[Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics - page 40.

aoluain

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Quote from: Timelord2067 on March 07, 2023, 12:41:52 AM

Massive win. After a couple of stumbles, the Dolphins romped home stunning everyone except the 30,000 supporters at Lang Park cheering them on.

Quote from: aoluain on March 05, 2023, 02:57:05 AM

Welcome to the premiership Dolphins!

Big win over a top team as predicted by yourself Timelord. I didnt bet on that game.

So are there other teams which could potentially fit into your relegation structure?
I'm sure there are in lower tier competitions, teams that are always at the top there
who would fill the place of relegated teams like....Wests Tigers

At the end of last season I would have definitely said - Wests Tigers (NSW), Canberra Raiders (notionally NSW) and the Gold Coast Titans (Qld). The Titans have won exactly ONE game thus far, so it's too early to say if they are going to redeem themselves this year (and the Auckland Warriors based on last year's performance).

Round One wins and losses: Not sure why, but the Storm game got refunded (but they were happy enough to take my money on the Parlay, not cancel it too)

Hey thats probably what happened to my bet too on Storm, I used Nitro too, I was so sure
I had placed that bet, so it just got refunded.

So yea instead of relegating a team this year they just added one more.

Quote from: aoluain on March 01, 2023, 04:46:46 PM

Quote from: Timelord2067 on February 26, 2023, 06:06:49 AM

Round 15 of the United Rugby Championship starts up on Friday. Only 4 more rounds
before the Finals.

There aren't many decent odds on really, I have 3 ATM:

Stormers to beat the Sharks @1.3
Leinster to beat Edinburgh @1.23
Ulster to beat Cardiff @1.42

I forgot to mention that my 3 URC bets last weekend won, which is nice to balance
the NRL ones!

So this weekend coming we have R4 of the Six Nations and R2 of the NRL.

Have no idea what im betting on yet.

Thats interesting about the Dolphins, it will be very interesting to see how they go,
Timelord, would you have been familiar with them before this year?

Timelord2067

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Massive win. After a couple of stumbles, the Dolphins romped home stunning everyone except the 30,000 supporters at Lang Park cheering them on.

Quote from: aoluain on March 05, 2023, 02:57:05 AM

Welcome to the premiership Dolphins!

Big win over a top team as predicted by yourself Timelord. I didnt bet on that game.

So are there other teams which could potentially fit into your relegation structure?
I'm sure there are in lower tier competitions, teams that are always at the top there
who would fill the place of relegated teams like....Wests Tigers

At the end of last season I would have definitely said - Wests Tigers (NSW), Canberra Raiders (notionally NSW) and the Gold Coast Titans (Qld). The Titans have won exactly ONE game thus far, so it's too early to say if they are going to redeem themselves this year (and the Auckland Warriors based on last year's performance).

Round One wins and losses: Not sure why, but the Storm game got refunded (but they were happy enough to take my money on the Parlay, not cancel it too)

Quote from: Timelord2067 on March 01, 2023, 07:01:50 PM

My Round One pics are as follows:

Parramatta Eels - Melbourne Storm 02 Mar 2023 19:00 Money Line Melbourne Storm @ 1.75
New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 03 Mar 2023 17:00 Money Line Newcastle Knights @ 2.57
Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos 03 Mar 2023 19:05 Money Line Penrith Panthers @ 1.18
Manly Sea Eagles - Canterbury Bulldogs 04 Mar 2023 14:00 Money Line Manly Sea Eagles @ 1.52 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.076 mBTC
North Queensland Cowboys - Canberra Raiders 04 Mar 2023 16:30 Money Line North Queensland Cowboys @ 1.34 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.067 mBTC
Cronulla Sharks - South Sydney Rabbitohs 04 Mar 2023 18:35 Money Line Cronulla Sharks @ 2.51
Dolphins (NRL) - Sydney Roosters 05 Mar 2023 15:05 Money Line Dolphins (NRL) @ 6.44 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.322 mBTC - (Benefit of the doubt for their debut game)
Wests Tigers - Gold Coast Titans 05 Mar 2023 17:15 Money Line Gold Coast Titans @ 2.17 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.109 mBTC - (last two years the Tigers game out swinging or the first two or three games, then collapsed never to recover)

Four (plus one) from seven (plus one)

For NRL 2023 - round two I thought I might get a little brazen and bet a little extra on the teams who won the week before .

