Topic: NFL/NCAAF 2016 Picks, Tips, Discussion (Read 4530 times)

Quarterback Derek Carr (26 years old) is NFL's highest paid player ever.
He signed a contract of $ 125M (25M per season for 5 years) with the Oakland Raiders!

Top 5 most paid NFL players (for each season):

Derek Carr, Oakland Riders           (25,00M)
Andrew Luck, Indianapolis            (24,60M)
Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals  (24,35M)
Drew Beres, New Orleans Saints    (24,25M)
Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins (23,90M)

I'm not much of a Patriots fan (except when I have money on them ), but wow, what an amazing game/finish. One for the ages.


Thanks, mate.  And congrats to you as well on your winning bets!

What a nutty game as far as betting. By halftime, I thought my bets were sunk, even more so halfway through the 3rd quarter with the Pats down 28-3. Like I said, I'm not much of a Pats fan, but as they did for me throughout the regular season and playoffs, they came through for me one last time in pulling out a win, covering the spread and hittiing the Over as well. Gratz to everyone else who won on this game. A great cap to a profitable hunting season for me. 





Super Bowl LI Total: +8.26 bet units
Thread Total: +26.27 bet units


Alright, putting my focus back onto the pokers. Thanks guys for following and contributing to this thread and I'll see you next NFL/NCAAF season.

Until then, Good Luck and...

You almost won it, but Patriot made an amazing comeback, it was the first extra time in the history, and the biggest point gap miracle. But most people bet on patriot, if they can't win, bookie will be extremely happy.

Now that was one Epic game to watch! It didn't look likely that the Pats could pull off the win being down by over 3 touchdowns. This shows that Brady is most likely the best QB in NFL history with 5 Super Bowl rings. I missed out on my bet on the Pats to score 10 points first but I made up for it on the money line and also for them to cover the -3 spread. Congrats Junko on your wins mate and what a great way to end a season in profit.

I am going with the minority here and all around the world and going with the Atlanta Falcons.
Their money line is not that different and only just over 2.22 on my book.
I think it is more profitable to go with the score bets. Over or under it is hard one to decide.
Maybe with the over of +3 points for them to win it is a safer bet.
We will wait and see cause it is about to start in an hour from now.
So good luck to everyone who is with me on this one!

Finally the big day is here Super Bowl 51 I decided to go with the Pats tonight to take it out and the odds are pretty good in my opinion at the money line but I'll also be taking them to cover the -3 point spread. And just for a fun bet I also took the Pats race to 10 points @1.80 as they always seem to score first and get to 10 points a lot of the times in Super Bowls so I'm hoping Brady and the Pats can do it once again. Good luck to everyone who is having a bet on the game. Go Pats!

In my view, the Patriots are the clear favorite in the Superbowl tonight. Tom Brady has an extensive experience which will help the team in hard phases. He has already shown its world-class gameplay in the playoffs this season and in many seasons before. Also the odds of all bet providers speaks a clear language. I bet on a victory for the Patriots @ 1.64

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It's Super Bowl LI time.  New England Patriots (-3) VS. Atlanta Falcons (O/U: 58.5)

If this were a regular season game between these two teams at a neutral site at this current time, I prolly wouldn't even bet it since I think it's a toss up and could go either way. But it's the Super Bowl and of course you have to bet it.

Right off the bat, I'm taking NE minus the points. Yes, Atlanta has a high octane offense with many weapons both in their passing game as well as their running game. We've seen how they can just dominate and overwhelm teams with their dynamic passing attack that has 4 receivers that can beat you and their two back rushing attack which runs the ball straight down your throat. It's a balance that is tough to defend. However...

Like I said, I'm gonna go with New England -3. While they don't have the big name weapons Atlanta has, Tom Brady can make anyone on his offense a weapon. Bill Belicheck and his coaches will have a game plan which will at least slow the Falcons down enough. He will use the short, high percentage passing game to control the ball and the clock. Experience is on the Patriot's side also. And then of course, there's the ultimate goal/revenge factor of Brady and Belicheck wanting to stick it to commissioner Roger Goodell and the NFL.

Throughout this season, including even before starting this thread, betting on New England to cover (along with betting against Cleveland vs whoever ) has been a big part of my profits. So going with the Pats this one last time is a no brainer for me.

Good Luck to all betting the Super Bowl!


My Super Bowl pick/bets:

Thanks, mate. And good luck to you too.

Yeah, I plan to make regular bets on the game (spread/ML/O-U) as well as some smaller prop bets just for fun. The lines haven't moved at all since the open. Either people not that interested or the sharp money is just waiting. We'll see as the game gets closer...

