May 17th to May 30th diff adjustment thread with promo. Picks closed - page 4.

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Quote from: notlist3d on May 25, 2015, 11:13:25 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on May 25, 2015, 11:02:51 PM

we have 801 blocks to go. and slipping lower (-1.72%)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

price is 238

would have to say the last 4 months have been stable price wise and difficulty wise.

from jan 20 to may 25th price has been 228 to 238 with a peak near 298

and diff was 43.9 Bill on jan 20th it is now 48.8 Bill

Pretty smooth for 4 months.

I wonder what the next 4 months will bring?

I'm thinking we will see new gear sometime within it. But I could be very wrong on that. New gear/chips has slowed down to a crawl with low btc to blame in my opinion. I think the companies broke the cycle of new gear and are enjoying using the old gear for a little extra and slow the R/D down a little (although some could have chips or something up there sleeve, waiting for right moment to launch).

I just don't see near the hardware expansion it seemed like we were always doing. And eventually halving will come into effect and could be scaring some off. I'm unsure how halving will be done with existing miners.

There needs to be either a significant hardware improvement (< 0.25W) before the halving or there will be a huge diff drop and/or price rise. As it stands now most hardware including the S5 would become unprofitable overnight.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: philipma1957 on May 25, 2015, 11:02:51 PM

we have 801 blocks to go. and slipping lower (-1.72%)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

price is 238

would have to say the last 4 months have been stable price wise and difficulty wise.

from jan 20 to may 25th price has been 228 to 238 with a peak near 298

and diff was 43.9 Bill on jan 20th it is now 48.8 Bill

Pretty smooth for 4 months.

I wonder what the next 4 months will bring?

I'm thinking we will see new gear sometime within it. But I could be very wrong on that. New gear/chips has slowed down to a crawl with low btc to blame in my opinion. I think the companies broke the cycle of new gear and are enjoying using the old gear for a little extra and slow the R/D down a little (although some could have chips or something up there sleeve, waiting for right moment to launch).

I just don't see near the hardware expansion it seemed like we were always doing. And eventually halving will come into effect and could be scaring some off. I'm unsure how halving will be done with existing miners.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

we have 801 blocks to go. and slipping lower (-1.72%)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

price is 238

would have to say the last 4 months have been stable price wise and difficulty wise.

from jan 20 to may 25th price has been 228 to 238 with a peak near 298

and diff was 43.9 Bill on jan 20th it is now 48.8 Bill

Pretty smooth for 4 months.

I wonder what the next 4 months will bring?

@notlist not sure what I will be writing come Sept 20-25

hard to think diff will be 55.5 bill and price 248 that week but maybe the builders of gear realize that the big boys are going to put a chip every where you can think. If I were bitfury ,knc, bitmaintech ,avalon, sfards and I thought 21 and quallcom were going to sell routers all over the world with 1 watt 10gh chip in it I might not want to build gear anymore.

I might do exactly what is happening mine and stay stable.

100,000,000 10 gh routers = 100 ph
300,000,000 10 gh electric meters = 300 ph
600,000,000 10 gh tv sets = 600 ph

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

I find it interesting were getting a negative number. I don't think there is any new coins to attribute it to. Price is hanging in high 230's.

I'm wondering if just luck or if summer is taking effect. I was thinking summer we might see some old gear drop off (existing dragons, etc). But I'm not really sure what to expect with difficulty moving so slow.

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Quote from: philipma1957 on May 25, 2015, 09:20:42 PM

Quote from: judypug1956 on May 25, 2015, 09:18:35 PM

So it is 10:18 PM the 25th are we closed?

suchmoon provides the prize money so he has final say.

But we did give a lot of extra time. So I would guess it is closed.

I think let's consider it closed.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: judypug1956 on May 25, 2015, 09:18:35 PM

So it is 10:18 PM the 25th are we closed?

suchmoon provides the prize money so he has final say.

But we did give a lot of extra time. So I would guess it is closed.

judypug1956

sr. member

Activity: 355

Merit: 276

So it is 10:18 PM the 25th are we closed?

