm ignored I'll start yelling SCAM...

WHO'S THE ESCROW?

No, I won't PM you asking for an answer, I want a public answer and it's on your best interest to give it.
Or do you have something to hide?

The escrow will be with a Canadian law firm based in Vancouver, British Columbia; escrow funds will be held in a lawyer's trust account in accordance with stringent trust account rules of the BC Law Society. I will be happy to share the escrow agreement with the forum when it's ready for release.
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1002
I'll ask again and if I'm ignored I'll start yelling SCAM...

WHO'S THE ESCROW?

No, I won't PM you asking for an answer, I want a public answer and it's on your best interest to give it.
Or do you have something to hide?
rjk
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
1ngldh

I think this product would need to be in the $10,000-$15,000 range to garner any real interest.

Would you buy one if it was $15K?
yes

Why do that when you can get the Rig Box Huh

Rig Box

30k 50 ghash/s reputation so MH/$ ratio is 1.6

LargeCon

15k 20 ghash/s no reputation so MH/$ ratio is 1.3


bulanula, since you have free power, 20x Rig boxes makes sense for you. However, my local datacenter would refuse to provide me with 400 amps of 120vac, so I need something lower power.

But $30 grand still isn't worth it to me for 20ghash. I'd rather buy just one Rig Box and dump the rest of my miners out the window.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Why do that when you can get the Rig Box Huh

Rig Box

30k 50 ghash/s reputation so MH/$ ratio is 1.6

LargeCon

15k 20 ghash/s no reputation so MH/$ ratio is 1.3

Maybe less power but it still does not amortize over the long run enough to matter so what is the point even at 15k ?

Do you just not take into account that the c200 is ten times more efficient than the rig box?

No because TBH 2500W vs 100W is not really relevant to me and probably lots of others with cheap electric rates.

All that matters is MH/$ and the ability to deliver the product.

All this DRM is just total BS. I don't want any backdoors from the gov. in my miners.
vip
Activity: 166
Merit: 100
Why do that when you can get the Rig Box Huh

Rig Box

30k 50 ghash/s reputation so MH/$ ratio is 1.6

LargeCon

15k 20 ghash/s no reputation so MH/$ ratio is 1.3

Maybe less power but it still does not amortize over the long run enough to matter so what is the point even at 15k ?

Do you just not take into account that the c200 is ten times more efficient than the rig box?
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500

I think this product would need to be in the $10,000-$15,000 range to garner any real interest.

Would you buy one if it was $15K?
yes

Why do that when you can get the Rig Box Huh

Rig Box

30k 50 ghash/s reputation so MH/$ ratio is 1.6

LargeCon

15k 20 ghash/s no reputation so MH/$ ratio is 1.3

Maybe less power but it still does not amortize over the long run enough to matter so what is the point even at 15k ?

donator
Activity: 2352
Merit: 1060
between a rock and a block!

I think this product would need to be in the $10,000-$15,000 range to garner any real interest.

Would you buy one if it was $15K?
yes
rjk
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
1ngldh

3. You have no reputation, or testimonials of your past accomplishments.

True. Here is my LinkedIn profile: http://linkd.in/zh5OFB, and that of the co-founder: http://linkd.in/ynNuuO. These are consistent with LargeCoin Inc.'s incorporation data, which is available from Industry Canada: http://bit.ly/AkqCwM

As you can see from our LinkedIn profiles, the founders have product management experience with semiconductor companies, investment experience, and years of experience building and running technology companies.

4. I want to see your face, and more of web presence with an address and phone number

Check the LinkedIn profile. Or, fill in the order form http://bit.ly/zliQFj and I'll call you so that we can chat live.

5. You can't start small by selling low cost systems as part of building your rep between now and July?

No, this is impractical. The major hurdle is producing the ASIC, which just takes time. And, as others have pointed out, costs money too.
This stuff needs to be in the first post, and should have been there to begin with.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 502
Regarding the ESCROW funds, you state that it wont be released until you ship the product ?

That is the concern yet again, shipping a product is different from product arrive and works as advertised thus if you clear the funds upon shipment you could still run with $4500 before the product reach the customer?
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
I agree I was excited until I looked at the numbers and thought about the agreement.  

1. $4500 is enough to build a fake and run off with the pre-orders.
2. No one knows for sure you can accomplish this.
3. You have no reputation, or testimonials of your past accomplishments.
4. I want to see your face, and more of web presence with an address and phone number
5. You can't start small by selling low cost systems as part of building your rep between now and July?

Well, I hope you are not a fraud as I would love to buy a system.

I know that it doesn't prove anything, but during the past year ttul mentioned several times that they were working on an ASIC.

These are all legitimate concerns, and I'd have many of the same concerns if I was considering putting $4,500 into escrow, let alone spending $30K on a box. Let me take each of your points in turn:

1. $4500 is enough to build a fake and run off with the pre-orders.

I'd suggest you could build a fake for even less than $4,500. But in this case, we can't run off with the $4,500 because it will be sitting in a trust account with a law firm. That money won't be released to us until the units are validated to be working consistent with the specifications in the escrow agreement with each customer. Having the money in escrow helps us to know there's demand for the units, but we're not drawing on those funds in any way until shipment happens.

2. No one knows for sure you can accomplish this.

I can't argue this point.

3. You have no reputation, or testimonials of your past accomplishments.

True. Here is my LinkedIn profile: http://linkd.in/zh5OFB, and that of the co-founder: http://linkd.in/ynNuuO. These are consistent with LargeCoin Inc.'s incorporation data, which is available from Industry Canada: http://bit.ly/AkqCwM

As you can see from our LinkedIn profiles, the founders have product management experience with semiconductor companies, investment experience, and years of experience building and running technology companies.

4. I want to see your face, and more of web presence with an address and phone number

Check the LinkedIn profile. Or, fill in the order form http://bit.ly/zliQFj and I'll call you so that we can chat live.

5. You can't start small by selling low cost systems as part of building your rep between now and July?

No, this is impractical. The major hurdle is producing the ASIC, which just takes time. And, as others have pointed out, costs money too.
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