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Topic: MTGOX <-> BTC BID/ASK - page 4. (Read 74861 times)

sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
March 02, 2014, 07:53:11 AM
I´m "new" to BTC but first thing i heard cold storage is the ONLY way to go.

I backed up my Wallet on dropbox,though, good idea?

I'm not sure about Dropbox but one cloud provider that is encrypted from start to finish is SpiderOak.
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
March 02, 2014, 07:51:00 AM
I backed up my Wallet on dropbox,though, good idea?
If it's encrypted it might make sense, if it's unencrypted it's a terrible idea!
This would mean dropbox could freely access your wallet, and even if you assume they are honest, dropbox is also known for not being great security-wise: they could be hacked and your wallet stolen anyway.

If you put it there unencrypted, I suggest you to create a new wallet, and send all the coins from the old one to the new one, since the old one has to be considered compromised.
legendary
Activity: 994
Merit: 1000
March 02, 2014, 06:26:17 AM
Quote
Here's a vid on what I think about it (NSFW): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BAygGeK0LMo

very well done, lot's of laughs (although maybe not for people with $/BTC on Gox).

"I should have put my BTC in cold storage, like Stalin".  Fantastic. (maybe better as the last line of the video - big finish?)



I´m "new" to BTC but first thing i heard cold storage is the ONLY way to go.

I backed up my Wallet on dropbox,though, good idea?
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
March 01, 2014, 01:20:37 PM
Quote
Here's a vid on what I think about it (NSFW): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BAygGeK0LMo

very well done, lot's of laughs (although maybe not for people with $/BTC on Gox).

"I should have put my BTC in cold storage, like Stalin".  Fantastic. (maybe better as the last line of the video - big finish?)

newbie
Activity: 14
Merit: 0
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
March 01, 2014, 08:25:38 AM
WTS 43 goxcoins



I'm premium member in mtgox, i sell my account with 43 goxcoins at 7% of value = 3 BTC .


SBROTFL SRSLY?

I mean, do you really think there is someone dumb enough to buy it?

(especially considering you can't even prove it, since gox is offline...)
member
Activity: 120
Merit: 10
March 01, 2014, 08:21:16 AM
WTS 43 goxcoins



I'm premium member in mtgox, i sell my account with 43 goxcoins at 7% of value = 3 BTC .

full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
March 01, 2014, 07:54:20 AM
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
March 01, 2014, 07:52:27 AM
WTS 43 goxcoins
I bid 0.00025 BTC
member
Activity: 120
Merit: 10
March 01, 2014, 07:17:50 AM
WTS 43 goxcoins

full member
Activity: 164
Merit: 100
February 28, 2014, 02:48:43 PM
It's not about odds, as the bankruptcy is certain. It's about recovery rate. We know they have about $20m in assets and about $500m in liabilities. This should result in a recovery rate of about 4%. It will probably be less than that because of all the costs associated with the liquidation/administration procedure.

The big unknown variable is that the majority of the liabilities is in the form of BTC, which I'm not sure how they will be accounted for.
member
Activity: 392
Merit: 10
February 28, 2014, 01:25:22 PM
How do Japans bankruptcy laws differ from usa ?
 Huh
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
February 28, 2014, 09:49:49 AM
Isn't it curious Roger Ver wanted to buy GoxCoins in this very thread?

Either he is just naive and stupid (highly unlikely considering all his business activity) and he bought BTC, and now have it stuck in gox-neverland, OR he deliberately posted it, because he knows he's high profile and people will listen to him, so 'voting' for MtGox made others believe, and thus injecting more money into the failing black hole aka MtGox and at the same time he's withdrawn all his own funds already.

He is apparently a close friend of Mark and received a text-message on tuesday this week telling him about what was about to transpire today. It is possible that Mark has hidden the shitty situation from even him up until now, but I still have a problem depicting Roger Ver as stupid, although he might be very greedy (he also lost money in Bitcoinica afaik - to get the interest for a large amount of btc), funnily enough, these very bitcoins were stored with MtGox, and later held hostage by MtGox indefinately 'pending investigations'.

It strikes me as odd if Mark and Roger weren't able to figure this out privately avoiding the lenghty waiting time for any court decisions. Many would have done their best to recover those coins using that friendship for that purpose.