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

current real number is -1.95%

about 2 or 3 minutes to go.

here go to http://btc.blockr.io/charts

171 on 5-17-2015 most about 95 of the blocks were last adjustment. bitcoinwisdom still uses them for the guess in the future.

so above is 27 over norm of 144 for the day, but only 10 for the 'real' count this adjustment.

143 5-18 -1 +9 running count
138 5-19 -6 +3
138 5-20 -6 -3
153 5-21 +9 +12
144 5-22 0 +12
110 5-23 -34 -22
145 5-24 +1 -21
141 5-25 -3 -24
for today

https://blockchain.info/blocks

358028 23:47
357888 0:02

141 blocks made a -3

grand total is -24

with 1204 made so 1204/1228 = 0.98045 - 1 = -0.01954 which is:

(-1.95%) true real time number.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(-1.36%)

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

picks will stay open to block 10:00 PM EST May 25th about ½ hours.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-1.36%)

Some one going to grab one of the negatives before we close?

-1.51% to -1.75% or -2.01% to -2.25% have a shot and are open

-1.76% to -2.00% alh

-1.26% to -1.50% TheAnalogKid
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% Mikestang
-0.51% to -0.75% kenscho
-0.26% to -0.50% Jamphone
-0.01% to -0.25% EMIF

+0.01% to +0.25% tlhIwI
+0.26% to +0.50% zebedee
+0.51% to +0.75% valkir
+0.76% to +1.00% gallery2000 note I switched to this since jonnybravo0311 had picked your pick already
+1.01% to +1.25% jonnybravo0311
+1.26% to +1.50% notlist3d
+1.51% to +1.75% Biodom
+1.76% to +2.00% edonkey
+2.01% to +2.25% mavericklm
+2.26% to +2.50% SunnyIgor
+2.51% to +2.75% davejh
+2.76% to +3.00% RoadStress
+3.01% to +3.25% akashamar
+3.26% to +3.50% solstoce
+3.51% to +3.75% tertius393
+3.76% to +4.00% ezeminer

+5.01% to +5.25% wpt1wpt

+6.26% to +6.50% Kexkey

About 17 minutes left. and I see a few spots that could be winners.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (-1.36%)

Some one going to grab one of the negatives before we close?

-1.51% to -1.75% or -2.01% to -2.25% have a shot

alh

legendary

Activity: 1846

Merit: 1052

I'll take -1.76% ro -2.00% if picks are still open.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: suchmoon on May 25, 2015, 11:05:53 AM

Quote from: jonnybravo0311 on May 25, 2015, 10:56:56 AM

Honestly, I'm a bit confused by the charts on bitcoinwisdom.com at this point. The reported hash rate for the past 504 and 1008 blocks shows a very definitive down trend. However, the 2016 block line has actually trended up. It's completely the opposite of what should be happening to that line...

The last 2016 blocks include that spike to ~370 PH/s that we had before the last adjustment. It will move down if the current downtrend continues, but the drop is not going to be as sharp or deep.

here go to http://btc.blockr.io/charts

171 on 5-17-2015 most about 95 of the blocks were last adjustment. bitcoinwisdom still uses them for the guess in the future.

so above is 27 over norm of 144 for the day, but only 10 for the 'real' count this adjustment.

143 5-18 -1 +9 running count
138 5-19 -6 +3
138 5-20 -6 -3
153 5-21 +9 +12
144 5-22 0 +12
110 5-23 -34 -22
145 5-24 +1 -21
141 5-25 -3 -24
for today

https://blockchain.info/blocks

358028 23:47
357888 0:02

141 blocks made a -3

grand total is -24

with 1204 made so 1204/1228 = 0.98045 - 1 = -0.01954 which is:

(-1.95%) true real time number.

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(-1.36%)

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Quote from: jonnybravo0311 on May 25, 2015, 10:56:56 AM

Honestly, I'm a bit confused by the charts on bitcoinwisdom.com at this point. The reported hash rate for the past 504 and 1008 blocks shows a very definitive down trend. However, the 2016 block line has actually trended up. It's completely the opposite of what should be happening to that line...

