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Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine[In Progress] - page 49. (Read 69410 times)

copper member
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White Russian
There is a more interesting topic, but you may not like it or most likely you will say it is not true, but anyway: Today has marked the record of Ruzzian soldiers killed. Not only that, it seems that is NOT the record of vehicles destroyed. If you wish to give credit, 1700 Ruzzian soldiers died. They did not have adequate vehicle support.

I guess you'd like to question this?

The cause is the Kharkiv attack vector, which is an absolute crazy idea.
I have already expressed my opinion on this matter a little higher, I think this is a regular diversionary strike in order to force Syrsky to transfer reserves from other sectors of the front and accordingly weaken them (because he has no free combat-ready reserves). Syrsky now has a very difficult situation - he is forced to do what he does not want, because he cannot simply ignore the attack of the "North" group.

Regarding human losses and a small number of armored vehicle losses. The assault troops of the "North" group consist of "Storm Z" fighters - these are former prisoners who entered into a contract with the Ministry of Defense. In fact, these are suicide bombers; they are not entitled to armored vehicles. But the “North” group has powerful support of about a thousand artillery barrels (this is more than in the Avdeevsky direction), plus aviation support with guided bombs. Therefore, their raid will continue successfully with further losses of territory in Ukraine until Syrsky transfers at least a couple of brigades here to stop them. Then a strike will follow on the weakened section of the front. Wait, this will happen within a month, before the peace conference in Switzerland.
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1598
Do not die for Putin
Shoigu civilian? ... well, short of...

Quote
Shoigu received the rank of major general in 1993,[12] and was promoted swiftly to lieutenant general in 1995,[13] colonel general in 1998,[14] and to army general, in practice the highest Russian military rank, in 2003.[15]
Yep, Shoigu civilian. Before becoming a major general, he was a lieutenant, and received the rank of lieutenant thanks to his studies at a university with a military department. And you yourself know this very well, but out of habit you quoted only that part of the information that is beneficial to you. You have a professional deformation from an overdose of propaganda. Grin

Oh, so he was civilian before he is no longer civilian. So now is not civilian? And somehow I am doing propaganda? You have an interesting way of thinking.

I mean, I am sure that applies to all military, they are not born militaries, they eventually become militaries. I could quote how he was first civilian, but it would not add, subtract, multiply, divide nor make the square root of the fact that he is not civilian now, but military and hence my statement saying that he is military is correct, whereas your statement about him being civilian is, at minimum, inaccurate.
It seems you are ready to argue about anything, simply because you like to argue.

Shoigu is not a military man in the sense that he is not a product of the military system. He did not serve in the army, did not graduate from a higher military school, and was not an active officer. The Russian military itself does not consider Shoigu a military man.

Before Shoigu, Russia's Minister of Defense was Serdyukov, a former head of the tax service. Before Serdyukov, the Minister of Defense was Ivanov, a philologist by training. My point is that the Minister of Defense is not a professional military man; this is normal practice in Europe in general and in Russia in particular. The highest rank for a military man is the head of the General Staff. Formally, the supreme commander is the president, but you won’t say that Biden is a military man?

Glad to know the European and Ruzzian cultures have so many points in common. Ok, he has a military rank but is not a career military guy.

Why do you think he has been shown the door? Is everything going well over there?

There is a more interesting topic, but you may not like it or most likely you will say it is not true, but anyway: Today has marked the record of Ruzzian soldiers killed. Not only that, it seems that is NOT the record of vehicles destroyed. If you wish to give credit, 1700 Ruzzian soldiers died. They did not have adequate vehicle support.

I guess you'd like to question this?

The cause is the Kharkiv attack vector, which is an absolute crazy idea.
copper member
Activity: 2100
Merit: 903
White Russian
Shoigu civilian? ... well, short of...

Quote
Shoigu received the rank of major general in 1993,[12] and was promoted swiftly to lieutenant general in 1995,[13] colonel general in 1998,[14] and to army general, in practice the highest Russian military rank, in 2003.[15]
Yep, Shoigu civilian. Before becoming a major general, he was a lieutenant, and received the rank of lieutenant thanks to his studies at a university with a military department. And you yourself know this very well, but out of habit you quoted only that part of the information that is beneficial to you. You have a professional deformation from an overdose of propaganda. Grin

Oh, so he was civilian before he is no longer civilian. So now is not civilian? And somehow I am doing propaganda? You have an interesting way of thinking.

