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Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis - page 12. (Read 192864 times)

organofcorti
donator
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1007
Poor impulse control.
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 22, 2013, 06:46:20 PM
#1391
Quote from: ThickAsThieves on May 22, 2013, 06:43:21 PM
I've said this several times for the last few months in IRC, maybe even in these forums, but I wanna do it one last time for posterity.

HOW TO RUN THE BESTEST BTC SCAM OF 2013

1. A man makes a gambling game that is "provably fair"
2. Owner then uses all income from that game to bet back into the game anonymously, padding revenue.
3. Owner uses this hype to go public with his company, making millions of $ in bitcoins
4. Owner continues to bet income back into the system, inflating the stock value.
5. At the stock value's peak, owner releases 3 million more shares to rabid buyers, banking even further.
6. Owner stops his "whale" activity allowing stock price to plummet.
7. Owner totally neglects the business in as many ways as he can get away with (expired domain, blocking US customers, etc).
8. Owner begins "whaling" by using income, except this time until he wins, keeping the profits.
9. Once the stock price plummets further, he buys as much of it back as he can; he can certainly afford it.
10. Owner sells entire operation to a big name casino, cashing out totally.
11. Owner laughs his days away 'til he meets his maker.

So you'll be starting a btc gambling site soon?
ThickAsThieves
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 22, 2013, 06:43:21 PM
#1390
I've said this several times for the last few months in IRC, maybe even in these forums, but I wanna do it one last time for posterity.

HOW TO RUN THE BESTEST BTC SCAM OF 2013

1. A man makes a gambling game that is "provably fair"
2. Owner then uses all income from that game to bet back into the game anonymously, padding revenue.
3. Owner uses this hype to go public with his company, making millions of $ in bitcoins
4. Owner continues to bet income back into the system, inflating the stock value.
5. At the stock value's peak, owner releases 3 million more shares to rabid buyers, banking even further.
6. Owner stops his "whale" activity allowing stock price to plummet.
7. Owner totally neglects the business in as many ways as he can get away with (expired domain, blocking US customers, etc).
8. Owner begins "whaling" by using income, except this time until he wins, keeping the profits.
9. Once the stock price plummets further, he buys as much of it back as he can; he can certainly afford it.
10. Owner sells entire operation to a big name casino, cashing out totally.
11. Owner laughs his days away 'til he meets his maker.
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1330
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 22, 2013, 05:50:26 PM
#1389
To put the last 2 days into perspective, here they are on the same chart as the crazy swings of December and January:

romerun
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1001
Bitcoin is new, makes sense to hodl.
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 22, 2013, 05:41:22 PM
#1388
we a approaching the 1.9 line.
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1330
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 22, 2013, 05:31:28 PM
#1387
Quote from: wtfvanity on May 22, 2013, 05:24:20 PM
Wow. That's when the conspiracy theories start.

I'll go first. The "secret" is being handed out to buddies.

See how crazy the profit line was in December and January?  The last two days are nothing in comparison.  <1000 and <2000 are high variance bets.  When someone starts throwing large amounts of money at them, you're going to see some wiggliness on the profit line.

But if you want conspiracy theories, I heard SDICE recent changed sysadmins.  The previous one probably had access to the secrets.
wtfvanity
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
WTF???
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 22, 2013, 05:24:20 PM
#1386
Wow. That's when the conspiracy theories start.

I'll go first. The "secret" is being handed out to buddies.
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1330
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 22, 2013, 05:17:55 PM
#1385
Ugh.