Penrith Panthers - South Sydney Rabbitohs 09 Mar 2023 19:00 Money Line South Sydney Rabbitohs @ 2.62 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.131 mBTC
Parramatta Eels - Cronulla Sharks 10 Mar 2023 17:00 Money Line Parramatta Eels @ 1.48 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.074 mBTC
Brisbane Broncos - North Queensland Cowboys 10 Mar 2023 19:05 Money Line Brisbane Broncos @ 1.75 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.088 mBTC
Sydney Roosters - New Zealand Warriors 11 Mar 2023 14:00 Money Line New Zealand Warriors @ 4.92 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.246 mBTC
Melbourne Storm - Canterbury Bulldogs 11 Mar 2023 18:35 Money Line Melbourne Storm @ 1.34 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.067 mBTC
Wests Tigers - Newcastle Knights 12 Mar 2023 15:05 Money Line Newcastle Knights @ 2.22 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.111 mBTC
St George/Illawarra Dragons - Gold Coast Titans 12 Mar 2023 17:15 Money Line Gold Coast Titans @ 1.97 Taken Amount: 0.10 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.197 mBTC

I'm wondering if nitrobetting.eu got stung big time with Dolphins bets in round one - they aren't offering any odds on the Dolphins game two. (but they're offering odds of $2.97 on game three) - (If that changes later in the week I'll let you know).

Round three NRL 2023

Newcastle Knights - Dolphins (NRL) 17 Mar 2023 17:00 Money Line Dolphins (NRL) @ 2.95 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.148 mBTC

aoluain

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Welcome to the premiership Dolphins!

Big win over a top team as predicted by yourself Timelord. I didnt bet on that game.

So are there other teams which could potentially fit into your relegation structure?
I'm sure there are in lower tier competitions, teams that are always at the top there
who would fill the place of relegated teams like....Wests Tigers

Timelord2067

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Quote from: aoluain on March 04, 2023, 01:03:29 PM

Sea Eagles did the job against the Bulldogs 31 - 6. Looks like they were in fine form
after landing at the tio of the preseason ladder!

After winning that bet I put it all back on the Cowboys to beat the Raiders. It was looking
very good at half time 18 - 6 but the Raiders came into the game in the second half. With only
a few minutes to go and the sides level on 18 points the Cowboys scored a field goal.

It's looking like the mid ladder teams have actually gone and done their homework while the top of the ladder had a fairly light off season practising. The last two games I was only able to follow via the NRL.com websites text play by play game pages. The Rabbitohs got an early led then edge ever forward as the game progressed to have a comfortable win. IIRC the Raiders were actually ahead towards the end but the Cowboys recovered and like a few other games so far took a field goal to clench the win.

Quote from: Timelord2067 on March 01, 2023, 07:01:50 PM

My Round One pics are as follows:

Parramatta Eels - Melbourne Storm 02 Mar 2023 19:00 Money Line Melbourne Storm @ 1.75
New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights 03 Mar 2023 17:00 Money Line Newcastle Knights @ 2.57
Penrith Panthers - Brisbane Broncos 03 Mar 2023 19:05 Money Line Penrith Panthers @ 1.18
Manly Sea Eagles - Canterbury Bulldogs 04 Mar 2023 14:00 Money Line Manly Sea Eagles @ 1.52 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.076 mBTC
North Queensland Cowboys - Canberra Raiders 04 Mar 2023 16:30 Money Line North Queensland Cowboys @ 1.34 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.067 mBTC
Cronulla Sharks - South Sydney Rabbitohs 04 Mar 2023 18:35 Money Line Cronulla Sharks @ 2.51
Dolphins (NRL) - Sydney Roosters 05 Mar 2023 15:05 Money Line Dolphins (NRL) @ 6.44 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.322 mBTC - (Benefit of the doubt for their debut game)
Wests Tigers - Gold Coast Titans 05 Mar 2023 17:15 Money Line Gold Coast Titans @ 2.17 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.109 mBTC - (last two years the Tigers game out swinging or the first two or three games, then collapsed never to recover)

The Dolphins play in around seven hours from now - there's a lot of Hype on the Nine Network promoting them and a documentary series that's being filmed at the moment.

