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Topic: Martin Armstrong Discussion - page 348. (Read 647070 times)

sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
September 13, 2015, 05:29:36 AM
For those who are doubting how there would be natural cycles that repeat, remember the Sun has a cycle and it deeply effects our food supply and climate which thus impacts our economy. I hope you all are ready for the Little Ice Age coming over the next decades, which will radically reduce the ability of Northern Europe and other areas to feed itself:


http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/34854

Quote from: Martin Armstrong
Maunder Minimum Petri Dish of Political Change

The global warming pseudo-scientists are desperately trying to keep their funding. Now these con artists are trying to claim that that the oceans’ surface water is cooling and below the water is warming. Those who stop driving to work, opting to walk or ride a bicycle instead, are perhaps speaking at least of what they believe, rather than crying that the planet is warming and we need to hand them billions of dollars to figure out some new technology to reverse the trend.

Meanwhile, real scientists who study the cyclical movement within nature are observing what we have been warning – a coming Ice Age, not global warming. We should see the collapse in temperatures faster than we suspect, for it will mimic a Waterfall Event in our market terminology. This is the true nature of how things simply move. Real scientists are starting to warn that we will see temperatures plummet by 2030. We are entering the Maunder Minimum Petri Dish of Political Change and nobody seems to comprehend the political ramifications ahead.

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37141


Quote from: Martin Armstrong
Global Warming/alternately Climate Change Guide for Dummies

QUESTION: Martin,  you go into more detail about the time frame for global cooling, and its ramifications, what to do to prepare oneself etc…

ANSWER: This downturn should be greater than the last one in the 1700s according to our models. Volatility rises so the swings in climate become much more dramatic with the turn of these cycles. It is similar to a stock market crash. Once it breaks, the volatility rises and market prices appears very choppy. So there will be a burst to the upside, followed by new lows on the downside. I am in Paris. Nowhere near as warn as the States. People are wearing jackets on the street. Northern Europe never really warmed up this year. When I was here in the Spring, I had to go buy sweaters for it was much colder than I expected.

These cycles in climate were originally discovered from ice core samples from the North Pole which revealed a 300 year cycle in climate defined as the energy output of the sun. When I saw the presentation presented by Harvard scientists back in the 1980s, I immediate saw their chart was close to the 309.6 year cycle in the ECM. The sun has been documented now that it is a thermodynamic system which beats like your heart. The cycle defines maximum and minimum over a 300 year period and explains migrations and the rise and fall of civilization.

The last downturn was pretty bad. They also seem to line up with the revolution cycle. It probably aggravates society and they move toward civil unrest. Some 2500 men died at Valley Forge from exposure during the winter encampment. Clearly, this is the cycle that has driven war by conquest and is linked stimulated by a change in climate that has marked a reduction in food supply.



It will be this turn down in global cooling which will spark a rise in food prices on the horizon. The Global Warming/Climate Change crowd as always try to reduce all blame to a single factor. This type of thinking process has seriously retarded our evolutionary process. They are incapable of dynamic thinking and are incompetent insofar as just observing the world around them. They destroy our future in every possible way for their ignorance condemns us to repeat history in every field they use this primitive means of thinking – always reducing whatever the issue if to single cause and effect.

...

It appears that we would enter a White Earth Effect and die as a planet if the volcanic activity ceased. That is the source of warming up the planet again when the sun turns down. Sure, man may add to volatility, but we by no means possess the power to change the climate cycle. There is ABSOLUTELY ZERO proof the the long-term 300 years cycle has changed. People who believe this nonsense should not read this blog for you you must also be a deep-rooted Marxist and believe all the BS of governments. If you buy into that, you might as well buy into everything they say.  Only an idiot can possibly think we have the capacity to alter the universe or how it functions. We are incapable of even grasping all the variables at play.

