Topic: NBA 2019-2020 betting - page 53. (Read 122898 times)

That win from the Knicks yesterday was sweat-free, we need to have more of those dominant wins. 

It's nice to know that we are mostly on the same page with the Nuggets spread after they managed to hold off the Raptors in their last game. The Miami Heat has been underperforming recently and threw a free win away against the Wizards. With the line this close, i'd back the much better team since they nearly have the same wins and losses against the Heat at home.

This looks like the absolute one for me to be honest, there is quite a huge value here, I don't know why the Toronto Raptors are considered a +5 Handicap and 2.5 ML underdog here, but I'm willing to take both for even Odds, not a win or burst case scenario though.

Brooklyn Nets and Hornets Over 203.5 @ 1.83 is also of great consideration for me, I'm just waiting to confirm the line ups and whatnot before giving it shot or not.

After yesterday's monster win I think I'll go for some more long odds today.  I'm not sure what's going on with the Raptors that the Pistons are the favorites, but unless I'm reading this wrong it looks like they'll be in Toronto, which is a nice party scene change from Detroit.  I think most of their players will be hungover by tipoff so I'm going with the Raptors.  The rest of the games should work themselves out.

Detroit Pistons - Toronto Raptors
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Toronto Raptors

Indiana Pacers - Chicago Bulls
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Indiana Pacers

Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Denver Nuggets

Dallas Mavericks - Golden State Warriors
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Dallas Mavericks

Odds
6.91

New York Knicks - Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks (-4.5) - Won! OG Anunoby is back, the Knicks suddenly got stronger. Josh Hart is pumped. Triple-double I love that Villanova trio. "Nova Knicks."
Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers (7.5) - Won! I don't even need that plus. I trusted the speed prowess of the Pacers.
Memphis Grizzlies - Washington Wizards - Washington Wizards (-1.5) - Loss!
Utah Jazz - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-4.5) - Won! No Brown, no problem. Tatum and Holiday will be enough to beat the Jazz.

Bonus!


9 games later. Wow!
Here are my picks.
Orlando Magic - Brooklyn Nets - Orlando Magic (-5.5)
Miami Heat - Denver Nuggets - Denver Nuggets (-3.5) - This will be fun. The East Champions versus the West. I bet both teams will be competitive in this game.
Indiana Pacers - Chicago Bulls - Indiana Pacers (-3.5) - I don't believe in exhaustion for the young Indiana team. They might win again.
New Orleans Pelicans - Cleveland Cavaliers - New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5)
Sacramento Kings - Los Angeles Lakers - Los Angeles Lakers (-1.5) - Kings back to back, AD versus Sabonis, that's a good matchup.

Good luck everyone.

Updated record 35-35 50%)

still on the losing side, target here to be profitable is 53%....

So lets make that happen with this upcoming bets. 

1- Miami heat +4
2- Chicago Bulls +4
3- Atlanta -3.5

Good thing I did and I'll tell you why.  A couple of games ago when these two teams met Anthony Edwards was making comments and laughing at the Clippers because they're too old.  Ever since then he has absolutely dominated the Clippers and you can tell he takes it personally when they play.  I think he's the best player on the court when they match up and he takes the opportunity to show it.  Not a bad parlay for me tonight on this one.  13.36 odds makes up for a whole lot of losses in a row. 

It got dicey at the start because the Cavs were landing 70% of their shots then the Suns started to stabilize in the second quarter and throughout the second half. I surely got lucky with the Cavs fouling at the end and I thought they'd miss at least one free throw.  

---

After the Knicks lost to the Sixers during the weekend, i'd assume they wouldn't lose twice in a row here and with Anunoby playing today i'd give them the edge even though the Sixers are also getting Maxey back.

∆ J. Brunson 4+ assists / D. DiVincenzo 3+ 3pts / D. DiVincenzo 1+ stocks @1.64 ∆  won

Unlucky with my last three plays in this thread 0/3: a 50-point blowout, a 40-point blowout, and an ejection for one of my players. Lol...I'm looking to turn things around this week.

Expect DiVincenzo's shoot attempts per game to decrease since OG Anunoby is back in the Knicks' starting lineup, but shot quality will improve. Defenses won't be able to sag off and help as they did with Achiuwa, primarily because OG can knock down 3s. DiVincenzo has made 3+ 3pts in 4/L5 @29% (% wise he is better than that and a positive regression is coming). DiVincenzo is averaging nearly 3 stocks in /L5 and has hit that mark in 5/L5.

Brunson has got 4+ assists in 4/L5 (if don't count the game vs. Cavs where he got injured in the opening seconds) 4+ assists also in the last 2 games vs. Philly this season. The 76ers went heavy double-teams/traps toward him only a few days ago, expect more of the same today. OG back is good news for Brunson, it's another scorer to dish assists out to.

