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Topic: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis - page 27. (Read 192896 times)

dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
April 02, 2013, 07:55:59 PM
#1091
Quote
Total of 38 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Apr-02 05:53pm (up to block 229396)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   117065 |       3 (0.00003) |  115233 |    1829 |    1414.17 |    3841.55 |   141.56 |  -2427.37 | 271.646
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     6579 |       0 (0.00000) |    6027 |     552 |     108.37 |       0.13 |    22.23 |    108.24 |   0.121
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     8737 |       1 (0.00012) |    8267 |     469 |     134.73 |     160.09 |    14.54 |    -25.36 | 118.826
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    15174 |       5 (0.00034) |   14680 |     489 |     298.21 |     432.34 |    10.11 |   -134.12 | 144.976
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    16376 |       1 (0.00006) |   15913 |     462 |     563.82 |       5.39 |    22.13 |    558.43 |   0.957
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    23313 |      11 (0.00048) |   22887 |     415 |    1364.85 |    1537.61 |     1.45 |   -172.75 | 112.657
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    26097 |      32 (0.00125) |   25571 |     494 |    1916.57 |    1521.17 |    55.90 |    395.39 |  79.370
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    20702 |      38 (0.00188) |   20194 |     470 |    2378.43 |    1562.88 |    48.42 |    815.54 |  65.711
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    25869 |     113 (0.00444) |   25352 |     404 |    5996.31 |    8653.62 |    13.25 |  -2657.31 | 144.316
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    36950 |     296 (0.00817) |   35927 |     727 |    8282.14 |    6898.98 |    10.12 |   1383.16 |  83.299
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   130706 |    1969 (0.01513) |  128174 |     563 |   40985.93 |   36073.86 |     2.20 |   4912.07 |  88.015
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    25437 |     581 (0.02317) |   24491 |     365 |    7961.09 |    8558.13 |    15.12 |   -597.03 | 107.499
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    83926 |    2567 (0.03073) |   80956 |     403 |   40955.66 |   36632.49 |     9.39 |   4323.17 |  89.444
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    30018 |    1365 (0.04620) |   28181 |     472 |    9807.42 |   10627.35 |    25.34 |   -819.92 | 108.360
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    36000 |    2208 (0.06203) |   33389 |     403 |    7720.28 |    7507.71 |    31.39 |    212.56 |  97.247
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    50139 |    4557 (0.09178) |   45096 |     486 |   16784.71 |   18393.66 |     7.43 |  -1608.94 | 109.586
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   196153 |   23994 (0.12266) |  171617 |     542 |   96102.39 |   94964.83 |   100.62 |   1137.55 |  98.816
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   104116 |   18929 (0.18283) |   84602 |     585 |  175322.09 |  176228.39 |  3315.05 |   -906.30 | 100.517
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   269255 |   65619 (0.24425) |  203035 |     601 |  372751.10 |  358759.45 |  2322.57 |  13991.64 |  96.246
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   263236 |   96608 (0.36786) |  166012 |     616 |  589591.49 |  581774.34 |  1013.33 |   7817.15 |  98.674
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1165549 |  568024 (0.48808) |  595767 |    1758 |  903073.59 |  885139.12 |  2925.31 |  17934.46 |  98.014
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   650703 |  324450 (0.49961) |  324958 |    1295 |  679246.94 |  662478.67 |  6521.82 |  16768.27 |  97.531
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   369382 |  271007 (0.73515) |   97637 |     738 |  307279.04 |  300173.25 |  6172.22 |   7105.78 |  97.688
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    82848 |   65356 (0.79442) |   16913 |     579 |   64093.30 |   62681.56 |  1187.77 |   1411.74 |  97.797
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    73887 |   62750 (0.85676) |   10491 |     646 |   81270.64 |   80486.72 |   400.81 |    783.91 |  99.035
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   115439 |  105171 (0.91624) |    9615 |     653 |   74090.32 |   73041.66 |     0.93 |   1048.66 |  98.585
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    19172 |   17499 (0.97962) |     364 |    1309 |   24723.96 |   24309.25 |   240.49 |    414.70 |  98.323
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  3842897 | 1578886           | 2245979 |   18032 |  810458.84 |  796436.61 |   286.38 |  14022.22 |  98.270
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   119931 |   54268           |   65370 |     293 | 2703758.84 | 2646007.70 | 24345.21 |  57751.14 |  97.864
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  3962828 | 1633154           | 2311349 |   18325 | 3514217.68 | 3442444.31 | 24631.59 |  71773.36 |  97.958
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      71773.36956304 BTC (2.042%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3173.26177500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       68600.10778804 BTC (1.952%)
Pending Liabilities:            3.19339789 BTC
Final SD Profit:            68596.91439015 BTC (1.952%)
Profit This Month:            753.98782253 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 12530694  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  7281271  (58.1%)
Blockchain MB:   5430.2  :  SatoshiDice MB:   3000.7  (55.3%)