If you have a basement, you can grow your own food without land and this may be the next hot trend.


http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/33918

Quote from: Martin Armstrong
Britain Headed Back to a Mini Ice Age

We have been warning that the danger is by no means global warming, but global cooling. The energy output of the sun has turned down. Now scientists are warning that what we have reported is crashing rapidly. The collapse in the energy output of the sun is so intense that climate experts are now warning that the amount of light energy released by the sun is dropping to levels “not seen for centuries”.

The collapse in the energy output of the sun functions on about a 300-year cycle or roughly six waves of the ECM 51.6 year frequency creating the 309.6-year wave. The 1400s saw the Black Death and the start of Capitalism as serfdom came to an end and wages reappeared for the first time on any major widespread level since the fall of Rome in 476 AD.  Roughly, three 309.6-year waves brings us to the Black Death. The next wave takes us into the 1700s and the fall of Monarchy with the American and French Revolutions.

It was time for the peak in global warming and turning this down sharply once again. The problem is that this seems to correlate with plagues and disease as well. So those looking for global warming, you better move south.


http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/35118

Quote from: Martin Armstrong
We Are in the 21st Year of Declining Temperatures

It is amazing how government is trying to claim the existence of global warming, simply to introduce a carbon tax. We are entering the 21st year of declining temperatures; not rising temperatures. This is akin to the tax on cigarettes; people smoked less and governments cried that they were losing revenue, causing many places to tax electronic cigarettes. Governments are also losing tax revenue as cars have become more efficient. Gasoline sales have declined as many cars now have pollution controls with better gas mileage. Additionally, more people are buying from the internet and driving to the local mall less. The solution to the collapse in tax revenues: states are now preparing to tax people based upon the number of miles they drive, requiring odometer readings to register cars. It is never about what they pretend to care about – it is just a new scheme to raise taxes. Regardless of the truth about global warming, governments need this bogus research to raise taxes.

The global warming crowd is the MOST unethical and corrupt group of pretend scientists ever to exist. When I was called upon for research to form the G5, I wrote the White House a warning that manipulating the dollar down would create volatility and a crash within two years (1987). I was told I would never again be asked by government for anything. They told me outright that I was to conduct the studies –– government would provide the conclusion up front –– and I would earn millions each year for bogus research reports. I said, “No thanks!” This is how the government conducts and funds studies. They ALWAYS tout the desired end result to support some predetermined objective. Government studies are simply an exercise in political corruption, no matter what the field.

Global warming is another great scam. Clearing the air – yes, we all want that. Yet it is extremely arrogant to assume we have the capability to alter the climate cycle.
legendary
Activity: 861
Merit: 1010
September 13, 2015, 04:59:10 AM
There are two videos that have a link between M. Armstrong, TPTB, Bitcoin and the forthcoming economic collapse of Sept. 2015. I never came along those two vids until today; which I find particularly odd regarding the information I'm receiving during each day. I believe we all should watch them and discuss them here. Spend 1hr. Worths it.

Video 1:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rkELgi6EkNo
Video 2:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-rQaKUwOWAE

The Dollar Vigilante guy (Berwick) recommends getting your assets out of the US beginning in the fall and predicts the US to be ground zero. He says to buy gold and silver.

Martin Armstrong recommends the exact opposite. He expects the US to be the last man standing and for the USD to be supreme throughout 2016 and into 2017 before a major turning point in 2018.

Interesting. You really can't follow both sets of advice at once. They are complete opposites. Holding Swiss Francs may be the closest you can get. It's outside the US as Berwick stresses, and the Swiss economy will likely be one of the last men standing, despite not being big enough to take in all the BIG MONEY.

Really? I don't think so.

Watched video 1. Haven't watched 2.

The difference is more about timing, rather than actual outcome. Berwick say Sept 2015 (but adds caveat saying could be beginning). TPTB agrees with outcome, but adds a 2 year lag before events set in.

How i understood it anyways

Well, yeah, I'm talking about investing over the next year or so. In that time period, you have to choose whether you want to be in the US or out. Berwick says out.
Watched the two videos, wasted 1 hour of my life.

