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Topic: NBA 2019-2020 betting - page 15. (Read 120868 times)

legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1914
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June 09, 2024, 07:04:08 PM
I don't know if the Celtics to cover their spread remains the unpopular opinion here, but that's what I'm riding with but with a "Likkle caution", I'm going Boston Celtics -4.5 @ 1.62 Odds.
I also got the Celtics spread, even though this game points to the Mavs likely covering, I believe the Celtics can finally break the trend this time.

I've also heard the injury news about Doncic, but I doubt that'll be an advantage for the Celtics when he's always up for the task, and continuously puts up big performances.

legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1415
June 09, 2024, 06:05:25 PM
I got Dallas at +7.5 yesterday book is down to 6.5 so money must be coming in.  Also got the under at 214
5 and that line went up to 215.5.  Seems like a lot of people are putting in on the over.  I still think Dallas turns up the defense and keeps this game close to 100 each.  Something like a 105-102 type game.  Whoever gets hot at the end wins it.  Enjoy the game everyone should be a good one.
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 2061
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June 09, 2024, 05:38:12 PM
J. Holiday 1+ 3pts / A. Horford 1+ 3pts / D. White 2+ 3pts @1.70  won

The Celtics got so many good looks in Game 1 by simply making Luka play defense. Picking on him on the PnR and getting a switch was money all game long. I don't think the Celtics will adjust their game plan much, they don't have to. The Mavs have to figure out how to hide Luka on defense but also account for Porzingis and the mismatches he creates. If they opt to double-team KP, it will only result in more wide-open 3-point shots. The Celtics had seven players make two or more three-pointers in Game 1, which unironically is NBA Finals record.

All three players that i got tonight have 80% or higher hit-rate during the playoffs:

D. White 2+ 3pts 13/15
A. Horford 1+ 3pts 12/15
J. Holiday 14/15
hero member
Activity: 3178
Merit: 661
Live with peace and enjoy life!
June 09, 2024, 04:58:23 PM
3.05 for Dallas on stake.com if they win for game 2. Not that much difference compared to the game 1 but still, I'd take the risk and will bet on them. So, good luck to all of us that have their own respective bets, win or lose, we're all friends and will definitely going to watch some good basketball later on.



Here is my pick. I ain't going to be analytic anymore when it comes to the Finals, it's more of a fanbase emotional pick.  Cheesy So, it's not recommended.
Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @3.05
Over 213.5 @1.79

I trust the Mavs will have an answer after that bad loss.
Good luck everyone and let's enjoy the game later.
We're the same here bro and I hope to see a win for the Dallas Mavericks this time. But again, this is just all for fun and happiness that we're doing, no matter what happens, happens.  Cheesy
Enjoy your bet too bro.
I'm glad to see a lot of backers for Dallas here, which makes me more confident in my bet. I'm also on the same side with the over, as I think Dallas was shut down in game 1 but will find a way to show their true offense. When they played in the WCF, it was an offense vs defense team, so I think in the NBA Finals, it's offense vs offense since Boston has everyone on the floor who knows how to shoot the ball, even from the outside.

My prediction is that it could go way over the total according to our sportsbook. I wouldn't be surprised if it goes over 240, so let's hit this one on the road.
hero member
Activity: 3136
Merit: 591
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
June 09, 2024, 02:49:37 PM
3.05 for Dallas on stake.com if they win for game 2. Not that much difference compared to the game 1 but still, I'd take the risk and will bet on them. So, good luck to all of us that have their own respective bets, win or lose, we're all friends and will definitely going to watch some good basketball later on.



Here is my pick. I ain't going to be analytic anymore when it comes to the Finals, it's more of a fanbase emotional pick.  Cheesy So, it's not recommended.
Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @3.05
Over 213.5 @1.79

I trust the Mavs will have an answer after that bad loss.
Good luck everyone and let's enjoy the game later.
We're the same here bro and I hope to see a win for the Dallas Mavericks this time. But again, this is just all for fun and happiness that we're doing, no matter what happens, happens.  Cheesy
Enjoy your bet too bro.
copper member
Activity: 2044
Merit: 793
June 09, 2024, 01:42:03 PM
I don't know if the Celtics to cover their spread remains the unpopular opinion here, but that's what I'm riding with but with a "Likkle caution", I'm going Boston Celtics -4.5 @ 1.62 Odds.