I mean, I am sure that applies to all military, they are not born militaries, they eventually become militaries. I could quote how he was first civilian, but it would not add, subtract, multiply, divide nor make the square root of the fact that he is not civilian now, but military and hence my statement saying that he is military is correct, whereas your statement about him being civilian is, at minimum, inaccurate.
It seems you are ready to argue about anything, simply because you like to argue.

Shoigu is not a military man in the sense that he is not a product of the military system. He did not serve in the army, did not graduate from a higher military school, and was not an active officer. The Russian military itself does not consider Shoigu a military man.

Before Shoigu, Russia's Minister of Defense was Serdyukov, a former head of the tax service. Before Serdyukov, the Minister of Defense was Ivanov, a philologist by training. My point is that the Minister of Defense is not a professional military man; this is normal practice in Europe in general and in Russia in particular. The highest rank for a military man is the head of the General Staff. Formally, the supreme commander is the president, but you won’t say that Biden is a military man?
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1598
Do not die for Putin
Shoigu civilian? ... well, short of...

Quote
Shoigu received the rank of major general in 1993,[12] and was promoted swiftly to lieutenant general in 1995,[13] colonel general in 1998,[14] and to army general, in practice the highest Russian military rank, in 2003.[15]
Yep, Shoigu civilian. Before becoming a major general, he was a lieutenant, and received the rank of lieutenant thanks to his studies at a university with a military department. And you yourself know this very well, but out of habit you quoted only that part of the information that is beneficial to you. You have a professional deformation from an overdose of propaganda. Grin

Oh, so he was civilian before he is no longer civilian. So now is not civilian? And somehow I am doing propaganda? You have an interesting way of thinking.

I mean, I am sure that applies to all military, they are not born militaries, they eventually become militaries. I could quote how he was first civilian, but it would not add, subtract, multiply, divide nor make the square root of the fact that he is not civilian now, but military and hence my statement saying that he is military is correct, whereas your statement about him being civilian is, at minimum, inaccurate.



copper member
Activity: 2100
Merit: 903
White Russian
Shoigu civilian? ... well, short of...

Quote
Shoigu received the rank of major general in 1993,[12] and was promoted swiftly to lieutenant general in 1995,[13] colonel general in 1998,[14] and to army general, in practice the highest Russian military rank, in 2003.[15]
Yep, Shoigu civilian. Before becoming a major general, he was a lieutenant, and received the rank of lieutenant thanks to his studies at a university with a military department. And you yourself know this very well, but out of habit you quoted only that part of the information that is beneficial to you. You have a professional deformation from an overdose of propaganda. Grin
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1598
Do not die for Putin
Seems like Shoigu has been demoted and changed for a Civilian from the closer Putin's economic circle.

My guess is that the war is going so well and corruption is so under control that Putin has taken this decision based on the armpit smell of Shoigu and not because he is an absolute incompetent in war, but very extremely competent in sending unequipped troops while filling his banks accounts with the money that should have provided the equipment.
The Minister of Defense should be a civilian; in fact, he is a supply manager. In Russia, the Minister of Defense has been a civilian since 2001 (Shoigu is also a civilian). The current Minister of Defense of Ukraine seems to also be a civilian. Almost all defense ministers in Europe are civilians.

Military operations are led by the General Staff, the Chief of the General Staff is still Gerasimov.

Shoigu civilian? ... well, short of...

Quote
Shoigu received the rank of major general in 1993,[12] and was promoted swiftly to lieutenant general in 1995,[13] colonel general in 1998,[14] and to army general, in practice the highest Russian military rank, in 2003.[15]

All those are military ranks, he wears mostly military uniforms and - me not an expert - seems to carry around quite a bit of cheap metal in the chest quite military looking. I guess he is not properly a military grown in the lower ranks if that's your point.

A "supply manager" ... he certainly "manages" the supplies here and there yes  Grin



Not as good as the mafia boss of course:

https://www.google.com/maps/@44.422079,38.2078166,1238m/data=!3m1!1e3?entry=ttu
sr. member
Activity: 2604
Merit: 326

BTW there are news that the "brave" commander that was in charge of the Bucha massacres has been HIMARSed. I think Ukrainians tend not to forget that type of bravery.