*Edit*

Half time and the score is 12 -12. The Roosters got in early with a try while the Dolphins have dropped the ball a few times they are certainly hitting hard.

(My internet connection has been crap the last few days)

aoluain

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Quote from: aoluain on March 03, 2023, 04:46:00 PM

Quote from: Timelord2067 on March 03, 2023, 03:24:12 AM

Quote from: aoluain on March 03, 2023, 02:14:22 AM

The Broncos were definitely on top of their game and I think the Panthers were relying on the statistics telling them they would win in front of their fans at home. (the Broncos hadn't won at that ground in 14 years)

Unbelievable, that result was not supposed to happen. From what I read the Broncos
defense was very good.

I think that was a wake up call for the Panthers. They maybe thought they just
had to show up.

Sea Eagles v Bulldogs next, lets hope the Sea Eagles can continue their form from
the pre-season into this game. I have literally $1 left in my wallet, so a $1 bet at 1.55.

Sea Eagles did the job against the Bulldogs 31 - 6. Looks like they were in fine form
after landing at the tio of the preseason ladder!

After winning that bet I put it all back on the Cowboys to beat the Raiders. It was looking
very good at half time 18 - 6 but the Raiders came into the game in the second half. With only
a few minutes to go and the sides level on 18 points the Cowboys scored a field goal.

Quote from: Welsh on March 03, 2023, 04:55:14 PM

Quote from: aoluain on March 03, 2023, 02:14:22 AM

....although Scotland are a different team these days also. I remember when they were pretty much one of the worst teams in the Six Nations, but now they're looking one of the best.

Yea this year has been very good for Scotland, as you say England are not the team
they were a few seasons ago and of course Wales have regressed alao so there is a
void there and Scotland are filling it

Welsh

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Quote from: aoluain on March 03, 2023, 02:14:22 AM

Italy have been a bit of a revelation this season, they have indeed run teams close,
but I'm sure they themselves will have been frustrated after each game. They are
able to clock up their scores and are able to kick their penalties.

They have Wales and Scotland next, they will be looking to get a result from each for sure.

They've been steadily improving for a few years now, I mean we've lost to them before so that speaks volumes. I'd fully expect them to be as confident as possible against Wales, although Scotland are a different team these days also. I remember when they were pretty much one of the worst teams in the Six Nations, but now they're looking one of the best.

Nonetheless, I'm not going to count out Wales yet, and I'm certainly going to avoid betting on this one, even though the odds are quite encouraging, I just don't know what team we'll get. Italy, also might be fairly inconsistent, and might struggle with Wales making the game messy. I'd say probably the most competitive the sides will be for a number of years though.

aoluain

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Quote from: Timelord2067 on March 03, 2023, 03:24:12 AM

Quote from: aoluain on March 03, 2023, 02:14:22 AM

The Broncos were definitely on top of their game and I think the Panthers were relying on the statistics telling them they would win in front of their fans at home. (the Broncos hadn't won at that ground in 14 years)

Unbelievable, that result was not supposed to happen. From what I read the Broncos
defense was very good.

I think that was a wake up call for the Panthers. They maybe thought they just
had to show up.

Sea Eagles v Bulldogs next, lets hope the Sea Eagles can continue their form from
the pre-season into this game. I have literally $1 left in my wallet, so a $1 bet at 1.55.

Timelord2067

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Quote from: aoluain on March 03, 2023, 02:14:22 AM

Maybe for the world cup we should run a dedicated thread for that?

I really don't want to go down that path given how few of us are here already.

The Auckland Warriors are ahead in the second half with 25 minutes of game play left.

