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Topic: NBA 2019-2020 betting - page 17. (Read 119734 times)

copper member
Activity: 2044
Merit: 793
May 22, 2024, 09:32:41 PM
Nice hit, @ralle14, as the total first half points were 128, way over the bet you picked, so it was an easy win.
Thanks and i'm also planning to ride with the over for the next game, as I can't imagine these teams slowing down with the scoring.


As much as I like the Mavs in this series, I still think they'll drop this first game, and the Timberwolves will come out firing since they tend to win dominantly in some of their games.

These two also met a bunch of times in the regular season and it went in the Timberwolves' favor, but I doubt that'll be a big factor in deciding today's game.


I went with the unpopular opinion and back the Dallas Mavericks when they had a 1-point lead towards the end of 3rd quarter, My sole reason for that was because of how Kyrie has been playing all night, and I believe if the Timberwolves have attempted way more 3 point and have knocked down significant number of it but still can get a decent separation, that could mean trouble is lurking around for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

sr. member
Activity: 1554
Merit: 413
May 22, 2024, 07:28:39 PM
ralle's Wolves -4.5 pick makes more sense so I'm following that. I think that team will play aggressive defense and swarm Kyrie and Luka so both or either of them will be limited to 20 points or less. That will probably be enough to win the game and cover the spread.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1914
Shuffle.com
May 22, 2024, 06:56:22 PM
Nice hit, @ralle14, as the total first half points were 128, way over the bet you picked, so it was an easy win.
Thanks and i'm also planning to ride with the over for the next game, as I can't imagine these teams slowing down with the scoring.


As much as I like the Mavs in this series, I still think they'll drop this first game, and the Timberwolves will come out firing since they tend to win dominantly in some of their games.

These two also met a bunch of times in the regular season and it went in the Timberwolves' favor, but I doubt that'll be a big factor in deciding today's game.


legendary
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May 22, 2024, 06:50:58 PM
This being a game 1 it is tough to guess how it will go out the gate.
Remember how everybody was on the Celtics last night yet the Pacers took them to overtime and it wasn't such a walk in the park from what the odds suggested it was going to be for Boston @1.33x pre-game.

So I will be backing the home team in the Timberwolves and possibly the under at 206.5pts combo bet.
But going to bet larger on the ML for Minnesota being 1.54x prematch odds.
Seems like a good confident bet to place since they are doing well and coming off the road so home court advantage will favor them tremendously tonight.
legendary
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May 22, 2024, 04:39:37 PM
A. Edwards 1+ stocks / M. Conley 8+ RA @1.61  X

Another 100% hit ratio play in the playoffs.

ANT averages 2.4 stocks in the playoffs, 1+ stocks in 11/L11. Of the four remaining teams, Mavs commit the most turnovers per game (playoffs), i can see him finish with multiple steals/blocks. Wolves have the best DEFRTG all season for a reason.

Conley still has the GTD tag, but i'm confident he'll play. He is averaging 10.7 RA in the playoffs and has gone 8+ RA 10/L10 (he missed one game due to injury).

------------

unrelated to tonight's game, i had 5 SGPs on the Celtics vs. Pacers Game 1.  I was one more 3-pointer from J. Brown to get all five down, but 40/41 is pretty wild.

https://i.ibb.co/qJdBFRn/fnfshndfn.png
legendary
Activity: 3752
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May 22, 2024, 03:46:40 PM
Was busy last night and didn't get my over bet in.  Pacers game only getting 222.5 on the over lol dam that was easy money.

Tonight should be a good night amd expecting a tight battle.  I'm picking the hometown wolves taking game 1 with a spread of -4.5 and taking the under at 206.5.  I can see this being a 103-96 type of game.  Just hoping for a good game.
donator
Activity: 4760
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May 22, 2024, 12:56:17 PM
I'm taking Minnesota over Dallas for today.  I think that Dallas is going to struggle against the athleticism of Anthony Edwards while at the same time I think Luka will struggle against Minnesota's defense.  I suspect that Dallas is going to try to shoot their way to a win tonight, so maybe Luka or Kyrie will have an amazing night beyond the arch and will their team to a victory, but I think more likely they'll be frustrated with their lack of penetration and will struggle to score against Minnesota...  Game is on TNT so that's good news for watchers.

Minnesota Timberwolves - Dallas Mavericks
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Minnesota Timberwolves

Odds
1.55
legendary
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May 22, 2024, 11:56:07 AM
I forgot to place my bets yesterday but that was some awesome performance by both teams in the Eastern Conference Finals.
I am hoping the battle against the Dallas Mavericks and the Minnesota Timberwolves will be as entertaining as that one.