Did they hit that BBC guy who invented whole story all the way in England, or
maybe BBC sent him to Ukraine to silence him for whatever reason?

There are tens of witnesses Branko. Your loved Ruzzia army is a bunch of sadistic butchers. There are images of drones attacking families and old men simply going about their business for training. You need some?

Seems like Shoigu has been demoted and changed for a Civilian from the closer Putin's economic circle.

My guess is that the war is going so well and corruption is so under control that Putin has taken this decision based on the armpit smell of Shoigu and not because he is an absolute incompetent in war, but very extremely competent in sending unequipped troops while filling his banks accounts with the money that should have provided the equipment.

There were "tons of evidence" about Iraq WMDs too...I'll never again believe anything coming from USA or UK:

https://tribunemag.co.uk/2023/03/blair-knew-saddam-had-no-wdms-no10-told-me-so-before-the-war#:~:text=When%20Alistair%20Campbell%20arranged%20for,not%20exist%2C%20writes%20Chris%20McLaughlin.
copper member
Activity: 2100
Merit: 903
White Russian
Seems like Shoigu has been demoted and changed for a Civilian from the closer Putin's economic circle.

My guess is that the war is going so well and corruption is so under control that Putin has taken this decision based on the armpit smell of Shoigu and not because he is an absolute incompetent in war, but very extremely competent in sending unequipped troops while filling his banks accounts with the money that should have provided the equipment.
The Minister of Defense should be a civilian; in fact, he is a supply manager. In Russia, the Minister of Defense has been a civilian since 2001 (Shoigu is also a civilian). The current Minister of Defense of Ukraine seems to also be a civilian. Almost all defense ministers in Europe are civilians.

Military operations are led by the General Staff, the Chief of the General Staff is still Gerasimov.
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1598
Do not die for Putin

BTW there are news that the "brave" commander that was in charge of the Bucha massacres has been HIMARSed. I think Ukrainians tend not to forget that type of bravery.


Did they hit that BBC guy who invented whole story all the way in England, or
maybe BBC sent him to Ukraine to silence him for whatever reason?

There are tens of witnesses Branko. Your loved Ruzzia army is a bunch of sadistic butchers. There are images of drones attacking families and old men simply going about their business for training. You need some?

Seems like Shoigu has been demoted and changed for a Civilian from the closer Putin's economic circle.

My guess is that the war is going so well and corruption is so under control that Putin has taken this decision based on the armpit smell of Shoigu and not because he is an absolute incompetent in war, but very extremely competent in sending unequipped troops while filling his banks accounts with the money that should have provided the equipment.
sr. member
Activity: 2604
Merit: 326

BTW there are news that the "brave" commander that was in charge of the Bucha massacres has been HIMARSed. I think Ukrainians tend not to forget that type of bravery.


Did they hit that BBC guy who invented whole story all the way in England, or
maybe BBC sent him to Ukraine to silence him for whatever reason?
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1598
Do not die for Putin

@Branko, you claim to have combat experience. Tell us, is this a special tactic? I mean, a Ruzzian soldier is usually trained to detonate a grenade in his own chest?



Its very brave.
My uncle shot himself so Italian fascists don't catch him alive

Totally different than Ukrainian soldiers killing themselves so
they don't get sent to fight

I hope there are many more "brave" soldiers doing the same in the Ruzzian army then, it would make a future peace much easier.

BTW there are news that the "brave" commander that was in charge of the Bucha massacres has been HIMARSed. I think Ukrainians tend not to forget that type of bravery.

...

Oh, Trump has spoken about his plan to reach peace:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/19/ukraine-war-briefing-donald-trump-says-survival-of-ukraine-important-to-the-us

Quote
Donald Trump has said the survival of Ukraine is important to the US, in what Reuters describes as a shift in tone days before Republicans are due to vote on a $61bn aid package in the US House of Representatives. “As everyone agrees, Ukrainian Survival and Strength should be much more important to Europe than to us, but it is also important to us! GET MOVING EUROPE!”

As usual... blaming someone else after stopping the aid for 6 months. dumBAss gonna love this one.