GL guys!

legendary
Activity: 3318
Merit: 1133
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
June 09, 2024, 11:34:18 AM
Dallas should do a better job, especially limiting KP.

A lot of analysis was based of on the success rate of the Celtics 3pt shooting in game 1, my question is how do you limit KP who is as deadly in the paint and around the rim as he is from behind the arc and mid range and not also not give up open 3s points in the process and also not forget that the Celtics also have guys that can create runs and drive to the basket in Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum, to limit KP you’ll need at least one big on him physically with some close by to also help, but that way you leave players like Tatum, White and Brown to one v one defense where a simple attempt to drive to basket could collapse the defense and/or even still open a corner 3 like it did in the 3 Quarter of game 1. while I’m expecting a different ball game today, I don’t think Dallas have figured shit out just yet.
In short, it's going to be a hard task for the Mavs on how they can communicate with each other to provide switches defending every players on the floor.
I trust that Jason Kidd has a plan for that and I know that he watched the Game 1 over and over just so he could provide a good plan in Game 2. He did it twice on their two series coming back from a Game 1 loss.

Here is my pick. I ain't going to be analytic anymore when it comes to the Finals, it's more of a fanbase emotional pick.  Cheesy So, it's not recommended.
Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks ML @3.05
Over 213.5 @1.79

I trust the Mavs will have an answer after that bad loss.
Good luck everyone and let's enjoy the game later.
copper member
Activity: 2044
Merit: 793
June 09, 2024, 11:07:09 AM
Dallas should do a better job, especially limiting KP.

A lot of analysis was based of on the success rate of the Celtics 3pt shooting in game 1, my question is how do you limit KP who is as deadly in the paint and around the rim as he is from behind the arc and mid range and not also not give up open 3s points in the process and also not forget that the Celtics also have guys that can create runs and drive to the basket in Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum, to limit KP you’ll need at least one big on him physically with some close by to also help, but that way you leave players like Tatum, White and Brown to one v one defense where a simple attempt to drive to basket could collapse the defense and/or even still open a corner 3 like it did in the 3 Quarter of game 1. while I’m expecting a different ball game today, I don’t think Dallas have figured shit out just yet.
donator
Activity: 4760
Merit: 4323
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
June 09, 2024, 10:39:43 AM
I wasn't really sure what to bet today.  I think the Celtics will win but the odds don't justify betting on it, even with giving them a wide spread.  I am hoping they at least have a close game, so I'm betting what I want to see happen.  18 to 1 odds that they make overtime sounds good to me.  The only bet that really caught my attention.  I doubt they'll go to overtime, but I figure at least the bet will have high enough odds to make it interesting if it's close.

Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks
Will There be Overtime
Yes

Odds
18.00
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1292
Hhampuz for Campaign management
June 09, 2024, 06:34:45 AM
Game 4 for Boston vs Pacers.

The last 3 games it's all over, and Celtics had only covered 1 game on the last 3 games they won. So I would go against the trend here especially the total as I'm thinking maybe this do or die game for the Pacers, they'll play better defense, but the celitcs are eager to fnish the series, so I'm expecting a blowout win by the Celtics.

My pick

Celtics -7.5 _ loss
under 225.5 win


Updated record 22(W)-24(L)..... 48%

Game 2 now in the NBA finals.

I've seen how good the Celtics in game 1, and judging on it, this looks like another blowout win by the home team. However, I think Dallas will not allow that as they haven't loss 2 straight in the playoffs AFAIR. Now, I'm gonna be taking the Dallas handicap and a little bet on the moneyline.

Dallas +6.5  and (ML)
Over 214.5
legendary
Activity: 2506
Merit: 1394
June 09, 2024, 05:22:08 AM


I am ready for the Game 2 of Boston versus Dallas.

I am still betting for the Boston Celtics for a game 2 winner as for their momentum and home-court advantage.

