Is anyone taking bets here, buying options, thinking about giving it a chance or even creating his own market?
I don't know how trustworthy the polymaket prediction platform is. There have been accusations that they are engaging in fake wash’trading, however, it has not been proven true. They are also under investigation by The Federal Bureau of Investigation which led to the house of its CEO Shayne Coplan being raided by operatives. Although it might be a politically motivated witch hunt because of its close accuracy in predicting the US elections. I don't have interest in some of the bets they offer, maybe it might change in the future. 
Topic: Polymarket bets of Trump's promises and other politics - page 4. (Read 586 times)
I don't bet on this platform but if I were and I want to bet on any future occurrence of event be it politics or outcome of a football match or and bitcoin dominance percentage for a certain period for instance, I would first consider the direction of people's opinion and votes already (if there is a way to do that) because with polymarket, it is always the percentage of perception that matters. To be on a safe side on the bet, to check on the percentage of votes is a strong influence.
It has definitely become popular, and the ability to make your own that interests other people is awesome. It's important to have this, IMO, and since Polymarket is providing it, it's a plus for me to use it. I haven't thought of something worth adding a market for, but if I do, I will.
Maybe other members could create a market with the members of Bitcointalk? Maybe provide the next user who has "Drama" in Bitcointalk?
Maybe other members could create a market with the members of Bitcointalk? Maybe provide the next user who has "Drama" in Bitcointalk?
Those in the market are probably betting on events that are likely to happen, so for me, I see Polymarket more like a source of news where I can check the current trends. I’m not really a bettor on this platform, so I can’t say much about it. But if it continues to grow in popularity and eventually offers better odds for sports betting, it could definitely attract a lot more bettors.
What impresses me, though, is the big volume in each market.. I’ve seen numbers like a million dollars. I’m just curious, does that volume reflect the total money already bet, or is it something else?
What impresses me, though, is the big volume in each market.. I’ve seen numbers like a million dollars. I’m just curious, does that volume reflect the total money already bet, or is it something else?
I have a feeling that the new hype in gambling is betting on either stupid stuff or politics, with Polymarket gaining more and more attention from bettors keen on trading prediction rather than coins. And so, in order to concentrate the decision on both polymarket and gambling on political events and stuff combined, let's talk here about those, especially since some of the best do include crypto, like betting on the chances of a Bitcoin reserve being done in less than 100 days.
Of course, the hot ones are Trump's promises:
https://polymarket.com/dashboards/trump
Obviously, the weird one is the only 34% chance for the Bitcoin reserve despite the deal being made on a crypto market, so with more bitcoin enthusiasts than normal gambling.
The other interesting market is the one about the US government shutdown:
https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-shutdown-before-2025?tid=1734955582022
And this is where things get tricky, as you will have to rely here on the decision of the team behind polymarket, so was it a shutdown as some newspapers claim, was it not one as others claim since the bill was signed, and the entire drama where basically the decision is taken by unknown strangers and there is little you can do if you're not happy with the outcome.
Is anyone taking bets here, buying options, thinking about giving it a chance or even creating his own market?
Of course, the hot ones are Trump's promises:
https://polymarket.com/dashboards/trump
Obviously, the weird one is the only 34% chance for the Bitcoin reserve despite the deal being made on a crypto market, so with more bitcoin enthusiasts than normal gambling.
The other interesting market is the one about the US government shutdown:
https://polymarket.com/event/us-government-shutdown-before-2025?tid=1734955582022
And this is where things get tricky, as you will have to rely here on the decision of the team behind polymarket, so was it a shutdown as some newspapers claim, was it not one as others claim since the bill was signed, and the entire drama where basically the decision is taken by unknown strangers and there is little you can do if you're not happy with the outcome.
Is anyone taking bets here, buying options, thinking about giving it a chance or even creating his own market?
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