Price took a dive in 24 hours. It's slowly moving up from 233 now. But considering we were around 237 kinda a disappointing day as far as price.
We should be less then a day till next change. So hopefully we see negative drop soon on difficulty.
Topic: May 17th to May 30th diff adjustment thread with promo. Picks closed - page 2. (Read 5538 times)
May 31, 2015, 12:15:57 AM
May 30, 2015, 11:45:54 PM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
171 on 5-17-2015 most about 95 of the blocks were last adjustment. bitcoinwisdom still uses them for the guess in the future.
so above is 27 over norm of 144 for the day, but only 10 for the 'real' count this adjustment.
143 5-18 -1 +9 running count
138 5-19 -6 +3
138 5-20 -6 -3
153 5-21 +9 +12
144 5-22 0 +12
110 5-23 -34 -22
145 5-24 +1 -21
141 5-25 -3 -24
144 5-26 0 -24
142 5-27 -2 -26
136 5-28 -8 -34
157 5-29 +13 -21
128 5-30 -16 -37
about 1923 made we should be at 1970 that = 1923/1970 = 0.9761-1 = -0.0238116 which is
-2.38. %
as a real time number .
with only 93 blocks left even if we finish out strong maybe we go to = -1.0%
sat nite
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-1.39%)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 48,127,650,968 (-1.39%)
Adjust time: After 93 Blocks, About 15.7 hours
Hashrate(?): 344,727,655 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated: 23:35 (8.0 minutes ago)
fri nite
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-2.61%)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,534,198,971 (-2.61%)
Adjust time: After 240 Blocks, About 1.7 days
Hashrate(?): 340,961,799 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.5 minutes
3 blocks: 31.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated: 23:15 (2.8 minutes ago)
Were getting closer and closer to the end of this difficulty period. I hope bitwisdom's number is closer one to being right. But either one is really a win for miners.
In the morning bitcoinwisdom will change to reflect the very slow sat. numbers.
May 30, 2015, 08:40:30 PM
Does anyone know bitwisdom's formula to how it get's it's numbers? I would be curious to see whats its doing to predict the future and put it at a higher negative.
I don't know for a fact but I suspect it's doing a simple 2016-block average. If that's the case it could go down even more because 2016 include the last 100+ blocks of the previous cycle and those were much faster than the current ones.
Thanks for sharing this would make sense. I was wondering what it uses as it seems to have big swings at some points.
I wish they would possible change the equation a little to get a more steady number with less big swings in it.
May 30, 2015, 04:52:18 PM
Does anyone know bitwisdom's formula to how it get's it's numbers? I would be curious to see whats its doing to predict the future and put it at a higher negative.
I don't know for a fact but I suspect it's doing a simple 2016-block average. If that's the case it could go down even more because 2016 include the last 100+ blocks of the previous cycle and those were much faster than the current ones.
May 30, 2015, 01:04:53 PM
blocks made for 5/30/15
https://blockchain.info/blocks
358662 at 12.37
358597 at 00.18
66 blocks in the first 12.5 hours we should make 75 blocks in 12.5 hours so we are down 10 for the day.
this is very good. we are close to certain to be negative.
we are down 31 blocks
1830 made should be 1861
I figure (-1.67%) as the real time number not as good as bitcoinwisdom's (-2.71%)
but still very good.
https://blockchain.info/blocks
358662 at 12.37
358597 at 00.18
66 blocks in the first 12.5 hours we should make 75 blocks in 12.5 hours so we are down 10 for the day.
this is very good. we are close to certain to be negative.
we are down 31 blocks
1830 made should be 1861
I figure (-1.67%) as the real time number not as good as bitcoinwisdom's (-2.71%)
but still very good.
Looks like we are around a little over a day left. So guess we will figure out which one is closer.
Does anyone know bitwisdom's formula to how it get's it's numbers? I would be curious to see whats its doing to predict the future and put it at a higher negative.
May 30, 2015, 09:03:55 AM
blocks made for 5/30/15
https://blockchain.info/blocks
358662 at 12.37
358597 at 00.18
66 blocks in the first 12.5 hours we should make 75 blocks in 12.5 hours so we are down 10 for the day.
this is very good. we are close to certain to be negative.
we are down 31 blocks
1830 made should be 1861
I figure (-1.67%) as the real time number not as good as bitcoinwisdom's (-2.71%)
but still very good.
https://blockchain.info/blocks
358662 at 12.37
358597 at 00.18
66 blocks in the first 12.5 hours we should make 75 blocks in 12.5 hours so we are down 10 for the day.
this is very good. we are close to certain to be negative.
we are down 31 blocks
1830 made should be 1861
I figure (-1.67%) as the real time number not as good as bitcoinwisdom's (-2.71%)
but still very good.
May 30, 2015, 07:23:25 AM
Bitwisdom in the morning is looking great:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,470,132,417 (-2.74%)
Adjust time: After 195 Blocks, About 1.4 days
Hashrate(?): 342,353,913 GH/s
But price is taking a dive currently around 232 so that is not good.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,470,132,417 (-2.74%)
Adjust time: After 195 Blocks, About 1.4 days
Hashrate(?): 342,353,913 GH/s
But price is taking a dive currently around 232 so that is not good.