*edit*

One from three. (details later)

The Broncos were definitely on top of their game and I think the Panthers were relying on the statistics telling them they would win in front of their fans at home. (the Broncos hadn't won at that ground in 14 years)

aoluain

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Quote from: Timelord2067 on March 02, 2023, 04:56:32 PM

Quote from: aoluain on March 02, 2023, 02:56:31 PM

Timelord, with your betting spreads above it brings a whole new meaning to

"I just cant get enough Rugby"

Heh - with only four or five of us in this thread (and just Welsh, yourself and myself - the core three at that) I'm hoping any casual reader might jump in if they see their teams being mentioned every once in a while.

Yea I know we have had this conversation before, but I cant understand why this thread
is not more popular?

Maybe for the world cup we should run a dedicated thread for that?

Quote from: Timelord2067 on March 02, 2023, 04:56:32 PM

Rugby Union had fallen under the spell of the nine network who have broadcast League in Australia for probably fifty plus years. However, Rugby, which had been snared by nine only a few short years ago, has been moved sideways to Stan. So, I'm agonising as to whether or not to sign up just to watch a random game each week. ?? Not exactly value for money.

Quote

Ok so for tomorrow its all in on the Panthers against the Broncos.

I hope the Panthers pound the Broncos into oblivion. Shocked

Nah its not worth it really.
I dont have any of my local TV channels and havent have for a number of years. We
rely on the UK channels to watch the six nations, and we try to watch every game.
Its frustrating though not being able to watch a game when you have the time
and or the want to.

Quote from: Welsh on March 02, 2023, 07:20:46 PM

Quote from: aoluain on March 02, 2023, 02:22:08 AM

Honestly, I'm quite surprised we're still favourites for the game. I mean, Italy have looked fantastic, pushed several teams close already this tournament, while Wales have basically been shooting themselves in the foot, and haven't really pushed anyone close. The English game being the closest, but that's not because we were brilliant, just England are also a team struggling.

I'd say the games probably going to be close, and we do have a chance of winning it. I just thought Italy would've been the favourites. Obviously, I won't be betting against Wales, never have, and I'm not going to start now. However, that's some good odds for Italy to win in my opinion, and any neutrals might want to jump on that.

Italy have been a bit of a revelation this season, they have indeed run teams close,
but I'm sure they themselves will have been frustrated after each game. They are
able to clock up their scores and are able to kick their penalties.

They have Wales and Scotland next, they will be looking to get a result from each for sure.

Welsh

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Quote from: aoluain on March 02, 2023, 02:22:08 AM

Kicking game v England didnt work, they should have been able to realise this and make
a change.

Italy v Wales... its going to be close. Wales look to be slight favourites ATM 1.88 v 1.78.

On Italy's form this season and how they have been able to rack up decent scores
and Wales 22 zone performance I can see an Italy upset.

Honestly, I'm quite surprised we're still favourites for the game. I mean, Italy have looked fantastic, pushed several teams close already this tournament, while Wales have basically been shooting themselves in the foot, and haven't really pushed anyone close. The English game being the closest, but that's not because we were brilliant, just England are also a team struggling.

I'd say the games probably going to be close, and we do have a chance of winning it. I just thought Italy would've been the favourites. Obviously, I won't be betting against Wales, never have, and I'm not going to start now. However, that's some good odds for Italy to win in my opinion, and any neutrals might want to jump on that.

Timelord2067

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Quote from: aoluain on March 02, 2023, 02:56:31 PM

Timelord, with your betting spreads above it brings a whole new meaning to

"I just cant get enough Rugby"

Heh - with only four or five of us in this thread (and just Welsh, yourself and myself - the core three at that) I'm hoping any casual reader might jump in if they see their teams being mentioned every once in a while.

Rugby Union had fallen under the spell of the nine network who have broadcast League in Australia for probably fifty plus years. However, Rugby, which had been snared by nine only a few short years ago, has been moved sideways to Stan. So, I'm agonising as to whether or not to sign up just to watch a random game each week. ?? Not exactly value for money.

Quote

Ok so for tomorrow its all in on the Panthers against the Broncos.

I hope the Panthers pound the Broncos into oblivion. Shocked

Quote

Storm won in what was a a bit of a thriller with a Golden point ^try, 12-16.

