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Topic: Lose all your capital fast, with MatTheCat and his TA 101A! - page 33. (Read 85774 times)

legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
my capital has increased by about 20%, but the amount of Bitcoins I can control has decreased by around 40%.

I'm up fiat-wise 400%, all reinvested back into BTC.  I know a few others in the same boat.  When a lot of the big winners of this rally are not cashing out to fiat and just enlarging BTC positions, this is why you don't see much big drops.  There's no reason to cash out of BTC.  It still has tons more upside potential.  Logarithmic price of BTC says it should go to $1800.  GBTC is buying coins for $1350.  Then of course if a big parabolic move occurs similar to the last move, that would put it in $3000-4000 territory.  Post-halving scarcity should continue a bullish trend too.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Matt, there is a reason you spend so much time watching/analyzing/thinking/dreaming about crypto - it's because it's g'damn addictive and fascinating. Think about all those people out there who don't know any of this is going on yet and ask why most won't have the same reaction you and I have had to it. Just buy it and hold it and stop trying to make a few bucks here and there with it.
Btw, my 12 bitcoins into Waves has turned into 14 btc and 10k free waves that's worth currently 6 btc but will be worth much more when it pumps.

Waves Trading yet?

No, I sold 22k privately on this thread https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.15073396
I couldn't stand watching bitcoin pump so I sold 2/3 of my coins for almost 2x profit, but most likely I will regret it. Bittrex on the 20th it's supposed to launch.

I only put 0.5 BTC into it....an amount I couldn't give a fuck about losing....

....perhaps this will prove the key to me successfully hanging in there and waiting on a hefty profit taking %.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
Matt, there is a reason you spend so much time watching/analyzing/thinking/dreaming about crypto - it's because it's g'damn addictive and fascinating. Think about all those people out there who don't know any of this is going on yet and ask why most won't have the same reaction you and I have had to it. Just buy it and hold it and stop trying to make a few bucks here and there with it.
Btw, my 12 bitcoins into Waves has turned into 14 btc and 10k free waves that's worth currently 6 btc but will be worth much more when it pumps.

Waves Trading yet?

No, I sold 22k privately on this thread https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.15073396
I couldn't stand watching bitcoin pump so I sold 2/3 of my coins for almost 2x profit, but most likely I will regret it. Bittrex on the 20th it's supposed to launch.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Matt, there is a reason you spend so much time watching/analyzing/thinking/dreaming about crypto - it's because it's g'damn addictive and fascinating. Think about all those people out there who don't know any of this is going on yet and ask why most won't have the same reaction you and I have had to it. Just buy it and hold it and stop trying to make a few bucks here and there with it.
Btw, my 12 bitcoins into Waves has turned into 14 btc and 10k free waves that's worth currently 6 btc but will be worth much more when it pumps.

Waves Trading yet?
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
Matt, there is a reason you spend so much time watching/analyzing/thinking/dreaming about crypto - it's because it's g'damn addictive and fascinating. Think about all those people out there who don't know any of this is going on yet and ask why most won't have the same reaction you and I have had to it. Just buy it and hold it and stop trying to make a few bucks here and there with it.
Btw, my 12 bitcoins into Waves has turned into 14 btc and 10k free waves that's worth currently 6 btc but will be worth much more when it pumps.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
I don't think this is going to dump anytime soon, closing longs right now is not a good idea.

Nope, I am a fucking idiot....all this time we spent talking about the big Halving Pump, and I have basically gone and missed it, always waiting in the FU move, or the one last dump, missing the really big moves but managing to scrape a few crumbs off the table here n there....and basically being in a position where my capital has increased by about 20%, but the amount of Bitcoins I can control has decreased by around 40%.

.....but, now that Bitcoin is mid run, around 70% of the way up to it's next harmonic target at around $820....I can't be going long here (just a few bucks short of the trade target that I chicken shitted out of at the first sign of trouble). Will wait for the next consolidation and watch for the Ws to come in......