jborkl
sr. member
Activity: 246
Merit: 250
Team Heritage Motorsports
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
April 01, 2013, 03:57:40 PM
#1090
Wow, if that luck keeps up for the rest of the month
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
April 01, 2013, 02:41:08 PM
#1089
Quote
Total of 99 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Apr-01 12:36pm (up to block 229178)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   116222 |       3 (0.00003) |  114406 |    1813 |    1401.31 |    3841.48 |   140.93 |  -2440.17 | 274.135
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     6335 |       0 (0.00000) |    5783 |     552 |     105.34 |       0.11 |    22.23 |    105.22 |   0.110
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     8682 |       1 (0.00012) |    8214 |     467 |     134.02 |     160.09 |    14.54 |    -26.07 | 119.454
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    15109 |       5 (0.00034) |   14615 |     489 |     297.23 |     432.34 |    10.11 |   -135.10 | 145.456
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    16289 |       1 (0.00006) |   15831 |     457 |     562.54 |       5.39 |    22.11 |    557.14 |   0.958
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    23264 |      11 (0.00048) |   22838 |     415 |    1363.87 |    1537.61 |     1.45 |   -173.73 | 112.738
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    26017 |      32 (0.00125) |   25492 |     493 |    1915.12 |    1521.16 |    55.90 |    393.95 |  79.429
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    20644 |      38 (0.00188) |   20136 |     470 |    2376.45 |    1562.87 |    48.42 |    813.58 |  65.765
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    25824 |     113 (0.00445) |   25307 |     404 |    5993.21 |    8653.60 |    13.25 |  -2660.38 | 144.390
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    36847 |     295 (0.00817) |   35832 |     720 |    8255.42 |    6897.59 |    10.11 |   1357.82 |  83.552
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   129957 |    1965 (0.01519) |  127431 |     561 |   40898.68 |   36057.43 |     2.19 |   4841.24 |  88.163
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    25352 |     579 (0.02317) |   24411 |     362 |    7959.55 |    8556.41 |    15.11 |   -596.86 | 107.499
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    83500 |    2561 (0.03082) |   80536 |     403 |   40887.55 |   36629.56 |     9.39 |   4257.98 |  89.586
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    29902 |    1356 (0.04607) |   28077 |     469 |    9795.61 |   10624.07 |    25.33 |   -828.45 | 108.457
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    35887 |    2202 (0.06206) |   33282 |     403 |    7717.96 |    7504.98 |    31.39 |    212.98 |  97.240
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    49958 |    4544 (0.09184) |   44933 |     481 |   16767.98 |   18389.74 |     7.42 |  -1621.75 | 109.672
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   195573 |   23933 (0.12271) |  171098 |     542 |   96018.30 |   94904.72 |   100.62 |   1113.58 |  98.840
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   103475 |   18818 (0.18289) |   84077 |     580 |  175212.18 |  176154.76 |  3315.04 |   -942.58 | 100.538
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   267512 |   65190 (0.24424) |  201725 |     597 |  372459.85 |  358504.57 |  2322.55 |  13955.28 |  96.253
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   261802 |   96088 (0.36789) |  165100 |     614 |  588965.08 |  581236.99 |  1013.32 |   7728.08 |  98.688
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1161533 |  566074 (0.48808) |  593717 |    1742 |  901776.80 |  883821.12 |  2925.25 |  17955.68 |  98.009
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   647546 |  322861 (0.49958) |  323400 |    1285 |  678557.02 |  661916.41 |  6521.79 |  16640.61 |  97.548
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   366839 |  269114 (0.73506) |   96999 |     726 |  306956.78 |  299810.85 |  6172.17 |   7145.93 |  97.672
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    82285 |   64917 (0.79447) |   16794 |     574 |   63881.90 |   62455.64 |  1187.74 |   1426.25 |  97.767
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    73354 |   62301 (0.85681) |   10412 |     641 |   81156.74 |   80377.74 |   400.78 |    778.99 |  99.040
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   113887 |  103749 (0.91619) |    9491 |     647 |   73841.13 |   72791.99 |     0.90 |   1049.13 |  98.579
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    18985 |   17336 (0.97982) |     357 |    1292 |   24662.42 |   24248.32 |   240.47 |    414.10 |  98.321
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  3822812 | 1569890           | 2235016 |   17906 |  808377.20 |  794589.14 |   285.41 |  13788.06 |  98.294
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   119768 |   54197           |   65278 |     293 | 2701542.96 | 2644008.53 | 24345.21 |  57534.42 |  97.870
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  3942580 | 1624087           | 2300294 |   18199 | 3509920.16 | 3438597.68 | 24630.62 |  71322.48 |  97.968
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      71322.48764929 BTC (2.032%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3152.12197500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       68170.36567429 BTC (1.942%)
Pending Liabilities:            2.74094967 BTC
Final SD Profit:            68167.62472462 BTC (1.942%)
Profit This Month:            324.69815700 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 12453450  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  7244365  (58.2%)
Blockchain MB:   5393.3  :  SatoshiDice MB:   2985.3  (55.4%)



dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
April 01, 2013, 01:45:50 PM
#1088
Quote from: BTCdude007 on April 01, 2013, 12:36:49 PM
Looks like there is a profit for March.

But it is unclear. Which is correct?

> Monthly profit: 1166.55910974 BTC
or
> Profit This Month:           -101.75899173 BTC

Why the difference?

Yeah, I should have been clearer.  The +1166 was March's profit and the -101 is April's.

The official number will be different I expect.  I just go by the timestamps on the blocks, whereas Erik probably uses the actual processing time.  But it'll probably be pretty close.
FTWbitcoinFTW
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
April 01, 2013, 01:05:54 PM
#1087
Quote from: BTCdude007 on April 01, 2013, 12:36:49 PM
Looks like there is a profit for March.

But it is unclear. Which is correct?

> Monthly profit: 1166.55910974 BTC
or
> Profit This Month:           -101.75899173 BTC

Why the difference?


-101 is the start of april i guess

I trust dooglus for 1166 Smiley Erik's update will come within this week



Mind game : Profit without less than 1 (1920+1620+620) = 4160 +1166 = 5320 * 103$ = 547.000$.


BTCdude007
sr. member
Activity: 686
Merit: 250
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
April 01, 2013, 12:36:49 PM
#1086
Looks like there is a profit for March.

But it is unclear. Which is correct?

> Monthly profit: 1166.55910974 BTC
or
> Profit This Month:           -101.75899173 BTC

Why the difference?
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 31, 2013, 10:52:22 PM
#1085
My script calculated the end-of-month profits as being:

