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Chelsea has the advantage of playing in front of its own supporters, if Nkunku makes his debut it can motivate the team as a whole. Not much can be expected from Pochettino squad this season, the only trophy they are closest to winning is the Carabao Cup, being absent from the UCL has no impact on the EPL in terms of using free time, even Newcastle, who are more troubled by injuries, have statistics who is better than the Blues. Being eliminated from the UCL made Eddie Howe's squad shift their focus completely to the local competition, just like Pochettino's squad, Howe also hopes for luck in this meeting.
Statistically, Newcastle is better, but Chelsea is also showing signs of rising and restoring its status as an elite EPL team. This match is very difficult to predict, but I have a tendency that Chelsea can beat Newcastle and advance to the semifinals. This is just a prediction and does not mean to underestimate Newcastle strength, whatever the statistical figures recorded by the two clubs, I think this trophy is a guarantee of how long Pochettino will be head coach at Stamford Bridge.
ideally, if Poche includes Nkunku in the list of players he will field, he will start from the bench. so, I doubt if he will be the main starter in this match. speaking Chelsea, as you say. the Blues had the advantage of playing in front of their own supporters. however, I doubt that Chelsea can win this match easily. it's not without reason that I say that, especially if Poche is still fielding players who are the same, especially the pure stickers they have. It's true, Chelsea won their previous match in the Premier League. however, their opponent is the team that is ranked last in the red zone. so, it is fitting that Pochettino's squad won 3 points in that match. in this match, it will be a real match even though Newcastle also has many players who are injured. but at least, Newcastle won their match again after playing 3 matches with defeats in two competitions. the point is, their statistics are no different from Chelsea, who lost in the Premier League in the last 2 weeks.
Uniquely, Chelsea is superior based on the odds provided by the bookie. Chelsea with @1.70, while Newcastle with @4.40. well, interesting the options Newcastle has to offer. regarding the system, it is definitely Poche with a 4-2-3-1 pattern and Eddie Howe with a 4-4-3. IMO, this match will be very tough, unless there is a quick goal in the early minutes. I'm not interested in betting, but it seems there's no harm in watching this match. and hopefully, provide a match worth watching. In my estimation, there are two options for betting. if you don't choose Under 3 goals @1.76, you can handicap +075 @1.90 for Newcastle. Well, let's just wait for the results of this match. I think, both Chelsea as the home team and Newcastle as the away team, will still be aiming for victory.