.....With that said, going by past experiences, a brutal wipe out of FOMO buyers is pretty much a given with any Bitcoin pump, normally occuring about half way up the move.....2013 saw $750 correct down to $300s...and then right back up to $700 within a few days......all that is immaterial however, as I know very well that no way have I got the balls to catch one of those Bitcoin falling knives...whenever it occurs.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
I don't think this is going to dump anytime soon, closing longs right now is not a good idea.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
I closed the last bit of my long at 778$, now hoping to catch a falling knife around 720$.

61.8% RLZ is at $787, and since BTC has come so far now, I would have to imagine that it is going to get there, and then some.

There will be pro traders out there, whose plan will be to dump, and/or short Bitcoin at that price, risking right up to the ATH. This is why my original AB=CD target was cut short to $785. After such a stupendous rise, I have to respect the RLZ for the entire BTC market....but as it turns out, the least little bearish twist in the market, and my nerve goes and I dump my position....and to be honest, I am guilty of closing winning postions well short of targets, a lot!

Regarding the RLZ however, could be that is the level where the Shorts pile up, and where the Bitcoin Cowboys squeeze the fuck out of them. This is what happened, on the Nov pump. As BTC got to $325, the shorts piled up, and piled up, and eventually they were all squeezed out fo their positions, which resulted in the parabolic spike.

legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
I closed the last bit of my long at 778$, now hoping to catch a falling knife around 720$.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
Fuck you "sandiman".  All you do is shill for IPO scamcoins in every thread.  Proof of stake is 100% useless and all IPOs are scams.

Bite your tongue, if it weren't for icos making bitcoins for me I'd have to buy them!
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
Fuck you "sandiman".  All you do is shill for IPO scamcoins in every thread.  Proof of stake is 100% useless and all IPOs are scams.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 501
mat, what giving yourself so much pain, just count the waves !!! you only need to know how to count to 5  Grin
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 503
Bear with me
I feel like you're trolling us on purpose Matthew, going all fiat and stuff during the biggest bitcoin rally ever.
sr. member
Activity: 258
Merit: 250

J.T. Borgan (<-- libel mitigation format) have got a stash of about 6M bitcoins that they've been accumulating over the last 5 years as part of a due diligence programme in case things get "out of hand".

They have a dedicated team of crack traders permanently assigned to the bitcoin market who carry out co-ordinated surge mitigation designed to pummel bullish sentiment at strategic points in the asset's growth such as the manoeuvre we just witnessed an hour ago where a potential rally got dowsed just at a key moment when the 30-minute chart was about to go green and the CNY valuation was about to hit 5000.

The footprint from this excersise can be seen here on the 30 minute MACD which has now gone negative again.



The J.T. Borgan surge mitigation team (and their industry counterparts at P.B.O.C., FED, BofE, ECB) have been well aware for years of the potential of cryptographic assets to burst the debt bubble and loaded up a long time ago as a matter of due diligence in order to be able to take full control of the market in the event of a debt/fiat deposit crisis.

Moreover, their crack trader teams are able to carry out their operations on a sustainable basis due to being able to front run the market using inside knowledge of when the co-ordinated manoevres are coming.

Enjoy !!  Wink


Does that information quoted above help? Is that the drop you're mentioning? Sorry, (also wondering myself).

(Doh, I don't think this is what you're inquiring about. Darn. I think it was a CNY exchange, I want to say okcoin but not sure, had only partially been paying attention).
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
I was asleep when this happened.  Mat, I need you to stop being useless and tell me what exchange initiated this rise and which exchange initiated the drop back down:

hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 503
Bear with me
Dumped $715 position at $740.

You did it wrong again imo. The true profit is not on such a small time frame. Imagine if you had bought at 500. You probably would have sold at 550? Wrong! You hold because bitcoin is pumping. You just threw away a perfectly fine position once again. Hold and let it pump you silly.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
This is amusing. You are deliberately making things difficult for yourself.

With SSS there is no guessing or predicting the price, no stops, no leverage or any of that other nonsense. Just buy and sell predetermined amounts at predetermined prices. No stress, and all but guaranteed to make you richer.

