Walaikum salam brother, apki observation bilkul theek ha or apne jo Bitcoin price of US elections ka corelation bataya ha wohi market ka main dynamics ha. Mujhy der lug reha k agr khuda na khasta Trum election nhi win kerta toh toh market crash ho sakti ha or yeh crah kafi significant ho sakta ha ( $5000 to $10,000). Dua keren k Trump elections win ker jai esi mein crypto market ka bi bhala ha or Pakistan ka bi. Pakistan ki politics bi 180 degree change ho sakti ha ku k Republican party ki foreign policy Democrats ki policies se bht different hoti ha. DYOR
Mera ni khayla k ab trump agar jeet bhi gia tu koi barda asar pertay ga bitcoin ki price p. Mujhee lagtha hy k yeh bhi doorsay events ki tarah sell the news event hoga, jis mein hum sab expect kr rahaein hon ga k Trump election jeet gia hy lekin ausi time bitcoin dump keray ga aur bohat c future traders trap hon gay aur bohat paisay lose kerian gay. chahay yeh short term hi ho but trump k election jeetnay sath hi aik bar dump aye ga zaroor.
Doorsa swal yeh hy k agar Trump jeet gia tu kia Gary Gensler, jo k Chairperson, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission hy, woh resign keray ga ? Kion k woh hi hy jo crypto kay khalif failsay keerta hy aur agar woh resign na kia tu kia trump apni power use keray ga aus ko hantany mein ?
Teersi thing yeh hy k 2024 war ka year tha aur 2025 ki prediction ais c bhi zada dangerous hy, ais wajah c log risky assets like bitcoin mein puri tarah c anay c daar rahey hien aur Gold ko zada perfer kr rahein hein aur asi wajah c Gold apnay all time high p chal raha hy.
Umer bhai apki analysis bht interesting or ap ne genuine concern raise kiay han. Yeh mumkin ha k market trump ki win ko already discount ker chuki ho or apka kahna sahi ha k akser dekha gya ha k logon ko jo event se umeedein hoti han woh pori nahi hoti or market even k occur hony pe oper jany ki bjai neechy drop ho jati ha, yehi "Sell the news ka Phenomenon ha".
Gary Gensler ka resignation: Trum k election mein victory ki soorat mein Gary Gensler pe pressure ho sakta ha, laikin resignation ka faisla Trump admisnistration ki crypto ka bary mein policies pe depend kere ga, Trump se umeed yehi ha bk woh crypto friendly policies introduce keren gay mgr yeh dekhna ho ga k woh kitni drastic changes laaty ha.
2024 or 2025 ki Predictions: Yeh bat sahi ha k global uncertainties jo k Ukraine or Middle East ki wars ki waja se han, es ki waja se investors safe heaven jasa k Gold mein invest kerna zayadeh prefer kerty han eski waja se Gold ki price mein bht izafa ho ngya ha or es waqt Gold $2700/ounce se oper trade ker reha ha.
Conclusions: Global uncertainties k bawajoud mera khayal ha k ager USA mein interest rates mein mazeed kami hoti ha toh es se money supply mein izafa ho ga or yeh Stcoks or Bitcoin markets k liay bht bra stimulant ho ga or optimistically speaking, es event ki waja se Bitcoin es saal k end tak ek naya all time high (ATH) bna sakta ha, Insha Allah. DYOR