The guy explains that the CERN has 666 in its logo, and because the USA do military exercises and because Fabius talk about 500 days in an totally unrelated matter something will happen in September, but maybe not because the release of his first video may have rushed the krach, but maybe they will be another krach, but anyway if nothing happens in September and you subscribe to his newsletter you will be ok.

Seriously? It's really, really dumb.

He just want to sell something, and he looks in bad shape.
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
September 13, 2015, 04:39:11 AM
Why do you have so many nicknames when you feel so bearish about Bitcoin?

I suppose you are thinking that if I want people to believe my predictions of a Bitcoin low price this Spring, then a raging bull market after that, then I need credibility?

Have you ever considered that I don't really care if fools want to lose their money. I offer information for serious people. Fools will do what ever they want to do. It is not my job to make my credibility perfectly politically correct so that fools won't be fools. You wish for the implausible, as any good socialist does.

You seem to create or use a new account every few months then let ppl guess it's you. This ruins your credibility if you had any.

My signature line has my former usernames.

Again perfect credibility is implausible and when it seems to appear, it is the lie of the politician that says everything everyone wants to hear, i.e. socialism and promising the implausible. Remember Ethereum?

Did you know that Ethereum was basically hatched by Charles Hoskinson. Do you know who he was recruiting to be the lead developer after he split with Daniel Larimer and before he found Vitalik Buterin. Yes he was talking to me in Skype. But I told him my ideas weren't yet well formed enough and I could sense he wanted to create a bloated financial structure, so I declined and after that he found Vitalik. He asked me to look at Vitalik's white paper for his early version of a proof-of-work hash function and I told him frankly it wouldn't be resistant to parallelization. Later Vitalik realized I was correct.

If you could you should focus on cycles and not guess who's going to do what cause it's always wrong including Armstrong. We have an infliction point on oct 1 don't guess what happens with usd.. Just work the cycles and you will be successful.. That's what astrology is all about.

Incorrect. Armstrong's model is a statistical and structural A.I. model of chaos. This is science. And no he is never wrong about the major trends.

And no we are not wrong about the dollar. Fools again will choose to not believe us and again they will lose. Just like when we told them back in 2011 that was the peak in gold and they rode the damn thing all the way down. And we are still telling them the coming lows are below $850 (< $700 likely) and for Bitcoin below $150 ($100 likely). Just like when oil was $100 in 2014, and Armstrong predicted the closing price for 2014 at $54, which ended up being exactly the case. No one else saw that one coming. Or for example how in May of this year when Bitcoin was in the low $200s, I said the summer high would be $315 and then it would head back down for the coming lows under $150. Or just like my silver prediction in 2010:

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article23786.html

Please I don't have time for the fools. I can't write a refutation every time they spout off their foolish mouths. They will be wrong yet again.
legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
September 13, 2015, 03:42:11 AM
Well, yeah, I'm talking about investing over the next year or so. In that time period, you have to choose whether you want to be in the US or out. Berwick says out.

I'll watch the videos, but Berwick is no match for Armstrong. I've spoken to those guys over at DollarVigilante.com. Don't idol drunks who are having fun goofing off with Doug Casey in Argentina. They sometimes have something interesting to say. But for the most part, I've watched Casey et al be wrong on just about everything important over the past few years.

His main claims to fame were Stockhouse.com and recommended buying BTC at $3. He also pushed the failed concept of Bitcoin atms.

Edit: I am at the 9min point in the first video and his reasoning is all wrong. More nonsense which Armstrong has refuted numerous times. US dollar will grow stronger, not weaker for the reasons I have detailed upthread. The Shemitah debt defaults will cause the dollar to go stronger, not weaker because the defaults will be outside the USA due to the huge dollar shorts caused by the egress of $9 trillion of QE which will now ingress back to the USA.
Why do you have so many nicknames when you feel so bearish about Bitcoin? You seem to create or use a new account every few months then let ppl guess it's you. This ruins your credibility if you had any.

