jehst:
I think you should do more, deeper and real research on cryptocurrency in general and the altcoin enviroment (incl. at least trying to understand technical backgrounds and how to rate the devs and community behind a coin) before trying predict chances of success of so many different coins and technologies, you talk about in your post.
You made alot very general statements, mostly without giving any reasons for your argument.
To me, it looks like you read some general altcoin news pages and some threads here and now repeated some standard arguments, you heard there. You didn't mentioned any kind of (simple) scientific instrument or methods of analysis you used during your research work (to create valid arguments and reasonings). Some stuff you wrote is ridiculous incorrect and shows you don't really know what you are talking about.
BTW, a currency lives through usage, no coin will just survive on being an "catastrophic hedge" against an BTC failure. There are other tools and ways to do that.
I think this catastrophic hedge-scenario isn't even worth discussing. (It was discussed in 100.000 threads before here on this board. Just research there.)
(No personal attack or hate, just a comment to improve level of discussion.)
I think you should do more, deeper and real research on cryptocurrency in general and the altcoin enviroment (incl. at least trying to understand technical backgrounds and how to rate the devs and community behind a coin) before trying predict chances of success of so many different coins and technologies, you talk about in your post.
Although I talk about many coins in my catastrophic hedge post, the scope is extremely limited. The requirements are very clear: no pre-mine/insta-mine, good liquidity, different codebase, different hashing algorithm. Nearly all coins are clearly disqualified on one of these grounds. I admit that I have not done any deep research on most of the coins, but I am not going to do any "deeper research" on any pre-mined/IPO shitcoin, for example. If it fails to meet the requirements, then it's immediately out of consideration. If it meets the requirements in the future, I will reconsider it.
a currency lives through usage, no coin will just survive on being an "catastrophic hedge" against an BTC failure.
A currency lives on for one reason and one reason only. Supply and demand. This is why I made "liquidity" a requirement. Liquidity is a proxy for demand. The coin wouldn't be valued if it didn't have demand and a limited supply. I do not need to examine what the coin is being used for, nor am I saying that any of these coins won't have other uses besides being a catastrophic hedge.