[Rugby] Union / League / Super / Sixes Sevens Pro14 / Cups & Tours / Olympics - page 43.

aoluain

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Quote from: Timelord2067 on December 02, 2022, 08:21:00 PM

Hopefully I'll be able to get home in time to put some wagers on those games. Unfortunately, I wasn't able to get myself sorted this last week to put any wagers on, but from what I can tell they were great games.

Indeed Timelord they were!
At a time when the Soccer world cup is on I find it difficult to watch that sport after watching
Rugby and especially those two games last weekend and all the Autumn Internationals I got
to see. There can be really bad games in Rugby but they are in a minority where as IMO really
good games in Soccer are a minority.

Anyway last night's games in the URC threw up wins for my predictions but I didn't put a wager
on the Sharks, I wanted to do a point spread but the lowest I could get on Rollbit was -21.5,
lucky because they only beat the Ospreys by 15 points.

Munster on the other hand were very good and covered my +3.5 bet by beating Edinburgh by
21 points, I definitely think they will be on a winning roll from now on.

I have 2 more bets on for today, -11.5 on the Stormers to beat the Dragons @1.71 and a straight
ML win by the Lions to beat Scarlets @ 1.23

Connacht v Benneton - Connacht will win today but to get some value I have Benneton +11.5 @ 1.63

Timelord2067

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Hopefully I'll be able to get home in time to put some wagers on those games. Unfortunately, I wasn't able to get myself sorted this last week to put any wagers on, but from what I can tell they were great games.

aoluain

legendary

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Rugby Union

Round 9 in the United Rugby Championship kicks off tonight with 2 games:

Cell C Sharks v Ospreys - these two are close enough on the table but I'm backing the
home team for this one with a point spread. Sharks are massive favourites 1.06 - 8.4...
maybe a point spread on the Ospreys would be a consideration too?

The second game tonight is Edinburgh at home to visiting Munster. I think I'll go with a
Munster win. I think they have their game back on winning ways. Odds are 1.75 - 2.14.

I'll go with a +3.5 on Munster @ 1.65

aoluain

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Well betting on draws in Rugby is non-sensical, it rarely happens, I get it though when
betting on Soccer though, draws are the norm.

Quote from: Timelord2067 on November 29, 2022, 03:37:49 AM

(I also went to do a wager on the AFLW grand-final and mistakenly bet on Brisbane at $1.40 instead of Melbourne at $7+ - needless to say, Melbourne won and I'm a dollar shorter).

Ouch, that was a missed opportunity.

Did you get a wager on Australia against Wales? that was another missed opportunity!

Timelord2067

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I thought I'd posted the other day about my wagers for Australia etc in the internationals, but today I can't see it. Not sure what happened there. (I also went to do a wager on the AFLW grand-final and mistakenly bet on Brisbane at $1.40 instead of Melbourne at $7+ - needless to say, Melbourne won and I'm a dollar shorter).

I'm also experimenting with betting $1 on a win plus $1 draw (where the odds are 2.0 or better for each) on the World Football cups being played at the moment.

I prefer placing bets "to win" not win or draw.

aoluain

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^
My two point spreads yielded a 50% return:

Stormers beat Scarlets 36 to 19, so that bet paid out but Ulster only had a winning margin of
16 over Zebre.

I also had a bet on Munster to beat Connacht, Munster had a strong starting team out
while Connacht had a weakened one.

And the final 2 games of the Autumn Internationals were played yesterday, the first: Wales v Australia
was an epic encounter. Before the game I took Australia at +3.5 figuring they have been within a point or
two in their previous games but boy were they value for money to come back from....

Quote

the Wallabies' incredible 39-34 comeback win over Wales from 21 points down with 23 minutes remaining on Saturday night.

https://www.rugby.com.au/news/wallabies-wales-mark-nawaqanitawase-offers-wallabies-xfactor-20221127

The second game between England v South Africa was a frustrating one for England losing
13 - 27.

aoluain

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^
I have gone for a couple of point spreads for the two games tonight, it's not something
I have done in the past but the two home teams, Stormers and Ulster are big favourites with
very low odds, the only question is by how many points will they win?

