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Topic: Prediction contest: when will bitcoin break $4? or will it never break $4? - page 5. (Read 8172 times)

hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
January 2nd, I feel it in my bones.

  Didn't they already charge Harding for conspiracy to break legs once already? ;p  *offers you a leg splint*
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Feb 2nd 2012

 Bonus prediction of daily high of 4.14760
in case you put a second reward for guessing what it breaks 4.00 at. ;p
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
Dec 13 or 14th ... depending on the time zone  Tongue
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1000
January 2nd, I feel it in my bones.
hero member
Activity: 740
Merit: 500
Hello world!
April the 1st lol ^^
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
bitcoin hundred-aire
What really matters for the price is whether Keiser is successful in his 1 million bitcoin users campaign (and I suspect he will be).

Expect another bubble, everyone!  This time, you're the early adopters.   Grin
legendary
Activity: 1147
Merit: 1001
What effect do you think the holidays will have end of this month on the price?
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1031
Personally I think the latter half of 2012.  People saying December need to wake up, it's taken a long time to get to where we are, will take a long time to build back up.

nah, just takes the next wave of investors!
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1128
Personally I think the latter half of 2012.  People saying December need to wake up, it's taken a long time to get to where we are, will take a long time to build back up.
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 105
Poorer than I ought to be
I'll take a shot - December 28th the $4.00 barrier will be briefly crossed before retrenching to around $3.25-$3.50 for a few months.


or something....
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1128
Yeah nobody can really know, if we did we wouldn't be speculating.  Time will tell I suppose.  As for me, I'm 25% in, which is mostly my earnings from bitcoinica anyway, so no big loss there. 
legendary
Activity: 2184
Merit: 1056
Affordable Physical Bitcoins - Denarium.com
Word.  Think about the guy with the massive wall at 2.90 that got sold into.  He's gonna be itching to get out soon likely, to rebuy lower or whatever.  He's probably just waiting for the right time.
Not necessarily. Some of us have already chosen the long strategy at this point and with that strategy one doesn't sell unless the price is massively higher or at risk to dropping massively lower. The guy at $2.9 could have potentially bought with a long strategy and won't be selling until there's either an imminent super crash or a price increase to double digits and beyond.

If he bought with a short term strategy, then you could obviously expect him to sell in the near future. But we can't really know for sure why he bought. Could be short, mid or long term strategy.
legendary
Activity: 1692
Merit: 1018
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1128
Sometimes 2013... that option isn't there so I did choose 'never'
There is the "May or later" option.  

But you really don't think it will at least spike over $4 at some point in 2012?  I think there will be at least one tulip-style mania in 2012 for some reason or another, and it only takes one deep wallet to buy 50k btc and push the price to $4.

I don't think so. Reason is that for every person willing to buy 50k btc there are two who are willing to sell for 'acceptable' losses, those who bought in during the dip to 4.08.

Word.  Think about the guy with the massive wall at 2.90 that got sold into.  He's gonna be itching to get out soon likely, to rebuy lower or whatever.  He's probably just waiting for the right time. 
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
Sometimes 2013... that option isn't there so I did choose 'never'
There is the "May or later" option.  

But you really don't think it will at least spike over $4 at some point in 2012?  I think there will be at least one tulip-style mania in 2012 for some reason or another, and it only takes one deep wallet to buy 50k btc and push the price to $4.

I don't think so. Reason is that for every person willing to buy 50k btc there are two who are willing to sell for 'acceptable' losses, those who bought in during the dip to 4.08.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.
legendary
Activity: 1692
Merit: 1018
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
Crash near the NY, then break $4 in mid of January
sr. member
Activity: 387
Merit: 250
Sometimes 2013... that option isn't there so I did choose 'never'
There is the "May or later" option.  

But you really don't think it will at least spike over $4 at some point in 2012?  I think there will be at least one tulip-style mania in 2012 for some reason or another, and it only takes one deep wallet to buy 50k btc and push the price to $4.
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