Topic: LoyceV's Avatar for Rent [first 🦊🦊🦊3 YEARS🦊🦊🦊 (165 weeks) rented out] - page 21. (Read 32667 times)

Damn, I've made a copy-paste mistake in my prediction, should have re-read it before sending it since it was late yesterday.... 
But editing is not possible and icopress is a well deserved winner. 

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Your prediction is noted, dear icopress and since I've made a copy-paste mistake in my calculation your prediction is safe to win. 

1miau, thanks for the PM!

I am not a speaker like you, but thanks to a simple calculation, I believe that by the end of February we will reach the next value. 

Did I hear "celebration"?
Sounds like another giveaway. 

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Indeed, I'm sure you are right!
I've also PMed icopress to have a quick look here and submit his number until our new deadline is over.
I'm sure he's very busy currently, so he doesn't read all the replies here and didn't notice our new proceedings. 

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We have been veeery lucky, dear GazetaBitcoin. 
Overcoming so many obstacles hasn't been easy. 

@Foxpup: It's almost time for a 4 year celebration! I received my annual reminder:
Do you have any plans/wishes?

Aaaand... Foxpup's not-so-well-oiled time machine tricked you again into being too early 
However, after being sometimes way too late, it wort pointing out your punctuality this time.

Two hundred and third week paid.

Thanks again for your flawless timing!

Sorry to interrupt all the talks about Bonbon L, but it's time for some weekly time travel.

This is very nice from both of you! I am sure icopress was touched by your thoughts and I am also sure that yahoo62278 will appreciate this initiative.

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Great job, Rick! (On a side note, seeing how many things you did in such a short time, I only now realize how much I missed you (and, most likely, other as well) during last year, when you were not so active...).

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Indeed... who could think about these consequences...? I'm thinking also about this friend of mine, which told me about this modular couch about 6 years ago -- and since then I promised myself that if I'll ever have my own house I'll certainly buy such a couch. I'm thinking to tell him this story and let him know that without having him telling me about the couch, 6 years ago, I don't know if I would have bought it now.

It was indeed a very interesting way for things to happen... Me, renovating my house... Thinking if I'll have money to buy this couch too... living in dust for 2 months... At some point, when I just could not stand it anymore I decided to tell 1miau this story... This is was followed by his nice and funny idea of the giveaway... Then a long run since Spetmember til mid-December for obtaining hilariousandco's approval for holding the giveaway here... What would have happened if I did not tell my story to 1miau? Or if we would not have received hilarioussandco's approval? Or LoyceV's...?

Probably none if these would have happened anymore, and this is why life is so interesting and beautiful... A butterfly raises its wings here and causes a storm on the other side of the ocean... A friend tells you something 6 years ago and when you follow his suggestion, your action helps someone in deep struggle...

That's a very generous decision as well and I've sent your 1 mBTC prize money to yahoo62278's Bitcoin address: 6c2b9ac29c57a2e430ce5a4e9d95033f86cf6b78f8a5982432e96eeafe4fed20

Someone has already left a bid, yaay. 
I've also announced that I will pay shipping fees if a non-EU citizen would win. 

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In addition, we've collected enough replies now how to determine a winner for our 2nd place. So, we'll look forward to the last Block mined in February 2023.
Let's set a date to predict a new Block number until February 12, 2023.

My prediction is:

Time left until February, 2023, 23.59h:
21 days
0 hours


On average, each day will be mined (1 Block per 10 minutes) 144 Blocks per day (6 Blocks per hour x 24 hours = 144 Blocks)

Calculation if we won't see any hashrate change:
(21 days * 144 Blocks per day) = 3.024 Blocks
+ (0 hours x 6 Blocks per hour) = 0 Blocks
= 3.024 Blocks until our given date

=>

3.024 + 775.506 (current Block) = 778.530


And like in our previous round, we need to adjust our prediction due to difficulty changes.
Difficulty changes are made due to hashrate changes, which are following BTC price.
Since I've expected BTC to make a nice move towards 25k by end of January and it was really close, so more miners joined the network (hashrate increased) => more Blocks were mined, I'm expecting a normalizing BTC price in February.
This time, I'm only adding a total of 2% more Blocks to be mined.

3.024 * 1,02 = 3.084,48 Blocks

=>

3.084,48 + 778.530 (current Block) = 781.614

My prediction: 774.510

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Plz @icopress, let us know your predicted number. 

Just a quick update: After discussing with icopress and Gazeta we've reached a consensus - Since icopress currently has some liquidity left to support his charitable actions for some time, we've decided to support yahoo62278 during a dedicated period of his life. I've got to ask to Gazeta if he ever imagined that his couch would have such a positive impact in someone's life

EDIT: And the auction has started[1]!

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[1]https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.61725755

Of course, I'm 100% in favor of it and I'll be very happy to send your win of 1 mBTC to icopress as well. 
I might do the same for my prize money but let's see if I can achieve place number 2 first. 