Quote
Wed May 22 04:36:02 2013 <2000  237297 76394733d34f166a:2  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    12.00000000 WIN    371.83881600
Wed May 22 05:02:43 2013 <8000  237299 f6aa34fc4bfe2c49:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 05:22:25 2013 <2000  237301 d87a1d4276904100:2  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    11.00000000 WIN    340.85224800
Wed May 22 05:24:44 2013 <8000  237302 cf6834c0c1edb844:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 05:24:44 2013 <2000  237302 cf6834c0c1edb844:2  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    11.00000000 WIN    340.85224800
Wed May 22 07:30:01 2013 <8000  237317 50566f12e9fe4d7c:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 07:30:01 2013 <2000  237317 0e819dca89595bc1:2  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    11.00000000 WIN    340.85224800
Wed May 22 09:07:43 2013 <1000  237331 9100361f21a81b5e:3  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    12.00000000 WIN    755.61763200
Wed May 22 09:07:43 2013 <8000  237331 d282f8dc8c52ca39:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 09:48:13 2013 <8000  237334 7facb8acbcc658a8:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 10:35:29 2013 <8000  237340 c95c2cae573cbee0:0  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    21.00000000 WIN    147.00823200
Wed May 22 10:42:15 2013 <8000  237342 2ca0f0cf15012b8c:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    18.00000000 WIN    126.00705600
Wed May 22 11:58:39 2013 <8000  237354 edfcf1ea3ca35757:1  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET    19.00000000 WIN    133.00744800
Wed May 22 13:24:12 2013 <32768 237364 1b097888a8d1ff76:0  12jBUhb9aZQET6icY9VeZ62tkVYLaXtaHj BET   100.02353318 LOSE   -99.52341552
Wed May 22 13:37:47 2013 <32000 237367 496bb148f5376b38:0   1PNkjS8PoaqFPHfpmQd3igLr8py9t3zbZ BET   205.00000000 WIN    205.78884000
Wed May 22 14:43:43 2013 <2000  237375 50340e55a6affa8a:2  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET     8.00000000 WIN    247.89254400

Quote
Total of 44 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-May-22 02:15pm (up to block 237411)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP  
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    24056 |   21725 (0.97860) |     475 |    1856 |   25566.37 |   25139.92 |   241.34 |    426.45 |  98.332
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   148865 |  135425 (0.91575) |   12460 |     980 |   80419.27 |   79214.32 |     2.45 |   1204.95 |  98.502
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    96284 |   81802 (0.85678) |   13674 |     808 |   86217.49 |   85432.60 |   401.39 |    784.88 |  99.090
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   100936 |   79557 (0.79393) |   20649 |     730 |   68532.40 |   66858.46 |  1188.26 |   1673.94 |  97.557
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   437282 |  320541 (0.73474) |  115724 |    1017 |  317307.72 |  309522.52 |  6173.39 |   7785.20 |  97.546
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   789027 |  393352 (0.49970) |  393817 |    1858 |  726936.61 |  709965.73 |  6524.07 |  16970.88 |  97.665
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1312258 |  639386 (0.48801) |  670807 |    2065 |  939753.13 |  921172.75 |  2926.64 |  18580.38 |  98.023
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   309051 |  113289 (0.36743) |  195036 |     726 |  600364.68 |  591669.00 |  1013.84 |   8695.67 |  98.552
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   318353 |   77505 (0.24406) |  240055 |     793 |  387767.73 |  372836.00 |  2323.36 |  14931.73 |  96.149
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   133251 |   24338 (0.18359) |  108232 |     681 |  183979.11 |  185085.60 |  3315.45 |  -1106.49 | 100.601
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   235277 |   28839 (0.12292) |  205786 |     652 |  108336.82 |  107959.12 |   101.14 |    377.69 |  99.651
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    62818 |    5698 (0.09152) |   56560 |     560 |   17659.01 |   19387.47 |     7.70 |  -1728.46 | 109.788
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    40488 |    2487 (0.06208) |   37577 |     424 |    8051.82 |    7963.24 |    31.47 |     88.58 |  98.900
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    33047 |    1507 (0.04632) |   31029 |     511 |   10223.72 |   11231.99 |    25.47 |  -1008.27 | 109.862
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   104177 |    3165 (0.03052) |  100551 |     461 |   47790.06 |   44836.37 |     9.62 |   2953.69 |  93.819
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    28004 |     642 (0.02326) |   26961 |     401 |    8128.32 |    8715.86 |    15.23 |   -587.53 | 107.228
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   161788 |    2481 (0.01540) |  158621 |     686 |   45991.12 |   42076.39 |     2.68 |   3914.73 |  91.488
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    41594 |     328 (0.00804) |   40467 |     799 |    8531.04 |    6978.56 |    10.37 |   1552.48 |  81.802
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    27922 |     117 (0.00426) |   27377 |     428 |    6120.59 |    8664.73 |    13.33 |  -2544.14 | 141.567
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    23253 |      42 (0.00185) |   22682 |     529 |    2455.31 |    1583.28 |    48.59 |    872.03 |  64.484
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    31623 |      35 (0.00113) |   31030 |     558 |    2213.88 |    1740.53 |   117.14 |    473.34 |  78.619
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    31059 |      13 (0.00042) |   30588 |     458 |    1683.25 |    1831.04 |     1.61 |   -147.78 | 108.779
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    25083 |       5 (0.00020) |   24583 |     495 |     891.11 |     606.69 |    22.22 |    284.42 |  68.082
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    25891 |       5 (0.00020) |   25329 |     557 |     619.87 |     433.95 |    14.67 |    185.91 |  70.007
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    15128 |       2 (0.00014) |   14585 |     541 |     218.31 |     320.42 |    18.51 |   -102.10 | 146.769
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    13379 |       0 (0.00000) |   12781 |     598 |     186.09 |       0.52 |    30.29 |    185.56 |   0.280
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   148173 |       3 (0.00002) |  145569 |    2601 |    1884.70 |    3843.92 |   178.63 |  -1959.22 | 203.954
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  4590796 | 1875321           | 2692996 |   22479 |  889957.43 |  874159.89 |   352.77 |  15797.53 |  98.225
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   127271 |   56968           |   70009 |     294 | 2797872.23 | 2740911.19 | 24406.21 |  56961.03 |  97.964
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  4718067 | 1932289           | 2763005 |   22773 | 3687829.67 | 3615071.09 | 24758.98 |  72758.57 |  98.027
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      72758.57812125 BTC (1.973%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3965.80937500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       68792.76874625 BTC (1.865%)
Pending Liabilities:           -1.24112049 BTC
Final SD Profit:            68794.00986674 BTC (1.865%)
Profit This Month:          -2809.39847788 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15376296  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  8666430  (56.4%)
Blockchain MB:   6755.4  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3574.9  (52.9%)



RationalSpeculator
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 22, 2013, 01:04:06 AM
#1384
Quote from: dooglus on May 21, 2013, 11:49:36 PM
Quote from: RationalSpeculator on May 21, 2013, 11:32:10 PM
Is there a way to know when you are watching blockchain transactions whether it's a bet placed or a winning?

I don't think there have been any bets near 300 BTC recently.  And I don't think you can tell bets from winnings on the blockchain.info front page unless you click on the transaction.  If the 1dice is on the right (an output), it's a bet, else it's a payout.

You are right! Thanks! Smiley
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1330
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 21, 2013, 11:49:36 PM
#1383
Quote from: RationalSpeculator on May 21, 2013, 11:32:10 PM
Is there a way to know when you are watching blockchain transactions whether it's a bet placed or a winning?

I don't think there have been any bets near 300 BTC recently.  And I don't think you can tell bets from winnings on the blockchain.info front page unless you click on the transaction.  If the 1dice is on the right (an output), it's a bet, else it's a payout.
RationalSpeculator
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 21, 2013, 11:32:10 PM
#1382
Thx for the update dooglus! Smiley

I was watching the realtime transactions on blockchain yesterday and saw some of these 300btc large amounts pass by. I thought it were bets placed, but from your post with large transactions it looks like they were all winnings, is that correct? (or have there also been 300btc bets placed?)

Is there a way to know when you are watching blockchain transactions whether it's a bet placed or a winning?
romerun
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1001
Bitcoin is new, makes sense to hodl.
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 21, 2013, 10:16:57 PM
#1381
I rather see this than a straight stable boring line  Wink
ar9
sr. member
Activity: 352
Merit: 250
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 21, 2013, 09:40:42 PM
#1380
Er ma gerd...

Tough day!  Tongue
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1330
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 21, 2013, 09:35:20 PM
#1379
Quote
Tue May 21 04:15:55 2013 <8000  237140 f45ffa8ff8903fca:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    15.00000000 WIN    105.00588000
Tue May 21 04:30:23 2013 <1000  237143 2a1fba7257796d71:2  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     6.00000000 WIN    377.80881600
Tue May 21 05:13:22 2013 <2000  237150 efc8bb2b4e288b8d:1  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    10.00000000 WIN    309.86568000
Tue May 21 05:41:46 2013 <8000  237153 984d4380711e16df:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    17.00000000 WIN    119.00666400
Tue May 21 06:04:51 2013 <2000  237156 465a834130550f06:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    15.00000000 WIN    464.79852000
Tue May 21 06:38:50 2013 <8000  237158 24d05fd47a78a13b:1  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    24.00000000 WIN    168.00940800
Tue May 21 06:54:14 2013 <8000  237162 2a19fa5a8f95963d:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    19.00000000 WIN    133.00744800
Tue May 21 07:16:44 2013 <8000  237163 5fc2596b3c9ce19b:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    27.00000000 WIN    189.01058400
Tue May 21 07:51:57 2013 <8000  237164 d6c33e8479b10bf5:1  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    22.00000000 WIN    154.00862400
Tue May 21 08:06:53 2013 <8000  237166 d1721c97f75fffdf:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    17.00000000 WIN    119.00666400
Tue May 21 08:06:53 2013 <2000  237166 9d3834f1d9801ea0:3  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     9.00000000 WIN    278.87911200
Tue May 21 08:40:56 2013 <2000  237171 b2714a71eb65d9b5:1  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     9.00000000 WIN    278.87911200
Tue May 21 09:07:59 2013 <2000  237173 eb53e59a9738128d:1  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     8.00000000 WIN    247.89254400
Tue May 21 10:02:17 2013 <2000  237181 681c8921197f735e:2  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    12.00000000 WIN    371.83881600
Tue May 21 12:12:14 2013 <8000  237194 3e4f383b83fac5a3:0  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET    21.00000000 WIN    147.00823200
Tue May 21 13:44:39 2013 <1000  237204 170d88e9dc8392be:2  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     6.00000000 WIN    377.80881600
Tue May 21 13:44:39 2013 <32000 237204 ed62b5180232d179:0  1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET   100.00000000 WIN    100.38480000
Tue May 21 13:44:39 2013 <32000 237204 8b47e954b4586833:0  1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET   160.00000000 WIN    160.61568000
Tue May 21 14:04:52 2013 <1000  237207 8dca4c69e9dd0c83:3  17s3Fm9aVHnHzpvhjncT2M6jUsW5ZypJA6 BET     6.00000000 WIN    377.80881600
Tue May 21 17:18:12 2013 <2000  237229 80c77bf6ab1f6d40:2  1PJys7Md1ZDuwMU6punAsdgqXhX7VrUUkU BET     8.00000000 WIN    247.89254400
Wed May 22 01:11:54 2013 <1000  237278 d355d5c771eb931d:3  1Fmb5BFEjg2hjAo17dM47XJM8nKEYi3pzL BET     8.00000000 WIN    503.74508800

