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Topic: Martin Armstrong Discussion - page 269. (Read 647062 times)

legendary
Activity: 3514
Merit: 1280
English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
May 31, 2016, 02:05:15 AM
I totally agree with him that Economics is a social sciences like psychology rather than pure science like math, where experience trumps theories any day.  But there are so many scholars in the domain who advocate Economics as a pure science, who act like charlatans pretending they know how economics work and pretending they know what they are doing but end up screwing up all the time.

The history of LTCM as well as its ultimate and miserable collapse seems to be a sizzling example of this

Profits always trump prophets
newbie
Activity: 1
Merit: 0
May 31, 2016, 12:52:24 AM
Thought this was a pretty decent post by M.A. explaining his theory (the dollar strengthening first over the next while) vs what a lot of others think (dollar steadily weakening from this point).

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/foreign-exchange/usd/dollar-reality-end-of-petro-dollars/

I watched "The Forecaster" documentary last night and I started reading about his theories/forecasts today. (Never heard of him before . Grin

That post is gold to me.  It nicely summarizes his view of the current situation.  And his scenario does seem to make sense.  But what I find to be pure gold is the following:

"People who have no real world experience in trading or seriously advising in the big leagues have way too much time on their hands to come up with theories that amount to just sophistry. You would not ask someone to operate on your brain because they smile nice or sound good but happen to be a piano player instead of a doctor. There are just some things you cannot understand without experience. That is why school is so bad in the social sciences (economics) beyond reading, writing, and math. It teaches theory – not reality."

I totally agree with him that Economics is a social sciences like psychology rather than pure science like math, where experience trumps theories any day.  But there are so many scholars in the domain who advocate Economics as a pure science, who act like charlatans pretending they know how economics work and pretending they know what they are doing but end up screwing up all the time.
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 1852
May 26, 2016, 11:56:38 PM
What happened in 2015.75? We're still around.


"We're still around"
 
Are you refering to socialists with complete confidence in government?

your time is coming soon, and when the majority of you realise, that's when the fun begins.

For many readers in here our confidence has already collapsed.


Yep.

NONE of our financial problems have been solved.

NO ONE (of significance) among the banksters has gone to jail.

The corruption from the very top all the way down almost guarantees some kind of ugly collapse with the debts we have.

Prepare.
legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1001
May 26, 2016, 08:50:22 PM
What happened in 2015.75? We're still around.


"We're still around"
 
Are you refering to socialists with complete confidence in government?

your time is coming soon, and when the majority of you realise, that's when the fun begins.

For many readers in here our confidence has already collapsed.
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 1852
May 26, 2016, 12:59:01 PM
Martin is saying the euro is toast and europe will be toast if a brexit occurs.
As a eu resident and if the euro tanks, i would rather have gold then euro's...

Take a look at long term gold in euro's, it has held much better then in $. As a matter of fact look in ANY other currency then the $, gold has held up very good are rcently made new highs in that currency.

I keep my physical gold, but will go long $ also.

I don't have confidence in the euro.




Thank you for the interesting update, XXL66.

I really do not have any special insight into the euro, but I am inclined to believe what you write (and what Armstrong writes).  The euro experiment seemed good, but perhaps was not designed well, or perhaps the wealth disparities among the European countries may doom it.

If trouble comes to the world, I would agree, Europe will probably have more problems -- certainly at first -- that the USA.  The RAPEFUGEE issue does NOT look like it ie being addressed well by Europe.

And, as you write, a Brexit would hurt Europe.

Holding at least some physical gold seems wise for everyone.
newbie
Activity: 2
Merit: 0
May 26, 2016, 12:46:06 PM
Martin is saying the euro is toast and europe will be toast if a brexit occurs.
As a eu resident and if the euro tanks, i would rather have gold then euro's...

Take a look at long term gold in euro's, it has held much better then in $. As a matter of fact look in ANY other currency then the $, gold has held up very good are rcently made new highs in that currency.

I keep my physical gold, but will go long $ also.

I don't have confidence in the euro.

sr. member
Activity: 471
Merit: 250
BTC trader
May 26, 2016, 01:31:12 AM
What happened in 2015.75? We're still around.
sr. member
Activity: 399
Merit: 250
May 25, 2016, 08:55:40 PM
Thought this was a pretty decent post by M.A. explaining his theory (the dollar strengthening first over the next while) vs what a lot of others think (dollar steadily weakening from this point).

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/foreign-exchange/usd/dollar-reality-end-of-petro-dollars/
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1002
May 23, 2016, 04:40:31 AM
Govs are powerless, Banks are hopeless, herds are clueless.

Tries at Ban it tax it regulate it govern it will only make bitcoin stronger.

Armstrong is out of his league here.

legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
May 22, 2016, 11:08:55 PM

nothing wrong with what I said

You just simply have no idea how to trade.

Well, one thing is clear, you certainly don't know what are your talking about.
Haha sure buddy..

people with hundreds of billions $


retailers dont move the market
legendary
Activity: 3514
Merit: 1280
English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
May 22, 2016, 05:39:35 PM
The phrase "Unintended Consequences" reminds me an awful lot like "The Black Swan"...

Rather Black Mesa, at least to me
hero member
Activity: 538
Merit: 500
May 22, 2016, 04:56:41 PM

nothing wrong with what I said

You just simply have no idea how to trade.

Well, one thing is clear, you certainly don't know what are your talking about.
Haha sure buddy..

people with hundreds of billions $

legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
May 22, 2016, 04:50:57 PM

nothing wrong with what I said

You just simply have no idea how to trade.

Well, one thing is clear, you certainly don't know what are your talking about.
Haha sure buddy..
hero member
Activity: 538
Merit: 500
May 22, 2016, 04:24:34 PM

nothing wrong with what I said

You just simply have no idea how to trade.

Well, one thing is clear, you certainly don't know what are your talking about.
legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
May 22, 2016, 03:47:02 PM
Nah 80 was too strong.. nothing wrong with what I said.. usd is pretty liquid but for people with hundreds of billions $ you can't just take a trade in one day you have to take time to build position for larger trend shifts. You just simply have no idea how to trade.
hero member
Activity: 538
Merit: 500
May 21, 2016, 08:46:04 AM
Ive been saying since 2010 to start loading up on USD beat that.

legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
May 21, 2016, 05:35:26 AM
...

Armstrong has some new material I finally got around to checking out.



He looks at gold here.  He is not a fan of gold at this time.  I think he has a trading mentality re gold.  He knows his history though.  (Disclosure: I ain't selling no matter what he says):

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/precious-metals/gold/market-update-for-gold/



Armstrong is not bullish on the Euro either.  Very bearish on the Euro and Europe (and the rest of the world's economy as well).

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/foreign-exchange/euro/the-death-of-the-euro/



Egyptian speculators, perhaps other Mideasterners are hunting dollars to get OUT of their countries, and willing to lose some money in doing arbitrages that LOSE money, to get the $ out.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/armstrongeconomics101/basic-concepts/growing-shortage-of-us-dollars-capital-flows/


*  *  *

All three articles suggest US$ strength going forward.  TPTB/sockpuppet may have been right all along!   Smiley

we already know USD is strong.... they are waiting for it to get stronger before unleashing QE4+.. all started by the plaza accord act in 1985. Ive been saying since 2010 to start loading up on USD beat that.
legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 1852
May 21, 2016, 12:10:00 AM
...

Armstrong has some new material I finally got around to checking out.



He looks at gold here.  He is not a fan of gold at this time.  I think he has a trading mentality re gold.  He knows his history though.  (Disclosure: I ain't selling no matter what he says):

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/precious-metals/gold/market-update-for-gold/



Armstrong is not bullish on the Euro either.  Very bearish on the Euro and Europe (and the rest of the world's economy as well).

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/foreign-exchange/euro/the-death-of-the-euro/



Egyptian speculators, perhaps other Mideasterners are hunting dollars to get OUT of their countries, and willing to lose some money in doing arbitrages that LOSE money, to get the $ out.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/armstrongeconomics101/basic-concepts/growing-shortage-of-us-dollars-capital-flows/


*  *  *

All three articles suggest US$ strength going forward.  TPTB/sockpuppet may have been right all along!   Smiley
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