Feb: 66676.36745788
Mar: 67842.92656762

Monthly profit: 1166.55910974 BTC

Quote
Total of 55 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Mar-31 08:35pm (up to block 229034)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   115915 |       3 (0.00003) |  114104 |    1808 |    1394.72 |    3841.45 |   140.92 |  -2446.72 | 275.427
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     6314 |       0 (0.00000) |    5763 |     551 |     104.95 |       0.11 |    21.67 |    104.83 |   0.109
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     8647 |       1 (0.00012) |    8180 |     466 |     133.35 |     160.09 |    14.53 |    -26.73 | 120.052
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    15078 |       5 (0.00034) |   14585 |     488 |     296.92 |     432.33 |    10.11 |   -135.41 | 145.604
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    16157 |       1 (0.00006) |   15701 |     455 |     560.87 |       5.38 |    22.10 |    555.49 |   0.960
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    23248 |      11 (0.00048) |   22822 |     415 |    1363.43 |    1537.60 |     1.45 |   -174.17 | 112.775
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    25981 |      32 (0.00126) |   25457 |     492 |    1913.05 |    1521.15 |    55.90 |    391.90 |  79.514
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    20623 |      38 (0.00189) |   20115 |     470 |    2376.21 |    1562.87 |    48.42 |    813.33 |  65.772
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    25796 |     113 (0.00445) |   25279 |     404 |    5991.92 |    8653.60 |    13.25 |  -2661.67 | 144.421
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    36818 |     295 (0.00817) |   35804 |     719 |    8252.17 |    6897.58 |    10.11 |   1354.59 |  83.585
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   129778 |    1964 (0.01520) |  127255 |     559 |   40810.04 |   36055.71 |     2.19 |   4754.32 |  88.350
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    25303 |     578 (0.02317) |   24364 |     361 |    7956.15 |    8555.97 |    15.10 |   -599.81 | 107.539
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    83357 |    2560 (0.03086) |   80395 |     402 |   40756.66 |   36627.95 |     9.38 |   4128.71 |  89.870
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    29882 |    1356 (0.04610) |   28058 |     468 |    9788.42 |   10624.03 |    25.32 |   -835.60 | 108.537
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    35846 |    2201 (0.06210) |   33243 |     402 |    7716.68 |    7504.02 |    31.39 |    212.66 |  97.244
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    49874 |    4539 (0.09189) |   44857 |     478 |   16763.13 |   18388.86 |     7.41 |  -1625.73 | 109.698
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   195199 |   23879 (0.12267) |  170779 |     541 |   95849.40 |   94801.22 |   100.62 |   1048.18 |  98.906
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   103163 |   18769 (0.18296) |   83817 |     577 |  175077.20 |  176095.14 |  3315.03 |  -1017.94 | 100.581
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   266662 |   64984 (0.24424) |  201083 |     595 |  372302.62 |  358310.42 |  2322.54 |  13992.19 |  96.242
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   261277 |   95897 (0.36789) |  164768 |     612 |  588822.15 |  581073.59 |  1013.31 |   7748.56 |  98.684
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1159113 |  564823 (0.48802) |  592552 |    1738 |  900818.35 |  882888.10 |  2925.23 |  17930.24 |  98.010
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   646088 |  322146 (0.49960) |  322664 |    1278 |  677934.99 |  661352.55 |  6521.77 |  16582.43 |  97.554
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   365736 |  268315 (0.73508) |   96702 |     719 |  306892.70 |  299752.22 |  6172.15 |   7140.47 |  97.673
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    81921 |   64634 (0.79447) |   16721 |     566 |   63801.98 |   62383.57 |  1187.72 |   1418.40 |  97.777
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    73024 |   62030 (0.85692) |   10357 |     637 |   81029.56 |   80255.37 |   400.77 |    774.19 |  99.045
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   113300 |  103210 (0.91613) |    9449 |     641 |   73676.17 |   72629.34 |     0.87 |   1046.83 |  98.579
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    18880 |   17245 (0.97983) |     355 |    1280 |   24601.63 |   24187.97 |   240.46 |    413.66 |  98.319
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  3813396 | 1565496           | 2230071 |   17829 |  807283.15 |  793576.31 |   284.63 |  13706.84 |  98.302
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   119584 |   54133           |   65158 |     293 | 2699702.39 | 2642521.99 | 24345.21 |  57180.39 |  97.882
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  3932980 | 1619629           | 2295229 |   18122 | 3506985.55 | 3436098.30 | 24629.84 |  70887.24 |  97.979
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      70887.24277234 BTC (2.021%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3142.10437500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       67745.13839734 BTC (1.932%)
Pending Liabilities:            3.97082145 BTC
Final SD Profit:            67741.16757589 BTC (1.932%)
Profit This Month:           -101.75899173 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 12419592  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  7226224  (58.2%)
Blockchain MB:   5376.1  :  SatoshiDice MB:   2977.8  (55.4%)



dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 30, 2013, 02:24:44 PM
#1084
Quote
Total of 92 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Mar-30 12:23pm (up to block 228800)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   114831 |       3 (0.00003) |  113039 |    1789 |    1378.20 |    3841.37 |   140.32 |  -2463.16 | 278.723
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     6274 |       0 (0.00000) |    5727 |     547 |     104.35 |       0.11 |    21.66 |    104.24 |   0.107
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     8588 |       1 (0.00012) |    8127 |     460 |     132.47 |     160.08 |    14.53 |    -27.61 | 120.846
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    14947 |       5 (0.00035) |   14456 |     486 |     295.37 |     432.33 |    10.10 |   -136.96 | 146.369
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    16107 |       1 (0.00006) |   15654 |     452 |     559.48 |       5.37 |    22.09 |    554.10 |   0.961
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    23182 |      11 (0.00048) |   22757 |     414 |    1360.62 |    1537.59 |     1.44 |   -176.96 | 113.006
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    25888 |      32 (0.00126) |   25365 |     491 |    1906.92 |    1521.12 |    55.90 |    385.79 |  79.768
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    20515 |      38 (0.00190) |   20007 |     470 |    2369.77 |    1562.84 |    48.42 |    806.92 |  65.949
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    25742 |     112 (0.00442) |   25230 |     400 |    5990.76 |    8651.09 |    13.24 |  -2660.33 | 144.407
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    36587 |     294 (0.00820) |   35579 |     714 |    8206.72 |    6797.11 |    10.09 |   1409.60 |  82.824
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   128912 |    1954 (0.01522) |  126403 |     555 |   40746.49 |   35990.15 |     2.18 |   4756.34 |  88.327
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    25263 |     578 (0.02321) |   24325 |     360 |    7954.77 |    8555.96 |    15.10 |   -601.19 | 107.558
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    82558 |    2539 (0.03090) |   79618 |     401 |   40710.53 |   36583.77 |     9.38 |   4126.75 |  89.863
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    29824 |    1353 (0.04608) |   28008 |     463 |    9785.42 |   10619.59 |    25.30 |   -834.16 | 108.525
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    35777 |    2195 (0.06205) |   33181 |     401 |    7693.79 |    7500.46 |    31.38 |    193.33 |  97.487
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    49667 |    4524 (0.09196) |   44669 |     474 |   16757.68 |   18387.04 |     7.40 |  -1629.35 | 109.723
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   194279 |   23776 (0.12272) |  169964 |     539 |   95800.01 |   94755.34 |   100.61 |   1044.66 |  98.910
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   102650 |   18703 (0.18322) |   83377 |     570 |  175020.02 |  176071.55 |  3315.01 |  -1051.52 | 100.601
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   264853 |   64515 (0.24413) |  199748 |     590 |  372169.12 |  358152.83 |  2322.52 |  14016.28 |  96.234
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   260395 |   95593 (0.36797) |  164192 |     610 |  588670.76 |  580835.81 |  1013.31 |   7834.95 |  98.669
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1155789 |  563195 (0.48801) |  590865 |    1729 |  898605.64 |  880427.12 |  2925.20 |  18178.51 |  97.977
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   642528 |  320418 (0.49966) |  320850 |    1260 |  676866.34 |  660225.30 |  6521.70 |  16641.04 |  97.541
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   364088 |  267120 (0.73509) |   96262 |     706 |  306587.11 |  299468.84 |  6172.08 |   7118.27 |  97.678
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    81303 |   64134 (0.79431) |   16608 |     561 |   63575.23 |   62172.03 |  1187.70 |   1403.20 |  97.793
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    72346 |   61475 (0.85720) |   10241 |     630 |   80898.31 |   80127.68 |   400.73 |    770.62 |  99.047
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   111835 |  101879 (0.91610) |    9330 |     626 |   73483.35 |   72441.45 |     0.81 |   1041.90 |  98.582
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    18685 |   17081 (0.97975) |     353 |    1251 |   24570.26 |   24156.48 |   240.41 |    413.77 |  98.316
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  3794026 | 1557509           | 2218861 |   17656 |  805069.60 |  791433.01 |   283.53 |  13636.59 |  98.306
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   119387 |   54020           |   65074 |     293 | 2697130.00 | 2639547.51 | 24345.21 |  57582.49 |  97.865
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  3913413 | 1611529           | 2283935 |   17949 | 3502199.61 | 3430980.52 | 24628.75 |  71219.08 |  97.966
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      71219.08803410 BTC (2.034%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3121.57937500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       68097.50865910 BTC (1.944%)
Pending Liabilities:           72.59336105 BTC
Final SD Profit:            68024.91529805 BTC (1.942%)
Profit This Month:           1348.54784017 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 12355340  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  7190303  (58.2%)
Blockchain MB:   5338.7  :  SatoshiDice MB:   2962.7  (55.5%)



wtfvanity
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
WTF???
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 30, 2013, 11:03:35 AM
#1083
Quote from: MeatPopsicle on March 30, 2013, 12:25:54 AM
Quote from: dooglus on March 29, 2013, 05:01:27 PM
A new whale appears?  12zHnb8nBQL3bDcWt69MhnRrthZUGFpikf

For those too lazy to dig:

Code:

      First Bet      |      Last Bet       |     bets      |   winnings    |    profit
---------------------+---------------------+---------------+---------------+--------------
 2013-03-28 19:11:46 | 2013-03-29 11:20:48 | 2394.00000000 | 2757.05458660 | 363.05458660  

Ahh the conspiracy theories now. Was the whale trying to make a profit for SD for the end of the month to bring shares up? Was the whale trying to score a couple of big wins to bring SD shares to their knees?

Got to love the whales. Almost as much as mystery miners or the manipulator!
MeatPopsicle
newbie
Activity: 49
Merit: 0
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 30, 2013, 12:25:54 AM
#1082
Quote from: dooglus on March 29, 2013, 05:01:27 PM
A new whale appears?  12zHnb8nBQL3bDcWt69MhnRrthZUGFpikf

For those too lazy to dig:

Code:

      First Bet      |      Last Bet       |     bets      |   winnings    |    profit
---------------------+---------------------+---------------+---------------+--------------
 2013-03-28 19:11:46 | 2013-03-29 11:20:48 | 2394.00000000 | 2757.05458660 | 363.05458660  
FTWbitcoinFTW
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 29, 2013, 07:17:41 PM
#1081
Quote from: dooglus on March 29, 2013, 05:01:27 PM
A new whale appears?  12zHnb8nBQL3bDcWt69MhnRrthZUGFpikf

Hope so !
Like the last day of january (+15k)
Good old time when a 500btc bet was common  Lips sealed

We just need 3338 Btc more to match fiat february sum..


dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 29, 2013, 05:01:27 PM
#1080
A new whale appears?  12zHnb8nBQL3bDcWt69MhnRrthZUGFpikf

