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Topic: Newest Diff thread April 5 to April 18th (Read 8002 times)

legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
April 19, 2015, 01:40:49 PM
Well at - 3.71%  we get a carry over.


new thread is here. I am locking it up.

 https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/newest-diff-thread-april-19th-to-may-1st-closed-for-picks-1031765
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Well at - 3.71%  we get a carry over.


new thread is here. I am locking it up.

 https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/newest-diff-thread-april-19th-to-may-1st-closed-for-picks-1031765
sr. member
Activity: 355
Merit: 276
looks like  a carry over  
 
 Difficulty History

Date   Difficulty   Change   Hash Rate
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s




Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
So with 8 blocks left  and at (-3.39%)


1 armedmilitia   -4.01%  to -4.25%
2 rollover no winner -3.76% to -4.00%
3 rollover no winner -3.51% to -3.75%

4 shapeshift   -3.26% to -3.50%  the leader

5 tss      -3.01% to -3.25%  


3 blocks left and -3.72%

It seems that I will just miss it. Was too close   Wink

yeah it moved a lot  late.  we are in the blank zone.

full member
Activity: 221
Merit: 100
So with 8 blocks left  and at (-3.39%)


1 armedmilitia   -4.01%  to -4.25%
2 rollover no winner -3.76% to -4.00%
3 rollover no winner -3.51% to -3.75%

4 shapeshift   -3.26% to -3.50%  the leader

5 tss      -3.01% to -3.25%  


3 blocks left and -3.72%

It seems that I will just miss it. Was too close   Wink
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
 So with 8 blocks left  and at (-3.39%)


1 armedmilitia   -4.01%  to -4.25%
2 rollover no winner -3.76% to -4.00%
3 rollover no winner -3.51% to -3.75%

4 shapeshift   -3.26% to -3.50%  the leader

5 tss      -3.01% to -3.25%  


FINAL LIST OF ENTRIES FOR THE 0.1 BTC REWARD

New entries are not accepted anymore but speculation is welcome.

Please take a minute to find your name in the list and verify the numbers. Let me know if you see anything wrong.

The pack is tight this time (rollover less likely) and BitcoinWisdom shows -1.67% trending a bit higher.

Thank you for participating.


sr. member
Activity: 355
Merit: 276
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
we have 13 blocks to go and shapeshift is the current leader




he has -3.26 to 3.50%


tss has -3.01 to -3.25%


- 3.51 to 4.00%  are empty

armedmilitia is at -4.01 to -4.25%  some long blocks could be helpful to him

Last of the v8s  is at -2.76% to -3.00%  he needs short blocks

Good luck to those above as we near the finish
sr. member
Activity: 355
Merit: 276
Shapeshift looks good at the moment.

FINAL LIST OF ENTRIES FOR THE 0.1 BTC REWARD

New entries are not accepted anymore but speculation is welcome.

Please take a minute to find your name in the list and verify the numbers. Let me know if you see anything wrong.

The pack is tight this time (rollover less likely) and BitcoinWisdom shows -1.67% trending a bit higher.

Thank you for participating.


legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Heads up - I'm traveling this weekend so please give me until sometime Monday to pay out the reward. The winner please feel free to send your BTC address once the diff adjustment happens, and I'll transfer the reward as soon as I get back.

Regarding rules for the next period: it was suggested to not allow to change the guess. I'll defer the decision to Philip, since he's the one maintaining the list most of the time. So Philip if you want to put that restriction in place please let everyone know in the new thread.

Seems we're heading for a nice drop now. Anyone owning last-gen hardware like the S5 should be in good shape for a few more months.


I will do the no change rule for next adjustment.  Less work and less confusion.

I suggest that everyone wait 2 days to do a pick so they can see the - or + trend.



Last gen  = lastest gen  say s-5 sp20 or avalon 4.1  I think

33 blocks and -3.45%
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 4392
Be a bank
I just took that to mean latest gen.

Bitcoinwisdom -3.49% with 9.4 hours to go - maybe no one gets it this time round
alh
legendary
Activity: 1846
Merit: 1052
I am curious about reference to "last gen" as including the S5. So if "last gen" is the S5, what is "current gen" hardware? I am not trying to pick a fight, just trying to understand.

I consider the S5, and SP20, and Aavalon 4.1 to be "current gen". I would put the S3 in the "last gen" category. That's just me though.

Thanks again for the prize you supply, suchmoon.
legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 8909
https://bpip.org
Heads up - I'm traveling this weekend so please give me until sometime Monday to pay out the reward. The winner please feel free to send your BTC address once the diff adjustment happens, and I'll transfer the reward as soon as I get back.

Regarding rules for the next period: it was suggested to not allow to change the guess. I'll defer the decision to Philip, since he's the one maintaining the list most of the time. So Philip if you want to put that restriction in place please let everyone know in the new thread.

Seems we're heading for a nice drop now. Anyone owning last-gen hardware like the S5 should be in good shape for a few more months.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'


http://btc.blockr.io/charts

4-05-2015  148

4-06-2015  126   -18
4-07-2015  150   -12
4-08-2015  128   -28
4-09-2015  138   -34
4-10-2015  148   -30
4-11-2015  140   -34
4-12-2015  130   -48
4-13-2015  150   -42
4-14-2015  152   -34
4-15-2015  121   -57
4-16-2015  139   -62   .
4-17-2015  127   -79
4-18-2015  142   -81 we are about 81 blocks off pace

With  86 to go.  So to turn positive we need to make the 86 blocks in about 1 hour.