Quote
Total of 34 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-May-21 06:32pm (up to block 237280)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    24042 |   21711 (0.97859) |     475 |    1856 |   25564.50 |   25138.04 |   241.34 |    426.46 |  98.332
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   148414 |  135012 (0.91573) |   12424 |     978 |   80387.54 |   79182.48 |     2.44 |   1205.05 |  98.501
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    95937 |   81515 (0.85685) |   13618 |     804 |   86153.54 |   85371.03 |   401.37 |    782.50 |  99.092
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |   100440 |   79172 (0.79398) |   20543 |     725 |   68106.55 |   66420.43 |  1188.24 |   1686.11 |  97.524
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   435751 |  319446 (0.73480) |  115293 |    1012 |  316969.96 |  309210.65 |  6173.36 |   7759.30 |  97.552
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   786952 |  392332 (0.49972) |  392765 |    1855 |  725705.06 |  708651.93 |  6524.06 |  17053.13 |  97.650
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1310388 |  638534 (0.48805) |  669791 |    2063 |  938221.94 |  919622.52 |  2926.62 |  18599.41 |  98.018
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   308714 |  113172 (0.36745) |  194818 |     724 |  600231.69 |  591585.29 |  1013.83 |   8646.40 |  98.559
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   317541 |   77298 (0.24404) |  239451 |     792 |  386374.12 |  371716.25 |  2323.36 |  14657.86 |  96.206
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   132786 |   24242 (0.18350) |  107865 |     679 |  183943.98 |  185048.43 |  3315.43 |  -1104.45 | 100.600
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   234518 |   28755 (0.12295) |  205113 |     650 |  107090.58 |  106665.86 |   101.14 |    424.71 |  99.603
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    62708 |    5687 (0.09151) |   56461 |     560 |   17644.65 |   19384.20 |     7.70 |  -1739.55 | 109.859
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    40479 |    2486 (0.06206) |   37569 |     424 |    8051.44 |    7963.07 |    31.47 |     88.36 |  98.902
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    33036 |    1507 (0.04633) |   31018 |     511 |   10223.08 |   11231.99 |    25.47 |  -1008.90 | 109.869
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   103537 |    3147 (0.03053) |   99929 |     461 |   47043.47 |   43132.56 |     9.62 |   3910.90 |  91.687
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    27993 |     642 (0.02327) |   26950 |     401 |    8127.15 |    8715.85 |    15.23 |   -588.70 | 107.244
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   161067 |    2473 (0.01542) |  157909 |     685 |   45289.70 |   41267.78 |     2.67 |   4021.92 |  91.120
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    41573 |     327 (0.00802) |   40448 |     798 |    8528.80 |    6977.30 |    10.36 |   1551.50 |  81.809
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    27909 |     117 (0.00426) |   27364 |     428 |    6120.33 |    8664.73 |    13.33 |  -2544.40 | 141.573
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    23118 |      42 (0.00186) |   22551 |     525 |    2453.95 |    1583.27 |    48.58 |    870.68 |  64.519
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    31606 |      35 (0.00113) |   31013 |     558 |    2213.58 |    1740.53 |   117.14 |    473.05 |  78.630
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    31038 |      13 (0.00043) |   30568 |     457 |    1682.64 |    1831.03 |     1.60 |   -148.38 | 108.819
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    25064 |       5 (0.00020) |   24564 |     495 |     890.29 |     606.68 |    22.22 |    283.60 |  68.144
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    25879 |       5 (0.00020) |   25317 |     557 |     619.20 |     433.95 |    14.67 |    185.25 |  70.081
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    15114 |       2 (0.00014) |   14572 |     540 |     218.04 |     320.42 |    18.50 |   -102.37 | 146.950
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    13357 |       0 (0.00000) |   12762 |     595 |     185.65 |       0.51 |    29.50 |    185.13 |   0.279
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   147707 |       3 (0.00002) |  145113 |    2591 |    1879.14 |    3843.89 |   178.21 |  -1964.75 | 204.556
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  4579818 | 1870804           | 2686584 |   22430 |  888259.24 |  872615.60 |   351.39 |  15643.63 |  98.239
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   126850 |   56876           |   69680 |     294 | 2791661.47 | 2733695.21 | 24406.21 |  57966.25 |  97.924
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  4706668 | 1927680           | 2756264 |   22724 | 3679920.71 | 3606310.81 | 24757.61 |  73609.89 |  98.000
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      73609.89264569 BTC (2.000%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3953.73457500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       69656.15807069 BTC (1.893%)
Pending Liabilities:         -123.15694673 BTC
Final SD Profit:            69779.31501742 BTC (1.896%)
Profit This Month:          -1824.09332720 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15334103  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  8645834  (56.4%)
Blockchain MB:   6736.1  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3566.2  (52.9%)



dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1330
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 20, 2013, 06:03:49 PM
#1378
Quote
Mon May 20 10:50:14 2013 <32768 237047 dfdf94d8835a5f4c:0  1PH6caSTMY8FffbZnRNzBcpZo4As6KG9ZD BET   100.00000000 WIN     95.70000000
Mon May 20 17:40:46 2013 <32000 237083 54a85fa4fa6e1d29:0  1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET   100.00000000 LOSE   -99.50000000
Mon May 20 18:21:26 2013 <32000 237086 782863daff3437cf:0  1MnUw7R9Rj7RqTaZqL9RQSAcpdEqixRrLw BET   200.00000000 WIN    200.76960000

Quote
Total of 26 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-May-20 02:55pm (up to block 237105)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    24017 |   21690 (0.97861) |     474 |    1853 |   25563.07 |   25137.08 |   241.34 |    425.99 |  98.334
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   148102 |  134732 (0.91575) |   12395 |     975 |   80331.27 |   79136.11 |     2.42 |   1195.16 |  98.512
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    95125 |   80823 (0.85686) |   13502 |     800 |   86010.03 |   85230.53 |   401.35 |    779.49 |  99.094
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    99850 |   78706 (0.79400) |   20420 |     724 |   67671.22 |   65980.20 |  1188.24 |   1691.02 |  97.501
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   434094 |  318228 (0.73479) |  114859 |    1007 |  316669.58 |  308889.30 |  6173.34 |   7780.27 |  97.543
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   783170 |  390449 (0.49973) |  390872 |    1849 |  724647.40 |  707455.58 |  6524.04 |  17191.82 |  97.628
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1305707 |  636322 (0.48811) |  667327 |    2058 |  936236.77 |  917557.44 |  2926.59 |  18679.33 |  98.005
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   308138 |  112963 (0.36746) |  194453 |     722 |  599924.49 |  591210.43 |  1013.82 |   8714.06 |  98.547
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   316842 |   77125 (0.24402) |  238931 |     786 |  384279.48 |  369844.91 |  2323.32 |  14434.56 |  96.244
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   132345 |   24174 (0.18360) |  107495 |     676 |  183097.47 |  184611.93 |  3315.43 |  -1514.45 | 100.827
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   233362 |   28605 (0.12292) |  204107 |     650 |  104663.00 |  104258.83 |   101.14 |    404.17 |  99.614
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    62440 |    5655 (0.09139) |   56225 |     560 |   17620.80 |   19361.56 |     7.70 |  -1740.75 | 109.879
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    40443 |    2485 (0.06210) |   37534 |     424 |    8050.93 |    7962.83 |    31.47 |     88.09 |  98.906
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    32988 |    1507 (0.04640) |   30970 |     511 |   10215.78 |   11231.95 |    25.47 |  -1016.17 | 109.947
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |   103123 |    3131 (0.03050) |   99533 |     459 |   45477.20 |   40587.21 |     9.61 |   4889.98 |  89.247
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    27983 |     642 (0.02328) |   26940 |     401 |    8126.92 |    8715.85 |    15.23 |   -588.93 | 107.247
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   160654 |    2466 (0.01542) |  157504 |     684 |   44393.62 |   39597.97 |     2.67 |   4795.65 |  89.197
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    41533 |     326 (0.00800) |   40410 |     797 |    8526.14 |    6976.03 |    10.36 |   1550.11 |  81.819
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    27878 |     117 (0.00426) |   27335 |     426 |    6118.73 |    8664.73 |    13.31 |  -2545.99 | 141.610
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    22877 |      42 (0.00188) |   22315 |     520 |    2450.66 |    1583.25 |    48.58 |    867.40 |  64.605
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    31549 |      35 (0.00113) |   30956 |     558 |    2212.79 |    1740.53 |   117.14 |    472.26 |  78.658
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    31012 |      13 (0.00043) |   30542 |     457 |    1682.27 |    1831.03 |     1.60 |   -148.75 | 108.842
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    25036 |       5 (0.00020) |   24538 |     493 |     890.00 |     606.68 |    22.21 |    283.31 |  68.167
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    25855 |       5 (0.00020) |   25294 |     556 |     618.39 |     433.94 |    14.66 |    184.44 |  70.173
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |    15083 |       2 (0.00014) |   14545 |     536 |     216.78 |     320.41 |    18.48 |   -103.62 | 147.802
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |    13303 |       0 (0.00000) |   12717 |     586 |     183.07 |       0.50 |    28.70 |    182.57 |   0.276
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   147119 |       3 (0.00002) |  144544 |    2572 |    1871.80 |    3843.86 |   177.25 |  -1972.05 | 205.355
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  4563547 | 1863518           | 2677683 |   22346 |  885856.61 |  870220.74 |   349.39 |  15635.87 |  98.235
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   126081 |   56733           |   69054 |     294 | 2781893.18 | 2722550.04 | 24406.21 |  59343.13 |  97.867
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  4689628 | 1920251           | 2746737 |   22640 | 3667749.80 | 3592770.78 | 24755.60 |  74979.01 |  97.956
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      74979.01211241 BTC (2.044%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3935.70217500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       71043.30993741 BTC (1.937%)
Pending Liabilities:           -0.94568605 BTC
Final SD Profit:            71044.25562346 BTC (1.937%)
Profit This Month:           -559.15272116 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 15271055  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  8613327  (56.4%)
Blockchain MB:   6707.2  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3552.8  (53.0%)



dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1330
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 20, 2013, 02:19:26 AM
#1377
Quote from: freedomno1 on May 20, 2013, 02:03:58 AM
Thanks neb and doug not to familiar with the term so a High-Stakes Roller then

In poker circles the term usually implies that the player is bad as well as a high roller.

http://www.worldfreepoker.com/poker-glossary.html#W

But since it's impossible to be bad at satoshidice...
freedomno1
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1090
Learning the troll avoidance button :)
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 20, 2013, 02:03:58 AM
#1376
Quote from: dooglus on May 19, 2013, 11:42:25 PM
Quote from: freedomno1 on May 19, 2013, 10:14:13 PM
Sorry for the noobie question this is probably somewhere but what is this whale?

See the first sentence of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High_roller:

Quote
A high roller, also referred to as a whale in the casino industry, is a gambler who wagers large amounts of money.

Thanks neb and doug not to familiar with the term so a High-Stakes Roller then
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1330
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 19, 2013, 11:42:25 PM
#1375
Quote from: freedomno1 on May 19, 2013, 10:14:13 PM
Sorry for the noobie question this is probably somewhere but what is this whale?

See the first sentence of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High_roller:

Quote
A high roller, also referred to as a whale in the casino industry, is a gambler who wagers large amounts of money.
nebulus
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
... it only gets better...
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 19, 2013, 11:12:11 PM
#1374
Quote from: freedomno1 on May 19, 2013, 10:14:13 PM
what is this whale?

Someone who bets a lot...
freedomno1
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1090
Learning the troll avoidance button :)
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 19, 2013, 10:14:13 PM
#1373
Quote from: romerun on May 19, 2013, 07:39:13 AM
whale is back

Sorry for the noobie question this is probably somewhere but what is this whale?
Also how long ago did EV say that, alternate currency's are volatile like heck so depends on their valuations probally but thanks for the reply rome did not know that he made a comment on that already
romerun
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1001
Bitcoin is new, makes sense to hodl.
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
May 19, 2013, 10:08:39 PM
#1372
I don't see it happens soon since EV said it before that LTC does not excite him.
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