If you could you should focus on cycles and not guess who's going to do what cause it's always wrong including Armstrong. We have an infliction point on oct 1 don't guess what happens with usd.. Just work the cycles and you will be successful.. That's what astrology is all about.
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
September 12, 2015, 10:06:24 PM
Sounds like the person who asked the following question was one my readers. Also Armstrong's answer is interesting in that he thinks perhaps government won't tax capital gains initially, but in Europe they will. So what happens to Europeans who move their capital gains to the USA? Does that mean Europe won't take their capital gains. Any way, I think Armstrong might end up being wrong and government may trap those capital gains also. Let's see...

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37041
legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1001
September 12, 2015, 09:14:43 PM


I'm interested in where Berwick thinks you should have your money. Brazil, Mexico, and even Canada are all going to do pretty terribly compared to the US if emerging markets and commodities get wrecked.

He's a bitcoin and precious metals hoarder, like most of the "celebritarians"
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
21 million. I want them all.
September 12, 2015, 09:08:01 PM
Well, yeah, I'm talking about investing over the next year or so. In that time period, you have to choose whether you want to be in the US or out. Berwick says out.

I'll watch the videos, but Berwick is no match for Armstrong. I've spoken to those guys over at DollarVigilante.com. Don't idol drunks who are having fun goofing off with Doug Casey in Argentina. They sometimes have something interesting to say. But for the most part, I've watched Casey et al be wrong on just about everything important over the past few years.

His main claims to fame were Stockhouse.com and recommended buying BTC at $3. He also pushed the failed concept of Bitcoin atms.

Edit: I am at the 9min point in the first video and he reasoning is all wrong. More nonsense which Armstrong has refuted numerous times. US dollar will grow stronger, not weaker for the reasons I have detailed upthread. The Shemitah debt defaults will cause the dollar to go stronger, not weaker because the defaults will be outside the USA due to the huge dollar shorts caused by the egress of $9 trillion of QE which will now ingress back to the USA.

I'm interested in where Berwick thinks you should have your money. Brazil, Mexico, and even Canada are all going to do pretty terribly compared to the US if emerging markets and commodities get wrecked.
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
September 12, 2015, 08:49:16 PM
Well, yeah, I'm talking about investing over the next year or so. In that time period, you have to choose whether you want to be in the US or out. Berwick says out.

I'll watch the videos, but Berwick is no match for Armstrong. I've spoken to those guys over at DollarVigilante.com. Don't idol drunks who are having fun goofing off with Doug Casey in Argentina. They sometimes have something interesting to say. But for the most part, I've watched Casey et al be wrong on just about everything important over the past few years.

His main claims to fame were Stockhouse.com and recommended buying BTC at $3. He also pushed the failed concept of Bitcoin atms.

Edit: I am at the 9min point in the first video and his reasoning is all wrong. More nonsense which Armstrong has refuted numerous times. US dollar will grow stronger, not weaker for the reasons I have detailed upthread. The Shemitah debt defaults will cause the dollar to go stronger, not weaker because the defaults will be outside the USA due to the huge dollar shorts caused by the egress of $9 trillion of QE which will now ingress back to the USA.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
21 million. I want them all.
September 12, 2015, 08:40:48 PM
There are two videos that have a link between M. Armstrong, TPTB, Bitcoin and the forthcoming economic collapse of Sept. 2015. I never came along those two vids until today; which I find particularly odd regarding the information I'm receiving during each day. I believe we all should watch them and discuss them here. Spend 1hr. Worths it.

Video 1:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rkELgi6EkNo
Video 2:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-rQaKUwOWAE

The Dollar Vigilante guy (Berwick) recommends getting your assets out of the US beginning in the fall and predicts the US to be ground zero. He says to buy gold and silver.

Martin Armstrong recommends the exact opposite. He expects the US to be the last man standing and for the USD to be supreme throughout 2016 and into 2017 before a major turning point in 2018.

Interesting. You really can't follow both sets of advice at once. They are complete opposites. Holding Swiss Francs may be the closest you can get. It's outside the US as Berwick stresses, and the Swiss economy will likely be one of the last men standing, despite not being big enough to take in all the BIG MONEY.

Really? I don't think so.