May 29, 2015, 11:46:27 PM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
171 on 5-17-2015 most about 95 of the blocks were last adjustment. bitcoinwisdom still uses them for the guess in the future.
so above is 27 over norm of 144 for the day, but only 10 for the 'real' count this adjustment.
143 5-18 -1 +9 running count
138 5-19 -6 +3
138 5-20 -6 -3
153 5-21 +9 +12
144 5-22 0 +12
110 5-23 -34 -22
145 5-24 +1 -21
141 5-25 -3 -24
144 5-26 0 -24
142 5-27 -2 -26
136 5-28 -8 -34
157 5-29 +13 -21
about 1776 made we should be at 1797 that = 1776/1797 = 0.9883-1 = -0.0116 which is
-1.16 %
as a real time number .
which would make me the leader with 240 blocks left.
bitcoinwisdom does not have this shift in their prediction. in the morning we will know better.
with only 240 blocks left even if we finish out strong maybe we go to = +1%
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-2.61%)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,534,198,971 (-2.61%)
Adjust time: After 240 Blocks, About 1.7 days
Hashrate(?): 340,961,799 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.5 minutes
3 blocks: 31.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated: 23:15 (2.8 minutes ago)
Were getting closer and closer to the end of this difficulty period. I hope bitwisdom's number is closer one to being right. But either one is really a win for miners.
May 29, 2015, 11:17:55 PM
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
171 on 5-17-2015 most about 95 of the blocks were last adjustment. bitcoinwisdom still uses them for the guess in the future.
so above is 27 over norm of 144 for the day, but only 10 for the 'real' count this adjustment.
143 5-18 -1 +9 running count
138 5-19 -6 +3
138 5-20 -6 -3
153 5-21 +9 +12
144 5-22 0 +12
110 5-23 -34 -22
145 5-24 +1 -21
141 5-25 -3 -24
144 5-26 0 -24
142 5-27 -2 -26
136 5-28 -8 -34
157 5-29 +13 -21
about 1776 made we should be at 1797 that = 1776/1797 = 0.9883-1 = -0.0116 which is
-1.16 %
as a real time number .
which would make me the leader with 240 blocks left.
bitcoinwisdom does not have this shift in their prediction. in the morning we will know better.
with only 240 blocks left even if we finish out strong maybe we go to = +1%
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-2.61%)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,534,198,971 (-2.61%)
Adjust time: After 240 Blocks, About 1.7 days
Hashrate(?): 340,961,799 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.5 minutes
3 blocks: 31.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated: 23:15 (2.8 minutes ago)
May 29, 2015, 08:35:12 AM
Morning bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,841,661,702 (-1.98%)
Adjust time: After 319 Blocks, About 2.3 days
Hashrate(?): 346,309,602 GH/s
So it's projecting a little higher then previous. But still very nice that we have a negative.
Price is around 237 and slightly going upwards in price.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,841,661,702 (-1.98%)
Adjust time: After 319 Blocks, About 2.3 days
Hashrate(?): 346,309,602 GH/s
So it's projecting a little higher then previous. But still very nice that we have a negative.
Price is around 237 and slightly going upwards in price.
May 29, 2015, 02:58:47 AM
So far this is the first time since I started guessing that I've been on the right side of the +/-.
I remain on opposite side. But I am still very happy since it went negative. I was sure it would be positive.
I'm happy i did not bet any money on this.
May 29, 2015, 01:46:21 AM
So far this is the first time since I started guessing that I've been on the right side of the +/-.
May 29, 2015, 12:32:32 AM
It's looking pretty good on difficulty change, it appeared to be a positive. So I'm happy it went down from first of week.
Were slightly going down in price. Were around 237 right down heading down slowly.
Were slightly going down in price. Were around 237 right down heading down slowly.
May 29, 2015, 12:27:03 AM
here go to http://btc.blockr.io/charts
171 on 5-17-2015 most about 95 of the blocks were last adjustment. bitcoinwisdom still uses them for the guess in the future.
so above is 27 over norm of 144 for the day, but only 10 for the 'real' count this adjustment.
143 5-18 -1 +9 running count
138 5-19 -6 +3
138 5-20 -6 -3
153 5-21 +9 +12
144 5-22 0 +12
110 5-23 -34 -22
145 5-24 +1 -21
141 5-25 -3 -24
144 5-26 0 -24
142 5-27 -2 -26
136 5-28 -8 -34
about 1646 made we should be at 1680
1646/1680 = 0.97976 - 1 = -0.02023 or (-2.023%) The real time number
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
370 blocks left (-2.27%)
And I am thinking -1.0 to -3.0 as a good ball park most of us are out of it for now.
Once again not much change price at 239 usd
Looking back I was pushing open - neg spots at the end of picking time
Some one going to grab one of the negatives before we close?