Stormers -11.5 @ 1.63
Ulster -26.5 @ 1.72

Other tournaments on the Rugby Union side are back up and running too, The English
Premiership and the French Top14. I'm following them currently though.

aoluain

legendary

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Rugby Union

URC

So after the Autumn Internationals the United Rugby Championship starts back up again,
this weekend is round 8 with the games listed below:

I'm gonna make a few bets, only made 1 choice already, I'm going against my home team
with Munster to win, they will have a full strength team and Connacht look like losing
Mack Hansen to an injury, that's a big loss for Connacht, he has done so well so far with club
and country.

aoluain

legendary

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Merit: 1343

Rugby Union

The World Rugby annual awards were yesterday, Ireland's and Leinster's flanker Josh Van Der Flier
and New Zealand's Ruahei Demant took the Men's and Women's player of the year awards.

https://super.rugby/therugbychampionship/news/world-rugby-awards-winners-2022/

There were other awards celebrated:

Best coach of the year
Best Women's breakthrough player
Best Mens breakthrough player (which went to an Italian player, which is nice to see)

And other awards for Rugby 7's, best try, referee etc.

aoluain

legendary

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Yes congratulations to Australia, Men's and Women's sides! definitely a different level.
That was a massive score difference in the women's game 54 - 4 and in a final. Obviously
the game has developed way more in Australia than anywhere else.

Rugby Union

My handicap bet on Australia v Ireland yesterday came to pass, Ireland won with just
3 points in a lack lustre game. Johnny Sexton, Ireland's #10 and chief playmaker
picked up a calf injury during warmup, his absence definitely made a difference.
The game was riddled with errors.

The stand out result from the weekend is the win by Georgia over Wales, This
was their first time beating a "Tier 1" team.

Timelord2067

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Australia's dominance in the Rugby League World Cup was never in doubt in-spite the heavy barrage by the media with Samoa competing in the semi finals, then their elevation to the finals.

Both the Australian Women's then their male counterparts out scored their opponents to win clear with comfortable leads.

OTOH, France's wheel-chair competitors gave their English counterparts a run or their money in a close scoring game.

aoluain

legendary

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Rugby Union

Autumn Internationals

A lot of games on today, I have one bet on - Australia +13.5 against Ireland. I think and
hope this is a safe one, Australia have lost their last two games by only 1 point so they
will be really itching not to be going home with zero wins

BUT

Ireland are playing a full strength squad!

The first game is at half time now:
Italy 13 - 18 South Africa
Scotland v Argentina up shortly, this will be a big test for Scotland
England v New Zealand - The All Blacks should win that.
Wales also play today against visiting Georga

aoluain

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Quote from: Timelord2067 on November 14, 2022, 03:28:13 AM

I unfortunately haven't been able to see many live (or replay games) since the NRL grand final a few weeks back.

I do like International games for something that is very much played at a local team level - different countries will have vastly differing tactics of play that the opponents don't expect. Usually, the winners will have struck down their opponents.

We don't get to see much Rugby live normally and were surprised to see Amazon Prime
had the rights to show the Autumn Internationals, hopefully it has been a success
for them and will continue to add more.

They already have almost all the big Tennis tournaments so hopefully Rugby will grow for them.

Rugby League

World Cup tomorrow - Australia v Samoa

I don't think there is much point on backing Samoa, Australia are heavy favourites.

Timelord2067

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I unfortunately haven't been able to see many live (or replay games) since the NRL grand final a few weeks back.

I do like International games for something that is very much played at a local team level - different countries will have vastly differing tactics of play that the opponents don't expect. Usually, the winners will have struck down their opponents.

aoluain

legendary

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I wasn't aware of a big NRL presence in the Samoan team, so yea it could be an NRL type
final but I would expect Australia to be the winners.

