~
The "perception" that you win more when you play randomly rather than logically may be a cognitive distortion called "illusion of control". When we assume our "random" plays affect a game of chance, we overestimate our control over occurrences.
The games' house edge ensures that losing always outweighs winning. Remember that gaming results are unpredictable and independent of previous results. The previous round does not affect the next. It's termed "gambling" not "winning" because of this. Therefore, gambling should be seen as fun, not a way to generate money. This way, you can enjoy the process without worrying about the end.
The House Edge only ensures that the
probability of losing is slightly higher than that of winning. Same as your win is never guaranteed with whatever advanced strategy, your lose is never guaranteed too, if the HE is less than 100%. And let's not forget that the house edge is never even close to that number, rather, it's in the range of 1% to 10%, right?
Overall, your win is quite probable if you are making sports betting with knowledge like the OP here.
But at least the house edge actually has a bigger chance of winning than gamblers because any strategy cannot beat the house edge easily.
Gamblers win over bets made just because they are lucky not because of a mature strategy and defeat when gambling is a certainty that every gambler must be able to accept.
It's not that easy to win in sports betting because gamblers are not only against the house edge but also against other gamblers who use large amounts of money to bet, there are many rich gamblers out there who are willing to spend money to be able to manipulate the results of sports matches so that they get a win from bets are made and of course we cannot avoid all of that.
Exactly, that's why you bet when it comes to sports, at least I think I have a better chance of winning than playing a game like craps in a casino, because first of all I'm not trying my luck, I'm relying on my decision on betting on sports according to what I know and what I predict, it is not bad, I can be wrong, because I do not have complete information on both teams, for example in football when it was Barcelona vs Madrid, I lost them, because I have always looked at my decision under the mirror of the times, Madrid is my team, although I lost it I do not regret it, these are the strange things of the matches, it is not a waste to do it then.
As I have said, sometimes we have been fans of sports since we were little and we have been able to determine when a team is more likely to win. In my case, soccer sometimes excites me a lot, because apart from the fact that I have played it all my life I know a lot, about the leagues in Europe and about those in South America, besides that great and very famous players have emerged in South America, it is difficult not to be a fan of soccer around here.
In other sports, what interests us also influences a lot, in boxing we also like it a lot because many options open up, the first is because between two boxers there will always be that "pique" that makes everything more exciting, second, what they generate They are eminent in the people, the stakes increase, the show rises to great levels, and attract all the world's attention, for example with the Inoue fight in his new category, we all wanted to see that fight, regardless of the time, some of us did the effort and we saw it, so all part of the interest, of how big fans we can become.