Topic: May 17th to May 30th diff adjustment thread with promo. Picks closed (Read 5487 times)

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/may-31st-to-june-14th-diff-adjustment-thread-with-promo-picks-now-closed-1076732


new thread

locking this one.  will set up new one later.

FUnny that no winners I was sure it would be positive.  But I will settle for  May 31 2015    47,589,591,154    -2.50%    340,659,563 GH/s

Now on to next difficulty I guess

do not get the logic but 2x in a row.  last 2 hours each time blocks made per hour doubled.

I am going to clock it. the next few jumps


358863 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 21:04:09   BTC Nuggets   00000000000000000f64deeff2272e8fc6b1aab571f9811762200cf78155dc7e
358862 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 21:03:00   80.92.188.45   0000000000000000150550b7e8e55aefe83a1bba67e7735b0eeb8215d338a34f

7 vs 6
358861 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 20:56:45   198.23.177.60   00000000000000000226a171fe64ac50ba208f086eb9c7e17d672ace1283c901
358860 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 20:49:59   GHash.IO   0000000000000000101bd93f4a94965b44e56df6c500797dec71630775366377
358859 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 20:35:13   BTCChina Pool   000000000000000001f19306ce287ab28be499d8204a0b6ab4482cf28d9bcb08
358858 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 20:32:24   Slush   0000000000000000094780a00a045b65ae582ca4946057106ef8664bec692f01
358857 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 20:31:47   Slush   0000000000000000045c38909f4d37f6bc753b84b475d99fe4c44023f0e6994a
358856 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 20:09:08   F2Pool   00000000000000001419f57670f6a456fefd614d66cfa40a393023b4f7ca1b45
358855 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 20:00:16   F2Pool   00000000000000000e46e5e0084bd9817988ea13d1abec76155a61b8cd9243f4

 8 vs 6
358854 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 19:49:45   BTC Guild   00000000000000000ffa616abe097abd2748e6acf61b0644bd88fc051f080053
358853 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 19:39:23   82.221.108.21   00000000000000000148b61fb698c0df42e7eb6b7d4fa0d14acae8d27f0638c1
358852 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 19:32:52   AntPool   0000000000000000122f2c51dab4fe7a3dfe4307147eb161c3402839ec5cce61
358851 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 19:32:05   BTCChina Pool   00000000000000000bee4146c45d6a15026c0dd1fa38db42b9c7b2b73205309c
358850 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 19:24:24   BTCChina Pool   000000000000000011599f737898f6f798c91eacb4369da3f12de32d1ad140c2
358849 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 19:10:14   KnCMiner   00000000000000000a92f0569fd1ac57cb55682ceeee729bc94660a7c3c4793b
358848 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 19:06:25   BTC Nuggets   0000000000000000052bb0c3c8d6c1fba431e7c9c05a625f6b42c68e1173b789
358847 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 19:03:09   BitMinter   000000000000000003816ae80c6413b84cbee2f639ba497ab5872ec9711eb256

   7 vs 6
358846 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 18:48:39   AntPool   00000000000000001378369a84f1a4507ef0123c01e18353ecd2887aa725eff9
358845 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 18:27:03   BTCChina Pool   00000000000000000a5564a838edc9aa03936f7023f856d22cb7add84477b893
358844 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 18:25:49   BW.COM   0000000000000000151f04e47c3982e14f70ef4c934e8559af00e317b3fdb01a
358843 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 18:07:33   AntPool   00000000000000000388895e046708c6c22b17bd23c3d24826329b2f7a49dc96
358842 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 18:05:45   KnCMiner   0000000000000000011ff714e267fa86665f4dc57903196499484c73fd83a29f
358841 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 18:03:28   GHash.IO   000000000000000004b1cbfa623fe86dbde72e17172a1116c0c88f7df4e67f89
358840 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 18:00:35   F2Pool   00000000000000001515892efd3f95b9236a1ebe60a59815df85408b1de80b42




Antpool running s-5's  could overclock for 1 or 2 hours just  bit of time  10000 pieces at 1300gh vs 10000 pieces at 1150gh