Rugby Union

I forgot to mention and I'm sure you have seen the result that Australia lost out to Italy
in the Autumn Internationals. They had a penalty kick to win the game and missed.

Also France v South Africa was a close affair, both with red cards the game had everything,
lots of drama but France got the job done.

Timelord2067

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I'm actually wondering if Samoa is fired up enough to win the cup? They have good odds online and I'm going to check a little later what they are. It might be worth putting a dollar on them if the price is right?

I won on the Australia Vs NZ game and lost on the England Vs Samoa game in part because I wasn't paying attention to the fact there are a handful of NRL players in the Samoan side which means the Final will be an NRL style thriller.

aoluain

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Quote from: aoluain on November 09, 2022, 03:12:17 AM

Rugby Union

Women's Rugby World Cup

The grand final takes place on Saturday, New Zealand v England. Being a home tournament
for the Black Ferns they are not the favourites, this has the makings of being a great final, is there
is a value bet on for New Zealand @ 2.73 ?

MASSIVE day of Rugby yesterday, I asked the question above regarding the Women's
Rugby World Cup Final if NZ were a value undergo bet, and they absolutely were, they
won the final 34-31....but I didn't pull the trigger on that bet.

Well done to them.

Autumn Internalionals

I had two bets on yesterday, Ireland to beat Fiji....but with -21.5 points which they failed
to do, it was a patchy enough game with a good few second team players getting
a start. They won but "only" by 18 points.
More importantly they hold onto
their #1 spot.

My second bet on Argentina didn't pay either, Argentina took the lead early on,
Wales had a shaky start but got the job done to "just about" win from a very
good Argentinian team, it was a close enough game, 20-13.

Rugby League

I only had one bet on the Men's World Cup this weekend, Australia to beat New Zealand.
I was going to bet on England to beat Samoa but actually forgot to do it, they lost!

Australia won, so it's an Australia v Samoa final.

aoluain

legendary

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That's a fairly busy schedule covering Men's, women's and wheelchair games. I have taken
my eye off the RLWC but I have 2 bets on for this weekend, England to beat Samoa
and Australia to beat New Zealand. The odds are OK but not brilliant, Australia 1.2 and
England 1.34. For me I would imagine either of these are going to win the final.

Timelord do you have an outright bet placed?

Timelord2067

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We're already up to the Rugby League World Cup quarter finals

In the men's games, powerhouses Australia, England and New Zealand and Samoa all overcame their opponents to progress through.

Likewise in the women's games, England (favoured to win), PNG, New Zealand and Australia all made clean sweeps of the competitors.

In the wheel-chair round two, England, Australia and France demolished their opponents with just the Wales Vs USA game proving to be the one to watch with a more realistic scoreline.

Over the week-end, I expect Australia to overcome New Zealand comfortably while Samoa might just upset the English to give themselves a slot in the grand-final. or the women's third round, Papua New Guinea might just overpower England along with Australia over New Zealand while out of the Canada Vs Brazil and France Vs Cook Islands games, I'm going to go with Canada and Cook Islands (only because they actually scored in the previous games)

Shortly, Australia takes on Spain then England over Ireland then France and Wales to win over USA and Scotland (with these two games being the ones to watch for closer points scored).

aoluain

legendary

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Rugby Union

Plenty of international games to look forward to this coming weekend.

Autumn Internationals

Ireland v Fiji
Italy v Australia
England v Japan
Wales v Argentina
France v South Africa
Scotland v New Zealand

The match of the weekend has to be France v South Africa, Six Nations champions v
World cup champions, It will be a close game with France the favourite.

Another close game should be Wales v Argentina, these should be evenly matched but
Argentina will be looking to build on that big win from las weekend.

Women's Rugby World Cup

The grand final takes place on Saturday, New Zealand v England. Being a home tournament
for the Black Ferns they are not the favourites, this has the makings of being a great final, is there
is a value bet on for New Zealand @ 2.73 ?

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