The Wolves are trying to find a new style of play in the absence of Karl-Anthony Towns. The Clippers will try to take advantage of this situation and use their home court advantage. Naz Reid's effort to replace Towns will be an important factor. The Clippers may choose to play with a shorter lineup to force Rudy Gobert on defense. The Wolves are ahead in the season series and a win in this game could give them a significant advantage over the Clippers in the playoff standings. The Clippers lost to the Wolves at home back in February, but they have been back to their best form lately, winning on the away this time despite facing them on the away. I think the Clippers will win at home in this game.

I'm surprised you pick Timberwolves even it is against Los Angeles Clippers. You already mentioned there's no KAT (out of the remaining season) so for me it will be very hard to Timberwolves to win this game. Not just this game but the remaining season. Timberwolves really need KAT for able to won championship this season. Also this game is home court advantage for the LA Clippers. So for me i will pick La Clippers over Wolves. The rest of your pick is okay.

Some long odds for me today but I feel somewhat good about this one.  I think the Timberwolves look at the Clippers like they've got a point to prove.  Without KAT it will be tough, but I think Anthony Edwards might be able to pull it off.  We'll see...  The rest of the picks aren't as risky, but with odds at 13.36 I think this is a good bet to make. 


New York Knicks - Philadelphia 76ers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
New York Knicks

Memphis Grizzlies - Washington Wizards
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Memphis Grizzlies

Utah Jazz - Boston Celtics
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Boston Celtics

Los Angeles Clippers - Minnesota Timberwolves
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Minnesota Timberwolves

Odds
13.36

You got lucky with the spread you took as the Cavaliers had only won by 6 points. Great 3rd quarter run by the Suns, booker returning without a minute restriction and he was able to contribute 27, as if nothing happened or not coming from injury. When the big 3 are playing great offense, this team will be so dangerous, first time the big 3 scored huge numbers with a great shooting percentage.

Durant 37
Booker 27
Beal 24

Cleveland Cavaliers - Phoenix Suns - Phoenix Suns (-4.5) - Win! That was a wild game. Garland was hot in the first half and scored a lot of outside shots but then Kevin Durant showed who the real assassin is. That was a fun game.
San Antonio Spurs - Golden State Warriors - Golden State Warriors (-2.5) - Win! Wemby tried a run in the 4th quarter but it was short-lived. The dunk from Trayce Jackson-Davis against Wemby is a must-watch.
Chicago Bulls - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks (-3.5) - Win! Like I said, I don't why the spreads are that low.
Denver Nuggets - Toronto Raptors - Denver Nuggets (-12.5) - Loss! The Raptors started great, but the Nuggets ended it better.

7 games later.
Here are my picks.

New York Knicks - Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks (-4.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers (7.5) - This is risky but I like the chances of the Pacers to keep the game close. Both teams are fast-paced with their plays so I will take the Over 238.5 also.
Memphis Grizzlies - Washington Wizards - Washington Wizards (-1.5)
Utah Jazz - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-4.5)

Timberwolves versus Clippers - the main event of the evening.

Good luck guys, have a good one.

I got the same bet on the Suns, and your wish is granted since I see Booker confirmed to play in the starting lineup. Let's hope the Cavs don't have a fire shooting day because it's one of the ways they could take this one away from the Suns.



I'm also surprised that you guys still trust the Warriors or maybe it's a trap for the Spurs, as I think they're being underestimated even though they recently beat the Warriors on the road.

Los Angeles Clippers - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5) - Win! Giannis and Damian Lillard combined with 69 points.
Miami Heat - Washington Wizards - Miami Heat (-10.5) - Loss! This was a great game. Wizards showcased their offensive powers. Kyle Kuzma with 32 points. Miami shouldn't have forced that 3 point shot for a win. A 2-point would be okay and try winning it in overtime.
Sacramento Kings - Houston Rockets - Sacramento Kings (-4.5) - Loss!
Atlanta Hawks - New Orleans Pelicans - New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5) - Win! Trey Murphy stepping up his game.
Orlando Magic - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers ML - Win! Yey!
New York Knicks - Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks (-5.5) - Loss! Both teams scored 15 points only in the 1st quarter. That's already a sign that it's going to be a bad game. 
3/6.
Here's a bonus for the tiebreaker.


Later, 6 games.
Here are my picks.
Cleveland Cavaliers - Phoenix Suns - Phoenix Suns (-4.5) - Booker is now on probable status. How I wish he could play.
San Antonio Spurs - Golden State Warriors - Golden State Warriors (-2.5) - Draymond and Moody are both probable to play.
Chicago Bulls - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks (-3.5) - Considering how strong the Mavs are, I don't know why it has that low spread.
Denver Nuggets - Toronto Raptors - Denver Nuggets (-12.5) - Expecting another blowout game.

Good luck everyone.

Updated record 33-34 49%)

Dallas -4.5
Luka and Irving going to play at Chicago where the Bulls only have 16-15 home record, so I the Mavericks have a decent chance here.Last game, Dallas beat the Bulls by 9 points at their home court, now playing on the road, I believe they can still get a win here.

Warriors -4.5
With or without Curry, I think the Warriors are in a situation where they need to win, so I trust them to win and avenge their loss.

Cavaliers +5.5
I like their home record, so I'm taking the points. Mitchell is still out and Booker will probably be back, that's why I like the home team.

2-1 my last set of bets so back on the up and up.

Tonight it's 3 more games.

I like the look of the Knicks and playing Philly without embid I see the Knicks taking this one down favored at -7.5.  Next game I like the Pacers +1.5.  Orlando is home and was a tough pick but I think Hali matches up well here and controls the game.  Pacers win by a small margin.  And last game I like kings at home -6.5 against Houston.  Again I like the matchups and think this one is a blowout type game with kings winning by 10-15 points. 

Good luck and enjoy the games!

^
Good one @stadus.
I missed that game. I thought he was injured at some point in the game. I also added him in my props but I was surprised to see how low his stats are.

I got lucky with the last two games.

That Portland Trail Blazers versus Toronto Raptors was definitely entertaining. The last few minutes of the game became more competitive. Boucher's tip-in to make it to overtime was my lucky charm. If he didn't make that, my two-leg parlay is also gone. 113-113 was the final score in regulation.

Los Angeles Clippers - Chicago Bulls - Los Angeles Clippers (-4.5) - Win!
Detroit Pistons - Dallas Mavericks - Dallas Mavericks (-5.5) - Win!
Phoenix Suns - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-3.5) - Win!
Golden State Warriors - San Antonio Spurs - Golden State Warriors (-10.5) - Lost! Crappy Warriors without Steph and they are battling a team without Wemby. Pfft.
Denver Nuggets - Utah Jazz - Denver Nuggets (-10.5 - Win! In the last minutes of the game, Jokic came back in as their big lead was being cut slowly. He just made sure they would win it.
4/5 Yeah!

9 games later. They are also too early in my timeline. 3 AM, 6 AM, 7 AM. I may not be able to watch these games. Only the final one.
Here are my picks.

Los Angeles Clippers - Milwaukee Bucks - Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5) - PG13, Harden, and Kawhi are all questionable to play.
Miami Heat - Washington Wizards - Miami Heat (-10.5) - I might take advantage of the props. If Miami will ride an offensive battle against the Wizards then the stats might climb high.
Sacramento Kings - Houston Rockets - Sacramento Kings (-4.5)
Atlanta Hawks - New Orleans Pelicans - New Orleans Pelicans (-4.5) - A healthy Pelicans will be difficult to defeat.
Orlando Magic - Indiana Pacers - Indiana Pacers ML - Risky but when it comes to speed I think the Pacers are better.
New York Knicks - Philadelphia 76ers - New York Knicks (-5.5) - The confidence is high for the Knicks after that win against the Magic. Achiuwa should step up his game again.

Good luck everyone!

Updated record 32-32 (50%)

Clippers +3.5
Bucks are 3-0 in their last 3 games. It's time for the Clippers to end that losing streak and beat the Bucks.
I believe they will win but I'm still trying to stay a little biit safe here with the points.

Miami -11
They are in two losing streak, all losses are from road games. Now they are back at home and hosting a team that is already out in the playoffs, I think they'll be able to win by a big margin here.

Lakers ML
Lakers had a big win vs the Bucks, I think with Lebron probably be back in this game they can beat the Wolves.
^{Lebron and ANT are listed as questionable now, but i have a feeling they'll play.}

∆ C. Cunningham 1+ 3pt / A. Thompson 1+ stock / J. Duren 10+ points @1.57 ∆  X

Even though the Pistons are 10-52, i've been somewhat accurate with their player props all season...now watch me jinx myself by saying that.  Lol

Anyway, i'll start with Jalen Duren...The Mavericks give up the fifth most points to opposing big men (both PF/C) this season, and Duren has seen double-digit points in 5/L5 (18/L20). Dereck Lively II is ruled out for today, leaving only Gafford and Kleber available, both below-average defenders.

Cade has had a nice run of games, averaging 22/8/5 over the last 30 days and hitting at least one 3-pointer in 5/L5 (almost 3 a game at 43% shooting).

The Thompson twin is arguably Detroit's best defender. He may draw a tough matchup against Luka/Kyrie, but i have trust in his skill set, 1+ stocks in 5/L5 (18/L20).

edit; Got to laugh at this shit. Duren barely played any minutes because of the early foul trouble and then he gets ejected for shoving PJ Washington in the 4th.