Well, that is quite absurd if true. Trump and the Republican party (mostly the people who support Trump/Maga) have spent entire months claiming it was wasteful to send equipment to Ukraine and offer them support with the taxpayer money from the people, while there are other problems to be solved domestically and now Trump seems to be flipping on the issue of Ukraine due to God knows what reason.
If anyone in the Republican party had some spine left, they would call out Trump for his double speech and the way he easily changes of opinion in any politically relevant topic for his own benefit, some would even call him Uniparty and RINO in different circumstances. It has already flipped on abortion, in the topic of Bitcoin/cryptocurrency and now this.
I wonder how much this could hurt him politically, probably not much, considering his core base does not use logic and consistency to vote in the first place.

Spot on, his base does not care. What I see here is that Trump had to yield to the party instead of the party yielding to him. It is possibly the first time that this happens and signals a much lower grip that we all assumed.

He is swapping the narrative to keep his parties support, but yeah.. he may do whatever about the Ruzzo- Ukrainian war when elected anyway. My guess is that he understands that the US benefits from a free and strong Ukraine, but he may play the "businessman" simply forcing Ukraine to give up land. Putin would certainly love that scenario since he has been "buying" Ukrainian land at a ridiculous price in weapons, blood and political credit so getting it "for free" thanks to Trump bloated ego and pretences of "statemanship" and his like for simple solutions to complex problems.

How would Trump gain at least to a point my respect? If Ruzzia were to give a meaningful chunk of he Ukrainian land they have taken. THAT would proof some statesmanship. For a funny example, I can close a deal in the name of Ukraine that gives Putin half of the country and two major cities (for example), or for that matter sell you a car and on top pay you to take it, but that makes me a stupid not a businessman.
legendary
Activity: 1162
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Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
...

Oh, Trump has spoken about his plan to reach peace:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/19/ukraine-war-briefing-donald-trump-says-survival-of-ukraine-important-to-the-us

Quote
Donald Trump has said the survival of Ukraine is important to the US, in what Reuters describes as a shift in tone days before Republicans are due to vote on a $61bn aid package in the US House of Representatives. “As everyone agrees, Ukrainian Survival and Strength should be much more important to Europe than to us, but it is also important to us! GET MOVING EUROPE!”

As usual... blaming someone else after stopping the aid for 6 months. dumBAss gonna love this one.

Well, that is quite absurd if true. Trump and the Republican party (mostly the people who support Trump/Maga) have spent entire months claiming it was wasteful to send equipment to Ukraine and offer them support with the taxpayer money from the people, while there are other problems to be solved domestically and now Trump seems to be flipping on the issue of Ukraine due to God knows what reason.
If anyone in the Republican party had some spine left, they would call out Trump for his double speech and the way he easily changes of opinion in any politically relevant topic for his own benefit, some would even call him Uniparty and RINO in different circumstances. It has already flipped on abortion, in the topic of Bitcoin/cryptocurrency and now this.
I wonder how much this could hurt him politically, probably not much, considering his core base does not use logic and consistency to vote in the first place.
sr. member
Activity: 2604
Merit: 326

@Branko, you claim to have combat experience. Tell us, is this a special tactic? I mean, a Ruzzian soldier is usually trained to detonate a grenade in his own chest?



Its very brave.
My uncle shot himself so Italian fascists don't catch him alive

Totally different than Ukrainian soldiers killing themselves so
they don't get sent to fight
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1598
Do not die for Putin
[...]
Indeed, Larson, who headed a 25-man platoon of legionaries in 2022, said he and his men were a "sacrificial unit."
[...]

Which perfectly matches the fact that he is alive and talking about it?  Huh Huh

Another Su25 has been shoot in Avdiivka direction. A direct effect of all that help "that is nothing", all those weapons that "do not work" and all the "US taxpayers" money wasted that Branko is so worried about (it is heartbreaking to see how much you love the US taxpayers).

There is an unusual level of Ukrainian drone activity. There is a video out there in which 6 drones are used to kill what appears like 4 Ruzzian mercenaries in a treeline.

[...]

$400k of blood money, might sound like a good deal for some poor souls. I mean everyone of course is fighting to protect democracy in Ukraine

I do not know. You tell us.

@Branko, you claim to have combat experience. Tell us, is this a special tactic? I mean, a Ruzzian soldier is usually trained to detonate a grenade in his own chest?

https://t.me/ssternenko/28454

Oh, Trump has spoken about his plan to reach peace:

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/19/ukraine-war-briefing-donald-trump-says-survival-of-ukraine-important-to-the-us

Quote
Donald Trump has said the survival of Ukraine is important to the US, in what Reuters describes as a shift in tone days before Republicans are due to vote on a $61bn aid package in the US House of Representatives. “As everyone agrees, Ukrainian Survival and Strength should be much more important to Europe than to us, but it is also important to us! GET MOVING EUROPE!”

As usual... blaming someone else after stopping the aid for 6 months. dumBAss gonna love this one.
legendary
Activity: 2833
Merit: 1851
In order to dump coins one must have coins
Irrelevant and missing the point as usual. It is irrelevant how many nukes Ruzzia and up to a point where they have them.
-snip-

Where NATO places its nukes is completely irrelevant. Why you root for global exponential growth for nuclear conflicts also stinks of desperation. You're just changing your narrative to "either NATO expands to Ukraine or we start a nuclear war, but try to blame Putin for it". That's clinical insanity.

✂️.
I think it's nothing new here. Already in first year of war we saw people mainly from Nepal, some African countries fighting for Russia.
I don't think Russia is hiring them because they're running out of people. It's more just a way to get some cheap meat. And now it doesn't looks that number of such mercenaries is very significant.

Well, the report I saw on the Cuban people going to Russia to fight for Putin was talking about four hundred civilians who became military units in the front, that is indeed quite an small number of soldiers, which is unlikely to make a difference on the result of battles by its own, so I am not sure what is the objective of this recruitment campaign. It could be about slowly recruiting foreigners, so Putin would not need to gather his own population and levy for more native Russians to go fight in the front.

I am not sure I would call these people to be used as "cheap meat" as you call them, if the numbers of their salaries and the possibility on getting Russian citizenship are not unfunded, then they are being paid very good salaries, considering they come from a third world country like Cuba. I am not informed on those citizens from Nepal and African countries though, It makes sense something like that could be happening.



Mercs are pretty much cheap meat. Throw them in first just make sure not to collect bodies so you can just mark them as missing and not pay out

Ukraine was a magnet for foreign fighters. After 2 bruising years, many are disillusioned or dead.
...
Some volunteers barely lasted a week. A Russian missile strike in March 2022 hit a base near Lviv being used for foreign fighters.

According to Ukrainian officials, dozens of Ukrainians were killed and more than 100 foreign volunteers injured, ending their campaigns before they began.
...
International fighters proved "more expendable than Ukrainian soldiers for high-risk operations," Pugliese said.

Indeed, Larson, who headed a 25-man platoon of legionaries in 2022, said he and his men were a "sacrificial unit."
...
"We were a speed bump," he said. "If the Russians had come, we could have held them up for maybe an hour."
...
According to Larson, who continues to help recruiters for the Legion, sign-ups have dwindled by two thirds since the flood of March 2022.

"Half the signups are from Latin America now," he noted, a big shift.

In the fall of 2023, the Legion began admitting Spanish-speaking applicants, many of whom were inadmissible before, Pugliese told BI.

Some had made it in but were mistreated by their officers, he said.

The new Bolivar Battalion, for example, was formed by fighters from Venezuela, Ecuador, Argentina, and Colombia and was is led by a Venezuelan anti-government fighter.

Many are former professional soldiers from Colombia, battle-hardened fighting drug cartels and rebel groups in their homeland.

Experienced non-commissioned officers can earn four times as much as back home, or even more, the Associated Press reported.

Latin Americans "have different motivations from typical Western soldiers," Larson told BI.

"They're there for the money."


And hundreds are heading to fight in Ukraine, where many make four times as much as experienced non-commissioned officers earn in Colombia, or even more.
...
Retired Colombian soldiers began to head overseas in the early 2000s to work for U.S. military contractors protecting infrastructure including oil wells in Iraq.
...
Corporals in Colombia get a basic salary of around $400 a month, while experienced drill sergeants can earn up to $900. Colombia’s monthly minimum wage is currently $330.

In Ukraine any member of the armed forces, regardless of citizenship, is entitled to a monthly salary of up to $3,300, depending on their rank and type of service. They are also entitled to up to $28,660 if they are injured, depending on the severity of the wounds. If they are killed in action, their families are due $400,000 compensation

In Colombia, word about recruitment to the Ukrainian army spreads mostly through social media. Some of the volunteers who already fight in Ukraine share insights on the recruitment process on platforms such as TikTok or WhatsApp.