I know Junko it's crazy on what they take bets on these days when it's a big sporting event like the Super Bowl. I might play with some of these bet options but I do like to bet on who will be the MVP of the Super Bowl and the o/u as it can be tough to pick a straight out winner. We still have plenty of time to place bets so I'll wait and see before I place any bets on the Super Bowl. Good luck with your bets Junko.

Yeah, my parlay lost too. I had in mind this might happen so I hedged with a NE straight spread bet which I was more confident in.


Congrats, cryptoburst! Yeah, the Falcons they've been playing very well this whole season, but not many people hyping them until recently. They've been the Dark Horse as I mentioned earlier in the season with everyone giving all the other teams the attention and now they have given themselves the opportunity to win the big one.

@vella: yeah, it would have been nice if the Packers would have helped me out with my parlay at 3.742 odds, but with the Pats covering, this weekend essentially turned out to be a push for me and you know what I always say, "A push is better than a shove."

And the regular season (and possibly the wildcard playoff round) is where you make your money in NFL sportsbetting as well as in the NCAA. The conference round of the playoffs and Superbowl betting are more kind of just for fun since those games can and do go either way on the spread and even ML much of the time.

Just looking at the early line (New England -3, O/U: 58), I pretty much know what my basic bets will be without having to do much analysis. The more interesting bets will be all the kooky-dook prop bets. They already have odds on the coin toss and if the coin toss winner wins or loses the game. I'm waiting to see the odds for which player will score the first TD, if there will be a missed extra point, if there will be a safety, what the Over/Under will be for the how many minutes/seconds the National Anthem will last, etc, etc.

Anyway, my results from this Sunday:




Sunday Total : +0.11 bet units
Thread Total : +18.01 bet units

Congrats on your win with the Falcons winning. I lost my bet as I had the Packers winning but they were not the same team as they have been today.

@Junko

At least you got the Pats right mate as they dominated the Steelers tonight and they never looked like losing the game. Unlucky with missing the parlay due to the Packers losing but at least your overall results from the season and playoffs are in profit. That's what counts most.

I win my bet on the Atlanta Falcons winning i put a bet on them to win because all season they play well and are hard to beat at home so i pick them. The Patriots win easy game against the Steelers and i think they also win the super bowl against the falcons.

 

Due to their lost my parlay is done. Doesn't matter if Pats win now. 

Yeah thanks mate, but looks like the Aaron Rodgers magic finally died out today, rip. Apparently he didn't sell his soul to the devil after all, unfortunately. Oh well, let's go Pats!

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Well it's not looking good for the Packers at the moment being down by 24 to 0 at the start of the 3rd quarter. The Falcons are dominating the Packers at the moment and now it will be interesting to see if Rogers can pull off a come from behind win to make the Super Bowl. Hopefully they can score some points for you Junko to at least cover the spread.

Nice picks mate and I think you should win both picks. I really like the Packers to win and have liked them for a while now as I was picking them many times through out the season. It's just something about this team that tell's me they are going to the Super Bowl and may even win it all. I'm going with the Packers at the money line and I also like the Pats to cover the spread just like you picked Junko. Good luck mate and let's hope it's another successful weekend for the both of us.

Yeah mate, I'm really looking forward to watching these two conference championship games this Sunday to see which two teams will go on to the Superbowl. The most intriguing story for me is whether or not Brady, Belicheck and the Pats will make it to the Big Game and win it to put the final touch on their "F*ck You, NFL and Goodell" Victory Tour to get their revenge.

So here are my picks for this Sunday's NFL Conference Playoff Round:


Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots -6 (2.056) 2 bet units

Taking the Pats here at -6 and at home. Despite Pittsburgh's potent array of offensive weapons, I think coach Belicheck as usual will gameplan successfully, using the short, quick passing attack with Brady and complement it with the hard-nose running of Blount to control the clock and keep the Steelers offense off the field. And of course, Brady and Belicheck have some extra motivation and are looking to give the NFL and commissioner Roger Goodell two middle fingers by winning it all.


2-Team Parlay, 3.742 odds, 2 bet units

      1. Green Bay Packers +6 (1.921) @ Atlanta Falcons
      2. Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots -6 (1.948)

On paper, Atlanta are an overall better team than Green Bay. However, Dallas was also a better team overall on paper, as were the New York Giants and Green Bay won both those playoff games. Aaron Rodgers has some kind of voodoo magic going on where he and the Packers just don't lose now. Ever since they were 4-6 earlier in the season when he said they would run the table, they've been unstoppable. Rodgers has obviously sold both his and Olivia Munn's souls to the Devil and if you are going to sell your soul to the Devil, you are going to want the terms of the deal to include that you win the whole shabang - as in every game including the Superbowl. So how can you bet against that?