Watched video 1. Haven't watched 2.

The difference is more about timing, rather than actual outcome. Berwick say Sept 2015 (but adds caveat saying could be beginning). TPTB agrees with outcome, but adds a 2 year lag before events set in.

How i understood it anyways

Well, yeah, I'm talking about investing over the next year or so. In that time period, you have to choose whether you want to be in the US or out. Berwick says out.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
September 12, 2015, 08:16:33 PM
There are two videos that have a link between M. Armstrong, TPTB, Bitcoin and the forthcoming economic collapse of Sept. 2015. I never came along those two vids until today; which I find particularly odd regarding the information I'm receiving during each day. I believe we all should watch them and discuss them here. Spend 1hr. Worths it.

Video 1:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rkELgi6EkNo
Video 2:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-rQaKUwOWAE

The Dollar Vigilante guy (Berwick) recommends getting your assets out of the US beginning in the fall and predicts the US to be ground zero. He says to buy gold and silver.

Martin Armstrong recommends the exact opposite. He expects the US to be the last man standing and for the USD to be supreme throughout 2016 and into 2017 before a major turning point in 2018.

Interesting. You really can't follow both sets of advice at once. They are complete opposites. Holding Swiss Francs may be the closest you can get. It's outside the US as Berwick stresses, and the Swiss economy will likely be one of the last men standing, despite not being big enough to take in all the BIG MONEY.

Really? I don't think so.

Watched video 1. Haven't watched 2.

The difference is more about timing, rather than actual outcome. Berwick say Sept 2015 (but adds caveat saying could be beginning). TPTB agrees with outcome, but adds a 2 year lag before events set in.

How i understood it anyways
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
21 million. I want them all.
September 12, 2015, 07:58:05 PM
There are two videos that have a link between M. Armstrong, TPTB, Bitcoin and the forthcoming economic collapse of Sept. 2015. I never came along those two vids until today; which I find particularly odd regarding the information I'm receiving during each day. I believe we all should watch them and discuss them here. Spend 1hr. Worths it.

Video 1:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rkELgi6EkNo
Video 2:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-rQaKUwOWAE

The Dollar Vigilante guy (Berwick) recommends getting your assets out of the US beginning in the fall and predicts the US to be ground zero. He says to buy gold and silver.

Martin Armstrong recommends the exact opposite. He expects the US to be the last man standing and for the USD to be supreme throughout 2016 and into 2017 before a major turning point in 2018.

Interesting. You really can't follow both sets of advice at once. They are complete opposites. Holding Swiss Francs may be the closest you can get. It's outside the US as Berwick stresses, and the Swiss economy will likely be one of the last men standing, despite not being big enough to take in all the BIG MONEY.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
September 12, 2015, 06:51:14 PM
So the plutocrats WANT governmental default and deflation? Interesting. Never thought of that as a wealth grab. But I suppose it would work. They just need to get rid of any debt they have and loan as much money as possible to people (with the people's houses, land, and future earnings as collateral.) Holy shit. I'm going to pay all my debts ASAP and stack cash. That sound pretty scary. But I still think a default would end up weakening the currency.

Yes. Sorry I was going to get around to responding, but I got bogged down by some crap in the Altcoin discussion thread.

2015.75 is well underway as Brazil was downgraded to junk bond rating:

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37119

thought of you TPTB when i saw this on the news
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1002
Strange, yet attractive.
September 12, 2015, 12:46:17 PM
There are two videos that have a link between M. Armstrong, TPTB, Bitcoin and the forthcoming economic collapse of Sept. 2015. I never came along those two vids until today; which I find particularly odd regarding the information I'm receiving during each day. I believe we all should watch them and discuss them here. Spend 1hr. Worths it.

Video 1:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rkELgi6EkNo
Video 2:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-rQaKUwOWAE
legendary
Activity: 961
Merit: 1000
September 12, 2015, 02:46:23 AM
Re. debt crisis, I've seen some vary impressive numbers on rate of foreign exchange reserve depletion (not China; China is in much better shape than others). Expect more downgrades/defaults soon.