This is just speculations, but there are a lot of things going on, that the public does not get to know - even if that too is speculation - that's almost a 100% certainty.
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Bitgoblin
February 28, 2014, 09:42:46 AM
People are still trading for goxcoins despite the fact gox filed for bankruptcy protection this morning?
Because it means they won't be liquidated in the near future (there's hope. a little Cheesy)

There are 3 types of bankrupcy.  One is total wipe out, one is partial wipe out, other is semi wipe-out.
Yeah, sure, there's also Wipe-out 2097 and F-Zero fusion.
legendary
Activity: 804
Merit: 1002
February 28, 2014, 09:40:27 AM
People are still trading for goxcoins despite the fact gox filed for bankruptcy protection this morning?
Because it means they won't be liquidated in the near future (there's hope. a little Cheesy)

There are 3 types of bankrupcy.  One is total wipe out, one is partial wipe out, other is semi wipe-out.
Actually no. There is liquidation, Debtcancelling and carrying on , and converting debt to ownership.
hero member
Activity: 882
Merit: 1003
February 28, 2014, 09:18:18 AM
People are still trading for goxcoins despite the fact gox filed for bankruptcy protection this morning?
Because it means they won't be liquidated in the near future (there's hope. a little Cheesy)

There are 3 types of bankrupcy.  One is total wipe out, one is partial wipe out, other is semi wipe-out.
legendary
Activity: 2126
Merit: 1001
February 28, 2014, 08:44:11 AM
People are still trading for goxcoins despite the fact gox filed for bankruptcy protection this morning?

It's all about odds, huh?
Hell, I might even buy some GoxCoins for 1% face value! If it technically was still possible.
As there might or might not be a more than 1% chance to see any funds again. Or a 2% chance to get back half of the funds.
Noone knows the details, it's all a gamble.

I just was about to add that it's all a gamble unless you have more information than the others.
Isn't it curious Roger Ver wanted to buy GoxCoins in this very thread?
And that Charlie Shrem youtube speech..

Man, I can't wait to learn the full story on this one.

Ente
legendary
Activity: 804
Merit: 1002
February 28, 2014, 08:41:23 AM
People are still trading for goxcoins despite the fact gox filed for bankruptcy protection this morning?
Because it means they won't be liquidated in the near future (there's hope. a little Cheesy)
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 283
February 28, 2014, 08:39:59 AM
People are still trading for goxcoins despite the fact gox filed for bankruptcy protection this morning?
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
Just Fun!
February 28, 2014, 06:18:56 AM

you can't calculate odds without a certain factor to hold on to. In poker you have a limited choice of cards (52), your own cards and later on the community card board. So in fact you calculate your odds against facts, namely the highest possible combination for you against the highest possible combination for your opponents. If you have a chance of 50% to win and you can win 2 times your stack you will play that hand.

What is your limited choice here? Gox dead to gox alive. Those odds would be 50%  without more info.
Given the fact that we KNOW the cold wallets are still full and untouched, but we don't know if they can access them in the near future (again, 50%):
Chance for them to be alive and able to pay out: ? There are wayyy too many inputs there. you can't possibly even try to measure the odds.

only about your "limited choce here":

1. gox dead or alive: 50%; cumulative odds 50% (right this is truth)
2. you KNOW that cold wallets are untouched? i don´t think so... it is for sure not a fact, so: 50% here also; cumulative odds 25%
3. if this cold wallets are still full can they be accessed in near future: 50% (Truth); cumulative odds 12,5%
4. fact is that their software itself is so fucked up that nobody really knows are they even able to organize everything again: 50%; cumulative odds 6,25%
5. do we really know anything about facts? chance 1:4 (i just make it up myself, so only my opinion, so: max 25%; cumulative odds ca 1,56%

all single chances can vary but in the end i think there will be only those odds what everybody makes up for himself. it is nice to write about "facts" which are actually not a facts... so only speculations.

there are only two (three) facts:
1. gox was not able to make correct payouts already 2012.
2. gox closed their doors without giving us any informations.
(3. Karpeles ist just a asshole.)

everything else is just speculation. i am (personally) sure that considering those facts our chances to hear/get any other facts will be max 3%.

PS: you are a really conservative poker player. Grin
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