-1.51% to -1.75% or -2.01% to -2.25% have a shot and are open
-1.76% to -2.00% alh
-1.26% to -1.50% TheAnalogKid
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% Mikestang
-0.51% to -0.75% kenscho
-0.26% to -0.50% Jamphone
-0.01% to -0.25% EMIF
+0.01% to +0.25% tlhIwI
+0.26% to +0.50% zebedee
+0.51% to +0.75% valkir
+0.76% to +1.00% gallery2000 note I switched to this since jonnybravo0311 had picked your pick already
….
May 28, 2015, 09:12:54 PM
Bitwisdom keeps looking better and better:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,616,142,492 (-2.44%)
Adjust time: After 397 Blocks, About 2.9 days
Hashrate(?): 332,785,641 GH/s
If this continues we might lose more this week then we gained during previous difficulty. That would be a nice thing.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,616,142,492 (-2.44%)
Adjust time: After 397 Blocks, About 2.9 days
Hashrate(?): 332,785,641 GH/s
If this continues we might lose more this week then we gained during previous difficulty. That would be a nice thing.
May 28, 2015, 05:30:34 PM
I saw the following, and thought a link here would be interesting:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/--1072474
I think we'll see the impact of this in the near future, which will mean a positive increase in difficulty.
@Phil: You might to amend the title to say picks are closed.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/--1072474
I think we'll see the impact of this in the near future, which will mean a positive increase in difficulty.
@Phil: You might to amend the title to say picks are closed.
An amendment to the above. When I asked in that thread, the poster responded that the gear was NOT new, but rather they were relocating. So my original thought though that it would up the long term hashrate was incorrect. It is though, several Petahash that's offline for a while during their move. Hence some of the "variance" we see could be physical location churn of hardware, as well as Bitcoin luck/variance. I'll take it while I can get it, but they "will be back...." (said with Arnold's voice).
they have 3 cent power add.5 cent and they are 3.5 cents at worse. the s -3 is .8 watts a.gh the sp20 can approach .4 watts
so to be on an even playing field you would need 8 cent power.
I think this kind of move means very little diff growth due to new gear.
It appears building a new farm and moving your old gear is better $ move to make then designing a new s-7.
If I were bitmaintech I will be moving 1 valley north from this build . my 7 or 8 cent farm will be a 3 or 4 cent farm
moving good gear in trucks to a new place at have the power . the 2015 mantra where is the cheap power?
May 28, 2015, 03:45:39 PM
I saw the following, and thought a link here would be interesting:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/--1072474
I think we'll see the impact of this in the near future, which will mean a positive increase in difficulty.
@Phil: You might to amend the title to say picks are closed.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/--1072474
I think we'll see the impact of this in the near future, which will mean a positive increase in difficulty.
@Phil: You might to amend the title to say picks are closed.
An amendment to the above. When I asked in that thread, the poster responded that the gear was NOT new, but rather they were relocating. So my original thought though that it would up the long term hashrate was incorrect. It is though, several Petahash that's offline for a while during their move. Hence some of the "variance" we see could be physical location churn of hardware, as well as Bitcoin luck/variance. I'll take it while I can get it, but they "will be back...." (said with Arnold's voice).
they have 3 cent power add.5 cent and they are 3.5 cents at worse. the s -3 is .8 watts a.gh the sp20 can approach .4 watts
so to be on an even playing field you would need 8 cent power.
I think this kind of move means very little diff growth due to new gear.
It appears building a new farm and moving your old gear is better $ move to make then designing a new s-7.
If I were bitmaintech I will be moving 1 valley north from this build . my 7 or 8 cent farm will be a 3 or 4 cent farm
moving good gear in trucks to a new place at have the power . the 2015 mantra where is the cheap power?
May 28, 2015, 03:27:53 PM
I saw the following, and thought a link here would be interesting:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/--1072474
I think we'll see the impact of this in the near future, which will mean a positive increase in difficulty.
@Phil: You might to amend the title to say picks are closed.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/--1072474
I think we'll see the impact of this in the near future, which will mean a positive increase in difficulty.
@Phil: You might to amend the title to say picks are closed.
An amendment to the above. When I asked in that thread, the poster responded that the gear was NOT new, but rather they were relocating. So my original thought though that it would up the long term hashrate was incorrect. It is though, several Petahash that's offline for a while during their move. Hence some of the "variance" we see could be physical location churn of hardware, as well as Bitcoin luck/variance. I'll take it while I can get it, but they "will be back...." (said with Arnold's voice).
May 28, 2015, 01:36:23 PM
Bitwisdom keeps looking better and better:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,469,564,887 (-2.74%)
Adjust time: After 443 Blocks, About 3.2 days
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,469,564,887 (-2.74%)
Adjust time: After 443 Blocks, About 3.2 days
we had a mad spike at the end. last time. I am hoping we have a strong drop here. maybe -4%
May 28, 2015, 01:32:42 PM
Bitwisdom keeps looking better and better:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,469,564,887 (-2.74%)
Adjust time: After 443 Blocks, About 3.2 days
Bitcoin Difficulty: 48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,469,564,887 (-2.74%)
Adjust time: After 443 Blocks, About 3.2 days
Jump to: