I need to update this, as now I realize that Erik has total access to the daily "secret" and can win bets whenever he wants.
I read your initial post like that anyway. I thought when you said "except this time until he wins" that you realised whether he wins or not is entirely within his control.
Someone lost a *lot* overnight. The whale(s) we've seen over the last couple of days have used just one or two addresses, like you see when people play using the blockchain.info wallet, but this new player uses a bunch of different addresses. Could it be someone different?
Edit: also the recent whales have been mostly playing <1000, <2000 and <8000, whereas last night's player was playing <32k and <32768...
Edit2: I've made the bet addresses links to the full address to save people having to go to the official website. Please don't click them if you're in the land of the free.
Thu May 23 02:14:35 2013 <32768 237435 f36b378162994003:0 1G6zuXEiKNu1rnnk5h1SeE3FPME2m5tBpb BET 105.00000000 LOSE -104.47500000
Thu May 23 03:06:06 2013 <32000 237441 d30227881ecdbe26:0 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 200.00000000 WIN 200.76960000
Thu May 23 08:30:55 2013 <32000 237493 0f99fac570e7b365:0 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 120.00000000 LOSE -119.40000000
Thu May 23 08:41:00 2013 <32000 237494 400974999dd29e81:0 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 211.00000000 LOSE -209.94500000
Thu May 23 08:41:00 2013 <32000 237494 c5f11907e59ccf38:0 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 250.00000000 LOSE -248.75000000
Thu May 23 08:41:00 2013 <32000 237494 28768a533e910c41:0 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 120.00000000 WIN 120.46176000
Thu May 23 09:08:37 2013 <32000 237495 891b8a7ec7d035ca:0 1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET 243.00000000 LOSE -241.78500000
Thu May 23 09:20:30 2013 <32768 237496 c1283848fbf21a1e:0 14Zc1LBE1Mx6UKX8BM2pAqAqGYkTB3bmKP BET 210.00000000 LOSE -208.95000000
Thu May 23 09:40:37 2013 <32768 237498 7912da5317d3cf45:1 1NcXBirARnyFcNgNmqwLKQb6m4aMV4gCQK BET 330.00000000 LOSE -328.35000000
Thu May 23 09:51:17 2013 <32768 237499 3d7c96200ceae2c0:0 1NcXBirARnyFcNgNmqwLKQb6m4aMV4gCQK BET 330.00000000 LOSE -328.35000000
Thu May 23 10:01:31 2013 <32768 237500 78b3654c8d16ab5f:1 1iwXgk7r4xRBfhvzLiY9jG79yRVXbr91F BET 350.00000000 WIN 334.95000000
Thu May 23 10:18:24 2013 <32768 237501 d987f30fec5a2119:1 1Jtt8yiVpKZA1kTidiyBcvXW37iLvAaimY BET 350.00000000 LOSE -348.25000000
Thu May 23 10:48:14 2013 <32768 237505 b67bbe82c5b5baaa:0 163dMaru24bnBsJW3iAvqyBbCyDfyPJ7hx BET 350.00000000 LOSE -348.25000000
Thu May 23 10:50:52 2013 <32768 237507 dc6bcfc1acf10b8b:0 1iwXgk7r4xRBfhvzLiY9jG79yRVXbr91F BET 350.00000000 WIN 334.95000000
Thu May 23 11:06:16 2013 <32768 237510 7941cf526d1c9d90:0 1NcXBirARnyFcNgNmqwLKQb6m4aMV4gCQK BET 340.00000000 WIN 325.38000000
Thu May 23 11:10:59 2013 <32768 237511 45290511794ea9f8:0 1iwXgk7r4xRBfhvzLiY9jG79yRVXbr91F BET 350.00000000 WIN 334.95000000
Thu May 23 11:16:08 2013 <32768 237512 8af2e2739910e0d2:0 1NcXBirARnyFcNgNmqwLKQb6m4aMV4gCQK BET 350.00000000 LOSE -348.25000000
Thu May 23 11:27:33 2013 <32768 237514 56e2b151c5ec268f:0 1GfPFTLaMXFqzFSTEMw16yGdqKYHTHtFt9 BET 350.00000000 WIN 334.95000000
Thu May 23 11:29:41 2013 <32768 237515 33960674806dc6ca:1 1MtKSq4SdJbLGYSqRc2pwKE9yR7eF76GHr BET 300.00000000 LOSE -298.50000000
Thu May 23 11:44:29 2013 <32768 237517 c91600ffd976c015:1 1iwXgk7r4xRBfhvzLiY9jG79yRVXbr91F BET 350.00000000 LOSE -348.25000000
Thu May 23 11:52:00 2013 <32768 237518 9cb31a7ecfd477c6:0 1GfPFTLaMXFqzFSTEMw16yGdqKYHTHtFt9 BET 350.00000000 LOSE -348.25000000
Thu May 23 12:08:07 2013 <32768 237519 0b303f11bd42c98b:0 14wrgvjcfvXFDobU94Tz5FK2Ww3mYw3bPv BET 350.00000000 LOSE -348.25000000
Thu May 23 12:15:37 2013 <32768 237520 68cc2855c8899707:0 163dMaru24bnBsJW3iAvqyBbCyDfyPJ7hx BET 330.00000000 LOSE -328.35000000
Total of 37 bets unaccounted for.
Results: 2013-May-23 01:52pm (up to block 237576)
Address Target Should Win | #Bets | Win | Lose | Refunds | BTC In | BTC Out | Refund | Profit | RTP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1dice9wVt 64000 0.97656 | 24079 | 21745 (0.97858) | 476 | 1858 | 25568.42 | 25141.96 | 241.35 | 426.45 | 98.332
1diceDCd2 60000 0.91553 | 149521 | 136024 (0.91575) | 12515 | 982 | 80479.42 | 79274.34 | 2.47 | 1205.08 | 98.503
1dicegEAr 56000 0.85449 | 96617 | 82091 (0.85684) | 13716 | 810 | 86286.04 | 85497.15 | 401.39 | 788.89 | 99.086
1dicec9k7 52000 0.79346 | 101778 | 80208 (0.79379) | 20836 | 734 | 69205.04 | 67518.02 | 1188.27 | 1687.01 | 97.562
1dice9wcM 48000 0.73242 | 440081 | 322627 (0.73481) | 116435 | 1019 | 317697.38 | 309902.67 | 6173.40 | 7794.71 | 97.546
1dice97EC 32768 0.50000 | 792248 | 394966 (0.49971) | 395419 | 1863 | 733681.33 | 714572.18 | 6524.09 | 19109.15 | 97.395
1dice8EMZ 32000 0.48828 | 1314842 | 640638 (0.48800) | 672137 | 2067 | 942241.55 | 922863.30 | 2926.64 | 19378.24 | 97.943
1dice7W2A 24000 0.36621 | 309448 | 113435 (0.36744) | 195286 | 727 | 600398.32 | 591696.60 | 1013.84 | 8701.71 | 98.551
1dice7fUk 16000 0.24414 | 319126 | 77715 (0.24413) | 240613 | 798 | 387987.06 | 372955.39 | 2323.39 | 15031.66 | 96.126
1dice7EYz 12000 0.18311 | 133833 | 24444 (0.18358) | 108706 | 683 | 184020.66 | 185115.68 | 3315.45 | -1095.02 | 100.595
1dice6YgE 8000 0.12207 | 235880 | 28901 (0.12286) | 206325 | 654 | 108470.55 | 108105.34 | 101.15 | 365.20 | 99.663
1dice6wBx 6000 0.09155 | 62881 | 5699 (0.09145) | 56619 | 563 | 17661.43 | 19387.91 | 7.71 | -1726.47 | 109.775
1dice6GV5 4000 0.06104 | 40554 | 2489 (0.06202) | 37641 | 424 | 8053.78 | 7965.01 | 31.47 | 88.76 | 98.898
1dice6gJg 3000 0.04578 | 33083 | 1509 (0.04633) | 31063 | 511 | 10224.50 | 11232.74 | 25.47 | -1008.24 | 109.861
1dice6DPt 2000 0.03052 | 104433 | 3173 (0.03052) | 100796 | 464 | 47860.23 | 44872.38 | 9.63 | 2987.84 | 93.757
1dice61SN 1500 0.02289 | 28012 | 643 (0.02329) | 26968 | 401 | 8128.43 | 8716.28 | 15.23 | -587.85 | 107.232
1dice5wwE 1000 0.01526 | 162041 | 2484 (0.01539) | 158871 | 686 | 46051.78 | 42078.93 | 2.68 | 3972.85 | 91.373
1dice4J1m 512 0.00781 | 41617 | 328 (0.00804) | 40490 | 799 | 8531.36 | 6978.56 | 10.37 | 1552.80 | 81.799
1dice3jkp 256 0.00391 | 27953 | 117 (0.00425) | 27406 | 430 | 6121.99 | 8664.74 | 13.33 | -2542.74 | 141.535
1dice37Ee 128 0.00195 | 23273 | 42 (0.00185) | 22700 | 531 | 2458.49 | 1583.29 | 48.59 | 875.19 | 64.401
1dice2zdo 64 0.00098 | 31633 | 35 (0.00113) | 31040 | 558 | 2214.09 | 1740.53 | 117.14 | 473.56 | 78.612
1dice2xkj 32 0.00049 | 31093 | 13 (0.00042) | 30622 | 458 | 1683.91 | 1831.04 | 1.61 | -147.13 | 108.738
1dice2WmR 16 0.00024 | 25092 | 5 (0.00020) | 24592 | 495 | 891.22 | 606.69 | 22.22 | 284.53 | 68.074
1dice2vQo 8 0.00012 | 25902 | 5 (0.00020) | 25340 | 557 | 620.07 | 433.95 | 14.67 | 186.11 | 69.985
1dice2pxm 4 0.00006 | 15149 | 2 (0.00014) | 14600 | 547 | 218.55 | 320.42 | 18.53 | -101.86 | 146.609
1dice1Qf4 2 0.00003 | 13391 | 0 (0.00000) | 12793 | 598 | 186.43 | 0.52 | 30.29 | 185.90 | 0.280
1dice1e6p 1 0.00002 | 148817 | 3 (0.00002) | 146205 | 2609 | 1892.31 | 3843.96 | 179.05 | -1951.65 | 203.136
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
small (bets < 4 BTC) | 4604906 | 1882291 | 2700083 | 22532 | 892288.38 | 876416.34 | 353.37 | 15872.03 | 98.221
big (bets >= 4 BTC) | 127471 | 57050 | 70127 | 294 | 2806546.07 | 2746483.38 | 24406.21 | 60062.69 | 97.860
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| 4732377 | 1939341 | 2770210 | 22826 | 3698834.45 | 3622899.72 | 24759.59 | 75934.73 | 97.947
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SD Profit before fees: 75934.73513545 BTC (2.053%)
Cumulative Fees Paid: 3980.72317500 BTC
SD Profit after fees: 71954.01196045 BTC (1.945%)
Pending Liabilities: 0.17926206 BTC
Final SD Profit: 71953.83269839 BTC (1.945%)
Profit This Month: 350.42435377 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15432555 : SatoshiDice Tx: 8693947 (56.3%)
Blockchain MB: 6781.1 : SatoshiDice MB: 3586.0 (52.9%)