I did also side-bet on player props for Jaylen Brown and Porzingis.
Jaylen Brown - we have seen how Jaylen steals in the last few games and I believe he can steal with great defense and speed.
Porzingis - Last game 1, Porzingis did an amazing surprise showdown, Dallas didn't expect that, so for sure they know now what to do with Porzingis, now I am betting the show he did last game will not happen again this time.
legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1415
June 08, 2024, 04:02:13 PM
Thanks for the shot chart. Now it's easy to see where the shots are coming from. So, the key for Dallas to win is to limit the 3-point shooting of the Celtics. I think they have played against a good 3-point shooting team, which is the OKC, and they beat them, so I have no doubt they'll find a solution on how to win in game 2. Fans surely got bored in game 1, particularly the Dallas fans. Smiley

In my sportsbook, Dallas is 1.96 at +6.5, and the total is 214.5, pretty much the same as in game 1. If the Celtics continue to shoot at a high percentage and Dallas finds a way to score as well, then the play here is over 214.5.

I'm trying to figure out the over under.  Think Dallas makes the necessary defensive adjustments so I think I'm going to go with the under again.  In terms of spread it's up to 7.5.  Think I have to go with my gut and take Dallas here.  Again I think they make the adjustments and won't get blown out again.  They might not win but I expect a tighter game.
hero member
Activity: 2954
Merit: 672
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June 08, 2024, 06:04:40 AM
Thanks for the shot chart. Now it's easy to see where the shots are coming from. So, the key for Dallas to win is to limit the 3-point shooting of the Celtics. I think they have played against a good 3-point shooting team, which is the OKC, and they beat them, so I have no doubt they'll find a solution on how to win in game 2. Fans surely got bored in game 1, particularly the Dallas fans. Smiley

In my sportsbook, Dallas is 1.96 at +6.5, and the total is 214.5, pretty much the same as in game 1. If the Celtics continue to shoot at a high percentage and Dallas finds a way to score as well, then the play here is over 214.5.
hero member
Activity: 3052
Merit: 685
June 08, 2024, 03:52:28 AM
Game 1 came down to 3 pt shooting. Dallas was 7-27 and Boston was 16-42. Boston hit 9 more 3 pointers.

That's because Dallas was leaving the corner and just letting the Celtics shoot the ball. They didn't think the Celtics were the same as the Timberwolves, who are bad shooters in the corner, so Dallas clogged the inside every time a Celtics player attacked and paid the price for leaving the shooter in the corner.

The ball movement of the Celtics was also very precise, but what's big is KP starting strong, putting Dallas in a tough situation when they were down 19 points after the first quarter. But here we go to the 2nd game. Don't expect that to happen again. Dallas should do a better job, especially limiting KP.



https://www.espn.ph/nba/game/_/gameId/401656359/mavericks-celtics
hero member
Activity: 3136
Merit: 591
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
June 07, 2024, 04:07:37 PM
Same here, with a small amount, it doesn't matter if I lose but I will not go against my instinct this time, not in the NBA finals.

I bet on Dallas as mentioned in my previous post, hoping the game would be fun. However, the game didn't provide much fun as, from the get-go, it was the Celtics who dominated the Dallas Mavericks. I couldn't see the effectiveness of their big men,
We're together on this brother, we're the ones that drew the firstblood for the losers.  Tongue
It's not a big amount but I felt that pain of losing not for my money but for them. And that is because the game 1 seems to be didn't breathe for their end and that's the reason why I felt bad for both sides.
We are gonna get this right in game 2, no more handicap, let's get the Dallas to even the series.
Game 1 was just one game, and this is a long series so it would be stupid for Jason Kidd not to make adjustment when their strategy is proven not working. It's time for the Dallas to surprise the home team in game 2, I don't need a blowout team, I just want to see Dallas winning even in a close game.
Yup, that's it. We just want to see them win regardless of the situation, honestly, I thought that they will be able to reach the lead on third quarter but no. That's fine, moving on to the next game.

Gafford and Lively, who were very limited in this game.
I was waiting for them honestly and thought that Coach Jason Kidd will give them more playing time because of how they did well against the Timberwolves. But because Maxi Kleber is there, he's given more time but I like more the tandem of the two when they are together. I know that Kleber is Kidd's choice but he should have given more playing time to the two when they've got the chemistry already. Anyway, the game 1's done and we have to look forward for the game 2, I don't know if I'll still bet for it but I might change my mind as I want to see Luka lift that trophy. And I didn't know that Luka is already engaged to his fiance'.

Come on man, there's no fun in watching the game without a bet, just put a little if you are not so sure with Dallas. As for me, I trust them to deliver a victory as they don't want to go down 0-2.  On the previous rounds, I think Dallas got at least 1 win on the road.
Haha, you are pushing me brother. Yeah, I might just place just to get that support to Dallas. I even bet when the odds are that much for them and that's why I am going to do that as well whatever the odds maybe this time. But props to the Celtics, they're really a strong team and that's the reason why they're always in the playoffs and even in the finals. The number of appearances that they have I think is the most and as well as the title's that they have in the history. I'm not sure but I think that's what they have in their stat appearances in playoffs and finals.
legendary
Activity: 3878
Merit: 1061
June 07, 2024, 02:57:47 PM
Game 1 came down to 3 pt shooting. Dallas was 7-27 and Boston was 16-42. Boston hit 9 more 3 pointers.
legendary
Activity: 2884
Merit: 1117
June 07, 2024, 02:16:32 PM

It's now needed for Kyrie and Luka to bring that spark if they failed to deliver then this first game will be for the home team.
This is not alarming yet as we've seen a lot of games in the playoff where one team loss by a huge margin but the next game they come back with a big win. Even if the outcome is not good for Dallas, it's still scored as 1-0 in the series, and it's a must win for the Boston since they need to protect their home court.

There's still game 2, and now that the hype has shifted to the Celtics, I think it's about time to take Dallas to win in game 2, yeah, I'm talking about the money odds which is bigger since they now opened at +7.5.. Also, you guys might want to check the series odds, Dallas had a very enticing one.
I think that's quite possible and wouldn't really be that kind of shocking for anyone neither, we are saying something that would be normal in any other sport. This finals have 7 games, it is not like UCL where you play only one game, we are talking about seven game series (at most) and I think losing just one game doesn't mean anything. I did not expected Dallas to sweep anyway, so this is normal, I do not expect Boston to sweep neither, it was quite normal.

I think we are going to see a lot of back and forth between two teams and should be something that will take a while. I believe that we are going to see much better results, and closer games as well, which will be quite fun for everyone if given enough time.
legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1415
June 07, 2024, 09:34:02 AM
Well that Dallas bet and over didn't fare that well game 1 lol.  Every game is a new one but I'm not sure Dallas has the tools to guard Porzingas.  It's just not a good matchup.  Gonna stick with my gut though and expect Dallas to come put a little better in the first quarter of game 2.  I don't know if I can deal with Boston fans if the Celtics win this lol.
hero member
Activity: 2716
Merit: 904
June 07, 2024, 09:30:24 AM
Kyrie Irving not contributing what is expected to him is one of the main factor why game 1 is one-side all throughout the game.

We can't deny that judging by his statistics in the game.

His overall FG % is only (   6-19) 32%, with 12 points and 3 turnovers. If we look at the +/- , he is -19, the worst performer in the team.
Irving needs to come back in game 2 with a strong game, a 30+ points would be a big help for the team as Luka is expected to easily score 30+ too.

There are some games in the previous rounds where Irving wasn't scoring well, but the role players are ready to step up to fill the game.

The role players here aren't so effective like Hardaway who are scoreless and Jones with 5 points only.
hero member
Activity: 1288
Merit: 564
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June 07, 2024, 07:54:17 AM
Yes, this is the finals so both teams will play their best cards here, I mean both coaches will play and execute the best game play that they ever designed, this is the best time for everyone to jive in and make it worth when given the chance to play, today's game is more on how Boston prepared for their tight defense it's only Luka who play big but his support unable to outsmart the tight defense of Boston's specialist, they need to adjust and find the best way to rotate the ball and find the open man.

Aside from what you mention about Dallas mistakes on game 1. Kyrie Irving not contributing what is expected to him is one of the main factor why game 1 is one-side all throughout the game. He didn’t even manage to score a 3 while he doesn’t contribute much to lessen Luka burden while Celtics players are all monster and has a high potential to score that’s why it’s very hard to guard them compared to Dallas that only Luka is creating points.

I believe game 2 will be the same scenario since it’s very hard to adjust with that kind of overwhelming defeat. I believe this game will be the type that both team will win on home then the deciding factor will be game 5 to 7.
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