Here is my pick for later.
Minnesota Timberwolves - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @2.55
Over 204.5 @1.74

The Mavs may have not started well in their game against the LA Clippers which made them lose game 1 and so did against the OKC Thunder. But I am putting my trust in that team tonight. They are hungry. Kyrie Irving is damn hungry and so do the other casts of the Mavs team. I think PJ Washington will come out strong again and I am hoping he learned his lesson in that Game 6 against the Thunder. He must've trained harder to keep his defense intense but avoiding fouls.

Good luck and enjoy.
hero member
Activity: 2982
Merit: 610
May 22, 2024, 08:00:30 AM
You love to take the risk, as most see that Wolves got that edge after beating the defending champ, they again will be test against the power duo of Luka and Kyrie, who also playing great games as leaders, more on how both squad will see and take their advantages against each other and who's more hungrier than the other. Good Luck!

For me, that's the game, it's taking risks. The Wolves aren't unbeatable at home, as they lost twice at home versus the Nuggets. Dallas is also good on the road, having won 2 road games against OKC, so I really like the pick, to be honest. However, I want to minimize the risk, so I'll be betting on the + points for the Dallas Mavericks.

With enough rest for Dallas, I believe Luka will be fully healthy in the Western Conference Finals. A healthy Luka is really unstoppable, plus they also have Irving who can explode anytime. With role players like PJ Washington and Jones Jr., not to mention their big men, I think they are more than ready for the Wolves.
hero member
Activity: 1288
Merit: 564
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May 22, 2024, 08:00:17 AM
Anyway, let's discuss the other conference finals. Tomorrow we have the Dallas vs. Wolves game 1. I hope this is also a great matchup. Both teams are coming from tough series, so I expect they'll give each other a headache.

My pick would be Dallas moneyline and under 206.

Comparing the 2 team players stats. Wolves have the advantage because they have great defense and offense due to their size advantage. But considering how stressful their game 7 match against Nuggets I think Dallas maybe a good choice for Game 1 since they are fresh because they finish early the OKC series.

I’m skeptical on what will be the Dallas defense against Wolves big man while they are lacking good center ever since. They are just compensating with good offense that’s why they keep winning on this playoffs.
legendary
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May 22, 2024, 07:54:33 AM
Nice hit, @ralle14, as the total first half points were 128, way over the bet you picked, so it was an easy win. The game was indeed high-scoring, especially when it went to overtime. This looks like the trend in the series, as both teams love to run and are shooting at a high percentage. The Pacers are known to be an offensive team, and if the Celtics are winning with that kind of pace, I think they'll continue to play the same in game 2. With that said, I'm already looking forward to the game 2 over.

Yup, with how both teams running their offensive executions they both love to run and with those shooters who can take behind the arc the trend might be for those who loves to pick Over chances is good for those who believes that both squad will continue to execute that quick basket especially those running attacks.

Quote
Anyway, let's discuss the other conference finals. Tomorrow we have the Dallas vs. Wolves game 1. I hope this is also a great matchup. Both teams are coming from tough series, so I expect they'll give each other a headache.

My pick would be Dallas moneyline and under 206.

You love to take the risk, as most see that Wolves got that edge after beating the defending champ, they again will be test against the power duo of Luka and Kyrie, who also playing great games as leaders, more on how both squad will see and take their advantages against each other and who's more hungrier than the other. Good Luck!
hero member
Activity: 2954
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May 22, 2024, 07:28:16 AM
Nice hit, @ralle14, as the total first half points were 128, way over the bet you picked, so it was an easy win. The game was indeed high-scoring, especially when it went to overtime. This looks like the trend in the series, as both teams love to run and are shooting at a high percentage. The Pacers are known to be an offensive team, and if the Celtics are winning with that kind of pace, I think they'll continue to play the same in game 2. With that said, I'm already looking forward to the game 2 over.

Anyway, let's discuss the other conference finals. Tomorrow we have the Dallas vs. Wolves game 1. I hope this is also a great matchup. Both teams are coming from tough series, so I expect they'll give each other a headache.

My pick would be Dallas moneyline and under 206.
legendary
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May 21, 2024, 09:42:41 PM
I also don't have a good read on this game so i'll go back to the first-half strategy that worked in the previous series since the Celtics are always solid at scoring tons of points in the first half.

Combine that with the Pacers' offense that likes to up the tempo, they should hit at least 114 points, and looking at their h2h i'm liking our chances even more (in the three regular games they played two went over 120+).


If it works for you then you should stick with it and it seemed to hit for you with the tied at 64 pts each at the half.

It is at overtime and it has been a wild one with that Jalen Brown three.
Had a props bet and all them hit except for Tatum having over 4.5 three pointers. Was a longshot at 101x odds but it is a such a fun game 1 to watch i don't care for it to win or not now.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1914
Shuffle.com
May 21, 2024, 06:33:05 PM
I also don't have a good read on this game so i'll go back to the first-half strategy that worked in the previous series since the Celtics are always solid at scoring tons of points in the first half.

