Prediction contest: when will bitcoin break $4? or will it never break $4? - page 4.

proudhon

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Activity: 2198

Merit: 1311

Quote from: ineededausername on December 09, 2011, 10:51:27 PM

Quote from: proudhon on December 08, 2011, 09:57:49 AM

Here's my optimistic prediction:

The price will briefly break $4 sometime in mid to late January. Between January and May the price will dip back down into the 2s. Between May and July the price will peak, possibly even reaching new all-time highs. By December 2012 the price will have settled in the $6-8 range.

PROUDHON SAYS PRICE IS GOING UP! SKY IS FALLING

That was my optimistic prediction. Wanna hear my realistic prediction?

ineededausername

hero member

Activity: 784

Merit: 1000

bitcoin hundred-aire

Quote from: proudhon on December 08, 2011, 09:57:49 AM

Here's my optimistic prediction:

The price will briefly break $4 sometime in mid to late January. Between January and May the price will dip back down into the 2s. Between May and July the price will peak, possibly even reaching new all-time highs. By December 2012 the price will have settled in the $6-8 range.

PROUDHON SAYS PRICE IS GOING UP! SKY IS FALLING

714

member

Activity: 438

Merit: 10

Quote from: BadBear on December 07, 2011, 07:55:23 AM

Quote from: ElectricMucus on December 07, 2011, 06:01:28 AM

Quote from: old_engineer on December 07, 2011, 04:04:32 AM

Quote from: ElectricMucus on December 07, 2011, 01:57:18 AM

Sometimes 2013... that option isn't there so I did choose 'never'

There is the "May or later" option.

But you really don't think it will at least spike over $4 at some point in 2012? I think there will be at least one tulip-style mania in 2012 for some reason or another, and it only takes one deep wallet to buy 50k btc and push the price to $4.

I don't think so. Reason is that for every person willing to buy 50k btc there are two who are willing to sell for 'acceptable' losses, those who bought in during the dip to 4.08.

Word. Think about the guy with the massive wall at 2.90 that got sold into. He's gonna be itching to get out soon likely, to rebuy lower or whatever. He's probably just waiting for the right time.

Agreed. When tulip time comes, sell 'em if you got 'em Cheesy

BadBear

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Activity: 1652

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Quote from: proudhon on December 08, 2011, 09:57:49 AM

Here's my optimistic prediction:

The price will briefly break $4 sometime in mid to late January. Between January and May the price will dip back down into the 2s. Between May and July the price will peak, possibly evening reaching new all-time highs. By December 2012 the price will have settled in $6-8 range.

That sounds pretty realistic, if all goes well.

proudhon

legendary

Activity: 2198

Merit: 1311

Here's my optimistic prediction:

The price will briefly break $4 sometime in mid to late January. Between January and May the price will dip back down into the 2s. Between May and July the price will peak, possibly even reaching new all-time highs. By December 2012 the price will have settled in the $6-8 range.

sadpandatech

hero member

Activity: 504

Merit: 500

Quote from: cbeast on December 08, 2011, 05:13:58 AM

Quote from: sadpandatech on December 07, 2011, 03:38:53 PM

Feb 2nd 2012

Bonus prediction of daily high of 4.14760
in case you put a second reward for guessing what it breaks 4.00 at. ;p

Only if the groundhog sees his shadow.

aye, that overgrown rat is gonna take one look at this crap and run right back in. =)

cbeast

donator

Activity: 1736

Merit: 1014

Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.

Quote from: sadpandatech on December 07, 2011, 03:38:53 PM

Feb 2nd 2012

Bonus prediction of daily high of 4.14760
in case you put a second reward for guessing what it breaks 4.00 at. ;p

Only if the groundhog sees his shadow.

BTCurious

hero member

Activity: 714

Merit: 504

^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.

"The stats" never lie.

finway

hero member

Activity: 714

Merit: 500

According to the stats, seems after Feb.

BTCurious

hero member

Activity: 714

Merit: 504

^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.

I have empirical proof that truisms that are true now will also prove to be truisms that are true in the future. Proof by induction shows that if it held yesterday, and it holds today, it will hold in all of time.

Quote from: David M. Smith

A friend who's in liquor production
Owns a still of astounding construction.
The alcohol boils
Through old magnet coils;
She says that it's "proof by induction."

antoineph

full member

Activity: 181

Merit: 100

How can you tell? You must be able to see quite accurately into the future.

BTCurious

hero member

Activity: 714

Merit: 504

^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.

Your predictive powers are astounding, my dear sir.

antoineph

full member

Activity: 181

Merit: 100

Quote from: BTCurious on December 07, 2011, 08:43:48 PM

I think, at the moment it happens, the day will be "today".

I think, on the day it happens, the price will surely reach above $4.

BTCurious

hero member

Activity: 714

Merit: 504

^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.

I think, at the moment it happens, the day will be "today".

ineededausername

hero member

Activity: 784

Merit: 1000

bitcoin hundred-aire

I chose a Monday Sad

paraipan

legendary

Activity: 924

Merit: 1004

Firstbits: 1pirata

@BTC_Bear i think you will have to share the reward if it happens when you said so... Cheesy

Code:

Dec 12th Crypt_Current, BTC_Bear (Monday)
Dec 13th adamstgBit (depending on the time zone)
Dec 14th adamstgBit ...
Dec 15th kinghajj
Dec 16th antoineph
Dec 19th the joint, BTC_Bear (Monday)
Dec 20th Goat
Dec 21th BTCurious
Dec 25th tulkos
Dec 28th marhjan

Jan 1st RaggedMonk
Jan 2nd Scott J
Jan 5.1 Cluster2k
Jan 13th paraipan
Jan 14th bittenbob
Jan 15th pent (mid Jan)
Jan 16th pent (mid Jan), BTC_Bear (Monday)
Jan 21th payb.tc
Jan 29th old_engineer
Jan 23th ineededausername, BTC_Bear (Monday)

Feb 2nd sadpandatech (prediction of daily high of 4.14760)

Apr 1st Dansker

Jun 27th trogdorjw73

latter half of 2012 BadBear

JusticeForYou

vip

Activity: 490

Merit: 271

Quote from: old_engineer on December 06, 2011, 06:33:44 PM

I'm guessing it will be late January or early February, and if I had to pick a day... January 29th. Anyone else want to guess? I'll send the winner 5 btc, tiebreaker goes to the first predictor of the winning day.

In b4 "never" - this is a thread for long-term bulls only!