If we make them in 15 hours we will be just past -4%




If we could get -4 that would get rid of a lot of the previous difficulty change of 5.84.  I am still amazed each time we get a negative. 

Deferentially a lot different then last April.  We were getting a lot of double digits last year.  Big change, but I guess price also big change from last year.

And gear stopped improving power wise

the s-3  was the piece of gear that altered the diff jumps.  then the very small improvement with the s-5 set the change more.

Mining has so become a power cost game.  Basically most all of Europe is forced out.  Once my summer rates start i will mine at a 2th 1000 watt rate.

And lose money or if lucky break even.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000


http://btc.blockr.io/charts

4-05-2015  148

4-06-2015  126   -18
4-07-2015  150   -12
4-08-2015  128   -28
4-09-2015  138   -34
4-10-2015  148   -30
4-11-2015  140   -34
4-12-2015  130   -48
4-13-2015  150   -42
4-14-2015  152   -34
4-15-2015  121   -57
4-16-2015  139   -62   .
4-17-2015  127   -79
4-18-2015  142   -81 we are about 81 blocks off pace

With  86 to go.  So to turn positive we need to make the 86 blocks in about 1 hour.

If we make them in 15 hours we will be just past -4%




If we could get -4 that would get rid of a lot of the previous difficulty change of 5.84.  I am still amazed each time we get a negative. 

Deferentially a lot different then last April.  We were getting a lot of double digits last year.  Big change, but I guess price also big change from last year.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'


http://btc.blockr.io/charts

4-05-2015  148

4-06-2015  126   -18
4-07-2015  150   -12
4-08-2015  128   -28
4-09-2015  138   -34
4-10-2015  148   -30
4-11-2015  140   -34
4-12-2015  130   -48
4-13-2015  150   -42
4-14-2015  152   -34
4-15-2015  121   -57
4-16-2015  139   -62   .
4-17-2015  127   -79
4-18-2015  142   -81 we are about 81 blocks off pace

With  86 to go.  So to turn positive we need to make the 86 blocks in about 1 hour.

If we make them in 15 hours we will be just past -4%


legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Less than a day left till difficulty change. Price is around 223 and Bitwisdom below:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    49,446,390,688
Estimated Next Difficulty:    47,745,041,802 (-3.44%)
Adjust time:    After 89 Blocks, About 15.4 hours
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Phillip,

it's seems like you feel duty bound to always take the -1.11% change guess, based on some previous exchange with another member. I would be happy to have that assigned to me, so you are free to choose what you might actually want. Feel free to do that if you want, and I won't complain or request a change later.

Thanks for organizing these, and also suchmoon for his generous .1BTC payout.



Thanks for that offer. I will mull it over.
legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1019
011110000110110101110010
what happened to the 12ph that where on tron?
what happened to antpool, is it back to full speed?

so y the -4%? Roll Eyes

inefficient farms for btc but ok for pumped shit coins?.....

Also most mining is Northern Hemisphere and the heat is coming.

For me summer rates jump from 13 to 16.9 cents. Add in heat factor my winter rates are 10 cents and my summer rates are 18 cents.

For others worse then above.  Now I sold off 12 sp20s and 2 s-5's  .  I kept the 2 avalon 4.1's .  I clocked them down to 1600 gh vs 2200gh as I don't need the heat they make.

I suspect a lot of miners are starting to down clock.  So a home miner may have a 20% drop off.  Since we are not the big amount of network hash rate our 20% drop turns into 3 or 4 or 5 %

Yep. I had to down clock my S5s to the default 350.

so you may have dropped from 1300gh to 1150 gh say 10 or 11%   x tenthousand others just like you and that is 15ph .  Yes the southern hemisphere adds some as it is cooling say 3 -5ph a net drop of 10 or 12 ph

and you are right at our current -4%.  we are now at -3.70%

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

we have 127 blocks to go


I went back up to 400 with mine for today as it has cooled off sufficiently to keep miners running under 50C. How hot do you allow the rigs to get before dialing them back?

The s-5s are really sturdy  what are your error numbers? As in under 1.0 percent  is okay. under 0.100 percent is good.  under 0.02 is really good.

 So if you are really close to 1% errors  back off the freq.

 as for temps I  suggest
 under 60c as very safe.
 60c to 65c as so so .
 65c to 70c as pushing 
 over 70c for 24/7/365 as foolhardy

The auto shut off is 80c but there are reports of it failing to work. So I would not run in the 70+ range.

3 rigs

#1 0.0724%
#2 0.0001%
#3 0.0008%

Min temp: 39°C
Max temp 42°C

I'm good for now.
alh
legendary
Activity: 1846
Merit: 1052
Phillip,

it's seems like you feel duty bound to always take the -1.11% change guess, based on some previous exchange with another member. I would be happy to have that assigned to me, so you are free to choose what you might actually want. Feel free to do that if you want, and I won't complain or request a change later.

Thanks for organizing these, and also suchmoon for his generous .1BTC payout.

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