Topic: NFL/NCAAF 2016 Picks, Tips, Discussion - page 3. (Read 4530 times)

Congrats on your hits mate and a nice little profit for the weekend. Yeah I'm now out of my Super Bowl bets but I knew they were going to be high risk and I was willing to risk it for a big reward but it didn't pan out that way. Overall I'm in profit for the season even though on my tipster topic I'm down. Just think if you took all the favorites to cover the spread you would of made a nice amount of cash but at least you still hit your teaser but yeah I know what you mean.

NFL Wild Card Playoff weekend is in the books and all the favorites destroyed the dogs, covering their respective spreads easily. I'm pretty happy with how things went today, even though I try not to be results oriented, since I know very well you can be riding high one day, but then crash and burn the next.


Thanks, vella, mate. I just wish I was more confident and made it a parlay instead of a teaser. Sorry that your Giants Super Bowl pick went down though. That would have been a nice hit for you.

And congrats, mrdeposit on your wins. Bad luck on your Mia-Pit Over bet though. The Dolphins or the Steelers should have scored at least once more in the 4th, but they both blew it.

Anyway, here are my results for this weekend's NFL action (totals at the bottom):




Weekend Total: +5.16 bet units
Thread Total: +15.19 bet units

Your bet on the Packers is looking good at the moment currently winning by 9 points heading into the 4th quarter. Unlucky with your bet on the total over 47 on the Dolphins/Steelers game, if the Steelers just scored a touchdown in the 4th you would of won. Anyway good luck with the Packers mate and same for you Junko as so far your teaser is looking good.

My pick: Green Bay Packers ML

I'm not sure GB will cover the spread on this one so I went with the win.

Oh ok, what was your other bets? I took the over 47 on the Miami vs Pittsburgh game. I haven't bet on the Giants vs Packers game yet.

I took Houston vs the spread and as a leg in my teaser play. I also took Seattle as a leg in my teaser.  

I'll grade all my NFL bets tomorrow (today) though after the last game.

Who else took Houston and Seattle for tonight's games?

I have a bet on the upcoming NCAA College Playoff Championship Game which will be played Monday 9 January.


NitrogenSports, Monday 9 Jan., 1% bet, pick in bold:

Clemson Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide -6.5 (1.949) (neutral site)

This is sort of a tough one because I can see ways for either team to cover/win in this rematch of last year's championship game. Clemson is hungry for this one and if anyone has a chance of knocking off undefeated Alabama, it's Clemson. If the Tigers win, it will be because of their QB Deshaun Watson. He is much improved from last year. He has the poise and strength to stand in the pocket, get hit and still deliver the ball to his targets. If they win, it will also be because their defensive line controlled the line of scrimmage and Bama's running game like they did last week against Ohio State.

The only thing is, is that Alabama is not Ohio State and is undefeated for a reason. Bama's defense is on a whole other level. If the Crimson Tide wins, it will be because of their defense eventually overwhelming the Tigers and causing Deshaun Watsun to commit turnovers. As I've said in previous posts on Alabama, they have an NFL caliber defense. Most, if not all, of those guys will be playing in the NFL soon.

Like I said, it could go either way because Clemson is super hungry and has the QB and dynamic attack that can beat Alabama, but I am taking Alabama pretty much based on their elite defense and their great head coach. Alabama always plays huge in big games and you can't get any bigger than this one in college football. The key will be shutting down Deshaun Watson and getting turnovers. I think it will be somewhat close in the first half, but Alabama eventually overwhelms in the second half to cover. Roll Tide.

I was able to get Alabama -6.5, but the line has since moved to -7 now. I would still be comfortable taking Bama and laying the 7 pts though.

Yes, late grading can handcuff you if you are pressing your bankroll and are waiting for your funds to be released and there are other games you want to bet on immediately. Having to wait for your wagers and winnings to become available for an extended amount of time is very annoying. Sure, you can increase your bankroll amount to counteract this issue, but then you have those funds locked up when they could be used elsewhere. Anyway, I will only bet on sites that have fast grading. Anything longer than 20-30 minutes is just ridiculous.

Ok great to know that they grade bets very fast because I have had numerous problems with getting my bets graded and at times had them in pending for 14 hours after the games results have been given then had to contact support to clear them. Even promotional offers are very difficult to get from them and have to show proof time and time again to even get them to give me that back.
I will be using them in the very near future once I am done with this one that I am currently with.
Send me a affiliate link in a pm if you would like.

I usually place bets of high volume from my bank roll. And this current site I am with will not be getting anymore btc from my bets from me any more.

Thanks for following my picks. I hope whatever info I am able to give is helpful and profitable for anyone following. I like NitrogenSports because they put up their NFL and NCAAF lines really fast and early in the week, which is good for bettors like me who like to jump on the early lines for some (possibly) good value picks. Also they grade bets extremely fast as well, as in within minutes of a result. Good Luck with your bets.

I am liking the picks that you have made on these play-off games that are going on. And that bet against the Raiders was spot on along with the Giants winning. Those were two hard ones to predict.
I think I will be trying my luck with the rest of these play-off games because some good choices to take with your help. And I think I will be using NitogenSports as a sports book for my next bets because the odds are just as nice if not better than where I am betting at now.

