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Topic: New Diff thread Mar 22 to Apr. 5 not ready for prime time - page 7. (Read 10235 times)

legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 1002
What I hope happens at some point btc price plummets sub 100, many miners including farms cant afford to mine, asic demand is significantly lowered, asic companies go bankrupt and diff would start to go down significantly.
This would be nice.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
So does anyone know why the network hashrate has jumped in the last few days?   Undecided
There is speculation that antpool had significantly above expected luck to account for part of the jump.

Obviously some of the jump is from new (likely more efficient) hardware being brought online. Part of it could probably be explained by batch 5 (?) of S5's being brought online. Bitmantech had an unusually long production run for this batch of S5s so it is possible they were using some of their production capacity to build their next generation of more efficient miners and brought them online for testing/were mining for themselves. Another possibility is that a private farm built a lot of privately built miners with their own chips. I haven't been following the hashrate distribution closely but it looks like the "unknown" share of found blocks is very high right now and I would think a lot of the unknown found blocks are from corporate miners not mining on pools.  

My guess is someone deployed a secret farm so to speak. If so I am hoping bitfury simply killed off old gear and replaced with new gear.  say they dropped 20ph and added 40ph.

and after this 8 to 12 % jump we stay flat.

I hope it goes back to flatter.  My biggest fear is someone has next gen chips and pumping them out.  I am hoping those chips take a few months for everyone to get though.  If a company does have next gen chips I could see them keep putting out quite a bit each week.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
So does anyone know why the network hashrate has jumped in the last few days?   Undecided
There is speculation that antpool had significantly above expected luck to account for part of the jump.

Obviously some of the jump is from new (likely more efficient) hardware being brought online. Part of it could probably be explained by batch 5 (?) of S5's being brought online. Bitmantech had an unusually long production run for this batch of S5s so it is possible they were using some of their production capacity to build their next generation of more efficient miners and brought them online for testing/were mining for themselves. Another possibility is that a private farm built a lot of privately built miners with their own chips. I haven't been following the hashrate distribution closely but it looks like the "unknown" share of found blocks is very high right now and I would think a lot of the unknown found blocks are from corporate miners not mining on pools.  

My guess is someone deployed a secret farm so to speak. If so I am hoping bitfury simply killed off old gear and replaced with new gear.  say they dropped 20ph and added 40ph.

and after this 8 to 12 % jump we stay flat.

So we're probably hitting the top at 12%? That is 52323655601....
Let's hope it might be a bit lower... I think that the S6 and the new SP's will make a lot of difference and that home mining won't be a thing anymore after that...
Home mining will be for low power homes. under 10 cents a kwatt.

or someone that uses spot electric space heaters 6 or 7 months a year.
newbie
Activity: 55
Merit: 0
So does anyone know why the network hashrate has jumped in the last few days?   Undecided
There is speculation that antpool had significantly above expected luck to account for part of the jump.

Obviously some of the jump is from new (likely more efficient) hardware being brought online. Part of it could probably be explained by batch 5 (?) of S5's being brought online. Bitmantech had an unusually long production run for this batch of S5s so it is possible they were using some of their production capacity to build their next generation of more efficient miners and brought them online for testing/were mining for themselves. Another possibility is that a private farm built a lot of privately built miners with their own chips. I haven't been following the hashrate distribution closely but it looks like the "unknown" share of found blocks is very high right now and I would think a lot of the unknown found blocks are from corporate miners not mining on pools.  

My guess is someone deployed a secret farm so to speak. If so I am hoping bitfury simply killed off old gear and replaced with new gear.  say they dropped 20ph and added 40ph.

and after this 8 to 12 % jump we stay flat.

So we're probably hitting the top at 12%? That is 52323655601....
Let's hope it might be a bit lower... I think that the S6 and the new SP's will make a lot of difference and that home mining won't be a thing anymore after that...
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
So does anyone know why the network hashrate has jumped in the last few days?   Undecided
There is speculation that antpool had significantly above expected luck to account for part of the jump.

Obviously some of the jump is from new (likely more efficient) hardware being brought online. Part of it could probably be explained by batch 5 (?) of S5's being brought online. Bitmantech had an unusually long production run for this batch of S5s so it is possible they were using some of their production capacity to build their next generation of more efficient miners and brought them online for testing/were mining for themselves. Another possibility is that a private farm built a lot of privately built miners with their own chips. I haven't been following the hashrate distribution closely but it looks like the "unknown" share of found blocks is very high right now and I would think a lot of the unknown found blocks are from corporate miners not mining on pools.  