The last 2016 blocks include that spike to ~370 PH/s that we had before the last adjustment. It will move down if the current downtrend continues, but the drop is not going to be as sharp or deep.

jonnybravo0311

legendary

Activity: 1344

Merit: 1024

Mine at Jonny's Pool

Honestly, I'm a bit confused by the charts on bitcoinwisdom.com at this point. The reported hash rate for the past 504 and 1008 blocks shows a very definitive down trend. However, the 2016 block line has actually trended up. It's completely the opposite of what should be happening to that line...

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Wow is it nice to be backup! We were above 240 or day or so on price. We dropped a little bit and are in the 238's now.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Back up

picks will stay open to block 10:00 PM EST May 25th about 11 hours.

-1.26% to -1.50% TheAnalogKid
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% Mikestang
-0.51% to -0.75% kenscho
-0.26% to -0.50% Jamphone
-0.01% to -0.25% EMIF

+0.01% to +0.25% tlhIwI
+0.26% to +0.50% zebedee
+0.51% to +0.75% valkir
+0.76% to +1.00% gallery2000 note I switched to this since jonnybravo0311 had picked your pick already
+1.01% to +1.25% jonnybravo0311
+1.26% to +1.50% notlist3d
+1.51% to +1.75% Biodom
+1.76% to +2.00% edonkey
+2.01% to +2.25% mavericklm
+2.26% to +2.50% SunnyIgor
+2.51% to +2.75% davejh
+2.76% to +3.00% RoadStress
+3.01% to +3.25% akashamar
+3.26% to +3.50% solstoce
+3.51% to +3.75% tertius393
+3.76% to +4.00% ezeminer

+5.01% to +5.25% wpt1wpt

+6.26% to +6.50% Kexkey

EMIF

full member

Activity: 132

Merit: 100

Quote from: philipma1957 on May 25, 2015, 09:25:48 AM

Okay we are up. It is Monday the 25th 10:24 am EST.

Picks will close at 10PM monday the 25th EST about 12 hours from now

This time , I want to get from -0.01% to -0.25% rather than 0 Grin

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Okay we are up. It is Monday the 25th 10:24 am EST.

Picks will close at 10PM monday the 25th EST about 12 hours from now

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

https://blockchain.info/blocks

357485 at 23:05:45
357337 at 00:05:54

148 + 1 = 149 blocks you need add the 1 since 357337 was made today.

so 149 blocks with 55 minutes left = at lease + 5 today

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Appears bitwisdom is climbing slowly:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    48,807,487,245
Estimated Next Difficulty:    50,267,756,180 (+2.99%)
Adjust time:    After 1364 Blocks, About 9.4 days
Hashrate(?):    354,085,867 GH/s

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4326

Merit: 8950

'The right to privacy matters'

Back up

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(+2.87%)

we have 1391 blocks left

picks will stay open to block 1000 made or about 2 ½ days

-1.26% to -1.50% TheAnalogKid
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% Mikestang
-0.51% to -0.75% kenscho
-0.26% to -0.50% Jamphone

+0.01% to +0.25% tlhIwI
+0.26% to +0.50% zebedee
+0.51% to +0.75% valkir
+0.76% to +1.00% gallery2000 note I switched to this since jonnybravo0311 had picked your pick already
+1.01% to +1.25% jonnybravo0311
+1.26% to +1.50% notlist3d
+1.51% to +1.75% Biodom
+1.76% to +2.00% edonkey
+2.01% to +2.25% mavericklm
+2.26% to +2.50% SunnyIgor
+2.51% to +2.75% davejh
+2.76% to +3.00% RoadStress
+3.01% to +3.25% akashamar
+3.26% to +3.50% solstoce
+3.51% to +3.75% tertius393
+3.76% to +4.00% ezeminer

+5.01% to +5.25% wpt1wpt

+6.26% to +6.50% Kexkey

Topic: May 17th to May 30th diff adjustment thread with promo. Picks closed - page 4. (Read 5584 times)