Maybe some people just enjoy constant emotional rollercoaster rides, even if the emotions are negative? Emotional junkies?
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1070
i was guessing since we were at 4xx level that the pump will make the price jump up to 8xx-9xx without touching 1k, than a consolidation around 8xx for some weeks/months

Only issue I have with that, is your optimism about the consolidation.

Give me one example, of any market, ever, that moved parabolically higher, and then just kind of consolidated around the very heights of its move?

Do you think this ramp is all just natural organic demand, or is it a full on manufactured pump? If it is a manufactured pump, do you think the pumpers are ramping Bitcoin to make all the little Johnny Bitcoiners rich, or are they doing it to enrich themselves, which by necessaity, means they are going to dump.

Same game over and over again, no matter what the market. Smart Money buys at the bottom, and puts in the floor. They then lift the market up, and then start to ramp, at which point, the smart money starts selling to the public up top, and most crucially, stops supporting the market, which means once the public FOMO fades away, the market crashes.



bitcoin is still young its move are unpredictable, i would not base its movements on other market, and yes a 100% increase with a small correction around the higher value has already happened

remember when we were at 230 and went all the way to 500 then correction to 430? i'm predicting the same thing, but with double the value
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
The main trade-off in trading seems to lie between early/chance for high profit/low certainty vs. later/lower profit chance/higher certainty. The trick is finding the right balance for your own risk appetite, time you can/want to spend, and, well, preservation of your nerves.

With the benefit of hindsight, my long term bias was always bullish, in that I always imagined that Bitcoin would get up to aroudn $800 in the fullness of time and therefore, I should have only been considering long position trades. With that said, I did get long at $370 on the so called Mike Hearn dump.....Since nobody really knew how much further Bitcoin would dump, I set my stop down beneath 'the bottom' at $360, which then got triggered and I returned to my PC to find that I had just taken a hefty hit, with BTC trading back up at my buy in level, which drove me fkn beserk....this shit totally shreds the nerves......the answer to which would be to trade with an amount of money that doesn't matter to me, which in my case, would be trading with a pointless amount.


i was guessing since we were at 4xx level that the pump will make the price jump up to 8xx-9xx without touching 1k, than a consolidation around 8xx for some weeks/months

Only issue I have with that, is your optimism about the consolidation.

Give me one example, of any market, ever, that moved parabolically higher, and then just kind of consolidated around the very heights of its move?

Do you think this ramp is all just natural organic demand, or is it a full on manufactured pump? If it is a manufactured pump, do you think the pumpers are ramping Bitcoin to make all the little Johnny Bitcoiners rich, or are they doing it to enrich themselves, which by necessaity, means they are going to dump.

Same game over and over again, no matter what the market. Smart Money buys at the bottom, and puts in the floor. They then lift the market up, and then start to ramp, at which point, the smart money starts selling to the public up top, and most crucially, stops supporting the market, which means once the public FOMO fades away, the market crashes.




Of course no one ran to Bitcoin before, because Bitcoin wasn't invented yet.

You knew what happend the last time the economy crashed? Some genius or geniuses invented Bitcoin as a solution.

Gold never solved the problem, maybe Bitcoin won't solve it either, but it is a new option, and it's better than gold. If even a fraction of the people that normally flee to gold realize this, Bitcoin will skyrocket.    

Why not take a leap of faith and invest 2-5% of your wealth in Bitcoin just in case? What's the worst that can happen? Is losing 2-5% of your wealth going to ruin you? If it takes of you might end up 10 times as rich.

It's an assymetrical trade if I ever saw one. If you win, you win so big it will change your life, if you lose, meh, you just lost some pocket change, who cares.

Power grids can go down (look at Venezuala for current example of economic collapse), which amongst other things, means no internet.

Mining farms can be shut down, or in the case of war, destroyed.


The only thing that Bitcoin has in common with gold, is that very few hands, control far too much of the stuff.

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