The Eels commanded the first half there's no doubt about it. By the 33^rd minute however, they began to coast to the half time hooter. Then were fairly evenly matched in the forty to sixty minute period and then slowed down allowing the Storm to equalise (if they were tighter, it'd be a nearly 30 - 12 drubbing of the Eels) near full time, then took an epic try in the fourth minute of overtime.

aoluain

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Quote from: aoluain on March 02, 2023, 02:22:08 AM

That is some record by Storm, I have gone with a 0.19mBTC bet on them for today.
Hopefully the Eels wont spoil the party.

As for the other games, I cant bet on any more, I'm all in now with some Tennis bets, URL and
the Storm one too, I hopefully will have some funds later today to make a few NRL ones.

Any new strategies for NRL betting this year?

Damn - my bet didnt go through this morning for some reason..... confused.com
They were nice odds too, I think around 1.78

Storm won in what was a a bit of a thriller with a Golden point ^try, 12-16.

Quote

Craig Bellamy remains undefeated in round one with the Melbourne Storm.
He won’t have experienced many closer scrapes than this. An exodus of experienced
players over the summer. A full injury ward to start the year. Coates crocked
during the match. Munster playing on with a compound finger dislocation. Two
players bandaged with eyebrow splits. The resilience and drive is something to behold.

That doesnt sound like a promising synopsis of team Storm at the start of the season.

Ok so for tomorrow its all in on the Panthers against the Broncos.

Timelord, with your betting spreads above it brings a whole new meaning to
"I just cant get enough Rugby"

Timelord2067

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Quote from: aoluain on March 02, 2023, 02:22:08 AM

Definitely ad-hoc placement, Panthers in 13th spot!

Crazy placing (and it's not based on city or suburb even though most are in that order) - it's also not oldest to youngest club either as the Broncos entered the NRL circa 1988 and the Dolphins this year. Roll Eyes

Quote from: Welsh on March 01, 2023, 05:22:52 PM

Wales need to abandon the kicking game, that's for sure. Our scrum half didn't exactly help things either, not sure I want him in a Wales shirt again, not any time soon anyway. Judging on our previous performances, Italy might be worth betting on. I haven't checked the odds yet, but I imagine the odds won't be too different for either team, whereas two years ago Wales would've been a 1.10-1.20 favourite. How times change.

Anyway, I don't expect a win in our current form, but we could potentially do it. I'm hoping so, I don't want the embarrassment of the wooden spoon, there's been a little too much embarrassment from the recent dramas surrounding Welsh rugby.

Kicking game v England didnt work, they should have been able to realise this and make
a change.

Italy v Wales... its going to be close. Wales look to be slight favourites ATM 1.88 v 1.78.

On Italy's form this season and how they have been able to rack up decent scores
and Wales 22 zone performance I can see an Italy upset.

In the Irish Rugby Championship the Munsters and Glasgow Warriors are almost unbackable at $1.08 and $1.04 respectively. I'll go with Leinster over Edinburgh, Ospreys over Benetton Treviso and Connacht Rugby over the Newport Gwent Dragons

Edinburgh - Leinster 05 Mar 2023 03:05 Money Line Leinster @ 1.26 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.063 mBTC
Ospreys - Benetton Treviso 05 Mar 2023 03:15 Money Line Ospreys @ 1.43 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.072 mBTC
Newport Gwent Dragons - Connacht Rugby 05 Mar 2023 05:35 Money Line Connacht Rugby @ 1.48 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.074 mBTC

In the English Premiership Rugby, just two pics - Harlequin FC and Saracens

Harlequin FC - Chiefs 05 Mar 2023 03:15 Money Line Harlequins @ 1.51 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.076 mBTC
Sale Sharks - Saracens 06 Mar 2023 01:00 Money Line Saracens @ 2.47 Taken Amount: 0.05 mBTC Possible Payout: 0.124 mBTC

(am awaiting funds to transfer for all of the below games)

In the French Top 14

La Rochelle

While in the USA Major League

Rugby ATL - will continue their winning streak from last week.

New York

Back to the English Super Rugby League, I'm leaning towards Hull FC ($2.73) Wigan Warriors ($1.51) and Wakefield Trinity ($3.34)

Topic: [Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics - page 40. (Read 15792 times)