Quote
Total of 71 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Mar-29 03:00pm (up to block 228649)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP  
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   114162 |       3 (0.00003) |  112417 |    1742 |    1369.25 |    3841.32 |   137.01 |  -2472.07 | 280.542
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     6257 |       0 (0.00000) |    5711 |     546 |     104.12 |       0.11 |    21.66 |    104.01 |   0.106
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     8576 |       1 (0.00012) |    8116 |     459 |     132.29 |     160.08 |    14.52 |    -27.79 | 121.010
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    14810 |       5 (0.00035) |   14320 |     485 |     292.30 |     432.31 |    10.10 |   -140.00 | 147.897
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    15911 |       1 (0.00006) |   15460 |     450 |     550.36 |       5.33 |    22.09 |    545.03 |   0.969
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    22324 |      11 (0.00050) |   21900 |     413 |    1286.87 |    1537.22 |     1.44 |   -250.34 | 119.454
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    25684 |      32 (0.00127) |   25164 |     488 |    1886.97 |    1521.02 |    55.88 |    365.94 |  80.607
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    20478 |      38 (0.00190) |   19973 |     467 |    2368.89 |    1562.83 |    48.41 |    806.05 |  65.973
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    25711 |     112 (0.00442) |   25201 |     398 |    5988.75 |    8651.08 |    13.23 |  -2662.33 | 144.455
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    36444 |     294 (0.00823) |   35436 |     714 |    8204.54 |    6797.10 |    10.09 |   1407.44 |  82.846
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   128470 |    1947 (0.01522) |  125973 |     550 |   40718.33 |   35894.20 |     2.16 |   4824.12 |  88.152
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    25216 |     576 (0.02317) |   24280 |     360 |    7953.56 |    8554.68 |    15.10 |   -601.11 | 107.558
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    82053 |    2525 (0.03092) |   79127 |     401 |   40685.34 |   36566.59 |     9.38 |   4118.75 |  89.877
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    29791 |    1352 (0.04610) |   27976 |     463 |    9783.90 |   10619.36 |    25.30 |   -835.45 | 108.539
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    35692 |    2187 (0.06197) |   33105 |     400 |    7689.18 |    7498.35 |    31.38 |    190.83 |  97.518
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    49473 |    4512 (0.09208) |   44488 |     473 |   16750.89 |   18384.03 |     7.40 |  -1633.13 | 109.750
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   193388 |   23670 (0.12274) |  169180 |     538 |   95707.78 |   94674.25 |   100.61 |   1033.53 |  98.920
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   102206 |   18637 (0.18337) |   83000 |     569 |  174972.94 |  176031.79 |  3315.01 |  -1058.85 | 100.605
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   263945 |   64305 (0.24418) |  199051 |     589 |  372049.06 |  358042.10 |  2322.52 |  14006.95 |  96.235
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   259502 |   95263 (0.36796) |  163630 |     609 |  588560.05 |  580693.61 |  1013.30 |   7866.44 |  98.663
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1153319 |  561995 (0.48801) |  589610 |    1714 |  897802.18 |  879489.30 |  2925.16 |  18312.87 |  97.960
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   640004 |  319149 (0.49964) |  319611 |    1244 |  676287.81 |  659626.64 |  6521.62 |  16661.16 |  97.536
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   362666 |  266082 (0.73510) |   95885 |     699 |  306390.10 |  299273.22 |  6172.04 |   7116.88 |  97.677
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    80919 |   63840 (0.79441) |   16522 |     557 |   63466.20 |   62077.04 |  1187.69 |   1389.15 |  97.811
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    71874 |   61089 (0.85739) |   10161 |     624 |   80759.73 |   79991.02 |   400.72 |    768.70 |  99.048
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   110772 |  100909 (0.91606) |    9247 |     616 |   73339.41 |   72299.80 |     0.77 |   1039.60 |  98.582
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    18564 |   16971 (0.97979) |     350 |    1243 |   24506.74 |   24092.71 |   240.40 |    414.02 |  98.311
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  3778939 | 1551554           | 2209867 |   17518 |  803345.52 |  789799.74 |   279.91 |  13545.78 |  98.314
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   119272 |   53952           |   65027 |     293 | 2696262.14 | 2638517.48 | 24345.21 |  57744.66 |  97.858
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  3898211 | 1605506           | 2274894 |   17811 | 3499607.67 | 3428317.23 | 24625.13 |  71290.44 |  97.963
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      71290.44638075 BTC (2.037%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3105.67497500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       68184.77140575 BTC (1.948%)
Pending Liabilities:           -8.66642696 BTC
Final SD Profit:            68193.43783271 BTC (1.949%)
Profit This Month:           1517.07037483 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 12302879  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  7163257  (58.2%)
Blockchain MB:   5314.8  :  SatoshiDice MB:   2951.3  (55.5%)



Jonny Heggheim
member
Activity: 74
Merit: 10
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 28, 2013, 08:33:15 PM
#1079
Quote from: dooglus on March 28, 2013, 07:06:48 PM
I've added 'profit this month' to the report now too:
+1, Thanks
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 28, 2013, 07:06:48 PM
#1078
Quote from: Ploo on March 28, 2013, 06:04:08 PM
Quote from: gog1 on March 28, 2013, 10:59:12 AM
I would like to suggest that if we can also graph a rolling 7 day average betting volume on SD (smooth out day of the week effect) and rolling average BTC / USD prices.  I speculate they are inversely correlated.  Betting 1 BTC is almost like betting $100 USD, which qualify you for high limit area for certain casino if you are playing $100 a bet.

I'd also like to see this.

Any idea where there's an API that gives me a history of BTC/USD price?

The 'end of last month' line has moved ever so slightly.  I was previously accidentally using Pacific time, whereas I think SatoshiDice uses the time in Ireland.

I've added 'profit this month' to the report now too:

Quote
Total of 36 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Mar-28 05:03pm (up to block 228491)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP  
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   112695 |       3 (0.00003) |  110961 |    1731 |    1350.21 |    3841.23 |   136.51 |  -2491.01 | 284.490
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     6100 |       0 (0.00000) |    5555 |     545 |     102.37 |       0.10 |    21.65 |    102.27 |   0.099
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     8535 |       1 (0.00012) |    8076 |     458 |     131.70 |     160.08 |    14.52 |    -28.37 | 121.544
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    14663 |       5 (0.00035) |   14176 |     482 |     290.57 |     432.30 |    10.10 |   -141.72 | 148.775
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    15862 |       1 (0.00006) |   15411 |     450 |     549.32 |       5.32 |    22.09 |    544.00 |   0.970
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    22003 |      10 (0.00046) |   21582 |     411 |    1268.62 |    1437.19 |     1.44 |   -168.56 | 113.288
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    25630 |      32 (0.00127) |   25112 |     486 |    1885.21 |    1521.01 |    55.87 |    364.19 |  80.681
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    20417 |      38 (0.00190) |   19914 |     465 |    2367.80 |    1562.83 |    48.41 |    804.97 |  66.003
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    25647 |     112 (0.00444) |   25137 |     398 |    5987.80 |    8651.08 |    13.23 |  -2663.28 | 144.478
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    36369 |     294 (0.00825) |   35363 |     712 |    8201.59 |    6797.08 |    10.08 |   1404.50 |  82.875
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   127475 |    1931 (0.01521) |  124998 |     546 |   40481.60 |   35155.11 |     2.14 |   5326.49 |  86.842
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    25160 |     576 (0.02323) |   24224 |     360 |    7952.35 |    8554.67 |    15.10 |   -602.32 | 107.574
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    81288 |    2505 (0.03097) |   78382 |     401 |   40445.99 |   36514.83 |     9.38 |   3931.16 |  90.280
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    29708 |    1350 (0.04616) |   27897 |     461 |    9782.29 |   10618.92 |    25.30 |   -836.63 | 108.553
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    35599 |    2181 (0.06196) |   33018 |     400 |    7685.27 |    7481.52 |    31.38 |    203.74 |  97.349
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    49240 |    4491 (0.09209) |   44278 |     471 |   16724.88 |   18291.48 |     7.40 |  -1566.59 | 109.367
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   192535 |   23568 (0.12275) |  168433 |     534 |   95456.94 |   94551.21 |   100.58 |    905.72 |  99.051
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   101545 |   18519 (0.18339) |   82461 |     565 |  174719.83 |  175952.31 |  3315.00 |  -1232.47 | 100.705
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   262695 |   64016 (0.24424) |  198091 |     588 |  371726.11 |  357860.21 |  2322.52 |  13865.89 |  96.270
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   258646 |   94963 (0.36802) |  163077 |     606 |  587989.99 |  580061.38 |  1013.29 |   7928.61 |  98.652
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1150847 |  560767 (0.48799) |  588374 |    1706 |  897231.35 |  878877.41 |  2925.14 |  18353.93 |  97.954
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   637851 |  318112 (0.49969) |  318508 |    1231 |  674307.26 |  658462.53 |  6521.56 |  15844.73 |  97.650
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   361019 |  264854 (0.73504) |   95470 |     695 |  305974.84 |  298878.14 |  6172.01 |   7096.69 |  97.681
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    80430 |   63459 (0.79447) |   16417 |     554 |   63385.24 |   61999.15 |  1187.69 |   1386.09 |  97.813
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    71224 |   60536 (0.85737) |   10071 |     617 |   80559.89 |   79797.32 |   400.70 |    762.56 |  99.053
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   109749 |   99988 (0.91609) |    9159 |     602 |   73180.13 |   72133.41 |     0.72 |   1046.72 |  98.570
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    18425 |   16850 (0.97982) |     347 |    1228 |   24448.22 |   24034.04 |   240.38 |    414.17 |  98.306
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  3762307 | 1545288           | 2199609 |   17410 |  801277.58 |  787790.52 |   279.12 |  13487.05 |  98.317
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   119050 |   53874           |   64883 |     293 | 2692909.93 | 2635841.46 | 24345.21 |  57068.46 |  97.881
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  3881357 | 1599162           | 2264492 |   17703 | 3494187.51 | 3423631.99 | 24624.34 |  70555.52 |  97.981
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      70555.52117293 BTC (2.019%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3088.00237500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       67467.51879793 BTC (1.931%)
Pending Liabilities:           -4.15814417 BTC
Final SD Profit:            67471.67694210 BTC (1.931%)
Profit This Month:            795.30948422 BTC
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 12245911  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  7133221  (58.2%)
Blockchain MB:   5287.8  :  SatoshiDice MB:   2938.5  (55.6%)



Ploo
full member
Activity: 125
Merit: 100
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 28, 2013, 06:04:08 PM
#1077
Quote from: gog1 on March 28, 2013, 10:59:12 AM
I would like to suggest that if we can also graph a rolling 7 day average betting volume on SD (smooth out day of the week effect) and rolling average BTC / USD prices.  I speculate they are inversely correlated.  Betting 1 BTC is almost like betting $100 USD, which qualify you for high limit area for certain casino if you are playing $100 a bet.

I'd also like to see this.
gog1
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 28, 2013, 10:59:12 AM
#1076
I would like to suggest that if we can also graph a rolling 7 day average betting volume on SD (smooth out day of the week effect) and rolling average BTC / USD prices.  I speculate they are inversely correlated.  Betting 1 BTC is almost like betting $100 USD, which qualify you for high limit area for certain casino if you are playing $100 a bet.
jborkl
sr. member
Activity: 246
Merit: 250
Team Heritage Motorsports
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 28, 2013, 10:01:56 AM
#1075
Good and bad months for a business are normal, people need to look longer term than the everyday update.

I like the updates, so good job - but you can not judge a business on a month or few weeks of data.

SD has taken huge payouts this month like a champ, plus blockchain fork and a massive price rise in BTC.
MeatPopsicle
newbie
Activity: 49
Merit: 0
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 27, 2013, 02:31:58 PM
#1074
From my limited dataset, I show that address up 727.34528992 on 1856.81 of bets.
dooglus
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 27, 2013, 11:29:44 AM
#1073
Quote from: scrybe on March 27, 2013, 08:20:19 AM
Any chance you could add that value to your text report as well? (or a monthly net number after subtracting from the current profit)

Thanks again for this info, tip on the way

I was asked for that around the end of last month too I think, and have been putting off doing it ever since.  I'll get to it soon.  I'll show something about the dividend per share too.

Thanks for the tip.

Edit: current dividend for this month: zero...

Edit2: the losses that took us into a net loss for the month were mostly due to bets from one address, 1EvdzQZtdSDtcTBvcNy6qcsRQyhrKtEf91.  Here's a summary of his recent bets of 10 BTC or more:

Quote
Mar 27 09:21:28 2013 <8000  228230 0e951fcd5e65bbc9:3  BET    15.00000000 LOSE   -14.92500000
Mar 27 09:21:28 2013 <16000 228230 0e951fcd5e65bbc9:1  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 09:21:28 2013 <24000 228230 0e951fcd5e65bbc9:0  BET    15.00000000 LOSE   -14.92500000
Mar 27 09:21:28 2013 <12000 228230 0e951fcd5e65bbc9:2  BET    20.00000000 LOSE   -19.90000000
Mar 27 09:21:28 2013 <2000  228230 0e951fcd5e65bbc9:4  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 10:02:23 2013 <1000  228234 54cd23f489389651:1  BET    10.00000000 WIN    629.68136000
Mar 27 10:02:23 2013 <8000  228234 25eb734672a72d8c:0  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 10:02:23 2013 <12000 228234 ff2651572f4ab823:1  BET    20.00000000 LOSE   -19.90000000
Mar 27 10:02:23 2013 <2000  228234 25eb734672a72d8c:1  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 10:02:23 2013 <24000 228234 54cd23f489389651:0  BET    10.00000000 WIN     16.70130666
Mar 27 10:29:50 2013 <16000 228235 0385bf847ababd3d:0  BET    20.00000000 LOSE   -19.90000000
Mar 27 10:29:50 2013 <1000  228235 376ecb0c4dedaab6:1  BET    15.00000000 LOSE   -14.92500000
Mar 27 10:29:50 2013 <2000  228235 0385bf847ababd3d:1  BET    15.00000000 LOSE   -14.92500000
Mar 27 10:29:50 2013 <12000 228235 762cfadef0556334:0  BET    20.00000000 LOSE   -19.90000000
Mar 27 10:29:50 2013 <24000 228235 376ecb0c4dedaab6:0  BET    15.00000000 LOSE   -14.92500000
Mar 27 10:29:50 2013 <8000  228235 762cfadef0556334:1  BET    25.00000000 LOSE   -24.87500000
Mar 27 10:29:50 2013 <16000 228235 ff2651572f4ab823:0  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 10:46:30 2013 <16000 228237 c91b140ee6151391:1  BET    20.00000000 LOSE   -19.90000000
Mar 27 10:46:30 2013 <2000  228237 c91b140ee6151391:4  BET    15.00000000 LOSE   -14.92500000
Mar 27 10:46:30 2013 <8000  228237 c91b140ee6151391:3  BET    15.00000000 LOSE   -14.92500000
Mar 27 10:46:30 2013 <1000  228237 c91b140ee6151391:5  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 10:46:30 2013 <12000 228237 c91b140ee6151391:2  BET    25.00000000 LOSE   -24.87500000
Mar 27 10:46:30 2013 <24000 228237 c91b140ee6151391:0  BET    20.00000000 LOSE   -19.90000000
Mar 27 10:51:32 2013 <1000  228238 02ac4ee062bb1521:5  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <2000  228239 cf2f7be04c4e5a37:4  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <8000  228239 cf2f7be04c4e5a37:3  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <1000  228239 cf2f7be04c4e5a37:5  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <8000  228239 02ac4ee062bb1521:3  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <2000  228239 02ac4ee062bb1521:4  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <1000  228239 111f3717ad193291:5  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <12000 228239 111f3717ad193291:2  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <2000  228239 111f3717ad193291:4  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <16000 228239 02ac4ee062bb1521:1  BET     5.00000000 WIN     15.01348000
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <12000 228239 cf2f7be04c4e5a37:2  BET    10.00000000 WIN     43.35261333
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <12000 228239 02ac4ee062bb1521:2  BET    10.00000000 WIN     43.35261333
Mar 27 11:13:47 2013 <8000  228239 111f3717ad193291:3  BET    10.00000000 WIN     70.00392000
Mar 27 11:26:19 2013 <2000  228240 89ffc32abfe94a2c:4  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:26:19 2013 <1000  228240 89ffc32abfe94a2c:5  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:26:19 2013 <2000  228240 334fd3ff342ce787:4  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:26:19 2013 <12000 228240 89ffc32abfe94a2c:2  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:26:19 2013 <8000  228240 89ffc32abfe94a2c:3  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:26:19 2013 <12000 228240 334fd3ff342ce787:2  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:26:19 2013 <1000  228240 334fd3ff342ce787:5  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:26:19 2013 <8000  228240 334fd3ff342ce787:3  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:26:19 2013 <16000 228240 89ffc32abfe94a2c:1  BET     5.00000000 WIN     15.01348000
Mar 27 11:47:23 2013 <1000  228242 19c895f7f99d0d73:5  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:47:23 2013 <12000 228242 c810fdd77a58a02d:2  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:47:23 2013 <8000  228242 c810fdd77a58a02d:3  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:47:23 2013 <1000  228242 c810fdd77a58a02d:5  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:47:23 2013 <12000 228242 19c895f7f99d0d73:2  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:47:23 2013 <8000  228242 19c895f7f99d0d73:3  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 11:47:23 2013 <24000 228242 19c895f7f99d0d73:0  BET    10.00000000 WIN     16.70130666
Mar 27 11:47:23 2013 <24000 228242 c810fdd77a58a02d:0  BET    10.00000000 WIN     16.70130666
Mar 27 11:47:23 2013 <2000  228242 c810fdd77a58a02d:4  BET    10.00000000 WIN    309.86568000
Mar 27 11:47:23 2013 <2000  228242 19c895f7f99d0d73:4  BET    10.00000000 WIN    309.86568000
Mar 27 12:06:26 2013 <12000 228243 81ae09866c77fb7a:2  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 12:06:26 2013 <1000  228243 81ae09866c77fb7a:5  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 12:06:26 2013 <2000  228243 81ae09866c77fb7a:4  BET    10.00000000 LOSE    -9.95000000
Mar 27 12:06:26 2013 <24000 228243 81ae09866c77fb7a:0  BET    10.00000000 WIN     16.70130666
Mar 27 12:06:26 2013 <8000  228243 81ae09866c77fb7a:3  BET    10.00000000 WIN     70.00392000

Quote
Total of 166 bets unaccounted for.