Thanks mate. Wow, 40-1. That would be an amazing win. Good Luck. Who knows, the Giants might still have some of that playoff magic left around from the last two times they went to the SB with Eli. Even though they are the 5th seed in the NFC, I can see them making it to the Super Bowl as the dark horse. I mean, it wouldn't surprise me if Eli suddenly turned it on to go along with their defense which has been playing really well lately and then you throw in a bit of luck on top of it. That would be so sick since no one even talking about them making the SB like all the other teams in the mix.

Yeah, mate. No one can escape variance. Just got to trust your research and analysis and keep moving forward and grinding. And hopefully in the long run you come out ahead. Good luck with your Giants SB pick. (I will be picking against them though this week vs the Packers - nothing personal, mate  )


Some early plays for this upcoming weekend's NFL playoffs wild card round.


NitrogenSports NFL playoffs wild card round, 1% bets, picks in bold:


New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers -4.5 (1.948)

Green Bay's defense isn't so great while the Giants have been playing really good defense lately and will likely harass Rodgers all game. However, Rodgers is on a roll and is playing at an MVP level right now. Both QB's have weapons to throw to, but I trust Aaron Rodgers at home more than I trust Eli Manning to get the job done.


Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans -3 (2.056)

The Raiders have been good to me all year, but they lost Carr to injury, which is a damn shame because they were having a magical season up to that point. It looks like they will be starting their third string QB Conner Cook who is actually better than their 2nd string QB McGloin. However, going with their third string QB means the Raiders will be playing with a QB who has gotten no practice reps with the first team offense the whole season. Houston's defense is ranked 1st in the league and you can be sure with this being the playoffs, their gameplan will include putting extreme pressure on Conner Cook.

4-Team Teaser +6.5 pts (ties lose), 1% bet, (3.220 odds):
      1. Detroit Lions @ Seattle Seahawks -7.5 (+6.5)
      2. Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers -10 (+6.5)
      3. New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers -4.5 (+6.5)
      4. Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans -3 (+6.5)

Going with the Seahawks and their experience over the less experienced Lions in the playoffs. The Seahawks have looked a little shaky though even with home field advantage so I want to push the line down a bit.

Pittsburgh is a good team with lots of weapons and should win at home, but Miami is no pushover and that line of -10 seems a little high to me so again, I want to move it down a bit.

For my Green Bay and Houston reasoning, see my above straight bets against the spread.

Even though it was a bad result overall you have done well up 10 units since starting this topic. I am also looking forward to next weeks playoffs and i still have one bet alive for the Super Bowl and that is the New York Giants. I was a little upset as the teams I picked last week all won this week but I didn't bet lol. Anyway we move onto next week and hopefully we both do well.

Man, Kirk Cousins and the Washington Redskins are so fail. They had two chances - last week and this week - to claim a playoff spot and laid an egg both times. Pathetic. Lost both bets for today, but meh, it was only two bets. I'm already looking forward to next week's NFL playoff action as well as the College Football Playoff National Championship between Alabama and Clemson.

Sunday results:

New York Giants @ Washington Redskins, Over 46 (1.948) : -1.00 bet unit
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions +3 (2.056) : -1.00 bet unit

Sunday Total: -2.00 bet units
Thread Total: +10.03 bet units

Hey, mate. Actually, even if New England had lost, they would not have been eliminated from the playoffs. The playoffs start next week. Miami is still in the playoffs also despite losing today. The implications for this game were about playoff seeding. Because of this win, New England has the best record of the AFC and by that virtue, they get a first round bye in the playoffs and they will have home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. If Miami would have won, they would have gotten a higher seed - 5th seed, I believe and would be playing Houston in the first round of the playoffs. Since they lost, they are the 6th seed and now must play Pittsburgh Steelers in the first round next week, which will be a harder game to win.



Yeah, that was crazy, and very bone-headed playing by the Bills. The ball is live for either team on kickoffs. That was like a long onside kick, lol. And firing your head coach the day before a game is pretty crazy and bone-headed as well. I think the reasoning though is that the team will be competing with other sorry-ass teams who have fired their head coaches this year to find competent head coaching replacements as soon as possible.



Yep, this week is different and kind of screwy as far as betting because teams that have made the playoffs will be resting/holding out their starting players for the upcoming playoffs. No one wants any of their key players to get injured needlessly in meaningless games. That's what happened to Derek Carr of Oakland, breaking his leg last week. Now they will have to rely on their back up QB in the playoffs. The Steelers and Cowboys held out/limited most of their star players today and that's why their games were what they were and why it wasn't really that great as far as betting compared to other weeks.

Next week when it's playoff time, it will be back to real deal football, although there won't be any really bad teams involved as well as less games to chose from.

A couple of big upsets so far today with the Jets thrashing the Bills and also the Eagles beating the Cowboys and also the Browns are playing well and might even pull off another big upset in OT by beating the Steelers at home. I decided not to post tips on this weeks games after last weeks terrible result.