It's relative. China has depleted more than probably every other country combined to try to stabilize this crash. It's just that's its a small pct of their reserve however when they gotta top up it will mean big things for the bond market.

As a whole it looks like the tide has already started turning

"Emerging market forex reserves fell by about half a trillion dollars between mid-2014 and the end of the first quarter of 2015, IMF data shows, and this is likely far from the end.Deutsche Bank estimated on Tuesday the high water-mark of almost two decades of reserve accumulation had now been reached and central banks will by the end of next year dump as much as $1.5 trillion to counter capital outflows."

http://wolfstreet.com/2015/09/11/a-worrying-development-for-stock-market-bulls/
legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
September 12, 2015, 01:30:10 AM
Re. debt crisis, I've seen some vary impressive numbers on rate of foreign exchange reserve depletion (not China; China is in much better shape than others). Expect more downgrades/defaults soon.


It's relative. China has depleted more than probably every other country combined to try to stabilize this crash. It's just that's its a small pct of their reserve however when they gotta top up it will mean big things for the bond market.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
September 12, 2015, 01:25:15 AM
Re. debt crisis, I've seen some very impressive numbers on rate of foreign exchange reserve depletion (not China; China is in much better shape than others). Expect more downgrades/defaults soon.

sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
September 12, 2015, 01:19:17 AM
So the plutocrats WANT governmental default and deflation? Interesting. Never thought of that as a wealth grab. But I suppose it would work. They just need to get rid of any debt they have and loan as much money as possible to people (with the people's houses, land, and future earnings as collateral.) Holy shit. I'm going to pay all my debts ASAP and stack cash. That sound pretty scary. But I still think a default would end up weakening the currency.

Yes. Sorry I was going to get around to responding, but I got bogged down by some crap in the Altcoin discussion thread.

2015.75 is well underway as Brazil was downgraded to junk bond rating:

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/37119
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1002
Strange, yet attractive.
September 11, 2015, 01:32:41 AM
2. Hence, the directives cited below (and their respective sentiments).



Well said; yet we all know how this ended up... Sad There is more to look forward and reconsider when it comes to directives of "fighting the system". I've posted this many times, there's a reason "the system" is there. IMHO, we (as the people) should not act alone (and jeopardize ourselves with being judged as terrorists), but as a collective in order to build a new concept for a better society.

To put it on a perspective; I don't believe we deserve a better world if we don't get better ideas (and put them to test/work). Money is the first one to change. Don't expect ANYTHING to get better with the current system. It's just like renovating and polishing an old house that has rotten foundation. It will never be safe to live in it.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
Knowledge could but approximate existence.
September 11, 2015, 12:20:07 AM
[...]

TN;DC: A plutocrat seeks (at least, circa the present) to confiscate nongovernmental capital through “sovereign default.”

So the plutocrats WANT governmental default and deflation? Interesting. Never thought of that as a wealth grab. But I suppose it would work. They just need to get rid of any debt they have and loan as much money as possible to people (with the people's houses, land, and future earnings as collateral.) Holy shit. I'm going to pay all my debts ASAP and stack cash. That sound pretty scary. But I still think a default would end up weakening the currency.
(Quote correction mine. Red colorization mine. Blue colorization mine.)


1. If those debts are held by other plutocrats then that "money" (jehst) will remain "in the family" nevertheless (think: the Great Recession bank buyouts).

2. Hence, the directives cited below (and their respective sentiments).


hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
21 million. I want them all.
September 11, 2015, 12:08:38 AM

TN;DC: A plutocrat seeks (at least, circa the present) to confiscate nongovernmental capital through “sovereign default.”

So the plutocrats WANT governmental default and deflation? Interesting. Never thought of that as a wealth grab. But I suppose it would work. They just need to get rid of any debt they have and loan as much money as possible to people (with the people's houses, land, and future earnings as collateral.) Holy shit. I'm going to pay all my debts ASAP and stack cash. That sound pretty scary. But I still think a default would end up weakening the currency.
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