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Topic: New Diff thread Mar 22 to Apr. 5 not ready for prime time - page 2. (Read 10254 times)

legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Bitwisdom made it over 6:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    46,717,549,645
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,570,713,533 (+6.11%)
Adjust time:    After 113 Blocks, About 18.3 hours

Also with 6.07 the spreadsheet is under bitwidsom currently


looks like alh  or freedomno1


legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Bitwisdom made it over 6:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    46,717,549,645
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,570,713,533 (+6.11%)
Adjust time:    After 113 Blocks, About 18.3 hours

Also with 6.07 the spreadsheet is under bitwidsom currently
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   (+5.83%)  126 blocks to go

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211  (6.34%)

https://www.coinbase.com/charts  price = 253 usd for a btc


5 people seem to have a shot and 7 open slots in the same area  so we may have a carry over.

+5.01 to +5.25 Chris_Sabian
+5.26 to +5.50 RealMalatesta

   -----1 Open Slot ---------

+5.76 to +6.00 alh  
+6.01 to +6.25 freedomno1


----- 6 Open Slots -------


+7.76 to +8.00 armedmilitia



This one is going to be close.  I wonder who will win or if we will roll-over?

under 130 blocks left

legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
-----------
when the halving comes around a couple of things might happen. Like having btc jump so miners are still useful, btc difficulty drop so that it would be profitable to mine, or many other possibilities.

At first halving there was another expectation ASIC race. First halving happened then price didnt changed too much. After first ASICs came to market , then BTC market price gone crazy from $ 10 to $ 250 (was peak at btce).

But I agree with you. At the next halving there are lots of possibilities. And its really hard to wait enourmous hash increase due to mining saturation and technology limitations.

Btw, I guessed difficulty just too high. I didnt think mining operators made such tricky things.

The next halving will be very interesting because there will not be an exponential growth in the mining gear technology like there was for the first halving.  Personally, I hope btc value stays about the same and the difficulty drops by 60%.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1001
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty   (+5.83%)  691 blocks to go

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211  (7.28%)

https://www.coinbase.com/charts  price = 245 usd for a btc


7 people seem to have a shot and 9 open slots in the same area  so we may have a carry over.

+5.01 to +5.25 Chris_Sabian
+5.26 to +5.50 RealMalatesta

   -----1 Open Slot ---------

+5.76 to +6.00 alh 
+6.01 to +6.25 freedomno1


----- 6 Open Slots -------


+7.76 to +8.00 armedmilitia

--- 2 open slots---------

+8.51 to +8.75 zebedee--------------------A switch from (+2.26 to +2.50)
+8.76 to +9.00 Last of the V8s

This one is going to be close.  I wonder who will win or if we will roll-over?
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Its not looking horrible. Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    46,717,549,645
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,171,956,055 (+5.25%)
Adjust time:    After 238 Blocks, About 1.6 days

And btc remaining over 250 hopefully a slow and nice climb.


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211


is at (+6.28%)  we are at 232 blocks to go so  + 5% to + 7 %   looks right.  If this is true   averaged in with the -1.5%   

the last two jumps average to 2.2%
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Its not looking horrible. Bitwisdom:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    46,717,549,645
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,171,956,055 (+5.25%)
Adjust time:    After 238 Blocks, About 1.6 days

And btc remaining over 250 hopefully a slow and nice climb.
full member
Activity: 132
Merit: 100
-----------
when the halving comes around a couple of things might happen. Like having btc jump so miners are still useful, btc difficulty drop so that it would be profitable to mine, or many other possibilities.

At first halving there was another expectation ASIC race. First halving happened then price didnt changed too much. After first ASICs came to market , then BTC market price gone crazy from $ 10 to $ 250 (was peak at btce).

But I agree with you. At the next halving there are lots of possibilities. And its really hard to wait enourmous hash increase due to mining saturation and technology limitations.

Btw, I guessed difficulty just too high. I didnt think mining operators made such tricky things.
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1118
Lie down. Have a cookie
Considering I was thinking we might hit 10 percent not as bad as change as i thought.   Also nice to see a little rise in BTC.  I just wish it would go up to 300's and beat that barrier.

you want btc over 300? are you ready to have over 10% jumps?

i prefer btc down, lower than is now! this way diff will stay low. and as a miner and holder this is the perfect combination

i trust it will go over 1k(maybe 2k or more) in the future, i just want more btc for myself Grin
when the halving comes around a couple of things might happen. Like having btc jump so miners are still useful, btc difficulty drop so that it would be profitable to mine, or many other possibilities.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
Considering I was thinking we might hit 10 percent not as bad as change as i thought.   Also nice to see a little rise in BTC.  I just wish it would go up to 300's and beat that barrier.

you want btc over 300? are you ready to have over 10% jumps?

i prefer btc down, lower than is now! this way diff will stay low. and as a miner and holder this is the perfect combination

i trust it will go over 1k(maybe 2k or more) in the future, i just want more btc for myself Grin
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1090
Learning the troll avoidance button :)


now (+6.13%)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

the 6.13% is most likely  very close to what we finish at.


Victory shall taste so sweet
But it is interesting with the blocks remaining that it may be spot on ^^
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Considering I was thinking we might hit 10 percent not as bad as change as i thought.   Also nice to see a little rise in BTC.  I just wish it would go up to 300's and beat that barrier.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
yeah whatever really happened to Ant pool is fixed we are going back up.


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211

now (+6.13%)

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Estimated Next Difficulty:   49,071,015,219  (+5.04%)


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/markets/coinbase/btcusd

price = 250 usd

the 6.13% is most likely  very close to what we finish at.

there are 402 blocks to go.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
maybe the farmers are starting to sabotage one another Grin

Estimated Next Difficulty:    48,679,112,214 (+4.20%)
this is good!

from September when i started mining till now, diff had jumps ~+5%. i guess it was an ok time to start mining

The interesting thing is antpool now has the hash in 50 PH range once again.  What ever happened it is back to normal there.


*Turns out no conspiracy or anything bad.  Got this out of antpool thread.

P2pool is a tough one to make it work for the engineers.

Hashrate drop...  Spring Maintenance and Migration of miners to Bitmain Own facility from Umisoo.com facility.  Missing hash power will be back in a few days!!

Some customers received email from Umisoo.com regarding the spring cleaning and migration
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
maybe the farmers are starting to sabotage one another Grin

Estimated Next Difficulty:    48,679,112,214 (+4.20%)
this is good!

from September when i started mining till now, diff had jumps ~+5%. i guess it was an ok time to start mining
legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1019
011110000110110101110010


20PH/s disappeared on Antpool today.

Next batch of miners being removed from burn-in test and getting shipped?

Read in another thread (forget which) of a rumored fire at a bitcoin farm in Sichuan province at the time. There was no link to confirm and I could not find anything doing a search of English version of news from there.

EDIT: Mystery solved - https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.10958025

Spring Maintenance and Migration of miners to Bitmain Own facility from Umisoo.com facility


Only temporary!
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
Let's wait and see if that hashrate fires back up after the difficulty change.

I wish I had 20PH that I could just shut off at a whim when I felt the diff was getting too high.  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Let's wait and see if that hashrate fires back up after the difficulty change.

It will be interesting to see what comes.  If hahrate drops overall, if an announcement of next gen comes out, or nothing.

I just hope we do find out what it was.  But a lot of things seem to be quiet.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Let's wait and see if that hashrate fires back up after the difficulty change.

damn sure we will be looking.
donator
Activity: 1057
Merit: 1021
Let's wait and see if that hashrate fires back up after the difficulty change.
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