Combine that with the Pacers' offense that likes to up the tempo, they should hit at least 114 points, and looking at their h2h i'm liking our chances even more (in the three regular games they played two went over 120+).

donator
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May 21, 2024, 01:07:55 PM
I don't know how game 1 is going to go, but I expect the Pacers to come out giving it everything they have considering they're the underdog.  For that reason I'm taking them with the +12.5.  I think unless they throw in the towel after falling down by a lot, they should be able to at least keep it that close.  Boston likely wins this series though.  They have way more experience and if KP can get/stay healthy I think the Celtics are a major problem.

Boston Celtics - Indiana Pacers
Handicap (Incl. Overtime)
Indiana Pacers (12.5)

Odds
1.65
legendary
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Hhampuz for Campaign management
May 19, 2024, 11:51:39 PM


At least Dallas were able to come back and win, I thought there will be a game 7 as OKC have dictated the game early. they just could not stop SGA, good thing Dallas have their own run as well and Luka shooting well despite having many turnovers.

I guess we gonna move to the 2 upcoming games.

First game, Knicks vs Pacers.

I have Pacers +3.5 and under 207.5

2nd game Wolves vs Nuggets

I have Nuggets -5 and under 196.5

\\  Updated record 20(W)-20(L)..... 50%

I thought I would be 3-1, I can't believe the Nuggets played like that, they are the defending champion and they aren't playing like they are suppose to in the 2nd half. I'm fine with the Wolves coming back in the 3rd quarter as it's expected, but in the 4th quarter, Nuggets didn't make the right adjustment and once again, they can't match the suffocating defense of the Wolves.

Anyway, I guess one day rest is needed, we will be back with the game 1 of the ECF.

Congratulatins to the Wolves bettors by the way.
legendary
Activity: 3346
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May 19, 2024, 07:07:54 PM
I'll be on the Nuggets' side for this game seven, last game they shot like 30% and I don't think it'll happen twice in a row. Don't get me wrong the Timberwolves are still a solid team, they're probably the value play here but I can't bring myself to fade the Nuggets at this point of the series.



Also congrats to you guys who took the Pacers, the Knicks had signs of life in the third quarter, but it was only a matter of time until the Pacers stabilized their lead.

Edit: I almost thought the Nuggets had that after going up by double digits in the first half, but their lead didn't last that long as the Timberwolves offense came online in the second half.  Lips sealed
legendary
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May 19, 2024, 01:07:45 PM
Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks (-3.5) Loss! Ah crap. A very close game but it was damn entertaining.
Also taking this bet. Over 207.5 @1.82 - Thankfully I won this one.

Game 7 in one hour and a half of the New York Knicks versus the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers have the disadvantage because of the Knicks homecourt but this will prove how strong they are mentally if they can win this game.
And the series wins are decided with the homecourt advantage so it will be tough for the Pacers.
Still, I am rooting for them.
New York Knicks - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers ML @2.26. If Josh Hart is still hurting, it will be a big problem for the Knicks. According to reports, he will play but we don't know if the abdominal ache is still there.
Over 206 - @1.78
legendary
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May 19, 2024, 01:00:39 PM
J. Brunson 5+ assists / A. Nembhard 3+ assists / A. Nesmith 5+ points @1.72  won

This is another play with a perfect 100% hit ratio in the playoffs.

Both OG and Hart are expected to play for the Knicks, which is great news for Brunson since he won't have to force things on offense and try to do it alone. 5+ assists in 12/L12 for him.

Nembhard has 3+ assists in all 12 playoff games, averaging close to 5 assists in this series against the Knicks, ranking second in potential assists only to Haliburton. If he misses his first shot or two, he's looking to assist rest of the game.

Nesmith is perhaps the most risky of the three. He is Brunson's primary defender, and we've seen some extremely soft calls in favor of the Knicks, particularly in the first two home games, early foul trouble could be a problem. The Pacers don't run plays for him, but he often finds himself unmarked behind the three-point line. 5 points isn't much, he's gone over that number in every playoff game thus far.
legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1415
May 19, 2024, 10:37:03 AM
I'm probably going to be going against the grain with this pick but I'm taking okc +4.5.  They might not win but I think sga keeps this close.  With his ability to get to the line so easily I think he drives a ton this game.  Also with the pressure turned up I'm going to take the over 208.5. I think one or 2 of the quarters we will see a flurry of points scored.

Good luck and enjoy the game!

Dallas made this bet closer than it needed to be okc had that win and it slipped out for theor hands.  Still covered and hit the over by a lot.  Today I see the same thing

Knicks -4.5 and hitting that over 208.5. Pacers defense stinks and game 7 people are gonna push this shoukd easily hit.

Gimme wolves +4.5 on the road and over 198.5. Again see this like last night's game wolves might not win but it shoudl be close.  And the over should bang here.  People will push the pace.
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