$400k of blood money, might sound like a good deal for some poor souls. I mean everyone of course is fighting to protect democracy in Ukraine
sr. member
Activity: 2604
Merit: 326
Another 1100 million USD american taxpayer money went down the drain:

https://t.me/The_Wrong_Side/15936

It seems there are no more volunteers in Ukraine to go to meat grinder:

"In Kiev (https://t.me/condottieros/3552) Brovary, a man, in a fight with the military commissar,
blew himself up and a military registration and enlistment office employee with a grenade."
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1598
Do not die for Putin
[...]

Most of the military production takes place outside Ukraine and to be honest whatever is produced in Ukraine for the war will be the first priority for the remaining supply.
Ukraine is trying to produce as much military equipment as they can as they don't want depend onsupply from West fully. Like in cases that they had when supply from USA stopped. Drones, some missiles, Bohdana howitzers and etc is produced in Ukraine. And Ukraine made drones and missiles are being used to hit targets in Russia as most West counntries don't allow to use their weapons to hit targets outside  Ukraine.
I guess that even if complete blackout will happen, it won't stop Ukraine's military industry. They would solutions how not to stop it, like for example switching to diesel generators.

Oh sure, Ukraine is creating quite interesting national products (I mean, as interesting as stuff to kill others gets). Improvements to missiles, naval drones, 3d printed FPVs, re-purposed recreational planes that can now destroy billions in assets up to 1500 km from their base... Clearly Ukraine is making a virtue of necessity and are very good at asymmetric warfare. What I meant is that the loss some relevant power infrastructure is unlikely to be a problem for war production.


Moving on now on the latest doctrine of the Ruzzian army:

1- Send a couple of squads in a unarmoured golf cart to the position where you think the enemy is.
2- Throw some smoke with a tank, but somewhere else, where it does not cover your troops.
3- Let the soldiers fight in open field for the trench (where you think there might be Ukrainians).
4- Shell with the tank - whether it killing your soldiers or others.
5- When your soldiers reach the trench, shell the trench (I assume this is to avoid paying the salaries??)

And you wonder why they call this a meat attack.

https://youtu.be/quaQFy-mkLI

My favourite is the guy that stays well behind the group and takes cover. He is probably the only survivor.
sr. member
Activity: 2604
Merit: 326
It seems regarding energy, Ukraine was in deep trouble month ago already:

https://twitter.com/simpatico771/status/1778373018391027864
So, now Arestovich already become credible source for you? Smiley


Well people like him are super credible when they bring bad news for their side.
Similar if for example Zakharova would start with bad news about Russia
You know that shit hit the fan when people like that are critical about their own side
legendary
Activity: 3178
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Slava Ukraini!
It seems regarding energy, Ukraine was in deep trouble month ago already:

https://twitter.com/simpatico771/status/1778373018391027864
So, now Arestovich already become credible source for you? Smiley

Most of the military production takes place outside Ukraine and to be honest whatever is produced in Ukraine for the war will be the first priority for the remaining supply.
Ukraine is trying to produce as much military equipment as they can as they don't want depend onsupply from West fully. Like in cases that they had when supply from USA stopped. Drones, some missiles, Bohdana howitzers and etc is produced in Ukraine. And Ukraine made drones and missiles are being used to hit targets in Russia as most West counntries don't allow to use their weapons to hit targets outside  Ukraine.
I guess that even if complete blackout will happen, it won't stop Ukraine's military industry. They would solutions how not to stop it, like for example switching to diesel generators.
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 1598
Do not die for Putin
I expect big offensive there pretty soon
I don't think so. The grouping of Russian troops near Kharkov is quite limited, although they are opposed there mainly by defense brigades with unknown combat capability, but I would not expect deep breakthroughs into the territory of Ukraine. I think today’s activity in the direction of Kharkov is mainly aimed at forcing Syrsky to react to it and send reserves there. I would not be surprised if Russia also demonstrates activity in the Kherson region in the near future, perhaps with an attempt to cross the Dnieper, pursuing the same goal. At least it would be logical from the point of view of military science - to show offensive activity along the edges of a thousand-kilometer front line in order to pose complex logistical tasks to Ukraine and force it to maneuver with limited reserves.

The offensive in in course, most likely to create a humanitarian problem.
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