Topic: Martin Armstrong Discussion - page 264. (Read 647196 times)

Try quoting my entire post and then you can go back to middle school also with sloanf, and learn some basic math.

Also "Pontificate off-the-cuff" != "pontificate".

off the cuff
phrase of cuff
1.
informal
without preparation.
"they posed some difficult questions to answer off the cuff"
synonyms:   impromptu, extempore, ad lib

"Pontificate off-the-cuff" means to speak as an authority (pontiff) but without his computer model which is the source of his authority. Thus only a jackass who is on a smear campaign would not understand that he was not providing an authoritative prediction.

Nevertheless his statement has come true. Which adds to the embarrassment of you two jackass trolls.

pontificate,
- verb (intr): to speak or behave in a pompous or dogmatic manner.
ah ha, that's what you call it.
So he pontificated that rates will rise. They didn't. And they will not.
I call it bs. Call it pontification if you want, it's still bs.

That was not a prediction.

Good find. Note that is not a prediction of his computer model. It is him pontificating off-the-cuff in one dimension with Pi cycles. But we know his model incorporates multi-dimensional (multiple cycles) wave interference.

It is epitome of idiocy to criticize that which you haven't even bothered to comprehend. That you don't even know the basics of what I have written in the prior paragraph, you continue to display that you are not interested in the truth, but rather in some useless, non-factual, non-analytical smear campaign.

Also, rates have already been rising! But you don't realize that, because you are not very smart.


sloanf, you have basically failed at a simple math problem that you would find on an 8th grade math exam.

When we say "interest rates rising", then the only objective measure is the weighted average of all money invested in bonds/loans of all types. So when capital starts shifting from 0% sovereign debt (leaving the Fed as the main buyer) to higher yielding corporate or emerging market debt, then even though the interest rates for those peripheral bonds declines, the weighted average increases.

Please STFU your trolling smear campaign, and go back to middle school.

getta f. out of here you brainless parrot. MA claims it's not him, it's his super computer with thousands years of data that makes all those forecasts, so none of your bs "Armstrong has predicted what any rational individual could predict and he had expected" and "don't expect Armstrong can second guess" is relevant. Furthermore, MA claims that there are no manipulations, markets can't be rigged, etc., so your arguments with the FED, ECB or anything along those lines are as always poor and weak. Anyway, it was a wrong forecast no matter what, period. Of course the rates will eventually go up, your don't have to be a genius to figure it out. The big question is when, and MA is just three years wrong. Well, given his appalling track record,  three years for such a lousy fraudster Martin Armstrong is nothing. As long as sheep like you keep sending him money and attend his bs conferences.

...

Armstrong stung by Comey too:

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/north_america/2016-u-s-presidential-election/comey-delivers-scathing-rebuke-of-hillary-but-says-no-indictment/

One law for the Clintons.  Another for Armstrong & the rest of us.

The fish rots from the head.

*   *   *

I should change my name so that I can make BIG BUCK$ and suffer nothing for committing crimes:

OROBillary

OROBTClinton   (Hey!  Big Bill's my cuzzin!  I'm immune!)

Hyena Rodent Clinton   (becoming a trannie is probably worth an extra special bonus!)

ORO'Bama   (Because it's great to be the King)

Is MA still calling for gold to drop below $900? That call doesn't seem likely at this time.

Interest rates have nowhere to go in the longer-run except up, you idiot. Armstrong has predicted what any rational individual could predict and he had expected that the FED will fulfill its duties.
Even Armstrong couldn't imagine that the sockpuppets of Goldman Sachs in the FED and ECB are so corrupt that they keep the interest rates so long so low. That is unprecedented you idiot - don't expect Armstrong can second guess the most corrupt and dishonest institutions of our age, the FED and ECB.

You can open an account with IG here in the UK in 10 minutes and in the US as well. Their margins are too brutal for me, normally I make money with 1-2% gains which don't fit into their margins, but they are quite convenient if you don't trade every day.

What do you think about my GBP shorting? :-))))) I am 800 points up as we speak since last week. Brexit is great. It's like a broken slot machine that keeps give out the money. The most hilarious is my hedging. I am hedging the pound short with GDX long, which is up as well. :-))))) this is the luckiest trade ever though the GBP drop was very obvious. Having such obvious tardes, I am wondering, why people bother with the completely unpredictable BTC trade, when we have a fairly predictable equity and forex market? It was no rocket science to understand that the Pound must fall further. Still people don't make such obvious trades. Like from 2012 to 2015, when the free QE money was driving up the market - free money all over the place.

Martin Armstrong is a total and absolute con artist and a charlatan. He's been babbling about rising rates since 2013, right? https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/uncategorized/interest-rates/54580/ He said the rates would rise starting from 2013 and "The longest would be 2015." Well, the rates not only not rising, they keep falling (and this is 2016!) and recently hit all time low. And the Fed is not raising rates contrary to MA bs predictions. Note, this is not a short-term forecast where MA is always wrong, this is a long-term story. Don't you guys see how flawed his bs ECM model is? It does not work, and never did. The same goes with his reversal random bs system. There's no computer (even if there was, it doesn't work anyway, so who cares),  it's all him throwing random shit, flip-flopping, lying, etc, and hoping something will eventually work, but it doesn't. Poor Marti and his brainless drooling sheeps.

http://www.express.co.uk/news/science/616937/GLOBAL-COOLING-Decade-long-ice-age-predicted-as-sun-hibernates

There are exceptions to every economic rule and we are in a manipulation phase where that will happen a lot.