It's for a good cause and I'm sure it'll help icopress a lot.

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Since RickDeckard has won the card, he decided to donate it, which is 100% aligned with our rules and I totally support his idea. 
How could we expect that buying your BonBon L couch is directly helping Ukrainians and icopress? You really made a good decision by buying your BonBon L couch. It's generating so much positivity. 

If the winner and you agree, who am I to disagree?

Indeed you are right GazetaBitcoin! My idea was to channel whatever amount the collectible gathered in the auction to directly support icopress efforts in supporting his country. Sadly that means that I'll have to give you a tiny bit amount of work in sending the card to the winner, but I think that it's for a noble cause.

As we've discussed, I would only do this if we had a consensus within all the participants that took part in this event. If we do not reach consensus then I'll abide by the rules and it would be available in the next giveaway.

RickDeckard both agreed and refused

Inside his soul he accepted the prize. However, as he has a big heart, he proposed something else: he says he wants to make a charity topic inside Collectibles board, where to donate the amount won at this giveaway for icopress Ukraine donation address. And also see how much he can obtain for this card, if I understood well. And donate this amount too. And have me send the card to the winner.

Now I know about our giveaway rule and I have a solution for not breaking the rule and also support RickDeckard in his noble gesture. As I have more than one card of this kind (I have a set of 5 cards, from which I already sent one to gbianchi), I will co-sponsor your next giveaway with another card and also help RickDeckard and send a card to the one he'll tell me to do it

Is this okay with everybody?

You are 100% right here...

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Looking forward to your reply.
But as our rules are stating, if the winner refuses it, it'll be allocated for the next giveaway. So, if it should be refused we have to allocate it to our next givwaway. And that's also leading to our next giveaway: I'm already planning to hold an educational giveaway as I've done some years before.  
For this giveaway, I would allocate some valuable BTC of course and we could add your card, too.  

The funny part: RickDeckard has been the one who reminded me in late 2021 to do such a giveaway once again. 

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Best I can do is April, Sir!

+1
And yes, hopefully it'll be a draw once again!

I hope so...  

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Truly spoken like a deserving winner! Might that win bring you prosperity and a lucky HODL of your coins.  

But it would shorten our remaining celebration time.  

And I need your Bitcoin address for sending your valuable BTC.  

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It's a solution but it's also a solution where we would lose almost 4 weeks of additional celebration time!  

+1
Great move and I'll send it to that destination at least Saturday afternoon.

And you all thought my bullish prediction was crazy! For my next prediction, Bitcoin to $1 million by end of the year month.

Thanks for organizing the raffle - was a fun little game. And thanks of course for the prize, and cheers to the new sofa!

Alternative solution for 2nd/3rd place: Combine the prizes and split evenly, so both get 0.375 mBTC.

I'll PM 1miau with an address.

To win an event made in honor of Bonbon L is something that I couldn't be more happier! Thank you 1miau and GazetaBitcoin for hosting such an event that ended up gathering an amazing pool of talented and prestigious users of our forum! While I'm not sure, I think that this was the first contest of this kind that I took part in, so it ended up being a great first experience for me as well!

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I tend to agree with this option albeit I think it may be a long period between the end of the 1st run and the guessing of the 2nd and 3rd place winner... What do you think of meeting half way - EOD 14 February - as the final date for guessing the last mined BTC block?

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Thank you for the greetings guys! It was really great to take part into the contest with users whose BTC knowledge far surpasses my own!

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I wonder, who will be the next user who'll buy a couch worthy of such a similar celebration? 

Congratulations on the first place. With such an accurate prediction, it's definitely deserved! 

Congratulations to you both too. You were very close with your predictions. I would also be in favor of you predicting another block for the end of February. This is certainly the fairest way to determine a winner. 

Congratulations to you too. You were all good with your predictions. Impressive. 

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I would like to thank 1miau and GazetaBitcoin for this great competition. As always, it was a lot of fun and it stayed exciting until the end. Thanks also to everyone else who provided us with their statistics and thanks also to LoyceV for allowing us to use his thread for this event. Keep enjoying your deserved Bonbon L Couch, GazetaBitcoin!! 

Can I argue I thought January has only 30 days?

Congrats!

I like it! And if there's a draw again, make them predict the last block of the year

But the couch is still there, right?

Congrats RickDeckard and o_e_l_e_o! And thank you, 1miau, for this crazy, funny and nice raffle! I also thank to hilariousandco for giving us his approval to organize this raffle here 


I will PM him today, in case he does not see the post. If he refuses it I propose to make a short raffle with the participants of the "couch raffle".


I also agree


Awww don't be sad... You are almost making me buy another couch, and make another raffle, for not seeing you sad

Kidding! Let's see the bright part though: the fun will still continue until end of February if your proposal is agreed by the majority