Results: 2013-Mar-27 09:21am (up to block 228264)

   Address  Target   Should Win |    #Bets |        Win        |   Lose  | Refunds |   BTC In   |  BTC Out   |  Refund  |   Profit  |   RTP  
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 1dice1e6p       1      0.00002 |   111786 |       3 (0.00003) |  110069 |    1714 |    1338.74 |    3841.17 |   135.80 |  -2502.42 | 286.923
 1dice1Qf4       2      0.00003 |     6065 |       0 (0.00000) |    5524 |     541 |     101.70 |       0.09 |    21.31 |    101.60 |   0.096
 1dice2pxm       4      0.00006 |     8497 |       1 (0.00012) |    8039 |     457 |     130.79 |     160.07 |    14.21 |    -29.28 | 122.389
 1dice2vQo       8      0.00012 |    14532 |       5 (0.00036) |   14048 |     479 |     289.01 |     432.29 |    10.09 |   -143.27 | 149.574
 1dice2WmR      16      0.00024 |    15671 |       1 (0.00007) |   15221 |     449 |     542.61 |       5.29 |    22.09 |    537.32 |   0.975
 1dice2xkj      32      0.00049 |    21831 |      10 (0.00047) |   21411 |     410 |    1261.27 |    1437.15 |     1.43 |   -175.87 | 113.944
 1dice2zdo      64      0.00098 |    24623 |      31 (0.00128) |   24108 |     484 |    1817.94 |    1460.71 |    55.86 |    357.22 |  80.350
 1dice37Ee     128      0.00195 |    20277 |      38 (0.00192) |   19774 |     465 |    2362.09 |    1562.80 |    48.41 |    799.29 |  66.162
 1dice3jkp     256      0.00391 |    25503 |     112 (0.00446) |   24994 |     397 |    5973.69 |    8651.01 |    13.23 |  -2677.32 | 144.819
 1dice4J1m     512      0.00781 |    36198 |     293 (0.00826) |   35194 |     711 |    8189.80 |    6795.78 |    10.08 |   1394.02 |  82.979
 1dice5wwE    1000      0.01526 |   126593 |    1922 (0.01525) |  124125 |     546 |   39766.74 |   34806.13 |     2.14 |   4960.60 |  87.526
 1dice61SN    1500      0.02289 |    25119 |     576 (0.02326) |   24183 |     360 |    7917.45 |    8554.50 |    15.10 |   -637.04 | 108.046
 1dice6DPt    2000      0.03052 |    80575 |    2487 (0.03102) |   77687 |     401 |   39731.83 |   35863.31 |     9.38 |   3868.52 |  90.263
 1dice6gJg    3000      0.04578 |    29618 |    1347 (0.04619) |   27812 |     459 |    9675.23 |   10511.36 |    25.29 |   -836.13 | 108.642
 1dice6GV5    4000      0.06104 |    35478 |    2171 (0.06189) |   32907 |     400 |    7678.65 |    7477.32 |    31.38 |    201.32 |  97.378
 1dice6wBx    6000      0.09155 |    49043 |    4475 (0.09213) |   44098 |     470 |   16613.99 |   18285.48 |     7.39 |  -1671.48 | 110.061
 1dice6YgE    8000      0.12207 |   191565 |   23450 (0.12275) |  167582 |     533 |   94590.94 |   93528.82 |   100.58 |   1062.11 |  98.877
 1dice7EYz   12000      0.18311 |   100841 |   18389 (0.18338) |   81888 |     564 |  173808.98 |  175066.49 |  3315.00 |  -1257.51 | 100.724
 1dice7fUk   16000      0.24414 |   260611 |   63507 (0.24423) |  196519 |     585 |  370685.58 |  356779.32 |  2322.52 |  13906.25 |  96.249
 1dice7W2A   24000      0.36621 |   257630 |   94584 (0.36799) |  162445 |     601 |  586937.41 |  578958.35 |  1013.27 |   7979.06 |  98.641
 1dice8EMZ   32000      0.48828 |  1148238 |  559485 (0.48798) |  587051 |    1702 |  895140.86 |  877375.82 |  2925.14 |  17765.03 |  98.015
 1dice97EC   32768      0.50000 |   635179 |  316786 (0.49970) |  317171 |    1222 |  672576.00 |  656947.35 |  6521.53 |  15628.64 |  97.676
 1dice9wcM   48000      0.73242 |   359115 |  263435 (0.73498) |   94992 |     688 |  304937.35 |  297583.62 |  5455.48 |   7353.72 |  97.588
 1dicec9k7   52000      0.79346 |    80002 |   63110 (0.79434) |   16340 |     552 |   63238.56 |   61840.55 |  1187.68 |   1398.01 |  97.789
 1dicegEAr   56000      0.85449 |    70557 |   59979 (0.85754) |    9964 |     614 |   79744.85 |   78951.47 |   400.68 |    793.38 |  99.005
 1diceDCd2   60000      0.91553 |   108256 |   98640 (0.91623) |    9019 |     597 |   73103.28 |   72058.33 |     0.69 |   1044.95 |  98.571
 1dice9wVt   64000      0.97656 |    18288 |   16720 (0.97973) |     346 |    1222 |   24428.58 |   24014.36 |   240.37 |    414.21 |  98.304
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           small (bets < 4 BTC) |  3743185 | 1537817           | 2188037 |   17331 |  799174.92 |  785757.92 |   277.57 |  13416.99 |  98.321
            big (bets >= 4 BTC) |   118506 |   53740           |   64474 |     292 | 2683409.12 | 2627191.15 | 23628.70 |  56217.96 |  97.905
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                |  3861691 | 1591557           | 2252511 |   17623 | 3482584.04 | 3412949.07 | 23906.27 |  69634.96 |  98.000
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SD Profit before fees:      69634.96507841 BTC (2.000%)
Cumulative Fees Paid:        3067.28197500 BTC
SD Profit after fees:       66567.68310341 BTC (1.911%)
Pending Liabilities:         -144.11838175 BTC
Final SD Profit:            66711.80148516 BTC (1.916%)
----
Since Satoshi Dice started, there have been:
Blockchain Tx: 12166198  :  SatoshiDice Tx:  7098245  (58.3%)
Blockchain MB:   5248.7  :  SatoshiDice MB:   2923.6  (55.7%)



scrybe
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
Re: Satoshi Dice -- Statistical Analysis
March 27, 2013, 08:20:19 AM
#1072
Quote from: dooglus on March 26, 2013, 06:36:10 PM
Quote from: Jonny Heggheim on March 26, 2013, 02:34:15 PM
I liked the "end of last month" line Smiley

I received a PM asking for it to be added.

Thanks to the suggestor!

Any chance you could add that value to your text report as well? (or a monthly net number after subtracting from the current profit)

Thanks again for this info, tip on the way
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