My guess is someone deployed a secret farm so to speak. If so I am hoping bitfury simply killed off old gear and replaced with new gear.  say they dropped 20ph and added 40ph.

and after this 8 to 12 % jump we stay flat.
copper member
Activity: 2926
Merit: 2348
So does anyone know why the network hashrate has jumped in the last few days?   Undecided
There is speculation that antpool had significantly above expected luck to account for part of the jump.

Obviously some of the jump is from new (likely more efficient) hardware being brought online. Part of it could probably be explained by batch 5 (?) of S5's being brought online. Bitmantech had an unusually long production run for this batch of S5s so it is possible they were using some of their production capacity to build their next generation of more efficient miners and brought them online for testing/were mining for themselves. Another possibility is that a private farm built a lot of privately built miners with their own chips. I haven't been following the hashrate distribution closely but it looks like the "unknown" share of found blocks is very high right now and I would think a lot of the unknown found blocks are from corporate miners not mining on pools.  
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
I think the list is up to date


-5.01 to -5.25 open ----------------- Chris_Sabian

-4.01 to -4.25 Medow

 5 or six spots


-2.51 to   -2.75  tarmi--------------this was  corrected from -2.51 to -2.76
-2.26 to   -2.50   open ---Roadstress-------- this was corrected from -2.25 to -2.49
-2.01 to   -2.25  Mikestang--------- this was corrected from -2.00 to -2.25
-1.76 to   -2.00-----open-------------- Quickseller
-1.51 to   -1.75 edonkey
-1.26 to   -1.50 valkir
-1.01  to  -1.25 philipma1957
-0.76  to  -1.00 notlist3d
-0.51 to   -0.75  Jamphone
-0.26 to   -0.50 coinits

-0.01 to   -0.25  open------------------- MegaFall

0.00-------------- A4TECH
+0.01 to  +0.25 Amph
+0.26 to  +0.50 davejh
+0.51 to  +0.75 Kexkey
+0.76 to  +1.00 ezeminer
+1.01 to  +1.25 mavericklm
+1.26 to  +1.50  SimplisticStu
+1.51 to  +1.75  HerbPean

+1.76 to  +2.00 MegaFall-----------------A switch from (-0.01 to -0.25)
+2.01 to  +2.25 SunnyIgor

+2.26 to  +2.50 Open---------------- zebedee

+2.51 to  +2.75 alh
+2.76 to +3.00 Korbman
+3.01 to +3.25 tertius993
+3.26 to +3.50 jmumich------------------  A switch from +1.76 to +2.00
+3.51 to +3.75 wpt1wpt1 ------------this was corrected from +3.51 to +3.76%
+3.76 to +4.00 tlhIlwI
+4.01 to +4.25 Open------------------------ buyandhold

+5.01 to +5.25 Chris_Sabian ------------A switch from -5.01 to -5.25
+5.26 to +5.50 RealMalatesta

+6.01 to +6.25 freedomno1


+7.76 to +8.00 armedmilitia
+8.51 to +8.75 zebedee--------------------A switch from +2.26 to +2.50
+8.76 to +9.00 Last of the V8s

+9.76 to +10.00 buyandhold------------A switch from +4.01 to +4.25

+11.01 to +11.25 EMIF

+12.26 to +12.50 adaseb------------corrected from 12.50  ----

+13.01 to +13.25 RoadStress---------Switched from -2.26 to -2.50---- and corrected to a .25 range

+14.76 to +15.00 lovenlifelarge ---corrected from +15.00

+ 15.01 to 15.25  Quickerseller----- Switched from -1.76 to -2.00
+18.51  to 18.75   shapeshift
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+6.05%)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211

(+11.39%)  nasty number



Shouldn't we make a Bingo out of it? Every bidder pays 0.01 BTC to an address, the winner takes it all?

Then , it will be basicly a gambling which some people cannot attend due to religional causes -including me-.
I really appreciate OP's effort to make such a thread and I just dont want him to change from original status to a pot like system.


This is setup as a possible free gift  with nothing to lose  so it is not gambling

  which is how I want it to stay.  Basically many people do not want to gamble for many reasons.