12 vs 6
358839 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:54:34   BW.COM   000000000000000009b95e283cc825e577fa8479bc447a3e5819f3ce09c06d20
358838 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:53:13   AntPool   00000000000000000caaa6bd624b1510bf65d68f7c2389511bc598689a0d6ca3
358837 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:46:51   AntPool   00000000000000000c0824cdf5c764c3e2c546c560f8b585ed3b2234e32b55b5
358836 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:46:21   AntPool   000000000000000011f745c360c0f75e0e624295c45700d6086f779a18711285
358835 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:45:05   54.174.98.169   000000000000000011c6cad69e02e87a3781e5a63ca7cb5cd9f314b292d0c98a
358834 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:36:15   KnCMiner   0000000000000000100e59158ed2b1671ad53b223aa871c2996640aa8d343c8e
358833 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:41:20   176.9.12.228   00000000000000000831ec2522ac2b2bfe3f2a6dd11466a605f7b67dfa7c3e9a
358832 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:38:00   85.10.210.199   000000000000000013d81448541e6c515b6e8c2e7254744a36666ca42069c6e9
358831 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:23:16   AntPool   000000000000000012a3b6fd44134a6988e26942902a270a37c3ed237c25b678
358830 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:17:15   F2Pool   000000000000000006fe959af3e062b896f287e8e1614afa44cc5e0f44651972
358829 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:12:16   54.184.6.18   00000000000000000f76ea1df1fd1d0f86f68585c68cf85fbf3f858da514e22e
358828 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:09:59   80.92.188.45   00000000000000000d98067b58ecdff8f0ddd1105677c6ad1550b85bb92fc339

What would be thinking behind a "mad rush at the end" in terms of mining, particularly if it's almost a lock for a negative adjustment? If you were staring at a +10% adjustment, then maybe it would make sense. If your hash rate is almost certain to get more "valuable" in a few hours, might it make more sense to dial-back or coast to the next adjustment?

Or did the landlord call, and they needed a few more coins to pay the rent for June? 

damn right!!

we, the miners, are the winners!

It is done no winners!

May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s


Difficulty History

Date   Difficulty   Change   Hash Rate
May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015   48,807,487,245   2.44%   349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015   47,643,398,018   0.07%   341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s
Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s
Jun 18 2014   13,462,580,115   14.51%   96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014   11,756,551,917   12.44%   84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014   10,455,720,138   18.10%   74,844,960 GH/s
May 12 2014   8,853,416,309   10.66%   63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014   8,000,872,136   14.64%   57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014   6,978,842,650   14.04%   49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014   6,119,726,089   22.23%   43,806,706 GH/s
Mar 24 2014   5,006,860,589   17.80%   35,840,504 GH/s
Mar 13 2014   4,250,217,920   11.39%   30,424,245 GH/s
Feb 28 2014   3,815,723,799   21.92%   27,314,015 GH/s
Feb 17 2014   3,129,573,175   19.39%   22,402,357 GH/s
Feb 05 2014   2,621,404,453   19.49%   18,764,744 GH/s
Jan 24 2014   2,193,847,870   22.59%   15,704,175 GH/s
Jan 13 2014   1,789,546,951   26.16%   12,810,076 GH/s
Jan 02 2014   1,418,481,395   20.12%   10,153,885 GH/s
Dec 21 2013   1,180,923,195   30.01%   8,453,378 GH/s
Dec 10 2013   908,350,862   28.41%   6,502,229 GH/s
Nov 29 2013   707,408,283   16.07%   5,063,826 GH/s
Nov 17 2013   609,482,680   19.29%   4,362,847 GH/s
Nov 05 2013   510,929,738   30.70%   3,657,378 GH/s
Oct 26 2013   390,928,788   46.02%   2,798,377 GH/s
Oct 16 2013   267,731,249   41.45%   1,916,495 GH/s
Oct 06 2013   189,281,249   27.19%   1,354,928 GH/s
© 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com

also note antpool blocks first read orphaned then become good

3 blocks to go looks like we swung and missed.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-2.50%)




Bitcoin Difficulty:   48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty:   47,588,082,178 (-2.50%)
Adjust time:   After 3 Blocks, About 30.4 minutes
Hashrate(?):   346,091,791 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.1 minutes
3 blocks: 30.4 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   14:30 (6.2 minutes ago)


we are on block 358841

  358841 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 18:03:28   GHash.IO



we made a mad rush of blocks again look right here:

358839 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:54:34   BW.COM   000000000000000009b95e283cc825e577fa8479bc447a3e5819f3ce09c06d20
358838 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:53:13   AntPool   00000000000000000caaa6bd624b1510bf65d68f7c2389511bc598689a0d6ca3
358837 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:46:51   AntPool   00000000000000000c0824cdf5c764c3e2c546c560f8b585ed3b2234e32b55b5
358836 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:46:21   AntPool   000000000000000011f745c360c0f75e0e624295c45700d6086f779a18711285
358835 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:45:05   54.174.98.169   000000000000000011c6cad69e02e87a3781e5a63ca7cb5cd9f314b292d0c98a
358834 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:36:15   KnCMiner   0000000000000000100e59158ed2b1671ad53b223aa871c2996640aa8d343c8e
358833 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:41:20   176.9.12.228   00000000000000000831ec2522ac2b2bfe3f2a6dd11466a605f7b67dfa7c3e9a
358832 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:38:00   85.10.210.199   000000000000000013d81448541e6c515b6e8c2e7254744a36666ca42069c6e9
358831 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:23:16   AntPool   000000000000000012a3b6fd44134a6988e26942902a270a37c3ed237c25b678
358830 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:17:15   F2Pool   000000000000000006fe959af3e062b896f287e8e1614afa44cc5e0f44651972
358829 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:12:16   54.184.6.18   00000000000000000f76ea1df1fd1d0f86f68585c68cf85fbf3f858da514e22e
358828 (Main Chain)   2015-05-31 17:09:59   80.92.188.45


12 blocks in 1 hour vs 6 blocks in one hour.

second time in 2 diff increases.

here is a guess

these companies   may overclock at the 20 block to go mark.

IF I were to win, it would be a 3-peat. Based on the following it may well be "NO peat" for everyone.

Bitcoin Difficulty:    48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,552,289,802 (-2.57%)
Adjust time:    After 11 Blocks, About 1.9 hours
Hashrate(?):    344,735,529 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.6 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
   
Updated:    12:50 (11.9 minutes ago)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


(-2.57%)


11 blocks to go

https://blockchain.info/blocks


358820  at 15:46
358733  at 00:11

that is    87 blocks     in just about 16 hours  should be 96 blocks   so -9 on the day

we have 28 blocks to go.  we are certainly going to be minus .  so we are good.

Negative 2 makes me happy overall.  Would be a nice change.  Not huge but nice.

And wow on 3 peat, I'm lucky if I get on right side

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


   (-2.23%)



Adjust time:   After 38 Blocks, About 6.5 hours



Quote from: philipma1957 on May 25, 2015, 09:45:21 PM

Some one going to grab one of the negatives before we close?



-1.51% to -1.75%  or -2.01% to -2.25%  have a shot  and are open





-1.76% to -2.00%    alh


-1.26% to -1.50%    TheAnalogKid
-1.01% to -1.25%    philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%    Mikestang
-0.51% to -0.75%    kenscho
-0.26% to -0.50%    Jamphone



unless there is a hot streak  a  rollover looks possible.


alh
TheAnalogKid
philipma1957

kind of have a shot.

alh if you win is that a 3 peat?

It will be a close call either way
Past -2% or just short of the line
See it at over -2 now but its only been a one block.

Adjust time: After 69 Blocks, About 11.8 hours  
Estimated Next Difficulty: 47,790,638,661 (-2.08%)  
Adjust time: After 69 Blocks, About 11.8 hours  

perfect time for mining my friends!!!
 

Just a late update from Minnesota:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,836,430,479 (-1.99%)
Adjust time:    After 70 Blocks, About 11.9 hours
Hashrate(?):    338,339,067 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 10.2 minutes
3 blocks: 30.6 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
   
Updated:    3:40 (9.1 minutes ago)

Price: $234

Of course if you wanted to call it early, that would be fine with me!   

well we did 30 blocks today


https://blockchain.info/blocks


358762 05.23
358733 00.11         so after 5 hours and 23 minutes we should be at 32 blocks

we have 86 blocks to go.  we are down over 32 blocks.  I think 33 blocks off pace.

Negative is pretty sure.  we would need to do 86 blocks in 8 hours to get to  positive.