Yup, a rising dollar usually does mean a fall in the price of gold.  But, not always!

I forget who, but one of the commentators I read says that when BOTH the US$ and gold go up (sharply), "The End is Near".

So, there.  Now you all know a signal to watch for.

Hope everyone saw this:


So looks like the strong dollar surge won't be until Q1 2017. It is unclear if gold is going to rise or fall with the dollar. Ditto Bitcoin.

Volatility will surge, especially as the Fed (or the market) begins to raise interest rates in the USA.

...

It looks like Armstrong is no fan of the Clintons (ha ha ha):


"Hillary: The Most Devious Politician of All Time?"

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/north_america/2016-u-s-presidential-election/hillary-the-most-devious-politician-of-all-time/

Short answer:  Yes



"The Clintons Always Play Dirty"

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/north_america/2016-u-s-presidential-election/the-clintons-always-play-dirty/

Aah, yaah.

I read a nice little take on the meeting between Big Bill and AG Loretta.  They both knew that the "optics" would be bad, look awful.  The "take" is that this whole thing might be just another "get their hopes up" that finally the Clintons would get snagged...  But, when the Clintons slither away yet again, that would so demoralize anyone hoping the Clintons would get what they deserve, that it would wind up strengthening them yet again.

Loretta for Supreme Court Justice?  (Lifetime appointment)

Ok so looks like were closing for June around 17900 in the DOW, which unfortunately is between Martin's two numbers giving us no real signal.

(Again, written on June 17th, on this private blog @ ask-socrates.com).
1. "...a June closing beneath 17790 will indicate the market is still positioned neutrally."
2. "To imply a breakout requires a June closing above 18137.50..."

According to these two comments, the market is no longer positioned neutrally and yet at the same time it not positioned for a breakout. Either this is simply poor wording on Martin's part, or we should take this to mean we are now in a relatively bullish position but not enough to suggest a likely break out just yet (which may also mean we still a have a little more bearish energy to expect in the immmediate short term). This is why I'm really excited for the trader version of Socrates to come out, as when the trader preview was still being updated I was able to see the reversals and arrays in real time and didn't have to depend on Martin who sometimes make these unfortunate contradictions in his comments.

Further, he made another update on the DOW today, this time on his public blog (Again Martin can't seem to make up his mind, does he want to charge people money for this information or does he want to keep giving it away for free as he's always done?):


I've taken a relatively small short position this afternoon (UVXY @ 9.51), as I expect the market to make a move lower by tomorrow or monday. The weekly bullish reversal is 17915 according to the private post Martin made on June 17th.

Here are the various moves I plan to make, depending on how this plays out:

1. If it looks like we're going to narrowly fail to elect the weekly bullish reversal (17915) at tomorrow's close (within 1%) then I will hold my short position over the weekend and maybe even add to it. For those not familiar, see Martin's video on the 1% rule: https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/armstrongeconomics101/training-tools/instructional-video-reversals-1-rule/
2. Depending on how low we go tomorrow I may just sell my position for a quick profit, especially if we get near his first technical support number without actually crossing it (17579).
3. If we continue to rally tomorrow I will begin to sell off my position at a loss early in the day, although like I said in my opinion a continued rally is unlikely without first consolidating and then bouncing off of Martin's technical support @ 17579.

What I was trying to get at was the question talked about in the video: USD & Gold both increased on Brexit vote, so does this indicate that a sovereign debt crisis in Europe (if that what it morphs into) is the reason for this trend, against current thinking?

Strong dollar = crashing gold (at least initially)

Trump victory will also support a strong dollar.

Interesting aspect to note is that the USD and Gold have both strengthened (as per vid below).

Goes against the current line of thought but maybe a double safe haven play as currency wars & EU bank debt worries linger?

TPTB_needswar: That's not to say it will continue but unless there is some miraculous central bank inspired magic trick coming, how does gold plummet after this?



For me MA was the first I heard saying that this US Pres cycle is the year of the outsider, first to say Trump would be nominee, first I heard say about uprising movements. Also first to say that a pension crisis is looming as rates stay so low.

Following on, here is a good discussion regarding brexit etc

https://realvisiontv.com/landing/brexit

I noticed they mentioned the possibility of investors piling into UST's and abandoning Eu area govt bonds, another trend MA mentioned a long while back.

edit: just saw this

Mario Draghi: "We have to think not just about the composition of policies within our jurisdictions, but about the global composition that can maximize the effects of monetary policy so that our respective mandates can best be delivered without overburdening further monetary policy.....This is not a preference or a choice. It is simply the new reality we face.”

This means a formal Shanghai Accord, don't see how it solves anything or how it can last.

Dollar rally still ahead (Q4 2016?), and possible lower lows in gold and corrections in crypto-currencies:

Good point, but still a 40% trade is nothing to laugh at, and I prefer to play it relatively safe and watch the monthly reversals.