 This is one of the few spots on the site designed for fun.  Free spec on the diff the price and a free guess for .1btc.
newbie
Activity: 55
Merit: 0
So does anyone know why the network hashrate has jumped in the last few days?   Undecided
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
I'd like to switch my guess to + 15.01 to 15.25

Also why does roadstress get a .5% range?
my bad will fix it.
full member
Activity: 132
Merit: 100
Shouldn't we make a Bingo out of it? Every bidder pays 0.01 BTC to an address, the winner takes it all?

Then , it will be basicly a gambling which some people cannot attend due to religional causes -including me-.
I really appreciate OP's effort to make such a thread and I just dont want him to change from original status to a pot like system.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1124
Shouldn't we make a Bingo out of it? Every bidder pays 0.01 BTC to an address, the winner takes it all?
full member
Activity: 221
Merit: 100
I want to make highest estimation from +18.51 to +18.75 % for the current round.
full member
Activity: 132
Merit: 100
My difficulty estimation is between:

+11.01-11.25
copper member
Activity: 2926
Merit: 2348
I'd like to switch my guess to + 15.01 to 15.25

Also why does roadstress get a .5% range?
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
 I did a few corrections


-5.01 to -5.25 open ----------------- Chris_Sabian

-4.01 to -4.25 Medow

 5 or six spots


-2.51 to   -2.75  tarmi--------------this was  corrected from -2.51 to -2.76
-2.26 to   -2.50   open ---Roadstress-------- this was corrected from -2.25 to -2.49
-2.01 to   -2.25  Mikestang--------- this was corrected from -2.00 to -2.25
-1.76 to   -2.00 Quickseller
-1.51 to   -1.75 edonkey
-1.26 to   -1.50 valkir
-1.01  to  -1.25 philipma1957
-0.76  to  -1.00 notlist3d
-0.51 to   -0.75  Jamphone
-0.26 to   -0.50 coinits

-0.01 to   -0.25  open------------------- MegaFall

0.00-------------- A4TECH
+0.01 to  +0.25 Amph
+0.26 to  +0.50 davejh
+0.51 to  +0.75 Kexkey
+0.76 to  +1.00 ezeminer
+1.01 to  +1.25 mavericklm
+1.26 to  +1.50  SimplisticStu
+1.51 to  +1.75  HerbPean

+1.76 to  +2.00 MegaFall-----------------A switch from (-0.01 to -0.25)
+2.01 to  +2.25 SunnyIgor

+2.26 to  +2.50 Open---------------- zebedee

+2.51 to  +2.75 alh
+2.76 to +3.00 Korbman
+3.01 to +3.25 tertius993
+3.26 to +3.50 jmumich------------------  A switch from +1.76 to +2.00
+3.51 to +3.75 wpt1wpt1 ------------this was corrected from +3.51 to +3.76%
+3.76 to +4.00 tlhIlwI
+4.01 to +4.25 Open------------------------ buyandhold

+5.01 to +5.25 Chris_Sabian ------------A switch from -5.01 to -5.25
+5.26 to +5.50 RealMalatesta

+6.01 to +6.25 freedomno1


+7.76 to +8.00 armedmilitia
+8.51 to +8.75 zebedee--------------------A switch from +2.26 to +2.50
+8.76 to +9.00 Last of the V8s

+9.76 to +10.00 buyandhold------------A switch from +4.01 to +4.25

+12.26 to +12.50 adaseb------------corrected from 12.50  ----

+13.01 to +13.50 RoadStress---------Switched from -2.26 to -2.50

+14.76 to +15.00 lovenlifelarge ---corrected from +15.00



https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+6.11%)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qmF2knc5rSrJLESgQJYBz8mPzpKihmSzPPQUGH7pT8g/edit#gid=561061211

(+11.81%)  nasty number

legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Hey Philipma1957 you have given adaseb 2 slots

He currently holds +12.01 - 12.25 and also 12.26 - 12.50

+12.01 to +12.50 adaseb------------corrected from 12.50

It's only fair to the rest to point this out  Smiley


will do some corrections the switching makes it harder
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
+15% for me..

its already 6.16% & bitmain S5's are due on the 30th if they aren't being released already..

Ouch I sure hope were not going this high.  A +15 would be a big jump.
hero member
Activity: 676
Merit: 501
+15% for me..

its already 6.16% & bitmain S5's are due on the 30th if they aren't being released already..
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
Estimated Next Difficulty:    49,579,206,785 (+6.13%)

the roof is catching some fire....
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