I have a feeling that the new hype in gambling is betting on either stupid stuff or politics, with Polymarket gaining more and more attention from bettors keen on trading prediction rather than coins. And so, in order to concentrate the decision on both polymarket and gambling on political events and stuff combined, let's talk here about those, especially since some of the best do include crypto, like betting on the chances of a Bitcoin reserve being done in less than 100 days.
Of course, the hot ones are Trump's promises:
https://polymarket.com/dashboards/trumpObviously, the weird one is the only 34% chance for the Bitcoin reserve despite the deal being made on a crypto market, so with more bitcoin enthusiasts than normal gambling.
The other interesting market is the one about the US government shutdown:
https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-shutdown-before-2025?tid=1734955582022And this is where things get tricky, as you will have to rely here on the decision of the team behind polymarket, so was it a shutdown as some newspapers claim, was it not one as others claim since the bill was signed, and the entire drama where basically the decision is taken by unknown strangers and there is little you can do if you're not happy with the outcome.
Is anyone taking bets here, buying options, thinking about giving it a chance or even creating his own market?